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41
IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 3, 12:23 PM EST173
FXUS63 KIWX 031723
AFDIWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
Issued by National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
1223 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Breezy and dry today with record-challenging warmth. Southerly
wind gusts of 25 mph to perhaps 35 mph.
- Rain arrives from west to east late tonight. Breezy with
lingering showers through Wednesday.
- Not as warm to end the week with lake enhanced showers at
times.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 249 AM EST Tue Nov 3 2026
A well defined upper-level trough is lifting north-northeast through
Kansas early this morning. Closer to home, low stratus and patchy
drizzle continues to lift north through Michigan in response to this
lifting cyclone. Stout warm air advection has brought steadily
rising temperatures on this shift with an increasing number of 60-
degree readings (normal high today is only 55). That said, morning
temperatures will be a nice spring board for afternoon highs that
will challenge the day's records: 76 degrees in 2003 and 1987 (2003
record was only at Fort Wayne). Rather cloudy immediately upstream,
but clearing is noted across the Ohio River. This could be enough
later today to truly challenge the record. Cloud cover will also
dictate afternoon mixing of the low-level jet. Forecast soundings
depict a narrow window after 1pm where guidance attempts to mix down
35 mph gusts. Overall today, breezy, decreasing clouds (especially
along and east of the I-69 corridor) and dry.
Rain slowly arrives from west to east Tuesday night according to
available near-term models (RIP HREF, NAM et. al.). Northwest Ohio
could very well be dry until after daybreak Wednesday as low
pressure becomes stacked beneath the parent upper-low, slowing the
cold front's arrival. Breezy conditions persist into Wednesday
morning as the low-level jet remains amplified over northwest Ohio.
A dry slot from this low slowly works its way east permitting some
afternoon dry hours. Cooler air behind this system seeps in
Wednesday night through Thursday along with lake-enhanced showers.
Highs in the 60s Wednesday and Thursday give way to highs in the 50s
Friday through the weekend. This whole system exits later Saturday
ending the lake-enhanced shower chance.
Beyond the weekend, subtle northwest flow results in temperatures
fairly close to normal and opportunities for 20% POPs at times as
weak disturbances ripple through the flow. Subtle ridging is noted
over the southern and central US, which, if building into the
Midwest could later induce a more zonal flow locally. However, the
core global models are teasing chilly Canadian High pressure after
Veteran's Day.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1222 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026
Satellite shows earlier widespread stratus has cleared the
terminals with FEW to SCT clouds expected through the evening in
the 3-6kft range. Clouds increase in coverage overnight with the
approach of a cold front, with a few hours of LLWS favored ahead
of the front as winds near 2kft approach 45 knots. This front
will also bring rain showers after 09z continuing through the
end of the TAF period. The combination of showers and increasing
low-level moisture will cause conditions to deteriorate to MVFR,
with cigs possibly falling below 2kft after 14z (best chance at
FWA). In addition, south to south-southeast winds will be
gusting to 25 knots throughout the forecast period.
&&
.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Wednesday for LMZ043-046.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Brown
AVIATION...Thomas
Source: IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 3, 12:23 PM EST--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
42
IND issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Nov 3, 3:05 PM EST for 39 forecast zones in [IN]900
FLUS43 KIND 032005
HWOIND
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
305 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026
INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-042015-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-
Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-
Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-
Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-
Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
305 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026
This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.
.DAY ONE...Through Tonight.
An isolated thunderstorm cannot be ruled out after midnight across
areas south of Interstate 70. Lightning is a hazard with any storm.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated.
&&
More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind
$$
Source: IND issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Nov 3, 3:05 PM EST for 39 forecast zones in [IN]--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
43
EVANSVILLE IN Nov 3 Climate Report: High: 79 Low: 62 Precip: 0.04" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"814
CDUS43 KPAH 040800
CLIEVV
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
200 AM CST WED NOV 04 2026
...................................
...THE EVANSVILLE IN CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR NOVEMBER 3 2026...
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1896 TO 2026
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
YESTERDAY
MAXIMUM 79 242 PM 81 1987 62 17 63
MINIMUM 62 715 AM 13 1951 41 21 33
AVERAGE 71 51 20 48
PRECIPITATION (IN)
YESTERDAY 0.04 1.79 1923 0.14 -0.10 0.00
MONTH TO DATE 0.27 0.40 -0.13 T
SINCE SEP 1 4.38 7.10 -2.72 9.95
SINCE JAN 1 35.44 40.42 -4.98 51.50
SNOWFALL (IN)
YESTERDAY 0.0 0.0 MM 0.0 0.0 0.0
MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SINCE SEP 1 0.0 0.2 -0.2 0.0
SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.2 -0.2 0.0
SNOW DEPTH 0
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
YESTERDAY 0 14 -14 17
MONTH TO DATE 12 41 -29 56
SINCE SEP 1 104 312 -208 237
SINCE JUL 1 104 312 -208 237
COOLING
YESTERDAY 6 0 6 0
MONTH TO DATE 6 0 6 0
SINCE SEP 1 410 230 180 290
SINCE JAN 1 1685 1523 162 1746
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 24 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION SW (240)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 34 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION SW (240)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 10.9
SKY COVER
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.6
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.
HEAVY RAIN
LIGHT RAIN
FOG
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 90
LOWEST 54
AVERAGE 72
..........................................................
THE EVANSVILLE IN CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 61 82 1987
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 40 17 1991
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
NOVEMBER 4 2026......SUNRISE 619 AM CST SUNSET 448 PM CST
NOVEMBER 5 2026......SUNRISE 620 AM CST SUNSET 447 PM CST
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: EVANSVILLE IN Nov 3 Climate Report: High: 79 Low: 62 Precip: 0.04" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
44
LOUISVILLE BOWMAN KY Nov 3 Climate Report: High: 80 Low: 56 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing288
CDUS43 KLMK 040630
CLILOU
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
130 AM EST WED NOV 04 2026
...................................
...THE LOUISVILLE BOWMAN KY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR NOVEMBER 3 2026...
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 9999 TO 9999
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
.......................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
YESTERDAY
MAXIMUM 80 330 PM 62 18 61
MINIMUM 56 740 AM 42 14 34
AVERAGE 68 52 16 48
PRECIPITATION (IN)
YESTERDAY 0.00 0.12 -0.12 0.00
MONTH TO DATE 0.23 0.35 -0.12 0.07
SINCE SEP 1 2.56 7.61 -5.05 9.16
SINCE JAN 1 35.02 41.15 -6.13 43.98
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
YESTERDAY 0 14 -14 17
MONTH TO DATE 10 40 -30 54
SINCE SEP 1 142 304 -162 262
SINCE JUL 1 142 304 -162 265
COOLING
YESTERDAY 3 0 3 0
MONTH TO DATE 3 0 3 0
SINCE SEP 1 411 232 179 236
SINCE JAN 1 1752 1541 211 1558
.......................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 20 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION S (160)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 26 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION S (160)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 9.2
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.4
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 90 600 AM
LOWEST 48 300 PM
AVERAGE 69
..........................................................
THE LOUISVILLE BOWMAN KY CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 61 MM MM
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 41 MM MM
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
NOVEMBER 4 2026......SUNRISE 712 AM EST SUNSET 540 PM EST
NOVEMBER 5 2026......SUNRISE 713 AM EST SUNSET 539 PM EST
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: LOUISVILLE BOWMAN KY Nov 3 Climate Report: High: 80 Low: 56 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
45
The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Nov 3, 8:18z for portions of JKLSorry, product text is unavailable. Source: The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Nov 3, 8:18z for portions of JKL--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
46
CINCINNATI OH Nov 1 Climate Report: High: 68 Low: 56 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"834
CDUS41 KILN 012148
CLICVG
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
448 PM EST SUN NOV 01 2026
...................................
...THE CINCINNATI OH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR NOVEMBER 1 2026...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1869 TO 2026
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MAXIMUM 68 2:32 PM 82 2016 60 8 59
MINIMUM 56 7:43 AM 25 1962 40 16 37
1976
AVERAGE 62 50 12 48
PRECIPITATION (IN)
TODAY 0.00 1.99 2018 0.12 -0.12 0.01
MONTH TO DATE 0.00 0.12 -0.12 0.01
SINCE SEP 1 2.03 6.58 -4.55 5.77
SINCE JAN 1 35.76 38.42 -2.66 43.25
SNOWFALL (IN)
TODAY 0.0 MM MM 0.0 0.0 0.0
MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SINCE SEP 1 0.0 0.2 -0.2 0.0
SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.2 -0.2 0.0
SNOW DEPTH 0
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
TODAY 3 15 -12 17
MONTH TO DATE 3 15 -12 17
SINCE SEP 1 151 364 -213 257
SINCE JUL 1 151 367 -216 266
COOLING
TODAY 0 0 0 0
MONTH TO DATE 0 0 0 0
SINCE SEP 1 341 169 172 223
SINCE JAN 1 1413 1160 253 1315
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 9 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION S (200)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 13 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION SW (230)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 4.5
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.9
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 55
LOWEST 35
AVERAGE 45
..........................................................
THE CINCINNATI OH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 60 81 1987
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 39 23 1934
1951
1996
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
NOVEMBER 1 2026......SUNRISE 7:06 AM EST SUNSET 5:38 PM EST
NOVEMBER 2 2026......SUNRISE 7:07 AM EST SUNSET 5:37 PM EST
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: CINCINNATI OH Nov 1 Climate Report: High: 68 Low: 56 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
47
Telus says 'small number' of calls interrupted in Eastern Canada on Thursday An outage map on the Telus website showed issues with phone and wireless services in several provinces on Thursday, but the company reported that issues in Ontario have since been resolved. Source: Telus says 'small number' of calls interrupted in Eastern Canada on Thursday----------------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
48
HARTFORD CT Nov 4 Climate Report: High: 76 Low: 48 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"581
CDUS41 KBOX 042123
CLIBDL
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA
423 PM EST WED NOV 04 2026
...................................
...THE HARTFORD CT CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR NOVEMBER 4 2026...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1904 TO 2026
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MAXIMUM 76 156 PM 78 1987 56 20 58
MINIMUM 48 442 AM 23 1951 36 12 37
1984
AVERAGE 62 46 16 48
PRECIPITATION (IN)
TODAY 0.00 2.14 1955 0.11 -0.11 0.00
MONTH TO DATE 0.00 0.45 -0.45 0.12
SINCE SEP 1 7.96 9.36 -1.40 8.14
SINCE JAN 1 38.79 39.91 -1.12 41.45
SNOWFALL (IN)
TODAY 0.0 T 1972 0.0 0.0 0.0
MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.0
SINCE SEP 1 0.0 0.8 -0.8 0.0
SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.8 -0.8 0.0
SNOW DEPTH 0
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
TODAY 3 19 -16 17
MONTH TO DATE 40 73 -33 76
SINCE SEP 1 472 548 -76 467
SINCE JUL 1 474 556 -82 486
COOLING
TODAY 0 0 0 0
MONTH TO DATE 0 0 0 0
SINCE SEP 1 78 94 -16 81
SINCE JAN 1 897 819 78 852
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 21 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION S (180)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 26 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION S (170)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 8.7
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.3
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.
FOG
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 97 600 AM
LOWEST 46 100 PM
AVERAGE 72
..........................................................
THE HARTFORD CT CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 56 78 2022
2024
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 36 21 1952
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
NOVEMBER 4 2026......SUNRISE 627 AM EST SUNSET 441 PM EST
NOVEMBER 5 2026......SUNRISE 628 AM EST SUNSET 440 PM EST
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: HARTFORD CT Nov 4 Climate Report: High: 76 Low: 48 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"---------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
49
[Delayed Report] 3 N Crossroads [Pearl River Co, MS] Public reports Flash Flood at 1 Nov, 1:30 AM CST -- Delayed Report. A video on social media showed a section of Wheatfield Road north of MS Highway 43 was completely washed out.465
NWUS54 KLIX 012343
LSRLIX
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
543 PM CST Sun Nov 1 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0130 AM Flash Flood 3 N Crossroads 30.83N 89.78W
11/01/2026 Pearl River MS Public
Delayed Report. A video on social media
showed a section of Wheatfield Road north of
MS Highway 43 was completely washed out.
&&
$$
MEFFER
Source: [Delayed Report] 3 N Crossroads [Pearl River Co, MS] Public reports Flash Flood at 1 Nov, 1:30 AM CST -- Delayed Report. A video on social media showed a section of Wheatfield Road north of MS Highway 43 was completely washed out.--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
50
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 3, 12:10 PM CST ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...214
FXUS64 KMOB 031810
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1210 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1204 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
- A High Risk of life-threatening rip currents exists at all area
beaches through tonight. Surf heights up to 5 feet are
expected, creating rough surf on area beaches.
- Moderate to strong easterly winds will create hazardous
conditions for small craft into Wednesday.
- A cold front will move through the area late Wednesday, with a
few periods of rainshowers and thunderstorms across the area.
The threat for severe thunderstorms is low at this time.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1204 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
Through Thursday, an upper low moving east over the northern/central
Plains with a trough stretching south over the southern Plains
contends with an upper ridge over the eastern Conus and another
upper low that develops off the East Coast through Wednesday. As the
Plains system pushes east, the upper ridge deflects the main part of
the system northeast. Guidance is advertising the trough south of
the main system taking a negative tilt as it moves over the Lower
Mississippi River Valley to over the Southeast, but with the
northeast deflection of the main system, the better enhancement of
the dynamics also gets deflected generally north of us here on
the northern Gulf coast. Timing of this system is more consistent
than previous days, with the initial rainshowers and thunderstorms
developing on the north-central Gulf coast Tuesday afternoon.
Overnight Tuesday night, we have MLCapes of 800-1300J/kg along
with EBWD shear around 35kts. Guidance is advertising an 850mb
passing over the western half of the Southeast, with the strongest
part of the jet being over the northern part of the region and
Tennessee River Valley. The jet is strong enough for guidance to
advertise Tds increasing into the low 70s into Wednesday. Guidance
is advertising 0-1km helicities > 100m^s/2^s over areas north of
Highway 84 overnight. All in all, there is a low chance of rowdy
storms Tuesday night. Low, but feel not zero. Wind damage, maybe
a spinner, are the primary threats. Mid level lapse rates are low
(helped by the instability limiting mid level height falls being
very, very limited over the northern Gulf Coast), so the chance of
large hail is expected to be small. Timing is soon after sunset
over western portions of the forecast area moving to near the
Tombigbee River by sunrise Wednesday. Heading into Wednesday, the
increased dewpoints help instability to rise a bit (MLCapes rising
into the 1000-1500J/kg range), but with the upper dynamics moving
off, the better wind shear and upper support moves east or
northeast, respectively, of the forecast area. A slowing cold
front begins moving across the forecast area Wednesday, providing
the oomph for another round of rainshowers and thunderstorms, with
the better coverage being over northern and eastern portion of
the forecast area. The risk of rowdy storms decreases though the
morning as the instability and upper dynamics separate. Still a
possibility, though, with wind damage the primary threat. Will
continue to monitor. As of this writing, SPC has placed the
forecast area under a general thunder coverage for Tuesday night
through Wednesday.
Later Wednesday through Friday night, the weakening cold front
stalls over the forecast area Wednesday evening. The wind shift in
the guidance places the front stalling roughly along I-65. So far,
using the dew point front as a guide, drier air approaches the
northwestern quarter of the forecast area by Thursday evening, but
stalling. Comparing the deterministic and ensembles, there continues
to be inconsistency. Another upper level shortwave trough passes
north of the forecast area Friday, with the front moving south of
the forecast area by Friday evening, and cooler, drier airmass
beings to move over the forecast area for the weekend.
There is consistency in temperatures remain above seasonal norms
through Friday. High temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s
expected. Low temperatures in the mid to upper 60s tonight fall into
the around 50 northwest of low 60s near the coast Thursday night
with the decrease in low level southerly flow over the north-central
Gulf coast combined with clearing skies. Behind the front, low
temperatures drop into the upper 40s north of Highway 84 to mid 50s
south of I-10 expected Friday night.
Saturday through the Tuesday, guidance is advertising another upper
system approaching the Southeast. Handling of this system is very
inconsistent in the guidance, with some advertising the system
getting caught in an upper ridge that has built north west of the
Rockies and stalling over the Southern Plains, whilst others
advertise the upper system getting caught in a mean upper trough
digging south over the eastern Conus and moving off. The current
forecast is based upon the upper system moving over the Southeast as
it gets caught in the upper rough, bringing a reinforcing short of
cooler, drier northerly airmass to the forecast. Temperatures drop
to below seasonal norms for Sunday and Monday, with a dry forecast
indicated.
/16
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1143 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
MVFR ceilings improve to mostly VFR this afternoon, then lower to
MVFR this evening, with the potential for IFR/LIFR ceilings with
possible fog late tonight. Conditions improve to MVFR/VFR
Wednesday morning. Isolated to scattered showers will be possible
through much of the period. Southeasterly winds around 10 knots
diminish to 5 knots or less this evening, then a mainly southerly
flow at 5-10 knots develops Wednesday morning. /29
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1204 PM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
A moderate to strong easterly flow continues today. Winds
will shift southeasterly to southerly tonight as a system approaches
the area. Winds weaken to a light southerly flow Wednesday, becoming
a light and variable flow Thursday into Friday as a cold front
stalls north of the coast Wednesday night. Winds shift out of the
north, becoming light to moderate late Friday night into the weekend
as the cold front moves south over area waters. Seas of 5 to 6 feet
today gradually decrease through mid-week.
/16
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 66 83 63 82 / 20 30 30 10
Pensacola 70 81 68 80 / 50 20 0 20
Destin 71 80 69 80 / 70 40 10 20
Evergreen 64 83 61 81 / 60 60 30 40
Waynesboro 64 81 53 81 / 20 40 10 10
Camden 64 80 59 77 / 70 70 30 10
Crestview 67 83 64 82 / 70 50 0 30
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday afternoon for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for GMZ650-655-
670-675.
&&
$$
Source: MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 3, 12:10 PM CST ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
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