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More than 600 individuals, organizations send letter calling on Ontario to reverse needle distribution ban More than 600 individuals and organizations from across Ontario have signed a letter calling on the province to allow the distribution of syringes at Homelessness and Addiction Recovery Treatment (HART) Hubs, saying that the prohibition will put more people at risk of HIV and Hepatitis C transmission. Source: More than 600 individuals, organizations send letter calling on Ontario to reverse needle distribution ban----------------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
42
BOX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 9, 3:07 PM EDT874
FXUS61 KBOX 091907
AFDBOX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
307 PM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Temperatures trend cooler Thursday with continued chances for
showers and storms. Warmer and drier conditions return Friday,
continuing through the weekend before summertime heat and
humidity make a return for the start of the week along with
unsettled conditions.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
Key Messages:
* Mild and cloudy with scattered showers and thunder possible
Cloudy skies expected to remain across the region with some
scattered showers and thunderstorms popping up heading into the
evening hours. Cloud cover is expected to build back in over the
interior tonight where some clearing has occurred this afternoon.
Patchy fog across southern New England may also develop overnight.
Lows expected to be in the 60s for most, with some spots approaching
70 in the CT Valley and RI.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Key Messages:
* Showers with the potential for heavy downpours throughout the day
A quasi-stationary front makes its way to southern New England then
settles in overhead. Some clearing over western parts of the
interior is possible tomorrow, which could aid in providing some
daytime heating that would favor convective development in the
early afternoon through the evening hours. Highs in western MA
and CT may reach the low 80s while the rest of the region sits
in the low to mid 70s. This area is still in a Marginal risk for
severe weather per SPC, but aside from that, chances for severe
weather remain low. HREF thunder probs are very low across the
region, though a thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out.
Onshore flow will keep the cooler and cloudier conditions over
eastern MA into RI, which will help limit the convective
potential over this area. Torrential downpours are more likely
as PWATs remain elevated, sitting at around 1.5" to just over
2". It's worth noting WPC has southern New England under a
Marginal risk for excessive rainfall as we remain under this
moist and warm airmass.
For Thursday night, lows once again sit in the mid 60s with cloudy
skies. Rain clears out heading into Friday as a small low to the
south exits northeast.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Key Messages:
* Trending drier Friday through the weekend
* Summertime heat and humidity return early next week, with highs in
the upper 80s to low 90s possible Monday through Wednesday
* Daily chances for isolated, non-severe showers and thunderstorms
Friday through Sunday
After a wet and unsettled week, well begin transitioning to drier
weather Friday into the weekend as an area of high pressure settles
over the coastal waters to our east. This will support
east/southeast flow through Sunday, resulting in relatively cooler
temperatures (upper 70s to low 80s) east of I-495 along with sunny
and dry conditions.
Across the interior, temperatures will be near normal, with daily
highs in the mid to upper 80s. Elevated dewpoints in the upper 60s
to low 70s will support diurnal instability west of I-495, leading
to a slight chance of a pop-up afternoon shower or thunderstorm
across the interior this weekend.
At this time, there are no signals indicating a risk for severe
thunderstorms, as weak wind fields should suppress the wind shear
needed to support deep moist convection. Any storms that do develop
should collapse relatively quickly. Minimal, if any, thunderstorm
activity is expected across eastern areas, as onshore flow/marine
air should help stabilize the atmosphere.
Monday through Wednesday
Prevailing southwest flow returns on Monday, which will support
rising temperatures across southern New England. Highs will reach
the mid to upper 80s on Monday. A few scattered thunderstorms may
also develop across the interior, as a pulse of shortwave energy
could move through the Northeast Monday afternoon.
There is still no strong signal for the presence of deep-layer wind
shear needed to support severe weather, but some uncertainty remains
this far out.
By Tuesday, ensemble guidance suggests increasing heat, with a
4050% chance of high temperatures exceeding 90 degrees across
southern New England on both Tuesday and Wednesday. While there is
no clear signal for widespread precipitation during the middle of
next week, the typical slight chance for a diurnal thunderstorm
remains possible.
Stay tuned for further details.
&&
.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
18z TAF Update...
Rest of Today...Moderate to high confidence.
Some areas across the interior have seen some improvement to
MVFR and even VFR conditions. There's a chance some eastern
terminals might see some improvement to MVFR as well before
sunset. An isolated t-storm or scattered shower remains possible
this afternoon. Winds remain light and primarily from the NE
aside from parts of the immediate south coast which will
continue to see light SW winds.
Tonight...Moderate to high confidence.
The cooling boundary layer will result in conditions lowering to
mainly IFR/LIFR levels in most locations...but perhaps some
lower end MVFR conditions much of the night across the distant
interior. A cluster of showers and a few thunderstorms containing
locally heavy rainfall will also be possible tonight, especially
after 08z. Winds becoming calm in some areas.
Thursday...Moderate confidence.
MVFR to IFR conditions. More -SHRA and TSRA possible in the
morning hours, becoming more isolated as the day goes on. E to
ENE wind 5 to 10 knots.
KBOS Terminal...Moderate confidence in timing.
Possible improvement this afternoon to MVFR briefly before
becoming IFR to LIFR tonight after sunset. SHRA timing may start
earlier than 14z, but no earlier than 10z.
KBDL Terminal...Moderate confidence in TAF.
Chance for spot shower this evening. Higher confidence in
improvement to VFR this afternoon based on latest satellite
imagery.
Outlook /Friday through Monday/...
Friday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA, patchy BR.
Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas IFR possible. Patchy FG.
Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA, slight chance TSRA, patchy FG.
Saturday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas IFR possible. Patchy FG.
Sunday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA, slight chance TSRA, patchy FG.
Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight
chance SHRA, patchy FG.
Monday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA, slight chance TSRA, patchy FG.
&&
.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...
Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
Tonight: High confidence.
Winds to just under 10 kts out of the SW on the southern waters
and out of the NE on the eastern waters. Seas 2-4 ft.
Thursday to Thursday Night: Moderate confidence.
Winds 10-15 kts out of the SSE on the southern waters and out of
the E to NE on the eastern waters. Winds closer to the shores
along the south coast may be more NE. Seas 2-4 ft.
Outlook /Friday through Monday/...
Friday: Winds less than 25 kt. Patchy fog, slight chance of
rain showers. Visibility 1 to 3 nm.
Friday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching
5 ft. Patchy fog. Visibility 1 to 3 nm.
Saturday through Monday: Winds less than 25 kt. Patchy fog.
Visibility 1 to 3 nm.
&&
.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Hrencecin/RM
NEAR TERM...Hrencecin
SHORT TERM...Hrencecin
LONG TERM...RM
AVIATION...Frank/Hrencecin/RM
MARINE...Hrencecin/RM
Source: BOX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 9, 3:07 PM EDT---------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
43
HEAT WARNING, Kingston - Odessa - Frontenac IslandsIssued: 4:33 AM EDT Saturday 12 July 2025 Source: HEAT WARNING, Kingston - Odessa - Frontenac Islands_________ If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
44
HEAT WARNING, Napanee - ConseconIssued: 4:33 AM EDT Saturday 12 July 2025 Source: HEAT WARNING, Napanee - Consecon--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
45
LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 6, 6:40 AM CDT ...New AVIATION...664
FXUS64 KLIX 061140
AFDLIX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
640 AM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025
Warm day as expected across the region and by late this afternoon
we did have convection with the bulk of it focused across near
coastal MS. Most storms dissipated by sunset and the one or two
storms that were still around by 3z were right along the SELA
coast.
Today and tomorrow should see more convection than we have the last
2 days. My lvl setup is transitioning to two ridges once again with
the western ridge centered just south of the 4 corners already
starting to build. The other ridge is east of the Bahamas while both
Chantal and an mid/upper lvl low much like a TUTT low is centered
over the northeastern Gulf. This TUTT will slide west over the next
few days and will increase the rain chances over the area. There are
some interesting details for today. We had been mentioning deeper
moisture moving back in but it appears both from models and GOES19
TPW product that drier continental air will actually recycle back
into the area from the northeast and east. This will have 2 impacts.
First it will likely keep much of the area east of I-55 on the drier
side today. That said the mid lvl dry air infiltrating should lead
to slightly better lapse rates and impressive DCAPE values. In fact
many of the CAMS are suggesting DCAPE values of 1200-1400 j/kg (some
even greater than 1400) before convection begins to fire. Obviously
CAPE is not an issue with SBCAPE expected over 3k. That said the
lack of stronger mid lvl flow or deep layer shear should hinder
things somewhat however given the cooling temps in the mid lvls
thanks to the approaching TUTT, the mid lvl dry air working in from
the east, and sufficient moisture across the western half of the CWA
storms will likely develop and a few will be capable becoming strong
to severe. The main concern will be damaging downbursts but can't
rule out some hail given the cooler mid lvl temps (H5 temps around
-8 maybe even -9C). Area with the greatest risk should be the River
parishes including EBR and just to the east up to possibly I-55.
Convection will quickly start to wane over the land areas around
sunset and we lose the daytime heating but convection will begin to
transition more towards the marine areas. There will likely be a
period of minimal activity between 1/2z and 8/9z but given the TUTT
moving across the region convection likely begin to fire up quickly
over the coastal waters. The question becomes how fast does that
transition back to the land on Monday. Given that there is still not
deep southerly flow in the LL convection likely struggles to work
inland initially but with the low more on top of the area convection
will probably begin to fire over the area a little earlier on Monday
than Tuesday. This will lead to slightly lower instability. There
may be more storms around Monday but the risk for strong to severe
storms should be slightly lower.
As for rainfall, storms today should be a little more efficient than
Monday. PWs looks to be on the lower end Monday with most of the CWA
around 1.5-1.8 which is not anything out of the ordinary and the
more efficient rain looks to be later in the week. /CAB/
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025
Medium range models continue to advertise a slightly more active
pattern setting and high daily rain chance through the week.
Overall the consistency in the medium range guidance, continuity
between the models, and basically a slight lean towards
persistence given what we have seen this Summer suggest no real
deviations from the NBM.
The driest and probably warmest day of the extended portion of the
forecast this package may be Tuesday. Our upper low will be much
weaker as it continues to slide west into TX but the bigger
influence will likely be the Atlantic ridge nosing west in the Lower
MS Valley. The increase in hghts, suppression, and mid lvl temps
should hurt convective potential some but this will change for the
reminder of the work week.
As fast as the ridge noses in Tuesday it erodes and gets suppressed
just as fast heading into Wednesday. Two things, the western ridge
over the 4 corners amplifies and in response we get a trough to dig
across the mid and lower MS Valley. The trough quickly erodes the
western portions of the Atlantic ridge and we then move under that
trough across through the rest of the week. The other things this
trough is going to do is pull up rich gulf moisture and PWs begin to
climb back over 2" for the 2nd half of the work week. We will also
see deeper southwesterly flow in the LL across the northern Gulf and
into SELA. This should allow seabreeze convection to develop a
little earlier probably by late morning and start to move inland.
The deeper moisture, favorable upper lvl outflow regime, and rather
weak steering current will lead to efficient storms so locally heavy
rain will need to be monitored especially if it falls over flood
prone areas. /CAB/
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 633 AM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025
VFR conditions across all forecast terminals this morning. Main
concern will be potential for TSRA during the afternoon and early
evening hours. Most of the convection allowing model solutions
keep areal coverage rather low. Will keep PROB30 groups in all
terminals for this package until a definitive focus becomes
apparent. Any storms that do develop will likely dissipate by
about 01z Monday.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025
Still fairly quiet over the coastal waters with generally benign
conditions outside of convection. Winds will remain a little more
chaotic and very light until about Monday night when high pressure
finally become a little more established over the eastern Gulf. High
pressure then just slightly builds to the west a little through the
week leading to onshore flow finally setting back up Tuesday and
through the work week. On the other hand convection will likely
begin to increase in coverage over the next 5 to 6 days, especially
over night and through the early to mid morning hours. Waterspout
potential looks like it may increase late in the week as much deeper
moisture begins to move north through the Gulf. /CAB/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 94 71 92 71 / 40 30 60 10
BTR 94 73 93 74 / 60 40 70 10
ASD 93 72 93 73 / 40 20 60 10
MSY 94 77 93 77 / 40 20 70 10
GPT 92 75 91 75 / 30 10 50 10
PQL 93 72 92 73 / 20 10 40 10
&&
.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...CAB
LONG TERM....CAB
AVIATION...RW
MARINE...CAB
Source: LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 6, 6:40 AM CDT ...New AVIATION...--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
46
PENSACOLA Jul 5 Climate Report: High: 93 Low: 75 Precip: Trace Snow: Missing068
CDUS44 KMOB 060629
CLIPNS
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
129 AM CDT SUN JUL 06 2025
...................................
...THE PENSACOLA CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JULY 5 2025...
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1879 TO 2025
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
YESTERDAY
MAXIMUM 93 1:24 PM 101 2019 91 2 90
MINIMUM 75 9:56 PM 67 1924 75 0 76
AVERAGE 84 83 1 83
PRECIPITATION (IN)
YESTERDAY T 2.59 1941 0.25 -0.25 0.00
MONTH TO DATE 0.06 1.23 -1.17 3.68
SINCE JUN 1 5.16 8.55 -3.39 12.13
SINCE JAN 1 31.54 33.02 -1.48 36.80
DEGREE DAYS
COOLING
YESTERDAY 19 18 1 18
MONTH TO DATE 93 90 3 94
SINCE JUN 1 592 592 0 596
SINCE JAN 1 1255 1154 101 1175
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 20 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION NW (320)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 28 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION W (290)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 7.4
SKY COVER
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.1
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.
THUNDERSTORM
LIGHT RAIN
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 88 3:00 AM
LOWEST 51 5:00 PM
AVERAGE 70
..........................................................
THE PENSACOLA CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 91 102 2019
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 75 64 1882
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
JULY 6 2025..........SUNRISE 5:53 AM CDT SUNSET 7:55 PM CDT
JULY 7 2025..........SUNRISE 5:53 AM CDT SUNSET 7:54 PM CDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: PENSACOLA Jul 5 Climate Report: High: 93 Low: 75 Precip: Trace Snow: Missing--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
47
PITTSBURGH PA Jul 9 Climate Report: High: 79 Low: 66 Precip: Trace Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"376
CDUS41 KPBZ 092126
CLIPIT
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
526 PM EDT WED JUL 09 2025
...................................
...THE PITTSBURGH PA CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JULY 9 2025...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0500 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1871 TO 2025
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MAXIMUM 79 118 PM 101 1876 83 -4 92
1936
MINIMUM 66 241 AM 42 1963 63 3 67
AVERAGE 73 73 0 80
PRECIPITATION (IN)
TODAY T 2.12 1887 0.14 -0.14 0.00
MONTH TO DATE 0.75 1.25 -0.50 0.13
SINCE JUN 1 6.32 5.37 0.95 2.63
SINCE JAN 1 22.34 21.25 1.09 26.46
SNOWFALL (IN)
TODAY 0.0 0.0 MM 0.0 0.0 0.0
MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SINCE JUN 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW DEPTH 0
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
TODAY 0 0 0 0
MONTH TO DATE 0 0 0 0
SINCE JUN 1 20 30 -10 9
SINCE JUL 1 0 0 0 0
COOLING
TODAY 8 8 0 15
MONTH TO DATE 99 72 27 110
SINCE JUN 1 370 232 138 360
SINCE JAN 1 439 298 141 504
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 10 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION S (160)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 15 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION S (160)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 1.8
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.9
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.
LIGHT RAIN
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 93 500 AM
LOWEST 62 100 PM
AVERAGE 78
..........................................................
THE PITTSBURGH PA CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 83 103 1881
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 63 45 1963
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
JULY 9 2025..........SUNRISE 559 AM EDT SUNSET 853 PM EDT
JULY 10 2025..........SUNRISE 600 AM EDT SUNSET 853 PM EDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: PITTSBURGH PA Jul 9 Climate Report: High: 79 Low: 66 Precip: Trace Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
48
CLE cancels Flood Advisory for Knox, Richland [OH]292
WGUS81 KCLE 102203
FLSCLE
Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
603 PM EDT Thu Jul 10 2025
OHC083-139-102213-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FA.Y.0051.000000T0000Z-250710T2300Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Knox OH-Richland OH-
603 PM EDT Thu Jul 10 2025
...FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
The Flood Advisory is cancelled for a portion of north central Ohio,
including the following areas, Knox and Richland.
Flood waters have receded. The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining
road closures.
&&
LAT...LON 4056 8262 4057 8262 4061 8262 4062 8262
4059 8254 4055 8252 4047 8246 4038 8241
4032 8234 4028 8236 4026 8245 4027 8247
4027 8250 4037 8262 4050 8263 4055 8262
$$
Sullivan
Source: CLE cancels Flood Advisory for Knox, Richland [OH]--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
49
IWX continues Beach Hazard Statement valid at Jul 9, 5:00 PM EDT for Northern La Porte [IN] and Northern Berrien, Southern Berrien [MI] till Jul 10, 2:00 AM EDT690
WHUS43 KIWX 091919
CFWIWX
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
319 PM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025
INZ103-MIZ177-277-100330-
/O.CON.KIWX.BH.S.0004.250709T2100Z-250710T0600Z/
Northern La Porte-Northern Berrien-Southern Berrien-
319 PM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025 /219 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025/
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT /1 AM
CDT/ THURSDAY...
* WHAT...High wave action, strong currents, and dangerous swimming
conditions expected. Waves 2 feet or less will build to 3 to 4
feet this evening. Waves slowly subside overnight tonight into
Thursday morning.
* WHERE...In Indiana, Northern La Porte county. In Michigan,
Northern Berrien and Southern Berrien counties.
* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT /1 AM CDT/ Thursday.
* IMPACTS...Strong currents can pull swimmers into deeper water
and high waves can sweep people off piers.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.
Do not venture out on piers.
&&
$$
Source: IWX continues Beach Hazard Statement valid at Jul 9, 5:00 PM EDT for Northern La Porte [IN] and Northern Berrien, Southern Berrien [MI] till Jul 10, 2:00 AM EDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
50
IND issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 10, 12:35 AM EDT973
FXUS63 KIND 100435
AFDIND
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
1235 AM EDT Thu Jul 10 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Fog possible late tonight.
- Drier weather expected on Thursday.
- Generally very warm/humid through this weekend greatest rain/ with
best chance for storms late Saturday.
&&
.FORECAST UPDATE...
Issued at 947 PM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025
Convection has been slow to diminish in northern and eastern zones,
so have kept isolated shower/thunderstorm wording for the next 2
hrs in these areas with precip chances dropped elsewhere. For the
rest of the night, as temperatures fall combined with light winds
and clear skies patchy fog is expected to develop after midnight.
Areas of fog are expected in valleys, especially in southern areas
of Central Indiana. The rest of the forecast temps, winds and sky
cover remain in good shape.
&&
.SHORT TERM (This evening through Thursday)...
Issued at 330 PM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025
Surface analysis early this afternoon shows a weak, poorly defined
frontal boundary across Central Indiana. Radar shows an area of
showers and isolated thunderstorms over SE Indiana, associated with
the passing of an upper trough. Meanwhile convective temperatures
are being touched allowing a few isolated showers to develop in NW
Central Indiana. All of these echos were continuing a slow eastward
progression. Water Vapor showed a plume of moisture streaming across
the SE 1/2 of Indiana, and subsidence across the northwest parts of
Central Indiana, marking the relative position of the upper trough
progressing across the area. Winds remained light and variable
across the forecast area due to the weak and poorly defined pressure
gradient across the area. Dew point temperatures remained quite high
in the middle 60s to around 70.
Late this afternoon, diurnal heating may still allow a few isolated
pop-up showers or storms across Central Indiana in the wake of the
trough. HRRR continues to depict this, but most locations will
remain dry. Some low chance pops will be needed through the
afternoon.
Tonight...
The trough axis will continue to depart to the east, allowing
subsidence to build across Indiana. This will result in clearing
skies through the evening and into the overnight hours. Forecast
soundings overnight show a dry column and winds are expected to
become light to calm. This may result in some patchy/areas of fog
toward daybreak as dew point depressions will become small. Given
our current dew points, lows are expected to fall to the middle and
upper 60s.
Thursday -
Models suggest that upper ridging in place over the northern plains
and upper midwest will continue build slowly east, but this will
still result in lee side subsidence and NW flow across Indiana.
Meanwhile at the surface, weak but broad high pressure stretching
from the Great Lakes across Indiana to Arkansas will be in place.
Forecast soundings show a dry column through the day with very dry
mid and upper levels. However, some hint of lower level CU
development are suggested as convective temperatures are reached.
Thus after a foggy start, skies should become partly cloudy with
warm temperatures by afternoon. Look for highs in the middle to
upper 80s.
&&
.LONG TERM (Thursday night through Wednesday)...
Issued at 330 PM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025
Overall typical midsummer weather is expected through the long term
as generally warm and humid conditions with mostly scattered,
diurnally-driven convection expected for much of the period.
Aloft, troughing with embedded short waves will bring chances for
rain for the end of the week and into the weekend. Friday's chances
are mainly for the afternoon while better forcing later in the day
Saturday bring best chances for precip in the long term. Above
normal PWATs are expected for late Saturday, so could see some
localized flooding potential within heavy showers or should storms
pass over the same area numerous times. Also can't rule out a few
stronger storms producing higher wind gusts; otherwise,
widespread severe weather is not expected at this time.
Global models have been slowing the exit of the rain as a boundary
looks to linger over the region, so could see storms continue
through the day Sunday. High pressure still looks to bring a brief
break in precipitation early next week before another upper wave
returns midweek, bringing additional storms and continued warmth.
Aside from the near normal mid 80s high temps early next week,
slightly above normal highs are expected, upper 80s to near 90,
while overnight lows will be in the 60s and 70s.
&&
.AVIATION (06Z TAF Issuance)...
Issued at 1235 AM EDT Thu Jul 10 2025
Impacts:
- Brief IFR/LIFR conditions in fog likely towards sunrise Thursday,
especially in low lying areas near KBMG, KLAF and KHUF
Discussion:
Isolated convection and most clouds have largely diminished early
this morning...leaving mainly clear skies with near calm winds. With
abundant moisture still present in the near surface layer...the
setup for areas of fog to develop looks favorable over the next
several hours. Potential is there for visibilities to briefly fall
below 1SM at the outlying terminals in the predawn through daybreak
before fog dissipates quickly as the morning progresses.
Weak high pressure over the region will enable drier air to make a
brief appearance over central Indiana later today. While diurnal cu
will form into the afternoon...the presence of a mid level cap will
likely be sufficient to keep much if any showers from forming late
day. Cu will diminish near sunset.
&&
.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...Crosbie
SHORT TERM...Puma
LONG TERM...KF
AVIATION...Ryan
Source: IND issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 10, 12:35 AM EDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
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