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71
Belleville service hub for those struggling with addiction, homelessness to open in 2026

'A

Work is underway to transform a former banquet hall in Belleville, Ont., into a 22-hour-a-day support hub for some of the region's most vulnerable residents.


Source: Belleville service hub for those struggling with addiction, homelessness to open in 2026

-----------------------
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72
BOX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 9, 3:02 AM EST

559 
FXUS61 KBOX 090802
AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
302 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025

.SYNOPSIS...

After a frigid start early this morning...a ridge of high pressure
will result in dry weather but high temperatures still well below
normal today. A moisture starved shortwave crosses the region
tonight with a period of mainly scattered light snow showers. A more
significant disturbance brings much milder temperatures and a period
of mainly rain Wednesday afternoon and evening with any snow
confined to the highest terrain of the Berkshires and northern
Worcester Hills. A cold front crosses the region later Wednesday
night...bringing mainly dry, but blustery and cold weather returning
Thursday into Friday. Low pressure may bring snow with even some
ice/rain to the region Saturday night into Sunday depending on its
track. This will be followed by another shot of arctic air and well
below normal temperatures early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

Key Messages...

* Dry & unseasonably cold today

Details...

Today...

A cold albeit quiet and dry day setting up for Tuesday. A clear cold
start will give way to increasing mid and high level clouds as a
weak mid-level disturbance begins to approach from the Great Lakes.
Arctic high pressure moves offshore resulting in an increasing
return flow and mid-level warming. Guidance shows 850mb temps
increasing from -15C in the morning to -9C or so by the afternoon.
Will be a cold day with temps rising from the single digits to the
teens and lower 20s by the afternoon.  Winds will become southerly
then eventually southwesterly by the afternoon as WAA increases.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...

Key Messages...

* Scattered light snow showers tonight with accumulations mainly
  a dusting to less than 1 inch

* Stronger disturbance arrives from the Great Lakes Wednesday
  afternoon w/ rain and accumulating elevation snow possible.

Tonight...

Increasing mid-level frontogenesis under an upper level impulse will
bring a brief period of showery precipitation from west to east
between 02-06z. Expecting negligible snow totals (dusting to an
inch) across the interior as the precipitation will have to overcome
a fairly deep layer of drier air. Rain showers more likely S of I-95
as temps warm near or above freezing. Overall a low impact event
that will last for only a few hours. Still, there could be slick
spots as partial clearing cools temps down a few degrees late
Tuesday night.

Wednesday...

A stronger clipper disturbance approaches from the Great Lakes
Wednesday morning. Precip should start as a period of snow between
14-16z north of route 202 in northern Massachusetts. Elsewhere, the
temperatures will likely yield rain as the region finds itself in
the system's warm sector. Temperatures may actually be somewhat mild
SE of I-95 as highs approach 50. Expecting generally light QPF with
the NBM advertising up to 0.5". Best chance for accumulating snow
will be in the elevated terrain of northern Mass where event totals
1-3 inches are possible. Widespread precipitation shuts down later
Wednesday afternoon as a dry slot develops. A few lingering rain
showers in the Berkshires change back over to snow behind a cold
front Wednesday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

Key Messages...

* Lingering showers/highest terrain snow showers depart Wed evening

* Cold and windy Thu with continued cold weather Fri...Highs in the
  upper 20s/30s with dry weather outside a brief spot snow shower

* Low pressure may bring snow or even some ice/rain to the region
  Sat night into Sun depending on its track which remains uncertain

* Another shot of arctic air Mon into Tue with unseasonably
  cold highs in the 20s to the lower 30s and mainly dry weather

Details...

Wednesday night...

Intensifying low pressure moves eastward along the northern New
England and Quebec border Wednesday night...dragging a cold front
across our region. Lingering rain showers with any snow showers
confined to the highest terrain of the Berks/northern Worcester
Hills will come to an end Wednesday evening. It will turn rather
blustery behind this cold front later Wednesday night with
increasing west winds. Overnight low temps should mainly be in the
25 to 35 degree range with the mildest of those readings near and
southeast of the I-95 corridor.

Thursday...

Windy and colder weather returns to the region on Thursday. Strong
cold advection will result in 850T dropping to between -13C/-14c.
This should result in steady or slowly falling temperatures with
afternoon temperatures mainly in the upper 20s to the middle 30s.
Bufkit indicates excellent mixing which should yield westerly wind
gusts of 25 to 40 mph. This will result in afternoon wind chill
values mainly in the teens to the lower 20s.

Dry weather should generally prevail...but given cold westerly flow
some remnant lake effect moisture may result in a brief spot snow
shower/flurry or two.

Thursday night and Friday...

Strong low pressure just east of the Canadian Maritimes will
continue to generate a blustery westerly flow of dry but cold air
into southern New England. Lows Thu night will mainly be in the
teens to the middle 20s with highs Fri in the upper 20s and middle
30s.

This Weekend...

The forecast becomes rather complex this weekend. Low pressure
developing in the Tennessee Valley will be lifting northeast towards
the mid-Atlantic states. At the same time...northern stream energy
will be dropping another shot of arctic air into the Great Lakes.
The timing and amplitude of this shortwave energy will determine the
track of the low pressure system. FWIW the latest 00z guidance has
trended north with this low pressure system...particularly some of
the EPS/CMC ensembles. That being said...there was still significant
spread though among many of the individual ensembles. While plenty
of uncertainty remains...the trend was towards a greater risk for a
period of snow Sat night into Sun. However...the potential for more
northern solutions also introduces the risk for some ice/rain
getting involved especially south of I-90. We will need a few more
days to have a better idea on this potential...but certainly
something to watch in the next few days.

Monday and Tuesday...

Regardless of what happens this weekend...it appears that another
shot of arctic air with well below normal temperatures will move
into the region early next week. Highs probably will only be in the
20s to the lower 30s and perhaps even colder than that if the latest
00z ECMWF verifies.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...

Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

06z TAF Update...

Tonight through Tuesday... High Confidence.

Light northerly wind tonight becoming calm. Wind direction on
Tuesday starts out of the west less than 5 knots, becoming south-
southwest 8-12 knots after 15z. Lowering ceilings but still solidly
VFR thru the day.

Tuesday Night... Moderate Confidence.

VFR, lowering to MVFR/IFR, isolated to scattered snow and/or rain
showers possible after 00z through 06z, with minor accumulation on
runways less than an inch, especially across northern areas. Wind
from the southwest are gusting up to 15 knots over land and 25-30
knots over the coastal terminals.

Wednesday... Moderate Confidence.

Widespread precipitation arrives from W-E between 14 and 16z.
MVFR/IFR, perhaps areas of LIFR across interior MA. Areas of SN and
SHSN to start, turning to rain for most terminals by the afternoon.
Possible LLWS across interior and western MA by the afternoon.

KBOS Terminal...High Confidence in TAF.

KBDL Terminal...High Confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Wednesday Night through Saturday/...

Wednesday Night: Mainly IFR, with local MVFR possible. Windy
with gusts up to 35 kt. Chance SHRA, slight chance SHSN.

Thursday through Thursday Night: VFR. Windy with gusts up to
30 kt. Slight chance SHSN.

Friday: VFR. Windy with gusts up to 30 kt.

Friday Night: VFR. Breezy. Slight chance SHSN.

Saturday: VFR. Breezy. Chance SHRA, slight chance SHSN.

&&

.MARINE...

Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Today through Wednesday...High confidence.

Winds shift to the southwest this afternoon as high pressure
moves east of the region. Strong LLJ allows for SW wind gusts of
35 knots to develop late tonight with another round on
Wednesday. Therefore...Gale Watches have been issued for all
open waters late tonight into Wednesday. Long southwest fetch
should allow seas to build to between 6 and 12 feet across our
southern waters.

Outlook /Wednesday Night through Saturday/...

Wednesday Night: Low risk for gale force winds with gusts up to
35 kt. Areas of rough seas. Chance of rain showers. Areas of
visibility 1 to 3 nm.

Thursday: Moderate risk for gale force winds with gusts up to
35 kt. Areas of rough seas. Local visibility 1 to 3 nm.

Thursday Night: Moderate risk for gale force winds with gusts
up to 40 kt. Areas of rough seas. Slight chance of snow
showers.

Friday: Moderate risk for gale force winds with gusts up to
35 kt. Local rough seas.

Friday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Slight
chance of rain showers, slight chance of snow showers.

Saturday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 30 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of rain showers,
chance of snow showers.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 7 PM EST
     Wednesday for ANZ230-236.
     Gale Watch from late tonight through Wednesday evening for
     ANZ231>235-237-250-251-254>256.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Frank
NEAR TERM...FT
SHORT TERM...FT
LONG TERM...Frank
AVIATION...FT/Frank
MARINE...FT/Frank

Source: BOX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 9, 3:02 AM EST

----------------
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73
The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 5 Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Nov 30, 20:20z for portions of LIX

Sorry, product text is unavailable.

Source: The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 5 Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Nov 30, 20:20z for portions of LIX

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74
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 4, 9:07 PM CST ...New UPDATE...

025 
FXUS64 KMOB 050307
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
907 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

...New UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 907 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

  - Periods of heavy rain are expected through Saturday with the
    potential of localized flooding.
 
  - Sustained winds around 20 knots gusting to around 25 knots and
    seas 4-7 feet will gradually decrease throughout the night.
    The Small Craft Advisory is set to expire at Midnight.

  - There is a moderate risk of life threatening rip currents
    tonight through Friday night for the beaches of Alabama and
    the western Florida Panhandle.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 907 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Regional radar mosaic has been detecting decreasing rain coverage
and intensity throughout the early evening hours. This trend is
expected to continue overnight, and is supported by CAM guidance,
as mid/upper level lifting wanes. We are also seeing the back edge
of the precipitation shield now passing from southeast MS into
southwest AL. With this trend continuing, we updated the grids and
public products to indicate lower precipitation chances overnight
into Friday morning for both the land and marine areas, and
removed any mention of thunderstorms. No changes were required to
the remaining weather elements. /22

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1206 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

We are not going to complain about the much needed rain, but it
certainly is rather raw outside with a steady rain and
temperatures struggling to break out of the 50s. This will likely
be the case through most of the weekend as broad southwesterly
flow remains across the area and a parade of shortwave troughs
march through the eastern US. A stalled boundary will remain just
offshore through the next 48 to 72 hours allowing for a focus of
continued moderate to heavy rainfall across the entire area
through Sunday. Rain will likely come in waves as each passing
shortwave provides an influx of moisture and increased isentropic
ascent over the boundary leading to an overrunning stratiform
rain. A good portion of the area has already seen 1 to 3 inches of
rain from this first band of rainfall this morning. Looking at
NBM probabilities, areas mainly south and east of I-65 have about
a 30 to 50 percent chance of adding an additional 2+ inches
through Sunday to the rainfall total. This would give event total
rainfalls of around 3 to 5 inches mainly across South-Central
Alabama and the northwestern Florida Panhandle. While this is a
decent amount of rainfall, the steady and slow rates should not
result in any major flooding concerns across the area and most of
the rain will be rather beneficial to our ongoing drought
conditions. The only locations that could see some minor nuisance
flooding would be the immediate coastal communities and poor
drainage metro areas of Mobile and Pensacola and even then it will
mostly be some ponding on roadways.

By Sunday afternoon into the evening, the final shortwave should
be enough to push enough dry air into the area to give us a bit of
a respite from the dreary cold rain. Southwesterly flow aloft
will become more westerly by midweek as another weak shortwave
moves through mid-week. Expect a drier and warmer pattern by the
end of the week. Without any deep northwesterly flow, temperatures
will basically hover in the 60s for highs and 40s for lows
Wednesday through Friday.

BB-8

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 530 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

High coverage of rain is expected through the evening hours, then
coverage diminishes from west to east late tonight. Predominately
LIFR ceilings/MVFR visibilities are forecast for tonight into
Friday morning, with ceilings improving slightly to IFR levels by
late morning through the afternoon hours. Primarily east winds
5-10 knots, switch to a northerly direction by late tonight. /22

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1206 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Moderate to strong northeast to east winds this morning will
increase to strong this afternoon as an inverted surface trough
advances from the western Gulf to the north central Gulf. A Small
Craft Advisory has been issued through tonight. A moderate onshore
flow is likely over the Gulf tonight as a surface low and warm
front lift north toward the Florida Panhandle, while winds remain
northeasterly to easterly over the bays and sounds. Winds will
then shift northerly on Friday in the wake of the departing low
pressure area.

BB-8

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      46  55  47  57 /  80  70  70  90
Pensacola   51  60  52  59 /  80  80  80  90
Destin      52  64  52  61 /  80  80  70  90
Evergreen   43  56  44  57 /  90  70  70  80
Waynesboro  40  51  41  55 /  90  40  60  60
Camden      40  52  41  53 /  90  50  60  70
Crestview   45  60  47  57 /  80  80  80  90

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until midnight CST tonight for GMZ650-655-
     670-675.

&&

$$

Source: MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 4, 9:07 PM CST ...New UPDATE...

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75
2 NE Wheeling [Ohio Co, WV] Trained Spotter reports Snow of 7.00 Inch at 1:34 AM EST -- Spotter stated that it was still snowing at the time.

530 
NWUS51 KPBZ 140849
LSRPBZ

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
349 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0134 AM     Snow             2 NE Wheeling           40.09N 80.67W
12/14/2025  M7.0 Inch        Ohio               WV   Trained Spotter 

            Spotter stated that it was still snowing at
            the time.


&&

$$

LL

Source: 2 NE Wheeling [Ohio Co, WV] Trained Spotter reports Snow of 7.00 Inch at 1:34 AM EST -- Spotter stated that it was still snowing at the time.

---------------
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76
CLE continues Lake Effect Snow Warning for Ashtabula Inland, Ashtabula Lakeshore, Cuyahoga, Geauga, Lake [OH] till Dec 15, 7:00 AM EST

646 
WWUS41 KCLE 140721
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
221 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025

OHZ029>031-036>038-047-140830-
/O.CAN.KCLE.WW.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-251214T1200Z/
Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-
Including the cities of Ashland, Cardington, Millersburg,
Killbuck, Wooster, Mansfield, Rittman, Orrville, Mount Vernon,
Mount Gilead, and Marion
221 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Impactful snow has ended.

$$

OHZ010-020-021-141530-
/O.UPG.KCLE.WW.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-251215T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KCLE.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-251215T1200Z/
Lorain-Medina-Summit-
Including the cities of Brunswick, North Ridgeville, Akron, Avon
Lake, Medina, Elyria, Wadsworth, and Lorain
221 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 4
  to 8 inches in the most persistent snow. Winds gusting as high as
  35 mph will produce blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Lorain, Medina, and Summit Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult due to slippery road
  conditions and poor visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Periodic snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per
  hour are expected through this early evening. The most persistent
  snow should affect northeastern Lorain, northern Medina, and
  central Summit Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and
Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all
travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com
for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.

&&

$$

OHZ011>014-089-141530-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-251215T1200Z/
Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Ashtabula Lakeshore-
Including the cities of Ashtabula, Orwell, Conneaut, Chesterland,
Mentor, Chardon, Willowick, Bainbridge, Painesville, Jefferson,
Willoughby, Burton, Wickliffe, Eastlake, Andover, Geneva, South
Russell, Roaming Shores, Middlefield, and Cleveland
221 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3
  to 7 inches in the most persistent snow. Winds gusting as high as
  35 mph will produce blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Ashtabula, Cuyahoga, Geauga, and Lake Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult due to slippery road
  conditions and poor visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Periodic snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per
  hour are expected through this evening. The most persistent snow
  in Cuyahoga County should impact eastern and southwestern portions
  of the county through this early evening.  Periods of heavy lake
  effect snow are expected in Lake, Geauga, and Ashtabula Counties
  through this evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and
Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all
travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com
for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.

&&

$$

OHZ022-141530-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-251215T1200Z/
Portage-
Including the cities of Ravenna, Kent, Streetsboro, and Aurora
221 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3
  to 7 inches in the most persistent snow.

* WHERE...Portage County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult due to slippery road
  conditions and poor visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Periodic snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per
  hour are expected through this early evening. The most persistent
  snow should target northern and southwestern Portage County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally
heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can
also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather,
visibility, and road conditions.

&&

$$

PAZ001>003-141530-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-251215T1200Z/
Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford-
Including the cities of Union City, Erie, Meadville, Corry,
Edinboro, and Titusville
221 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 4
  and 8 inches. Greatest accumulations expected in the higher
  terrain of southern Erie and northern Crawford Counties.

* WHERE...Crawford and Erie Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult due to slippery road
  conditions and poor visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Periodic snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per
  hour are expected through this evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania
Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel
restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for
the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.

&&

$$

OHZ023-141530-
/O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-251215T1200Z/
Trumbull-
Including the cities of Niles and Warren
221 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Periodic lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of
  2 to 5 inches.

* WHERE...Trumbull County.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions and periodic poor
  visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and
Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all
travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com
for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.

&&

$$

OHZ032-033-141530-
/O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-251215T0000Z/
Stark-Mahoning-
Including the cities of Austintown, Massillon, Alliance,
Youngstown, Canton, and Boardman
221 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Periodic lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of
  1 to 4 inches.

* WHERE...Mahoning and Stark Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions and periodic poor
  visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and
Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all
travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com
for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.

&&

$$

Jaszka

Source: CLE continues Lake Effect Snow Warning for Ashtabula Inland, Ashtabula Lakeshore, Cuyahoga, Geauga, Lake [OH] till Dec 15, 7:00 AM EST

---------------
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77
IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 10, 1:29 PM EST

048 
FXUS63 KIWX 101829
AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
129 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Colder air returns with 1-2" of lake effect snow possible this
  afternoon into tonight in northwest IN and southwest MI.

- 1-2" of light snow possible Thursday night, mainly south of
  US-30.

- More light snow is expected this weekend, along with very cold
  air. Wind chill values may drop below -10F Sunday morning.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 129 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

A trailing cold front, currently near the US 24 corridor as of 18z,
will continue southeast clearing the rest of our forecast area by
early this evening. Associated convergence under weakened
deformation will allow for light precipitation (rain changing to
light snow) to accompany this feature with little to no snow
accumulation.

Attention then turns to marginally favorable conditions for LES late
this afternoon into tonight as 850 mb delta T's push 20 in colder
northwest flow. The overall moisture quality and meager 5-6 kft
inversion heights doesn't really favor a sustained vigorous lake
response, though the cloud layer does reach into the DGZ for
localized 1-2" snows and minor travel impacts in favored nnw flow
snow belts.

Cold northwest flow will send a couple more clippers southeast
through the Midwest and Ohio Valley late this week into the weekend.
These appear to be your more classic clippers that have relatively
narrow snow swaths (2-5"). A model consensus favors the Thursday
night wave and heavier fgen snow to bypass just southwest of the
area, though still possibly clipping areas mainly southwest of US 30
with a quick 1-2" of snow. Still some wriggle room left for a slight
north or south tick. Another clipper then follows through Saturday
afternoon-night with additional snow chances, followed by LES and
sub-zero wind chills Sunday into Sunday night. This cold/wintry
pattern then finally breaks down next week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1211 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025

The primary surface cold front is working its way across
northern Indiana this afternoon with banding of light snow along
an associated low level fgen axis. This should produce most of
the snowfall within a 2-3 hour window at KSBN, while initially
more marginal low level temps at KFWA make snow accumulations
of less confidence. Radar imagery this afternoon is already
depicting a more dominant single band across southern Lake
Michigan, and this band is expected to shift eastward through
the remainder of the afternoon possibly affecting KSBN as early
as 21Z-22Z. Some of these lake effect snow showers could make it
to KFWA, but in a much weaker state, and see no reason to
deviate from previous mention of PROB30 from 01Z to 07Z. Lake
effect snow showers should diminish late tonight. Initial IFR
cigs should improve to lower end MVFR as winds shift to
northwest behind a cold front later this afternoon, with
additional MVFR cigs tonight as lake effect becomes dominant.
Currently expecting improvement to VFR low clouds at KFWA after
12Z, but lake effect processes should keep MVFR cigs at KSBN
into Thursday morning

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for LMZ043-046.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Steinwedel
AVIATION...Marsili

Source: IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 10, 1:29 PM EST

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78
1 SSW Monument Circle [Marion Co, IN] Broadcast Media reports Snow of 3.50 Inch at 5:10 PM EST --

681 
NWUS53 KIND 132211
LSRIND

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
511 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     Snow             1 SSW Monument Circle   39.75N 86.16W
12/13/2025  M3.5 Inch        Marion             IN   Broadcast Media 

             


&&

$$

Crosbie

Source: 1 SSW Monument Circle [Marion Co, IN] Broadcast Media reports Snow of 3.50 Inch at 5:10 PM EST --

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79
PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 11, 5:00 PM CST

399 
FXUS63 KPAH 112300
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
500 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- There is a chance of light snow this evening in southwest
  Indiana and portions of southern Illinois. Some accumulating
  snow is expected which may lead to slick spots on roads.
  Another round of light snow is possible on Saturday.

- Significantly colder air will spread across the region this weekend
  with the coldest temperatures Saturday night into Sunday.
  Dangerously cold wind chill values (below 0) and impactful air
  temperatures are likely.

- A warming trend commences next week, with highs rising back
  above normal by Wednesday. We may even reach 60 in some areas
  next Thursday.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 500 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

Updated Aviation discussion for 00Z TAF Issuance.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1253 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

A clipper system will slide southeast from the Central Plains into
the Wabash Valley through tonight. A band of light snow will develop
and pivot across portions of southern Illinois and southwest Indiana
from very late this afternoon through the evening. Most guidance
shows the band lifting northeast rather quickly, resulting in only a
few hour period of snow and likely will be largely done by midnight
or shortly thereafter.

No changes to the Winter Weather Advisory (only Pike County).
Buffered it with a Special Weather Statement for counties that could
see a dusting to an inch, resulting in scattered slick spots.
Continues to look like a rather sharp cutoff in snow accumulations
as is common with these clippers.

The next and probably more impactful weather for this forecast
package is the dangerously cold temperatures expected this weekend
as a 1045mb arctic high sinks south across the central CONUS. Air
temperatures likely will drop into the single digits in some areas
Saturday night and the entire region on Sunday night. Winds will be
strongest Saturday night into Sunday morning, resulting in wind
chills ranging from 0 to -10, and possibly as low as -15 in our far
north. We likely will need a Cold Weather Advisory for this period.
High temperatures will only be in the teens to low 20s on Sunday.

Thankfully the cold blast is short-lived, with southwest flow
returning early next week and temperatures back to near normal again
by Tuesday. Above normal temperatures are expected Wed-Thu, with
highs at least into the 50s and potentially even reaching 60 in some
areas by Thursday. Our next chance for precipitation may arrive
Tuesday night into Wednesday associated with warm air advection, but
looks very light if it materializes at all. A frontal passage may
occur later in the week, which could result in greater chances for
measurable rain.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 500 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025

Expect flight conditions to deteriorate tonight as a clipper
makes its approach and passage. CIGS will degrade thru MVFR at
northern terminals (KMVN/KEVV/KOWB) while southern terminals
(KCGI/KPAH) retain mostly VFR bases. -SHSN are possible north,
where isolated heavier showers may degrade CIGS to IFR and VSBYS
to MVFR prevailing and offer a chance of IFR potential. The
window for snow will be short-lived, but restricted bases will
persist thru the remainder of the forecast north, while
restricted bases SCT south.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST Friday for INZ082.
KY...None.

&&

$$

Source: PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 11, 5:00 PM CST

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80
Palmyra [Harrison Co, IN] Public reports Snow of 0.50 Inch at 13 Dec, 8:01 PM EST -- On Social Media.

205 
NWUS53 KLMK 140255
LSRLMK

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
955 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0801 PM     Snow             Palmyra                 38.41N 86.11W
12/13/2025  E0.5 Inch        Harrison           IN   Public           

            On Social Media.


&&

$$

BJS

Source: Palmyra [Harrison Co, IN] Public reports Snow of 0.50 Inch at 13 Dec, 8:01 PM EST -- On Social Media.

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