ThreatWeb

966 
FLUS41 KILN 090405
HWOILN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1205 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-
080-082-100900-
Wayne-Fayette-Union-Franklin-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-
Logan-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-Licking-Preble-
Montgomery-Greene-Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-
Hocking-Highland-Pike-
1205 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Indiana, 
southeast Indiana, central Ohio, south central Ohio, southwest Ohio 
and west central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Temperatures will dip into the 30s tonight into early Friday 
morning. With light winds and calm winds also expected, areas of 
frost will be possible, especially in rural and sheltered locations.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ077>079-081-088-100900-
Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-
Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hamilton-
Clermont-Brown-Adams-Scioto-
1205 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Indiana, northeast 
Kentucky, northern Kentucky, south central Ohio and southwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

344 
CDUS41 KBOX 110531
CLIBDL

CLIMATE REPORT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA
131 AM EDT SAT OCT 11 2025

...................................

...THE HARTFORD CT CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 10 2025...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1904 TO 2025


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST      
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                          
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         62    309 PM  89    1939  66     -4       62       
                                      1949                           
  MINIMUM         29R   552 AM  29    1989  44    -15       47       
  AVERAGE         46                        55     -9       55     

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                    
  YESTERDAY        0.00          2.67 1971   0.16  -0.16     0.00     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.49                      1.57  -1.08     0.15     
  SINCE SEP 1      3.89                      5.96  -2.07     0.80     
  SINCE JAN 1     37.20                     36.51   0.69    38.92     

SNOWFALL (IN)                                                              
  YESTERDAY        0.0           1.7  1979   0.0    0.0      0.0      
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0      
  SINCE SEP 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0      
  SINCE JUL 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0      
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 

DEGREE DAYS                                                           
 HEATING                                                              
  YESTERDAY       19                        10      9       10        
  MONTH TO DATE   75                        87    -12       33        
  SINCE SEP 1    114                       180    -66       55        
  SINCE JUL 1    133                       188    -55       55        

 COOLING                                                              
  YESTERDAY        0                         0      0        0        
  MONTH TO DATE   15                         4     11        2        
  SINCE SEP 1     81                        90     -9       89        
  SINCE JAN 1    852                       815     37     1167        
...................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                            
  RESULTANT WIND SPEED   3   RESULTANT WIND DIRECTION   S (190)       
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    15   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     S (200)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    20   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    SW (220)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     4.7                                        


SKY COVER                                                             
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM                                                 
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.2                                                 


WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                    
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                         
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                                  


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    96           600 AM                                      
 LOWEST     34           100 PM                                      
 AVERAGE    65                                                        

..........................................................


THE HARTFORD CT CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   65        85      1949                      
                                             1955                     
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   44        25      1956                      
                                             1993                     


SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                    
OCTOBER 11 2025.......SUNRISE   659 AM EDT   SUNSET   615 PM EDT     
OCTOBER 12 2025.......SUNRISE   700 AM EDT   SUNSET   614 PM EDT     


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$

697 
WTNT35 KNHC 081142
TCPAT5
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Jerry Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102025
800 AM AST Wed Oct 08 2025
 
...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING JERRY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.3N 51.6W
ABOUT 835 MI...1345 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, and Anguilla
* St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat
* St. Barthelemy and St. Martin
* Sint Maarten
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* Guadeloupe and the adjacent islands
 
Interests elsewhere in the northern Leeward Islands and the
British and U.S. Virgin Islands should monitor the progress of
Jerry.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jerry was
located near latitude 13.3 North, longitude 51.6 West.  Jerry is
moving toward the west-northwest near 23 mph (37 km/h).  This 
general motion is expected to continue with a decrease in forward 
speed during the next couple of days, followed by a turn toward the 
north-northwest and north beginning on Friday. On the forecast 
track, the core of the system is expected to be near or to the 
north of the northern Leeward Islands late Thursday and Friday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Strengthening is expected during the next few days, and Jerry is 
forecast to become a hurricane on Thursday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Jerry can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header
WTNT45 KNHC.
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible in portions of the
northern Leeward Islands within the watch area late Thursday into
Friday.
 
RAINFALL: On Thursday into early Friday, 2 to 4 inches of rain are
expected across the Leeward Islands due to Jerry. This rainfall
brings a risk of flash flooding, especially in areas of higher
terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Jerry, please see the National Weather Service
Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf
 
SURF: Swells generated by Jerry are expected to reach the Leeward
and Windward Islands on Thursday, then spread westward toward the
Greater Antilles on Friday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Berg

652 
CDUS41 KCLE 110701
CLIMFD

CLIMATE REPORT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND, OH
301 AM EDT SAT OCT 11 2025

...................................

...THE MANSFIELD OH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 10 2025...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1916 TO 2025


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST      
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                          
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         67    408 PM  85    2010  65      2       63       
  MINIMUM         36    646 AM  22    1956  45     -9       40       
  AVERAGE         52                        55     -3       52     

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                    
  YESTERDAY        0.00                      0.10  -0.10     0.00     
  MONTH TO DATE    1.20                      1.03   0.17     0.12     
  SINCE SEP 1      3.21                      4.39  -1.18     2.76     
  SINCE JAN 1     34.62                     34.19   0.43    26.18     

SNOWFALL (IN)                                                              
  YESTERDAY        0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0      
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0      
  SINCE SEP 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0      
  SINCE JUL 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0      
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 

DEGREE DAYS                                                           
 HEATING                                                              
  YESTERDAY       13                        10      3       13        
  MONTH TO DATE   47                        88    -41       53        
  SINCE SEP 1     85                       188   -103       80        
  SINCE JUL 1    127                       204    -77       97        

 COOLING                                                              
  YESTERDAY        0                         1     -1        0        
  MONTH TO DATE   14                        10      4        6        
  SINCE SEP 1     86                        91     -5      135        
  SINCE JAN 1    825                       748     77      991        
...................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                            
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    16   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     S (190)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    23   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     S (200)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     6.3                                        


SKY COVER                                                             
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM                                                 
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.0                                                 


WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                    
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                         
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                                  


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    97           300 AM                                      
 LOWEST     34           300 PM                                      
 AVERAGE    66                                                        

..........................................................


THE MANSFIELD OH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   65        89      1928                      
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   45        23      1964                      


SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                    
OCTOBER 11 2025.......SUNRISE   737 AM EDT   SUNSET   655 PM EDT     
OCTOBER 12 2025.......SUNRISE   738 AM EDT   SUNSET   654 PM EDT     


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$

316 
FXUS63 KIND 101026
AFDIND

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
626 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Patchy frost this morning across the northern half of central 
  Indiana

- Continued dry weather expected through the next week, along with 
  mild days and cool nights.

&&

.SHORT TERM (Today and tonight)...
Issued at 307 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Main focus for the short term is on a cold front passing through the 
area tonight.

Temperatures this morning have fallen as low as the mid 30s in a few 
spots, primarily northwest in typical cool spots. A few other 
portions of the northern forecast area will get down to the upper 
30s as well, and will keep frost advisory as is, though coverage 
will likely be patchy at best in most areas.

Ample sunshine and winds becoming southerly today should drive 
temperatures at least a few degrees above persistence into the upper 
60s to low 70s, and this may still be a bit too cool depending upon 
thickness of mid and high cloud as it arrives later in the day.

The cold front is poised to push through the area tonight into 
Saturday morning, though any forcing associated with the compact 
upper low accompanying it will be displaced to the north/northeast 
of the area. Additionally, forecast soundings are extremely dry 
below about 5-8kft, with dewpoint depressions in that layer as high 
as 15-20 degrees C - such that even a sprinkle mention seems 
excessive, though certainly a drop or two here or there wouldn't be 
a complete shock. Will go with a dry forecast nonetheless, with 
partly to mostly cloudy skies overnight the most likely outcome with 
ample mid level cloud expected.

This cloud cover will keep lows tonight up substantially over this 
morning's readings, despite the frontal passage, though guidance is 
likely under representing the degree to which the dry ground will 
allow cooling, especially early in the evening before the thicker 
cloud cover arrives, and have nudged down to the upper 40s most 
areas, with lows around 50 in the Indy metro and near Vincennes.

&&

.LONG TERM (Saturday through Thursday)...
Issued at 307 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

High pressure at the surface and aloft will continue to be the 
dominant features throughout the vast majority of the long term 
period, and as a result, a fairly stable forecast of prolonged dry 
weather, mostly clear skies, and mostly near to slightly above 
normal high temperatures, and near to slightly below normal low 
temperatures can be expected.

The ongoing/intensifying drought and associated dry ground, along 
with a lack of significant moisture transport into the area, will 
continue to promote exaggerated diurnal ranges over those that might 
otherwise be expected, and have blended in the higher/lower end of 
the guidance envelope for the max/min temperatures respectively to 
account for this, as well as blending in MOS/NBM 10th percentile on 
surface dewpoints.

Heights across the area look to be maximized early next week, and 
this will likely be the warmest period of the forecast, with highs 
well into the 70s across the area, and an outside shot at an 80 
degree reading or two, primarily in the southwest.

&&

.AVIATION (12Z TAF Issuance)...
Issued at 626 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Impacts:

- Brief morning fog at HUF

Discussion:

High pressure will generally keep skies clear and winds below 10KT 
through much of today. Some early morning fog at HUF will mix out 
quickly after valid time, with VFR conditions the remainder of the 
period.

A dry cold front will bring increasing mid and high cloud tonight, 
with winds becoming northwesterly late in the period, but quite 
light.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for INZ021-028>031-
035>049-051-052-057.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Nield
LONG TERM...Nield
AVIATION...Nield