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239 
WTNT33 KNHC 060843
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Chantal Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032025
500 AM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025
 
...CHANTAL NOW MOVING INLAND INTO FAR EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...
...FLASH FLOODING REMAINS A THREAT AS RAINBANDS PUSH ONSHORE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.6N 79.1W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM NE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM WSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The Tropical Storm Watch from Edisto Beach to South Santee River,
South Carolina has been discontinued.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* South Santee River, SC to Surf City, NC
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case for the
next 6-12 hours.
 
Interests elsewhere along the southeast coast of the United States
should monitor the progress of Chantal.
 
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Chantal was 
located near latitude 33.6 North, longitude 79.1 West. Chantal is 
moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn 
northward and then northeastward is anticipated over the next 24 
hours. On the forecast track, the center of Chantal is expected to 
move further inland into South Carolina and then North Carolina 
through the day today.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts. Rapid weakening is anticipated now that Chantal has
made landfall, with the system opening up into a trough in 36-48
hours.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) 
from the center. In the past couple of hours, a sustained wind of 45 
mph (72 km/h) was reported at Apache Pier, South Carolina.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure based on nearby surface
observations is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Chantal can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO
header WTNT43 KNHC.
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring in the warning area 
and should persist through this morning.
 
RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Chantal is expected to produce heavy
rainfall across portions of northeastern South Carolina today and
across portions of North Carolina through Monday. Storm total
rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with local amounts up to 6 inches, is
expected. This would result in an elevated risk for flash flooding.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Tropical Storm Chantal, please see the National
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf
 
STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
 
South Santee, SC to Surf City, NC...1-2 ft
 
For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge
inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak
Storm Surge Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?peakSurge
 
TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes will be possible today across portions
of eastern North Carolina and extreme northeast South Carolina.
 
SURF: Chantal is expected to bring life-threatening surf and rip
currents to portions of the coast from northeastern Florida to
the Mid-Atlantic states during the next day or so.
 
A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/?ripCurrents
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Papin

372 
CDUS41 KPBZ 092126
CLIPHD

CLIMATE REPORT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
526 PM EDT WED JUL 09 2025

...................................

...THE NEW PHILADELPHIA OH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JULY 9 2025...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0500 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1948 TO 2025


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST      
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                          
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         82    257 PM 101    1988  84     -2       89       
  MINIMUM         66    208 AM  42    1963  63      3       65       
  AVERAGE         74                        73      1       77     

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                    
  TODAY            0.00          1.57 1970   0.12  -0.12     0.00     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.09                      1.12  -1.03     1.51     
  SINCE JUN 1      6.00                      5.35   0.65     3.02     
  SINCE JAN 1     15.35                     20.84  -5.49    21.12     

DEGREE DAYS                                                           
 HEATING                                                              
  TODAY            0                         0      0        0        
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         0      0        1        
  SINCE JUN 1     21                        30     -9       15        
  SINCE JUL 1      0                         0      0        1        

 COOLING                                                              
  TODAY            9                         8      1       12        
  MONTH TO DATE   96                        72     24       87        
  SINCE JUN 1    349                       235    114      302        
  SINCE JAN 1    391                       297     94      424        
...................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                            
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED     8   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    SE (130)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    12   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    SE (140)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     0.6                                        


SKY COVER                                                             
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM                                                 
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.2                                                 


WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                    
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.                             
  FOG                                                                 


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    93           300 AM                                      
 LOWEST     60          1200 PM                                      
 AVERAGE    77                                                        

..........................................................


THE NEW PHILADELPHIA OH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   84        97      1988                      
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   63        41      1963                      


SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                    
JULY  9 2025..........SUNRISE   604 AM EDT   SUNSET   858 PM EDT     
JULY 10 2025..........SUNRISE   605 AM EDT   SUNSET   857 PM EDT     


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$

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634 
FXUS63 KPAH 091743
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1243 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered showers and thunderstorms today will be more focused across
  west KY and southwest IN. Coverage becomes more isolated 
  Thursday and Friday. Chances increase again this weekend, 
  particularly Saturday.

- Heat indices on Friday and Saturday near 100 degrees. After slightly
  cooler heat indices (mid-upper 90s) on Sunday and Monday, a 
  return to near 100 degree values are possible Tuesday and 
  Wednesday.

- Uncertainty exists regarding rain chances early to mid next
  week, but potential is there for daily shower and storm
  chances to continue.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 210 AM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025

A 500mb trough axis oriented from Northern Indiana to Southern 
Illinois will pivot east across the Ohio Valley today. While the 
forcing from this feature will primarily be focused east of our cwa 
today, the 700-850mb trough axis hangs up further west which may be 
enough to initiate convection through the day. This is most likely 
across western KY and southwest IN, but can't rule out some isolated 
development further north and west. Pwats will be decreasing through 
the course of the day from the northwest, but still will be near 2" 
across the KY Pennyrile. So can't rule out some localized flooding 
issues again.

Deep layer moisture is lower Thursday and Friday and forcing looks 
to be limited each day (as the primary shortwave energy remains 
north and west). So coverage of convection should be far more 
isolated. This should also result in more sunshine, helping to boost 
highs back around 90 or a few degrees above. Humidity levels will 
remain high, which allows heat index readings to near 100 by Friday.

A northern stream shortwave traversing across the Midwest Friday 
into Saturday will allow a cold front to slip south towards our cwa 
on Saturday. This will provide an uptick in convection, and pwats 
creep back towards 2" allowing some efficient rainfall rates to 
occur. There are indications the boundary washes out/stalls out 
across/nearby our cwa keeping high pwats in place. Impulses within 
the 500mb flow may produce daily shower and storm chances each day 
Sunday through mid next week. This is despite the fact that the 
upper ridge across the southeast tries to build further north. Thus 
the unsettled pattern may remain in place, with the brunt of the 
heat positioned to our south. Looks more like typical summer-time 
heat and humidity with highs remaining in the upper 80s to low 90s, 
dewpoints in the low to mid 70s, and scattered thunderstorm activity 
each day. Depending on convective coverage, and resulting cloud 
cover, we may see a return of 100 degree heat index readings by 
Tuesday.

Longer range signals seem to be indicating a more pronounced 
shortwave trough sweeping across the Ohio Valley late next week 
which may allow a true cold front to actually make full passage. 
This would result in a nice break from the high humidity and may 
allow dewpoints to fall into the 60s in the July 18-19 period. 
However, this is still 8-10 days out so nothing to get excited about 
by any means. It's hard to get a break from the 70+ dewpoints in 
July in our area of the country, and models might just be teasing us 
with false hope.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1237 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025

MVFR conditions will remain possible this afternoon as isolated
to scattered showers and storms push through most of the TAF
sites. The exception will be at MVN, where the risk for showers
and storms is much lower. The most likely to see showers and
storms will be near CGI/PAH (storms nearby) and possibly OWB.
Clearing skies and light winds overnight may result in locally
dense fog with visibility approaching 1/4 mile at PAH/CGI.
Improving conditions expected Thursday.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...
DISCUSSION...SP
AVIATION...KC

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