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41
PBZ issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 11, 1:47 AM EDT692
FXUS61 KPBZ 110547
AFDPBZ
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
147 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure over New England continues dry and cool conditions
through Saturday. Rain chances rise Saturday night and remain
through the early week especially across the eastern ridges as a
weakening Great Lakes low combines with a developing coastal
storm.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Increasing cloud cover and southerly flow will lead to warmer
overnight temperatures than previous nights.
---------------------------------------------------------------
An upper level situated just north of Michigan will shift
southeast overnight and draw a narrow column of mid-level
moisture into the forecast region. Along with a weak jet streak
aloft, each will foster increasingly broken cloud cover but lack
any precipitation chances. Add in subtle southerly surface flow
ahead of a cold front, and the result is moderation of overnight
temperature compared to previous nights. Low readings are
expected to be near to just slightly below average (for
reference, the average low temperature at the Pittsburgh
International Airport is 45 degrees).
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH MONDAY/...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Slight warming trend and dry conditions through Saturday.
- Rainfall through Monday favors northern and eastern areas.
----------------------------------------------------------------
Our pattern begins to shift as we move through the day Saturday. At
the upper levels the closed upper low from the Great Lakes slides
over central PA and begins to open up as it interacts with the
closed upper low over the Southeast. At the SFC, a Great Lakes low
and its associated cold front begin to drown out and transfer energy
to a budding coastal low climbing the Eastern Seaboard. The coastal
low slowly moves north and east hindered by stubborn high pressure
Sun-Mon.
These interactions look to work in tandem to lower rain chances
across our region as the highest POPs and rainfall totals shift
eastwards over the mountains nearer the developing coastal low. Rain
chances peak across our northern tier counties late Saturday as the
Great Lakes low weakens (near 30%) and then across our eastern ridge
counties Sunday and Sunday night as energy transfers to the coastal
low (40-60%). POPs in the Pittsburgh Metro peak between 25-40% on
Sunday and quickly fall off the further west you go. At this point
it looks as though northern and eastern counties see the highest
chances for showers during this time. Rainfall totals are likely to
be lower across our area, with most of the rain falling across our
eastern counties (0.25-0.50") and then a very sharp gradient
immediately west as totals decline to a few hundredths across the
remainder of western PA. Instability is quite low but there could be
a couple of rumbles of thunder Saturday night mainly north and east
of Pittsburgh as the Great Lakes upper low slides through the area.
High temperatures on Saturday are expected to be in the middle 60s
across the north with more stout cloud cover closer to the
approaching trough and ramping up to the low 70s as you move farther
south. The gradient in temperatures becomes more east-west oriented
by Sunday as the upper trough settles across Pennsylvania. High
temperatures Sunday and Monday are expected to be near normal
(mainly 60s) across western PA but slightly above average (upper
60s/lower 70s) across eastern OH.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Dry/warm weather continues into Tuesday
- Uncertainty builds mid-week with large-scale pattern
-------------------------------------------------------------------
A persistent ridge axis east of the Rocky Mountains, reaching
into the Ohio River Valley, will bring dry weather and warmer-
than-average temperatures through Tuesday.
By mid-week, it remains uncertain if a trough will form over the
Great Lakes or if the ridge will stay, and long-range ensemble
temperatures indicate about a 10-degree spread between the 25th
and 75th percentile. Should a trough pattern dominate, freezing
conditions could return, accompanied by lake-enhanced
precipitation under a northwest flow.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VFR conditions will continue through most of the day. Mid-level
clouds in the 6-8kft range will increase for FKL/DUJ by sunrise
as a weak cold front crosses the area, coincident with decaying
low pressure digging across the eastern Great Lakes. Mid
clouds should then spread farther southeast after sunrise.
Broad upper level ascent could result in a few scattered
showers around FKL/DUJ after 11z, but given the lower
probability and scattered nature, kept a PROB30 group. These
shouldn't bring much in the way of restrictions with a dry sub-
cloud layer making it tough for visibility-reducing showers.
The best forcing should remain north of the remainder of the
terminals and preclude shower mention elsewhere. Light southerly
wind will veer more northerly through the morning, becoming more
northeasterly by the evening.
A coastal low tracking up the eastern seaboard will return
restrictions and potential for showers Sunday morning. There
will likely be an east-west cutoff of to the restrictions with
the highest probability lying farther east, but some uncertainty
exists with how far west sufficient moisture exists.
.OUTLOOK...
Restrictions and shower chances will likely linger through much
of Sunday and into Monday as the coastal low lifts north.
Probabilities for both ceiling restrictions and showers will
remain highest farther east with an east/west cutoff likely.
High pressure will build back into the region midweek.
&&
.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
OH...None.
WV...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Shallenberger/AK
NEAR TERM...Frazier
SHORT TERM...Shallenberger/AK
LONG TERM...Hefferan
AVIATION...Rackley/MLB
Source: PBZ issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 11, 1:47 AM EDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
42
ERIE PA Oct 12 Climate Report: High: 69 Low: 46 Precip: Trace Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"589
CDUS41 KCLE 122117
CLIERI
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND, OH
517 PM EDT SUN OCT 12 2025
...................................
...THE ERIE PA CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 12 2025...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0515 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1873 TO 2025
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MAXIMUM 69 102 PM 84 1893 64 5 65
MINIMUM 46 238 AM 30 1891 48 -2 50
AVERAGE 58 56 2 58
PRECIPITATION (IN)
TODAY T 0.14 -0.14 0.82
MONTH TO DATE 2.23 1.75 0.48 1.08
SINCE SEP 1 4.15 6.07 -1.92 2.78
SINCE JAN 1 29.65 32.43 -2.78 27.01
SNOWFALL (IN)
TODAY 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SINCE SEP 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW DEPTH 0
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
TODAY 7 10 -3 7
MONTH TO DATE 66 98 -32 73
SINCE SEP 1 106 182 -76 90
SINCE JUL 1 136 194 -58 96
COOLING
TODAY 0 0 0 0
MONTH TO DATE 18 11 7 6
SINCE SEP 1 59 101 -42 139
SINCE JAN 1 746 750 -4 910
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 18 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION NE (50)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 24 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION NE (50)
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.3
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 90 100 AM
LOWEST 61 1200 PM
AVERAGE 76
..........................................................
THE ERIE PA CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 63 83 1983
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 47 33 1934
1957
2012
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
OCTOBER 12 2025.......SUNRISE 730 AM EDT SUNSET 643 PM EDT
OCTOBER 13 2025.......SUNRISE 731 AM EDT SUNSET 642 PM EDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: ERIE PA Oct 12 Climate Report: High: 69 Low: 46 Precip: Trace Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
43
IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 10, 3:14 AM EDT214
FXUS63 KIWX 100714
AFDIWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
314 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A weak front may bring some light showers or sprinkles to
areas along and north of the Toll Road later this afternoon
and evening.
- Much of the next 7 days will feature near to occasionally
somewhat above normal temperatures with the warmest days
likely occuring Monday and Tuesday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 307 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Light SE flow and slowing increasing 850 mb temps seem to be keeping
temperatures in check with everyone still in the low to mid
40s. Suspect frost potential will be very isolated if at all
through sunrise, but no changes planned for the headlines.
Focus then shifts to a weak disturbance, currently located from SW
Iowa to central Wisconsin. A broken lines of showers and even a few
storms were drifting east, assisted by some elevated instability.
The greatest coverage of the storms resided in SW/S central IA. With
time this instability weakens as do the showers, leading to low
confidence in any measurable precipitation falling in the 21Z
to 3Z period as the trough approaches. Models generally
confirming this with fairly saturated soundings AOA 800 mb, then
a dry layer below that. As a result of these factors, pops have
been lowered even more with at best low chc in the far NW. QPF
will be limited to a few hundredths at best. From 6Z Sat on, a
few sprinkles or light showers may linger in S lower MI.
Next feature of interest will be closed upper low which is well
depicted on water vapor in SW Ontario will drop ESE, grazing NE Lake
Huron by 6Z Sat and then reaching western NY by 00Z Sun. Main
impacts into the weekend will be a slowing of the arrival of warmer
temps and a shift in winds back to NW and N, which may stir up waves
some in SE Lake MI.
Modest upper level ridging will try to bring in warmer air, at least
briefly with highs in the low to mid 70s for Mon and Tue before
it flattens out as a weak, moisture starved boundary drops
south. Main impacts from this appear to be a return to more
seasonable temps in the mid 60s and lows in the 40s.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 142 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
VFR conditions expected at the terminals through the period,
with mainly increasing high-mid level clouds to contend with.
Warm air will advect in towards the late morning with a passing
warm front, with E-SE flow shifting south-southwest through the
period. A cold front approaches KSBN around 00z, then crosses
through KFWA by Saturday morning. Light showers are possible
along this front, but moisture is lacking so confidence in any
specifics is low. For now, have VCSH at KSBN from 21z-03z--
though don't expect much of an impact at the terminal from
these. Left out of KFWA for this issuance as best chances
arrive around or just after the end of the TAF period. Will add
greater detail with the 12z TAFS.
&&
.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for INZ005>009-
013>015-017-018-020-022>027-032>034-116-216.
OH...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for OHZ001-002-004-
005-015-016-024-025.
MI...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for MIZ079>081.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Fisher
AVIATION...MCD
Source: IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 10, 3:14 AM EDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
44
SHELBYVILLE IN Oct 11 Climate Report: High: 74 Low: 48 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing688
CDUS43 KIND 120531
CLIGEZ
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
131 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2025
...................................
...THE SHELBYVILLE IN CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 11 2025...
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 9999 TO 9999
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
.......................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
YESTERDAY
MAXIMUM 74 309 PM 70 4 81
MINIMUM 48 1242 AM 46 2 43
AVERAGE 61 58 3 62
PRECIPITATION (IN)
YESTERDAY 0.00 0.09 -0.09 0.00
MONTH TO DATE 1.19 1.08 0.11 T
SINCE SEP 1 4.89 4.22 0.67 2.23
SINCE JAN 1 34.94 34.44 0.50 37.45
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
YESTERDAY 4 8 -4 3
MONTH TO DATE 34 71 -37 26
SINCE SEP 1 66 128 -62 44
SINCE JUL 1 88 131 -43 46
COOLING
YESTERDAY 0 1 -1 0
MONTH TO DATE 27 19 8 22
SINCE SEP 1 149 152 -3 217
SINCE JAN 1 1250 1141 109 1455
.......................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 10 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION N (10)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 16 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION NE (30)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 3.9
SKY COVER
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.4
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 93 200 AM
LOWEST 38 400 PM
AVERAGE 66
..........................................................
THE SHELBYVILLE IN CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 69 MM MM
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 46 MM MM
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
OCTOBER 12 2025.......SUNRISE 750 AM EDT SUNSET 708 PM EDT
OCTOBER 13 2025.......SUNRISE 752 AM EDT SUNSET 707 PM EDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: SHELBYVILLE IN Oct 11 Climate Report: High: 74 Low: 48 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
45
PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 11, 1:30 AM CDT479
FXUS63 KPAH 110630
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
130 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- High pressure will keep the next 7 days dry and seasonally
mild.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 130 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Despite the Omega blocking-like pattern's hold, there are
subtleties at play in the otherwise 7 day forecast of dry and
seasonally mild conditions. One example is our current cloud
cover associated with a subtle pva kink in the overtop-the-ridge
flow. Gridded time/height cross sections suggest this ribbon of
moisture manifest with the associated deck of clouds lingers
into the mid morning hours before it disperses. If that holds,
fog chances should lessen. But if/where breaks occur, fog can
quickly become an issue, esp in our far east. We'll have to keep
a close eye upon it thru daybreak but will stick with our
inherited/persistence strategy nowcast for now.
The warmest temps of the period look to be in the early half of
the next work week, when H5 heights peak into the 588 DM range,
reflecting a 60+ DM increase from now. This will lead to a bump
back into the lower 80s starting Monday but esp Tuesday and
potentially bleeding into Wednesday, which by then will
represent an almost 10 degree above seasonal normal high. Lows
move similarly, into the mid 50s, also close to 10F above norms
by then.
The high stays strong enough to maintain its predominant
influence thru the remainder of next week, but does show signs
of breaking down a little as low pressure presses in upon it
from the west by week's end. In response, temps should retreat
back a little, more solidly into the 70s for highs, but still
round out a few degrees above normal on the daily. Rain chances
look scarce until 200+ hours into the forecast, so perhaps
before the end of the following weekend we'll see them
re-emerge.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 130 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Current satellite trends suggest enough clear skies/scattered
clouds, esp in our east, for patchy fog to offer at least
temporary vsby restrictions as a potential flight hazard thru
daybreak. Otherwise the forecast features a high pressure
dominated pattern with SCT-BKN VFR bases generally 5-7K FT AGL
thru the effective valid time of the terminal forecast package.
Obviously, where clouds are more robust pre-daybreak, fog will
be less of a concern; gridded time/height cross sections do hint
at that potential evolution with a narrow ribbon of moisture
showing thru about mid morning, after which it squeezes out with
time.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
Source: PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 11, 1:30 AM CDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
46
FRANKFORT KY Oct 12 Climate Report: High: 73 Low: 45 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing334
CDUS43 KLMK 130639
CLIFFT
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
239 AM EDT MON OCT 13 2025
...................................
...THE FRANKFORT KY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 12 2025...
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1895 TO 2025
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
YESTERDAY
MAXIMUM 73 305 PM 89 1953 71 2 80
1963
MINIMUM 45 700 AM 28 1988 47 -2 45
AVERAGE 59 59 0 63
PRECIPITATION (IN)
YESTERDAY 0.00 1.71 1919 0.11 -0.11 0.00
MONTH TO DATE 4.35 1.37 2.98 0.09
SINCE SEP 1 10.20 4.72 5.48 5.95
SINCE JAN 1 58.19 37.94 20.25 36.92
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
YESTERDAY 6 7 -1 2
MONTH TO DATE 36 65 -29 37
SINCE SEP 1 50 105 -55 50
SINCE JUL 1 56 106 -50 51
COOLING
YESTERDAY 0 1 -1 0
MONTH TO DATE 26 21 5 20
SINCE SEP 1 187 187 0 234
SINCE JAN 1 1341 1318 23 1483
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 7 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION NE (60)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 13 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION NW (310)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 1.9
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.0
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 99 700 AM
LOWEST 44 300 PM
AVERAGE 72
..........................................................
THE FRANKFORT KY CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 71 90 1947
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 47 26 1988
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
OCTOBER 13 2025.......SUNRISE 747 AM EDT SUNSET 704 PM EDT
OCTOBER 14 2025.......SUNRISE 748 AM EDT SUNSET 703 PM EDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: FRANKFORT KY Oct 12 Climate Report: High: 73 Low: 45 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
47
LONDON KY Oct 11 Climate Report: High: 74 Low: 46 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing214
CDUS43 KJKL 120612
CLILOZ
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
215 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2025
...................................
...THE LONDON KY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 11 2025...
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1954 TO 2025
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
YESTERDAY
MAXIMUM 74 348 PM 86 2008 71 3 74
MINIMUM 46 705 AM 26 1964 47 -1 39
AVERAGE 60 59 1 57
PRECIPITATION (IN)
YESTERDAY 0.00 0.68 2020 0.10 -0.10 0.00
MONTH TO DATE 0.34 1.22 -0.88 0.21
SINCE SEP 1 5.10 4.77 0.33 4.22
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
YESTERDAY 5 6 -1 8
MONTH TO DATE 24 56 -32 30
SINCE SEP 1 35 94 -59 44
SINCE JUL 1 41 95 -54 45
COOLING
YESTERDAY 0 1 -1 0
MONTH TO DATE 23 16 7 26
SINCE SEP 1 172 168 4 182
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 10 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION NE (50)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 15 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION NE (50)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 2.3
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.0
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.
FOG
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 100 200 AM
LOWEST 34 300 PM
AVERAGE 67
..........................................................
THE LONDON KY CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 71 85 2008
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 47 30 1964
1988
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
OCTOBER 12 2025.......SUNRISE 742 AM EDT SUNSET 703 PM EDT
OCTOBER 13 2025.......SUNRISE 743 AM EDT SUNSET 702 PM EDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
GREIF
Source: LONDON KY Oct 11 Climate Report: High: 74 Low: 46 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
48
ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 10, 12:43 AM EDT044
FXUS61 KILN 100443
AFDILN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1243 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will shift slowly east through the weekend. This will
lead to dry conditions and seasonable temperatures.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Weak return flow will develop across the region today as surface
high pressure shifts east into the northeastern US. With a dry
airmass in place, expect mostly sunny skies again today.
Temperatures will be a tad warmer with afternoon highs in the upper
60s to lower 70s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
A mid level low pressure will drop slowly southeast across the Great
Lakes tonight into Saturday while an associated weak surface low
weakens as it moves into northern Ohio. With a lack of deeper
moisture, the main effect with this system will likely just be an
increase in some clouds later tonight and into the day on Saturday.
Lows tonight will generally be in the 40s with highs on Saturday
again in the upper 60s to lower 70s.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
The closed low will be moving off toward northeast Ohio at the start
of the extended and will be in the process of being absorbed by a
broader area of low pressure off of the Atlantic coastline. Closer
to the surface, a weak cold front will be pulled through the region,
though sensible impacts will be minor and any isolated showers will
taper off by the overnight. Overnight lows fall to the mid 40s.
Meanwhile, to our northwest, a robust area of low pressure will be
moving through southern Canada, allowing for continued warm air
advection. Temperatures on Sunday rise to the low/mid 70s but we'll
feel more warmth on Monday/Tuesday, when we reach the upper 70s
while Tds reach the mid 50s again. The cold front associated with
this system will be dragged across the Ohio Valley sometime on
Tuesday into Wednesday, though moisture is quite limited and we
likely won't see any precipitation with its passage. Behind this
feature, strong continental high pressure pushes in from Canada and
temperatures look to moderate back closer to seasonal norms in the
upper 60s. Overall, the warmer and dry pattern looks to continue for
the Extended period.
&&
.AVIATION /04Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
High pressure will shift slowly off to the east through tonight as
an upper level disturbance drops southeast across the Great Lakes.
With a dry airmass in place, expect mainly just a gradual increase
in high level moisture through the TAF period. The one exception
could be some river valley fog at KLUK toward daybreak.
OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.
&&
.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for OHZ026-034-035-
042>046-051>056-060>065-070>072.
KY...None.
IN...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for INZ050-058-059-066.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
Source: ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 10, 12:43 AM EDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
49
Hockey Québec is launching a campaign to help keep parents in check during hockey games A three-part video series called “Do you recognize yourself?” is Hockey Québec’s latest move to help parents behave in the crowd during hockey games. Source: Hockey Québec is launching a campaign to help keep parents in check during hockey games----------------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
50
BOX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 11, 1:09 PM EDT412
FXUS61 KBOX 111709
AFDBOX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
109 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure maintains drier and colder conditions today. A
coastal storm brings rain and gusty winds Sunday into Monday
night, along with the minor coastal flooding and erosion.
Unsettled weather will be possible through much of next week
towards the eastern half of southern New England.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Key Messages...
* Dry with near normal temperatures
High pressure continues to move offshore today, resulting in an
increasing E to SE flow. Clouds this morning develop a few
breaks into this afternoon. Overall, a typical quiet Fall day.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY/...
Key Messages...
* Coastal storm arrives Sunday afternoon
Not much change to the expected pattern within the latest
guidance suite. Still some uncertainty with timing and how far
north the main impacts will get. Do have high confidence in a
measurable rainfall across our region, but will need a little
more time to work out the details on how much rainfall we could
actually see. Favored the slower timing for rainfall as we will
have a lot of dry air to overcome.
Have the greatest confidence in widely ranging rainfall totals
through Sunday. By evening, areas towards northwest MA may see
very little rainfall, while areas towards Nantucket could be
approaching 1 inch of rainfall. Winds will also begin increasing
Sunday afternoon with a similar pattern of the highest winds
towards Nantucket.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Key Messages:
* Coastal storm effects linger through Tuesday
* Cooler air may move in towards the end of next week following
this storm with some lingering showers towards the east coast
A coastal low will continue to make its way up the eastern US
coastline. It still appears like this will be a prolonged
rainfall event, mainly from Sunday night into Tuesday morning.
When all is done some time Tuesday, rainfall could range from
around one inch towards northwest MA, to as much as 3-4 inches
towards southeast MA. It's how sharp the rainfall gradient will
be that remains a question. We really can use this rainfall.
It's duration allays concerns about flash flooding, but we will
need to watch out for poor-drainage flooding, especially where
storm drains may be blocked by leaves or debris.
Winds will pick up Sunday night as this storm approaches and
the pressure gradient between it and a strong Canadian high
pressure tightens. Gusts close to 50 MPH will be possible over
the Islands, with the Cape seeing gusts around 45 MPH; the rest
of southern New England can expect gusts to 30-35 MPH. With
higher confidence in these elevated winds over the Cape and
Islands, continued a High Wind Watch for the islands and a Wind
Advisory for Cape Cod. With the combination of higher seas and
winds, some beach erosion and minor coastal flooding cannot be
ruled out.
Once this storm shifts out to sea, we may start to see even
cooler conditions with rain chances starting to decrease. Some
guidance is indicating it expanding a bit, and as surface high
pressure behind an upper level trough cutting down from Canada
moves in towards Friday, the gradient between these systems may
end up elevating winds slightly once more. NW winds will help
advect in cooler air as well, with 925 mb temperatures sinking
to 5C and lower. This would favor highs in the mid 50s to end
next week.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
Through Tonight...High confidence.
VFR cigs. Ceilings lower into the lower-end VFR range early Sun
morning. Winds become light and variable during the late
morning/early afternoon, before becoming E-NE around 10 kt by
early Sun morning.
Sunday...High confidence in trends. Moderate confidence in
timing.
MVFR/IFR developing by afternoon, especially towards the south
coast. Rainfall developing from south to north, especially
during the afternoon hours.
KBOS Terminal...High confidence in TAF.
KBDL Terminal...High confidence in TAF.
Outlook /Sunday Night through Thursday/...
Sunday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Strong
winds with gusts up to 45 kt. RA.
Columbus Day: Mainly IFR, with areas MVFR possible. Strong
winds with gusts up to 40 kt. RA.
Monday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Windy with
gusts up to 35 kt. RA, isolated TSRA.
Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Windy with gusts
up to 35 kt. Chance RA.
Tuesday Night: VFR. Breezy. Slight chance RA.
Wednesday: VFR. Breezy. Slight chance SHRA.
&&
.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...
Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
Today...High confidence.
Relatively light winds and seas during this time with high
pressure over the waters. Good visibility.
Tonight...High confidence.
E/NE wind gusts increase to 20-30 kts by sunrise over the
southern waters, with seas increasing to 5-8 ft. A Storm Watch
remains posted to address potential for stronger winds over the
waters late Sunday and Monday.
Outlook /Sunday Night through Thursday/...
Sunday Night: Storm force winds possible with gusts up to
45 kt. Rough seas up to 18 ft. Rain.
Columbus Day: Storm force winds possible with gusts up to
45 kt. Rough seas up to 18 ft. Rain. Local visibility 1 to
3 nm.
Monday Night: Strong winds with gusts up to 40 kt. Rough seas
up to 17 ft. Rain, slight chance of thunderstorms.
Tuesday: Strong winds with gusts up to 40 kt. Rough seas up to
13 ft. Rain.
Tuesday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds
with gusts up to 30 kt. Rough seas up to 12 ft. Chance of rain,
slight chance of rain showers.
Wednesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Rough seas up to 10 ft.
Chance of rain showers.
&&
.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...Coastal Flood Advisory from 2 PM to 6 PM EDT Sunday for MAZ007-
015-016-019-022>024.
Wind Advisory from 5 PM Sunday to 8 PM EDT Monday for MAZ022.
High Wind Watch Sunday afternoon for MAZ023-024.
High Wind Warning from 5 PM Sunday to 2 PM EDT Monday for
MAZ023-024.
RI...High Wind Watch Sunday afternoon for RIZ008.
High Wind Warning from 5 PM Sunday to 2 PM EDT Monday for
RIZ008.
Coastal Flood Advisory from 11 AM to 3 PM EDT Sunday for
RIZ006>008.
MARINE...Gale Watch Sunday afternoon for ANZ230-236.
Gale Warning from 5 PM Sunday to 8 PM EDT Monday for ANZ230-
231-233-234-250-251-254.
Storm Watch Sunday afternoon for ANZ231>235-237-250-251-
254>256.
Storm Warning from 5 PM Sunday to 8 AM EDT Monday for ANZ232-
235-237-255-256.
Gale Warning from 5 PM Sunday to 2 PM EDT Monday for ANZ236.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...KJC/Loconto
NEAR TERM...KJC
SHORT TERM...KJC
LONG TERM...Loconto
AVIATION...McMinn/Nocera
MARINE...KJC/Loconto
Source: BOX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 11, 1:09 PM EDT---------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
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