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Belleville service hub for those struggling with addiction, homelessness to open in 2026 Work is underway to transform a former banquet hall in Belleville, Ont., into a 22-hour-a-day support hub for some of the region's most vulnerable residents. Source: Belleville service hub for those struggling with addiction, homelessness to open in 2026----------------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
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BOX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 9, 3:02 AM EST559 FXUS61 KBOX 090802 AFDBOX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 302 AM EST Tue Dec 9 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
After a frigid start early this morning...a ridge of high pressure will result in dry weather but high temperatures still well below normal today. A moisture starved shortwave crosses the region tonight with a period of mainly scattered light snow showers. A more significant disturbance brings much milder temperatures and a period of mainly rain Wednesday afternoon and evening with any snow confined to the highest terrain of the Berkshires and northern Worcester Hills. A cold front crosses the region later Wednesday night...bringing mainly dry, but blustery and cold weather returning Thursday into Friday. Low pressure may bring snow with even some ice/rain to the region Saturday night into Sunday depending on its track. This will be followed by another shot of arctic air and well below normal temperatures early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Key Messages...
* Dry & unseasonably cold today
Details...
Today...
A cold albeit quiet and dry day setting up for Tuesday. A clear cold start will give way to increasing mid and high level clouds as a weak mid-level disturbance begins to approach from the Great Lakes. Arctic high pressure moves offshore resulting in an increasing return flow and mid-level warming. Guidance shows 850mb temps increasing from -15C in the morning to -9C or so by the afternoon. Will be a cold day with temps rising from the single digits to the teens and lower 20s by the afternoon. Winds will become southerly then eventually southwesterly by the afternoon as WAA increases.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
Key Messages...
* Scattered light snow showers tonight with accumulations mainly a dusting to less than 1 inch
* Stronger disturbance arrives from the Great Lakes Wednesday afternoon w/ rain and accumulating elevation snow possible.
Tonight...
Increasing mid-level frontogenesis under an upper level impulse will bring a brief period of showery precipitation from west to east between 02-06z. Expecting negligible snow totals (dusting to an inch) across the interior as the precipitation will have to overcome a fairly deep layer of drier air. Rain showers more likely S of I-95 as temps warm near or above freezing. Overall a low impact event that will last for only a few hours. Still, there could be slick spots as partial clearing cools temps down a few degrees late Tuesday night.
Wednesday...
A stronger clipper disturbance approaches from the Great Lakes Wednesday morning. Precip should start as a period of snow between 14-16z north of route 202 in northern Massachusetts. Elsewhere, the temperatures will likely yield rain as the region finds itself in the system's warm sector. Temperatures may actually be somewhat mild SE of I-95 as highs approach 50. Expecting generally light QPF with the NBM advertising up to 0.5". Best chance for accumulating snow will be in the elevated terrain of northern Mass where event totals 1-3 inches are possible. Widespread precipitation shuts down later Wednesday afternoon as a dry slot develops. A few lingering rain showers in the Berkshires change back over to snow behind a cold front Wednesday night.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Key Messages...
* Lingering showers/highest terrain snow showers depart Wed evening
* Cold and windy Thu with continued cold weather Fri...Highs in the upper 20s/30s with dry weather outside a brief spot snow shower
* Low pressure may bring snow or even some ice/rain to the region Sat night into Sun depending on its track which remains uncertain
* Another shot of arctic air Mon into Tue with unseasonably cold highs in the 20s to the lower 30s and mainly dry weather
Details...
Wednesday night...
Intensifying low pressure moves eastward along the northern New England and Quebec border Wednesday night...dragging a cold front across our region. Lingering rain showers with any snow showers confined to the highest terrain of the Berks/northern Worcester Hills will come to an end Wednesday evening. It will turn rather blustery behind this cold front later Wednesday night with increasing west winds. Overnight low temps should mainly be in the 25 to 35 degree range with the mildest of those readings near and southeast of the I-95 corridor.
Thursday...
Windy and colder weather returns to the region on Thursday. Strong cold advection will result in 850T dropping to between -13C/-14c. This should result in steady or slowly falling temperatures with afternoon temperatures mainly in the upper 20s to the middle 30s. Bufkit indicates excellent mixing which should yield westerly wind gusts of 25 to 40 mph. This will result in afternoon wind chill values mainly in the teens to the lower 20s.
Dry weather should generally prevail...but given cold westerly flow some remnant lake effect moisture may result in a brief spot snow shower/flurry or two.
Thursday night and Friday...
Strong low pressure just east of the Canadian Maritimes will continue to generate a blustery westerly flow of dry but cold air into southern New England. Lows Thu night will mainly be in the teens to the middle 20s with highs Fri in the upper 20s and middle 30s.
This Weekend...
The forecast becomes rather complex this weekend. Low pressure developing in the Tennessee Valley will be lifting northeast towards the mid-Atlantic states. At the same time...northern stream energy will be dropping another shot of arctic air into the Great Lakes. The timing and amplitude of this shortwave energy will determine the track of the low pressure system. FWIW the latest 00z guidance has trended north with this low pressure system...particularly some of the EPS/CMC ensembles. That being said...there was still significant spread though among many of the individual ensembles. While plenty of uncertainty remains...the trend was towards a greater risk for a period of snow Sat night into Sun. However...the potential for more northern solutions also introduces the risk for some ice/rain getting involved especially south of I-90. We will need a few more days to have a better idea on this potential...but certainly something to watch in the next few days.
Monday and Tuesday...
Regardless of what happens this weekend...it appears that another shot of arctic air with well below normal temperatures will move into the region early next week. Highs probably will only be in the 20s to the lower 30s and perhaps even colder than that if the latest 00z ECMWF verifies.
&&
.AVIATION /07Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...
Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent.
06z TAF Update...
Tonight through Tuesday... High Confidence.
Light northerly wind tonight becoming calm. Wind direction on Tuesday starts out of the west less than 5 knots, becoming south- southwest 8-12 knots after 15z. Lowering ceilings but still solidly VFR thru the day.
Tuesday Night... Moderate Confidence.
VFR, lowering to MVFR/IFR, isolated to scattered snow and/or rain showers possible after 00z through 06z, with minor accumulation on runways less than an inch, especially across northern areas. Wind from the southwest are gusting up to 15 knots over land and 25-30 knots over the coastal terminals.
Wednesday... Moderate Confidence.
Widespread precipitation arrives from W-E between 14 and 16z. MVFR/IFR, perhaps areas of LIFR across interior MA. Areas of SN and SHSN to start, turning to rain for most terminals by the afternoon. Possible LLWS across interior and western MA by the afternoon.
KBOS Terminal...High Confidence in TAF.
KBDL Terminal...High Confidence in TAF.
Outlook /Wednesday Night through Saturday/...
Wednesday Night: Mainly IFR, with local MVFR possible. Windy with gusts up to 35 kt. Chance SHRA, slight chance SHSN.
Thursday through Thursday Night: VFR. Windy with gusts up to 30 kt. Slight chance SHSN.
Friday: VFR. Windy with gusts up to 30 kt.
Friday Night: VFR. Breezy. Slight chance SHSN.
Saturday: VFR. Breezy. Chance SHRA, slight chance SHSN.
&&
.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...
Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent.
Today through Wednesday...High confidence.
Winds shift to the southwest this afternoon as high pressure moves east of the region. Strong LLJ allows for SW wind gusts of 35 knots to develop late tonight with another round on Wednesday. Therefore...Gale Watches have been issued for all open waters late tonight into Wednesday. Long southwest fetch should allow seas to build to between 6 and 12 feet across our southern waters.
Outlook /Wednesday Night through Saturday/...
Wednesday Night: Low risk for gale force winds with gusts up to 35 kt. Areas of rough seas. Chance of rain showers. Areas of visibility 1 to 3 nm.
Thursday: Moderate risk for gale force winds with gusts up to 35 kt. Areas of rough seas. Local visibility 1 to 3 nm.
Thursday Night: Moderate risk for gale force winds with gusts up to 40 kt. Areas of rough seas. Slight chance of snow showers.
Friday: Moderate risk for gale force winds with gusts up to 35 kt. Local rough seas.
Friday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Slight chance of rain showers, slight chance of snow showers.
Saturday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of rain showers, chance of snow showers.
&&
.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...None. MA...None. RI...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Wednesday for ANZ230-236. Gale Watch from late tonight through Wednesday evening for ANZ231>235-237-250-251-254>256.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Frank NEAR TERM...FT SHORT TERM...FT LONG TERM...Frank AVIATION...FT/Frank MARINE...FT/Frank
Source: BOX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 9, 3:02 AM EST---------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
73
The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 5 Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Nov 30, 20:20z for portions of LIXSorry, product text is unavailable. Source: The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 5 Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Nov 30, 20:20z for portions of LIX--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
74
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 4, 9:07 PM CST ...New UPDATE...025 FXUS64 KMOB 050307 AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 907 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025
...New UPDATE...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 907 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025
- Periods of heavy rain are expected through Saturday with the potential of localized flooding. - Sustained winds around 20 knots gusting to around 25 knots and seas 4-7 feet will gradually decrease throughout the night. The Small Craft Advisory is set to expire at Midnight.
- There is a moderate risk of life threatening rip currents tonight through Friday night for the beaches of Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle.
&&
.UPDATE... Issued at 907 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025
Regional radar mosaic has been detecting decreasing rain coverage and intensity throughout the early evening hours. This trend is expected to continue overnight, and is supported by CAM guidance, as mid/upper level lifting wanes. We are also seeing the back edge of the precipitation shield now passing from southeast MS into southwest AL. With this trend continuing, we updated the grids and public products to indicate lower precipitation chances overnight into Friday morning for both the land and marine areas, and removed any mention of thunderstorms. No changes were required to the remaining weather elements. /22
&&
.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1206 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025
We are not going to complain about the much needed rain, but it certainly is rather raw outside with a steady rain and temperatures struggling to break out of the 50s. This will likely be the case through most of the weekend as broad southwesterly flow remains across the area and a parade of shortwave troughs march through the eastern US. A stalled boundary will remain just offshore through the next 48 to 72 hours allowing for a focus of continued moderate to heavy rainfall across the entire area through Sunday. Rain will likely come in waves as each passing shortwave provides an influx of moisture and increased isentropic ascent over the boundary leading to an overrunning stratiform rain. A good portion of the area has already seen 1 to 3 inches of rain from this first band of rainfall this morning. Looking at NBM probabilities, areas mainly south and east of I-65 have about a 30 to 50 percent chance of adding an additional 2+ inches through Sunday to the rainfall total. This would give event total rainfalls of around 3 to 5 inches mainly across South-Central Alabama and the northwestern Florida Panhandle. While this is a decent amount of rainfall, the steady and slow rates should not result in any major flooding concerns across the area and most of the rain will be rather beneficial to our ongoing drought conditions. The only locations that could see some minor nuisance flooding would be the immediate coastal communities and poor drainage metro areas of Mobile and Pensacola and even then it will mostly be some ponding on roadways.
By Sunday afternoon into the evening, the final shortwave should be enough to push enough dry air into the area to give us a bit of a respite from the dreary cold rain. Southwesterly flow aloft will become more westerly by midweek as another weak shortwave moves through mid-week. Expect a drier and warmer pattern by the end of the week. Without any deep northwesterly flow, temperatures will basically hover in the 60s for highs and 40s for lows Wednesday through Friday.
BB-8
&&
.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 530 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025
High coverage of rain is expected through the evening hours, then coverage diminishes from west to east late tonight. Predominately LIFR ceilings/MVFR visibilities are forecast for tonight into Friday morning, with ceilings improving slightly to IFR levels by late morning through the afternoon hours. Primarily east winds 5-10 knots, switch to a northerly direction by late tonight. /22
&&
.MARINE... Issued at 1206 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025
Moderate to strong northeast to east winds this morning will increase to strong this afternoon as an inverted surface trough advances from the western Gulf to the north central Gulf. A Small Craft Advisory has been issued through tonight. A moderate onshore flow is likely over the Gulf tonight as a surface low and warm front lift north toward the Florida Panhandle, while winds remain northeasterly to easterly over the bays and sounds. Winds will then shift northerly on Friday in the wake of the departing low pressure area.
BB-8
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 46 55 47 57 / 80 70 70 90 Pensacola 51 60 52 59 / 80 80 80 90 Destin 52 64 52 61 / 80 80 70 90 Evergreen 43 56 44 57 / 90 70 70 80 Waynesboro 40 51 41 55 / 90 40 60 60 Camden 40 52 41 53 / 90 50 60 70 Crestview 45 60 47 57 / 80 80 80 90
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until midnight CST tonight for GMZ650-655- 670-675.
&&
$$
Source: MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 4, 9:07 PM CST ...New UPDATE...--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
75
2 NE Wheeling [Ohio Co, WV] Trained Spotter reports Snow of 7.00 Inch at 1:34 AM EST -- Spotter stated that it was still snowing at the time.530 NWUS51 KPBZ 140849 LSRPBZ
Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 349 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS..
0134 AM Snow 2 NE Wheeling 40.09N 80.67W 12/14/2025 M7.0 Inch Ohio WV Trained Spotter
Spotter stated that it was still snowing at the time.
&&
$$
LL
Source: 2 NE Wheeling [Ohio Co, WV] Trained Spotter reports Snow of 7.00 Inch at 1:34 AM EST -- Spotter stated that it was still snowing at the time.--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
76
CLE continues Lake Effect Snow Warning for Ashtabula Inland, Ashtabula Lakeshore, Cuyahoga, Geauga, Lake [OH] till Dec 15, 7:00 AM EST646 WWUS41 KCLE 140721 WSWCLE
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 221 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025
OHZ029>031-036>038-047-140830- /O.CAN.KCLE.WW.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-251214T1200Z/ Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox- Including the cities of Ashland, Cardington, Millersburg, Killbuck, Wooster, Mansfield, Rittman, Orrville, Mount Vernon, Mount Gilead, and Marion 221 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
Impactful snow has ended.
$$
OHZ010-020-021-141530- /O.UPG.KCLE.WW.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-251215T1200Z/ /O.EXA.KCLE.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-251215T1200Z/ Lorain-Medina-Summit- Including the cities of Brunswick, North Ridgeville, Akron, Avon Lake, Medina, Elyria, Wadsworth, and Lorain 221 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...
* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches in the most persistent snow. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will produce blowing and drifting snow.
* WHERE...Lorain, Medina, and Summit Counties.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult due to slippery road conditions and poor visibility.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Periodic snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour are expected through this early evening. The most persistent snow should affect northeastern Lorain, northern Medina, and central Summit Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.
The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.
&&
$$
OHZ011>014-089-141530- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-251215T1200Z/ Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Ashtabula Lakeshore- Including the cities of Ashtabula, Orwell, Conneaut, Chesterland, Mentor, Chardon, Willowick, Bainbridge, Painesville, Jefferson, Willoughby, Burton, Wickliffe, Eastlake, Andover, Geneva, South Russell, Roaming Shores, Middlefield, and Cleveland 221 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...
* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 7 inches in the most persistent snow. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will produce blowing and drifting snow.
* WHERE...Ashtabula, Cuyahoga, Geauga, and Lake Counties.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult due to slippery road conditions and poor visibility.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Periodic snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour are expected through this evening. The most persistent snow in Cuyahoga County should impact eastern and southwestern portions of the county through this early evening. Periods of heavy lake effect snow are expected in Lake, Geauga, and Ashtabula Counties through this evening.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.
The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.
&&
$$
OHZ022-141530- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-251215T1200Z/ Portage- Including the cities of Ravenna, Kent, Streetsboro, and Aurora 221 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...
* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 3 to 7 inches in the most persistent snow.
* WHERE...Portage County.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult due to slippery road conditions and poor visibility.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Periodic snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour are expected through this early evening. The most persistent snow should target northern and southwestern Portage County.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.
During lake effect snow, the weather can vary from bands of locally heavy snow to dry weather just a few miles away. Visibilities can also vary greatly. Be prepared for rapid changes in weather, visibility, and road conditions.
&&
$$
PAZ001>003-141530- /O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0007.000000T0000Z-251215T1200Z/ Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford- Including the cities of Union City, Erie, Meadville, Corry, Edinboro, and Titusville 221 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...
* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 4 and 8 inches. Greatest accumulations expected in the higher terrain of southern Erie and northern Crawford Counties.
* WHERE...Crawford and Erie Counties.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult due to slippery road conditions and poor visibility.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Periodic snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour are expected through this evening.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.
The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.
&&
$$
OHZ023-141530- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-251215T1200Z/ Trumbull- Including the cities of Niles and Warren 221 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...
* WHAT...Periodic lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches.
* WHERE...Trumbull County.
* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.
* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions and periodic poor visibility.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Slow down and use caution while traveling.
The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.
&&
$$
OHZ032-033-141530- /O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-251215T0000Z/ Stark-Mahoning- Including the cities of Austintown, Massillon, Alliance, Youngstown, Canton, and Boardman 221 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
* WHAT...Periodic lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 4 inches.
* WHERE...Mahoning and Stark Counties.
* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.
* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions and periodic poor visibility.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Slow down and use caution while traveling.
The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.
&&
$$
Jaszka
Source: CLE continues Lake Effect Snow Warning for Ashtabula Inland, Ashtabula Lakeshore, Cuyahoga, Geauga, Lake [OH] till Dec 15, 7:00 AM EST--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
77
IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 10, 1:29 PM EST048 FXUS63 KIWX 101829 AFDIWX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 129 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Colder air returns with 1-2" of lake effect snow possible this afternoon into tonight in northwest IN and southwest MI.
- 1-2" of light snow possible Thursday night, mainly south of US-30.
- More light snow is expected this weekend, along with very cold air. Wind chill values may drop below -10F Sunday morning.
&&
.DISCUSSION... Issued at 129 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025
A trailing cold front, currently near the US 24 corridor as of 18z, will continue southeast clearing the rest of our forecast area by early this evening. Associated convergence under weakened deformation will allow for light precipitation (rain changing to light snow) to accompany this feature with little to no snow accumulation.
Attention then turns to marginally favorable conditions for LES late this afternoon into tonight as 850 mb delta T's push 20 in colder northwest flow. The overall moisture quality and meager 5-6 kft inversion heights doesn't really favor a sustained vigorous lake response, though the cloud layer does reach into the DGZ for localized 1-2" snows and minor travel impacts in favored nnw flow snow belts.
Cold northwest flow will send a couple more clippers southeast through the Midwest and Ohio Valley late this week into the weekend. These appear to be your more classic clippers that have relatively narrow snow swaths (2-5"). A model consensus favors the Thursday night wave and heavier fgen snow to bypass just southwest of the area, though still possibly clipping areas mainly southwest of US 30 with a quick 1-2" of snow. Still some wriggle room left for a slight north or south tick. Another clipper then follows through Saturday afternoon-night with additional snow chances, followed by LES and sub-zero wind chills Sunday into Sunday night. This cold/wintry pattern then finally breaks down next week.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 1211 PM EST Wed Dec 10 2025
The primary surface cold front is working its way across northern Indiana this afternoon with banding of light snow along an associated low level fgen axis. This should produce most of the snowfall within a 2-3 hour window at KSBN, while initially more marginal low level temps at KFWA make snow accumulations of less confidence. Radar imagery this afternoon is already depicting a more dominant single band across southern Lake Michigan, and this band is expected to shift eastward through the remainder of the afternoon possibly affecting KSBN as early as 21Z-22Z. Some of these lake effect snow showers could make it to KFWA, but in a much weaker state, and see no reason to deviate from previous mention of PROB30 from 01Z to 07Z. Lake effect snow showers should diminish late tonight. Initial IFR cigs should improve to lower end MVFR as winds shift to northwest behind a cold front later this afternoon, with additional MVFR cigs tonight as lake effect becomes dominant. Currently expecting improvement to VFR low clouds at KFWA after 12Z, but lake effect processes should keep MVFR cigs at KSBN into Thursday morning
&&
.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...None. OH...None. MI...None. MARINE...Gale Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for LMZ043-046.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Steinwedel AVIATION...Marsili
Source: IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 10, 1:29 PM EST--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
78
1 SSW Monument Circle [Marion Co, IN] Broadcast Media reports Snow of 3.50 Inch at 5:10 PM EST --681 NWUS53 KIND 132211 LSRIND
Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 511 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS..
0510 PM Snow 1 SSW Monument Circle 39.75N 86.16W 12/13/2025 M3.5 Inch Marion IN Broadcast Media
&&
$$
Crosbie
Source: 1 SSW Monument Circle [Marion Co, IN] Broadcast Media reports Snow of 3.50 Inch at 5:10 PM EST ----------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
79
PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 11, 5:00 PM CST399 FXUS63 KPAH 112300 AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 500 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- There is a chance of light snow this evening in southwest Indiana and portions of southern Illinois. Some accumulating snow is expected which may lead to slick spots on roads. Another round of light snow is possible on Saturday.
- Significantly colder air will spread across the region this weekend with the coldest temperatures Saturday night into Sunday. Dangerously cold wind chill values (below 0) and impactful air temperatures are likely.
- A warming trend commences next week, with highs rising back above normal by Wednesday. We may even reach 60 in some areas next Thursday.
&&
.UPDATE... Issued at 500 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025
Updated Aviation discussion for 00Z TAF Issuance.
&&
.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1253 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025
A clipper system will slide southeast from the Central Plains into the Wabash Valley through tonight. A band of light snow will develop and pivot across portions of southern Illinois and southwest Indiana from very late this afternoon through the evening. Most guidance shows the band lifting northeast rather quickly, resulting in only a few hour period of snow and likely will be largely done by midnight or shortly thereafter.
No changes to the Winter Weather Advisory (only Pike County). Buffered it with a Special Weather Statement for counties that could see a dusting to an inch, resulting in scattered slick spots. Continues to look like a rather sharp cutoff in snow accumulations as is common with these clippers.
The next and probably more impactful weather for this forecast package is the dangerously cold temperatures expected this weekend as a 1045mb arctic high sinks south across the central CONUS. Air temperatures likely will drop into the single digits in some areas Saturday night and the entire region on Sunday night. Winds will be strongest Saturday night into Sunday morning, resulting in wind chills ranging from 0 to -10, and possibly as low as -15 in our far north. We likely will need a Cold Weather Advisory for this period. High temperatures will only be in the teens to low 20s on Sunday.
Thankfully the cold blast is short-lived, with southwest flow returning early next week and temperatures back to near normal again by Tuesday. Above normal temperatures are expected Wed-Thu, with highs at least into the 50s and potentially even reaching 60 in some areas by Thursday. Our next chance for precipitation may arrive Tuesday night into Wednesday associated with warm air advection, but looks very light if it materializes at all. A frontal passage may occur later in the week, which could result in greater chances for measurable rain.
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.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 500 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025
Expect flight conditions to deteriorate tonight as a clipper makes its approach and passage. CIGS will degrade thru MVFR at northern terminals (KMVN/KEVV/KOWB) while southern terminals (KCGI/KPAH) retain mostly VFR bases. -SHSN are possible north, where isolated heavier showers may degrade CIGS to IFR and VSBYS to MVFR prevailing and offer a chance of IFR potential. The window for snow will be short-lived, but restricted bases will persist thru the remainder of the forecast north, while restricted bases SCT south.
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.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 AM EST Friday for INZ082. KY...None.
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Source: PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 11, 5:00 PM CST--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
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Palmyra [Harrison Co, IN] Public reports Snow of 0.50 Inch at 13 Dec, 8:01 PM EST -- On Social Media.205 NWUS53 KLMK 140255 LSRLMK
Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Louisville KY 955 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS..
0801 PM Snow Palmyra 38.41N 86.11W 12/13/2025 E0.5 Inch Harrison IN Public
On Social Media.
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BJS
Source: Palmyra [Harrison Co, IN] Public reports Snow of 0.50 Inch at 13 Dec, 8:01 PM EST -- On Social Media.--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
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