ThreatWeb

085 
WGUS83 KLMK 091558
FLSLMK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1058 AM CDT Wed Apr 9 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Kentucky...

  Green River near Mammoth Cave affecting Edmonson County.

  Green River at Woodbury affecting Butler and Warren Counties.

  Green River at Rochester affecting Muhlenberg, Ohio and Butler 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Flooding is occurring or is imminent. Most flood related deaths 
occur in automobiles. Do not attempt to cross water covered bridges, 
dips, or low water crossings. Never try to cross a flowing stream, 
even a small one, on foot. To escape rising water find another route 
over higher ground.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lmk.

The next statement will be issued by late tonight at 500 AM CDT.

&&

KYC061-101000-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-250410T2138Z/
/MMCK2.2.ER.250404T0737Z.250406T1545Z.250410T1538Z.UU/
1058 AM CDT Wed Apr 9 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Green River near Mammoth Cave.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 42.0 feet, Echo River Spring Trail and parking lot 
  are under water and not accessible.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 45.3 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 20.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tomorrow morning and continue falling to 18.7 feet
    Monday morning.
  - Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3719 8604 3715 8611 3713 8641 3724 8641
      3724 8617 3728 8610


$$

KYC031-227-101000-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-250414T0345Z/
/WDHK2.3.ER.250403T2210Z.250407T0430Z.250413T2145Z.NO/
1058 AM CDT Wed Apr 9 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Green River at Woodbury.

* WHEN...Until late Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 38.0 feet, KY 403 between James McKinney bridge and 
  Three Tile Lane floods. US 231 south of Sawmill Road in Morgantown 
  floods.
  At 40.0 feet, US 231 at Russellville Road and the William Natcher 
  Parkway interchange floods. Morgantown High School is cutoff.
  At 41.0 feet, Water approaches KY 403 on opposite side of town 
  near levy. Travel is difficult into town.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 42.6 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 24.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Sunday afternoon and continue falling to 22.3 feet Monday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3713 8641 3716 8665 3728 8680 3739 8678
      3728 8659 3724 8641


$$

KYC031-177-183-101000-
/O.CON.KLMK.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RCHK2.3.ER.250403T2232Z.250409T0715Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1058 AM CDT Wed Apr 9 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Green River at Rochester.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 47.0 feet, Rochester is cutoff.
  At 50.0 feet, Water approaches first floor of some homes in 
  Rochester. Several county roads closed.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 53.0 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 34.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is currently near crest.
  - Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    50.7 feet on 03/07/1997.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3728 8680 3718 8690 3727 8697 3739 8678


$$

RAS

812 
NOUS41 KILN 082226 CCA
PNSILN
INZ073-082330-

Public Information Statement...Corrected for spelling
National Weather Service Wilmington OH 
622 PM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025

...Tornado confirmed in Ripley County, Indiana...

...Updated NWS Damage Survey for 03/30/205 Tornado Event...

.Napoleon...

Rating:                 EF0
Estimated Peak Wind:    80 mph
Path Length /statute/:  2.20 miles
Path Width /maximum/:   100 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start Date:             03/30/2025
Start Time:             07:54 PM EDT
Start Location:         2 WSW Napoleon / Ripley County / IN
Start Lat/Lon:          39.1901 / -85.369

End Date:               03/30/2025
End Time:               07:56 PM EDT
End Location:           1 S Napoleon / Ripley County / IN
End Lat/Lon:            39.1973 / -85.3298

Survey Summary:
The statement provides the final information on the previously
confirmed EF0 tornado southwest of Napoleon Indiana. Damage from
the tornado was first noted west of North County Road 600 West,
where trees, outbuildings, and one home were damaged. As the
tornado continued northeast toward Napoleon, a few outbuildings were
damaged south of West County Road 850 North. The final damage
from the tornado was observed along North Old Michigan Road
directly south of Napoleon, where it is believed to have
dissipated before a new tornado formed southwest of Sunman
Indiana. 

The National Weather Service in Wilmington would like to
thank Ripley County Emergency Management Agency for providing
information to assist with this survey. 

&&

EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the
following categories:

EF0.....65 to 85 mph
EF1.....86 to 110 mph
EF2.....111 to 135 mph
EF3.....136 to 165 mph
EF4.....166 to 200 mph
EF5.....>200 mph

NOTE:
The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to
change pending final review of the event and publication in
NWS Storm Data.


$$

NM/BPP

847 
FXUS61 KBOX 031936
AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
336 PM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

.SYNOPSIS...

A few Light rain showers are possible this evening with the 
passage of a weak cold front. More light rain likely overnight 
near the southcoast as the cold front stalls. Drying and 
clearing trend for Friday with mild daytime temperatures. 
Turning unsettled this weekend with rain chances both of the 
days along with below normal temperatures on Saturday to 
slightly above normal on Sunday. Though there is some 
uncertainty with how warm it may become Sunday. Drying out 
Monday, but cooler temperatures return for the week ahead with 
unsettled conditions Tuesday and perhaps late next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...

A weak cold front drops south through southern New England this 
evening, bringing more scattered light showers and possibly a rumble 
or two of thunder near the south coast, where residual instability 
remains. The front wont make it much further than the south coast 
before stalling as a weak low-pressure system rides along it 
overnight. This will likely bring another round of light rain to the 
areas, mainly along the south coast but as far north as the MA Pike. 
Despite the cold fronts passage, we wont see much clearing or 
cooling. Low to mid-level clouds will stick around all night and 
help hold overnight lows in the upper 40s to low 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...

Dry northerly air pushes out any remaining showers by mid-Friday 
morning, with clearing skies from north to south. With 850mb 
temperatures still around +8C, high temperatures will be able to 
jump back into the low to mid-60s, with low 70s possible in Eastern 
MA. Winds remain from the NW Friday at 10-20mph. 

Rising heights Friday night will keep things dry, but expect 
increasing mid- to upper-level cloud cover ahead of the next 
shortwave.  Calm winds overnight will help radiational cooling bring 
lows into the upper 30s to low 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

Key Messages:

* Less than ideal conditions this weekend with rain chances and a 
  cooler feel due to a backdoor cold front. 

* Cooler and unsettled conditions persist into early next week. 

Saturday through Sunday Night: Anticipate broad area of high 
pressure to build across southwestern Quebec, anticyclonic flow 
brings a backdoor cold front and ushers cooler marine air as result 
of the northeast to east flow. 925mb temperatures decrease Saturday 
to +/-1C, resulting in afternoon highs from the middle to upper 40s. 
The surface high shifts to the east and the warm front lifts north 
which shifts wind direction to southwest, advecting warmer and more 
moisture into southern New England by Sunday. A forecast challenge 
on Sunday, how far north does the warm sector reach? The trailing 
cold front is not too far removed. Deterministic guidance, have the 
warm sector mostly suppressed to the south, with limited warmer air 
aloft moving out before early afternoon, limiting heating potential 
for the afternoon. Appears to be the theme amongst the deterministic 
guidance, cooler than 00z run and moving the warm sector out quicker 
too. Spread in temperatures are shown easily on DESI, viewing the 
10th and 90th percentile of the NBM, has a spread of 20 degrees for 
almost the entire region, the exception is Cape Cod and the Islands 
where the spread is much less, less than 7 degrees. As result did 
deviate from the warmer NBM solution by blending in the cooler 
CONSMOS guidance, resulting highs are middle 50s to near 60F. As for 
precipitation this weekend, PWATs range between 1.3" and 1.5" which 
is 2-3 standard deviations above normal. Rain arrives late Saturday 
morning into early afternoon, from west to east. Expect 
precipitation to persist through Sunday as the associated low-
pressure system traverses the region Saturday night through Sunday 
evening. During this time frame, cannot rule out rumbles of thunder, 
SREF has fairly low probabilities of MUCAPE exceeding 250J/kg at 30% 
across southwestern New England. As the cold front exits Sunday 
night into early Monday morning, enough cold air advects in behind 
the front and may change the rain to a sleet/snow mix in the higher 
terrain of northern and western Massachusetts. 

 
Monday though Thursday: Briefly drier conditions on Monday, though 
the next system is not too far off as a low-pressure system moves 
into northern New England from the Great Lakes region for Tuesday. 
The exact positioning is uncertain as guidance ranges from roughly 
Albany, NY to Montreal. The system lacks moisture, PWATs fall from 
0.4" to 0.2" during Tuesday morning, but cold air aloft and marginal 
surface temperatures in the higher elevations, AOA 1,000 FT, may 
lead to a snow/rain mix, with spotty rain showers in the lower 
elevations. A quick break on Wednesday is followed by another quick 
moving system late next week. As for temperatures, trending slightly 
below normal with highs in the 40s, but cooler across interior 
southern New England in the mid 30s, this if for Monday thru 
Wednesday, perhaps nearing the 50s Thursday. Lows in the 30s Monday 
night, followed by lows in the 20s Tuesday night and Wednesday 
night.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Rest of Today...Moderate Confidence.

Widespread IFR stratus with light mist/drizzle. Areas of LIFR 
with areas of dense fog developing along the south coast and
Cape/Islands mid- late afternoon. Increasing SW winds with 
gusts to 25-35 kt developing.

Tonight...Moderate Confidence.

IFR/LIFR in the early evening hours ahead of a cold front. The
cold front moves from north to south between 01-05z this
evening. There could be some light showers associated with the
cold front which was handled with prob30s for -SHRA at most 
terminals. CIGS will gradually rise back to MVFR/VFR levels 
behind the cold front. Weak low pressure system traverse near 
the south coast late overnight which will bring light showers 
and MVFR CIGS through about 06-12z. These showers should stay 
mainly south of the MA pike.

Friday... High Confidence

VFR. West/northwest winds at 10 knots gusting 20 knots.

Friday Night... High Confidence

VFR. Light northerly winds under 10 knots.

BOS TAF...Moderate confidence. 

IFR/MVFR this afternoon with light mist/drizzle. Cold front
could bring some light showers this evening between 01-03z with
gradual improvement of CIGS to MVFR/VFR this evening.  

BDL TAF...Moderate confidence. 

IFR this afternoon with light mist/drizzle. Cigs gradually
improve to MVFR this evening. A weak low will bring light rain
overnight with gradual clearing conditions by morning. 

Outlook /Saturday through Tuesday/... 

Saturday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Breezy. SHRA,
chance FZRA.

Saturday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Breezy.
SHRA.

Sunday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Breezy. Chance
SHRA.

Sunday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. SHRA
likely.

Monday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Slight chance SHRA.

Monday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Slight
chance SHRA, slight chance SHSN.

Tuesday: Breezy. Chance SHRA.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent. 
Medium - 30 to 60 percent. 
High - greater than 60 percent.

Tonight through Friday night...High confidence.

Gusty SW winds at 20-30 knots continue this evening before diminishing 
as a cold front approaches and stalls near the southern waters. 
Light rain showers are possible overnight as a weak low pressure 
systems moves from west to east tonight. Winds shift NW at 10-15 
knots late overnight and remain there for Friday. 

Seas this evening remain elevated around 4-8 feet, diminishing to 3-6 
feet by Friday morning. Seas drop to 2-4 feet by Friday
afternoon.

Outlook /Saturday through Tuesday/...

Saturday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching
5 ft. Chance of rain showers. 

Saturday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Rain showers. 

Sunday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up
to 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Chance of rain showers. 

Sunday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Rain
showers. 

Monday: Winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas. Chance of rain
showers. 

Monday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching
5 ft. Chance of rain showers. 

Tuesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Chance of rain
showers. 

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for ANZ230.
     Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for ANZ231-251.
     Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Friday for ANZ232>234.
     Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Friday for ANZ235-237.
     Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Friday for ANZ236.
     Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Friday for ANZ250.
     Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for ANZ254>256.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Dooley/KP
NEAR TERM...KP
SHORT TERM...KP
LONG TERM...Dooley
AVIATION...Dooley/KP
MARINE...Dooley/KP

246 
WGUS84 KMOB 071437
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
937 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Alabama...

  Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam affecting Clarke, Monroe and 
  Wilcox Counties.

For the Alabama River...including Millers Ferry Dam, Claiborne Dam...
Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued when updates occur.


&&

ALC025-099-131-081445-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0023.250409T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLBA1.1.ER.250409T1200Z.250412T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
937 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER 
NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Alabama River near Claiborne Dam.

* WHEN...From Wednesday morning until further notice.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 AM CDT Monday the stage was 30.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    Wednesday morning and continue rising to a crest of 47.8 feet
    early Saturday morning.
  - Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3184 8756 3184 8738 3146 8753 3114 8786
      3114 8797 3150 8766


$$

987 
WGUS81 KCLE 080203
FLSCLE

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1003 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Ohio...

  Scioto River Near Prospect affecting Marion and Delaware Counties.

  Killbuck Creek Near Killbuck affecting Holmes and Wayne Counties.

For the Scioto River...including Larue, Prospect...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Killbuck Creek...including Killbuck...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/cle.

The next statement will be issued Tuesday morning at 815 AM EDT.

&&

OHC041-101-081215-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-250408T2300Z/
/PRGO1.1.ER.250405T1024Z.250405T1615Z.250408T1700Z.NO/
1003 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Scioto River near Prospect.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow evening.

* IMPACTS...At 13.0 feet, Water covers large stretches of River Road 
  and portions of Route 257 north of Route 36 in northwest Delaware 
  county.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 PM EDT Monday the stage was 12.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Tuesday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety
    and preparedness information.

&&

LAT...LON 4052 8324 4055 8318 4028 8314 4028 8318


$$

OHC075-169-081215-
/O.EXT.KCLE.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-250412T0000Z/
/KILO1.2.ER.250405T1037Z.250406T1345Z.250411T1800Z.NO/
1003 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Killbuck Creek near Killbuck.

* WHEN...Until Friday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, Private property on Water Street in the 
  Village of Killbuck flooded. Several county and local roads 
  impassable including State Route 60 south and County Road 621.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 PM EDT Monday the stage was 16.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    early Friday afternoon and continue falling to 13.3 feet
    Saturday evening.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.

  - Please visit www.weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety
    and preparedness information.

&&

LAT...LON 4099 8203 4099 8193 4067 8190 4045 8191
      4045 8202 4067 8202


$$

Sullivan