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31
PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 15, 5:31 AM CDT833
FXUS63 KPAH 151031
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
531 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A dangerous late season heat wave with high temperatures near
or at record levels will begin today and continue through most
of the week.
- A Heat Advisory will be in effect this afternoon through
Wednesday evening for the entire area. The Heat Advisory may
need to be extended to Thursday or Friday as well.
- Cooler and less humid conditions will arrive Sunday and
Monday, along with a 20 to 40% chance of showers and
thunderstorms on both days.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 531 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026
Updated Aviation discussion for the 12z TAF issuance.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1052 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2026
The much-advertised late season heat wave begins today, as very
strong H5 ridging becomes centered over the area. The latest
ensemble guidance continues to show H5 heights around 600 dm and
850mb temperatures peaking around 20-22C each afternoon through
at least Thursday. Both values are at the climatological
maximum for the time of year. This will yield maximum
temperatures in the middle to upper 90s (possibly isolated low
100s) and minimum temperatures in the lower to middle 70s
during this time. Both the forecast high and low temperatures
will approach or break record hot/warm values this week. See the
Climate section below for more details. Humidity values will be
greatest today and Wednesday, with dew point temperatures
reaching the lower 70s. This will yield widespread heat index
values around 105 degrees today and Wednesday. The current Heat
Advisory runs through 7 PM CDT Wednesday.
On Thursday and Friday, dew point temperatures will begin to
draw downward into the middle to upper 60s due to moisture being
extracted from the soil. Air temperatures will still be in the
upper 90s for most locations, but there is more uncertainty
regarding if the heat index values will breach the triple
digits. However, given the late season nature of the heat and
impacts to outdoor activities, an extension of the Heat
Advisory through the end of the work week is possible.
The H5 ridge will begin to break down this weekend, but high
temperatures will still reach the lower to middle 90s on
Saturday. However, there is better model agreement that some
noticeable relief from the heat will arrive beginning Sunday
into early next week as frontal boundary attempts to move south
through the area. This will yield high temperatures in the upper
80s to lower 90s on Sunday and lower to middle 80s on Monday.
Additionally, there may be enough moisture and forcing from the
cold front to kick off isolated to widely scattered showers and
thunderstorms on both days.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 531 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2026
The TAFs are VFR. Light south winds will this morning around 3-5
kts will increase and veer to the SW around 7-12 kts with gusts
up to 15-20 kts possible through this afternoon. Tonight winds
will relax and back to the south again around 3-5 kts. FEW-SCT
high-based CU will develop late this morning through the
afternoon, with bases around 7-12kft. Tonight, lingering mid-
level cloud decks will linger at MVN, EVV, and OWB.
&&
.CLIMATE...
Issued at 1052 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2026
Record high temperatures for Tuesday, Sep 15:
CGI: 96 (2025)
MDH: 106 (1939)
EVV: 99 (1939)
PAH: 102 (1939)
POF: 101 (1939)
Record high temperatures for Wednesday, Sep 16:
CGI: 99 (2019)
MDH: 101 (1927)
EVV: 99 (1898)
PAH: 97 (2019)
POF: 101 (1927)
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT Wednesday
for ILZ075>078-080>094.
MO...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT Wednesday
for MOZ076-086-087-100.
Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Wednesday for MOZ107>112-114.
IN...Heat Advisory from 11 AM CDT /noon EDT/ this morning to 7 PM
CDT /8 PM EDT/ Wednesday for INZ081-082-085>088.
KY...Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT Wednesday
for KYZ004-005-007>022.
Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Wednesday for KYZ001>003-006.
&&
$$
UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...DWS
AVIATION...DWS
CLIMATE...DWS
Source: PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 15, 5:31 AM CDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
32
LMK issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 16, 2:05 AM EDT ...Updated Aviation Discussion...354
FXUS63 KLMK 160605
AFDLMK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
205 AM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026
...Updated Aviation Discussion...
.KEY MESSAGES...
* Heat Advisory is in effect and has been extended through the day
Thursday.
* Unseasonably hot temperatures will continue until the end of the
week. Daily highs in the in the mid/upper 90s with heat index
values above 100 to 105 degrees. Overnight lows only bottom out in
the low/mid 70s.
* Mainly dry through the end of the week with low end (10% or less)
chance of isolates showers or storms.
* Low (10-30%) rain chances return late in the week into the
weekend, with a significant cooldown unlikely through Sunday.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 247 PM EDT Tue Sep 15 2026
Late season heat will be the main impact through the end of the
week as we will remain under a very strong 600 dm upper ridge. Heat
Advisory remains in effect and was extended through the day Thursday
for most of central and western KY and all of southern IN. Locations
inside the advisory will experience daily highs in the mid to upper
90s with heat index values ranging from 100-105 degrees. At night,
temperatures will remain unseasonably warm with overnight lows in
the low to mid 70s. Outside of the advisory, across the Bluegrass
and along and east of the I-75 corridor, it will still be very warm
but highs will be in the low 90s with heat index values in the upper
90s. Each day the wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) will be around
or above 85 and up to 88 degrees. The Heat Advisory may need to be
extended into Friday but with a few counties trimmed to the north
and east as the overall ridge starts to flatten out, retrogrades
to the west and a cold front drops southward towards the Ohio River.
Cold front currently over the Upper Midwest will slowly work east-
southeast into northern and central IN later tonight. With 850
temperatures around 20-22 degrees and the influence of the strong
upper ridge and sfc high, and convection that gets fired should
diminish as it moves southward towards the Ohio River. There is just
a small chance (less than 10 percent) that any precipitation works
into the region overnight. By tomorrow morning, the cold front
should stall just to our north and then begin to lift northward as a
warm front. Some of the hi-res models want to show isolated activity
across the area tomorrow afternoon but current thinking is we stay
mostly dry and confidence in this scenario remains low.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 247 PM EDT Tue Sep 15 2026
By the end of the week the warm front will sag south as a cold front
and stall near the Ohio River once again, This will bring an
increased chance of showers and storms (10-30 percent) mainly across
southern IN and east of I-65. As of now activity looks relatively
scattered to isolated with low QPF. This will bring slightly cooler
temperatures with highs in the low/mid 90s and upper 80s across the
Bluegrass. Heat advisory may need to remain in place for locations
to the west and south for the end of the week.
The weekend looks to be split with temperatures still remaining
unseasonably warm on Saturday as the aforementioned front lifts back
north as a warm front allowing for high to get back to around the
mid 90s and mostly dry but a weak shortwave trough working over the
top of the retrograding upper ridge will push a stronger cold front
through by the end of the weekend and into early next week. We will
see an increased chance of showers and storms with this system and
cooler temperatures into the 80s by the start of next week.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 205 AM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026
VFR conditions are expected to continue through the forecast period.
Besides some high level clouds at times, skies will remain clear.
Winds out of the south will begin to veer towards the southwest
before backing towards the south again Wednesday night.
&&
.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ Thursday for
KYZ023>034-038-045-046-053-054-061>065-070>077-081.
IN...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ Thursday for
INZ076>079-083-084-089>092.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...BTN
LONG TERM...BTN
AVIATION...KDW
Source: LMK issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 16, 2:05 AM EDT ...Updated Aviation Discussion...--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
33
JKL issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 15, 2:05 PM EDT887
FXUS63 KJKL 151805
AFDJKL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
205 PM EDT Tue Sep 15 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Above normal temperatures return for today through Saturday.
- Near-record heat is possible Thursday with high temperatures
expected around 90 degrees in many locations.
- Isolated to scattered showers and storms re-enter the forecast
on Thursday afternoon, then persist through the weekend. Most of
this activity will be limited to the afternoon/evening hours.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 720 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2026
No significant changes were made to the forecast with mainly just
the inclusion of the latest obs and trends for the T/Td/Sky grids.
These minor adjustments have been sent to the NDFD and web servers
along with a freshening of the zones.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 430 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2026
08Z sfc analysis shows high pressure northeast of the state
controlling the weather for eastern Kentucky. This has resulted in
a cooler night than we have seen in quite some time with clear
skies and areas of fog in the river valleys - locally dense in the
east. Meanwhile, amid light winds, temperatures range from the
the upper 50s north (and in the mid 50s for many of the sheltered
valleys) to the lower 60s over much of the south. Dewpoints
likewise varied from the mid 50s north to the lower 60s in the
south.
The models, and their individual ensemble suites, still continue
to be in close alignment aloft through the short term portion of
the forecast. They all depict an anomalously very strong 5h ridge
over the region holding firm through Wednesday evening with its
core pushing a rare 600 decameters over the heart of the Tennessee
Valley by that afternoon. This will keep all mid level activity
well to the north of the state and the full effect of the ridges
suppression will be in place over eastern Kentucky. Again
considering the very small model spread, much of the forecast
grids came from unadjusted NBM data this morning. However with the
lower dewpoint air in place today did include more terrain
distinction again tonight for the temperatures and lows tonight
while also drying out each afternoon's dewpoints to account for
deeper mixing and more dry air intrusion that allows. As for
PoPs, again saw no reason not to keep them at the NBM's near zero
values through the period while high pressure holds at the sfc
from the east and a front stays stuck well to the north.
Sensible weather will feature a decent amount of fog in the river
valleys - thickest in the southeast ones where dewpoint
depressions were smaller. Plenty of sunshine and warm air aloft
will send temperatures soaring across Kentucky today with similar
values anticipated for Wednesday. Both days will see Heat Indices
approach 100 degrees for a few spots in the west, but most of the
area will see values well away from Heat Advisory levels thanks to
drier afternoon humidity levels. For tonight, we can expect more
in the way of radiational cooling and a ridge to valley
temperature split favoring the MOS values for lows in the
sheltered low spots along with more in the way of late night river
valley fog.
The main changes to the NBM starting point were made to
temperatures and dewpoints - adjusted the T grids tonight for more
enhanced terrain details and the dewpoints lower during each
afternoon owing to a mixdown drier air. As for PoPs, they were
kept minimal and pretty much just as populated from the NBM -
again reasonable given the strong ridging holding aloft through
the breadth of the short term forecast period.
.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 400 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2026
The extended portion of the forecast remains on track with the
idea of a large 5h ridge weakening and drifting southwest a bit
through the rest of the week and into next weekend. This could
perhaps include the eastern Gulf or coastal southeast region
becoming more active late in the period - not necessarily a
recipe for helping to clear a 5h ridge to the north. The net
result will continue to mean temperatures staying unseasonable
warm and a limiting factor to the potential for widespread rain
for much of the time.
The previous long term discussion follows:
Ridging remains the dominant synoptic-scale weather feature across
the Eastern Kentucky for the duration of the long term forecast
period. When the period opens on Wednesday morning, a nearly 600
decameter ridge will be centered over the Tennessee River Valley, or
just to the south of the forecast area. The strength of this ridge
is quite impressive. These modeled geopotential heights rank among
the upper echelon of model climatology for this time of year. In
fact, mean LREF heights of 600 dm sit at the 100th percentile of
the dataset. This signal has been present in the data for multiple
runs in a row, which bolsters forecast confidence. The proximity
of this anomalously strong mid/upper atmospheric ridging should
accordingly yield mostly dry and unseasonably warm sensible
weather conditions across Eastern Kentucky. On Wednesday, expect
high temperatures in the lower 90s, mostly sunny skies, efficient
diurnal mixing processes, and overnight ridge-valley temperature
splits. Valley lows in the mid/upper 60s should be sufficient for
patchy fog formation near sources of water, while ridgetops and
the more exposed western locales could stay closer to the 70
degree mark.
Confidence in these dry/hot conditions is highest on Wednesday, as
the parent ridging will be closest to the JKL CWA in this time
frame. Large-scale subsidence and antecedent dry air throughout the
column will largely limit the potential for meaningful convection in
the initial stages of the period. The dry air (and mixed afternoon
dewpoints) should also prevent Eastern Kentucky from reaching heat
advisory criteria. Apparent temperatures peak in the upper 90s, but
remain largely below the triple digit mark. The heat continues into
Thursday, with similar forecast highs in the lower 90s and heat
indices in the upper 90s. While this may be enough to break the
record high at the Jackson climate site, this is only because the
previous record is a "weak" 90 degrees. The pattern actually looks
to shift a little bit on Thursday, and that shift will eventually
culminate in relief from the heat.
As the ridge retrogrades west a little bit, return flow around its
northern periphery will advect a plume of modified Gulf moisture
towards the CWA on Thursday. The presence of this moisture will
likely make it feel a couple of degrees warmer outside in the
western third of the CWA. Those western counties will remain closer
to the center of the ridge and thus under more of its influence.
Locales situated in the Bluegrass and near Lake Cumberland could
flirt with triple digit heat indices on Thursday, but this is
unlikely in counties further to the east. Isolated to scattered
general thunderstorm chances re-enter the forecast on Thursday
afternoon for locations along and east of the Pottsville Escarpment.
Similar, sub-50% PoPs remain in the grids through the weekend,
largely modulated by the diurnal instability cycle. These could
provide some localized pockets of relief from the heat before a more
robust pattern shift emerges early next week. The forecast guidance
suite continues to disagree on how exactly that pattern change
unfolds, but there is a notable increase in the spread between the
25th and 75th NBM temperature quartiles on Sunday and Monday. This
affirms the notion that the increased rain chances correspond with
increased forecast uncertainty surrounding the heat in the latter
stages of the period. However, there is a better-defined downward
trend in the temperatures early next week, with more compact model
spread and median values back in the upper 70s/near 80 degrees.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
ISSUED AT 158 PM EDT TUE SEP 15 2026
VFR conditions prevail at all TAF sites throughout the 18z
issuance period. Diurnal cumulus development has been observed in
this afternoon's satellite imagery, mostly across Southern
Kentucky. This cu field is not particularly robust due to the
presence of strong midlevel ridging and dry air throughout the
atmospheric column, but it has been included in the TAFs for KLOZ
and KSME. These two terminals are in closer proximity to the
existing and expanding cu field. Light and variable winds are
forecast at all terminals this afternoon. Isolated gusts up to 15
knots cannot be ruled out in locales that experience deeper
diurnal mixing. Once the sun goes down and the diurnal cu/mixing
processes subside, fog will eventually develop in the typical
river valley locales. That fog is not currently forecast to impact
any TAF sites though, and the terminals should remain above P6SM
VFR vsby criteria through tomorrow morning.
&&
.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...GREIF
SHORT TERM...GREIF
LONG TERM...MARCUS/GREIF
AVIATION...MARCUS
Source: JKL issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 15, 2:05 PM EDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
34
1 E Richmond [Wayne Co, IN] Broadcast Media reports Flash Flood at 7:40 PM EDT -- Southeast Parkway, near Glen Miller Parkway, was covered by about a foot of pooled water.767
NWUS51 KILN 162349
LSRILN
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
749 PM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0740 PM Flash Flood 1 E Richmond 39.83N 84.87W
09/16/2026 Wayne IN Broadcast Media
Southeast Parkway, near Glen Miller Parkway,
was covered by about a foot of pooled water.
&&
$$
Source: 1 E Richmond [Wayne Co, IN] Broadcast Media reports Flash Flood at 7:40 PM EDT -- Southeast Parkway, near Glen Miller Parkway, was covered by about a foot of pooled water.--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
35
Students turn out in force for mayoral debate — with empty chair for incumbent A student issues debate filled up a 400-seat lecture hall at Carleton University on Tuesday evening as mayoral challengers looked to win over young voters who're hoping they'll have clout in October. Source: Students turn out in force for mayoral debate — with empty chair for incumbent----------------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
36
WORCESTER MA Sep 14 Climate Report: High: 68 Low: 61 Precip: Trace Snow: 0.0"038
CDUS41 KBOX 142127
CLIORH
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA
527 PM EDT MON SEP 14 2026
...................................
...THE WORCESTER MA CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 14 2026...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0500 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1892 TO 2026
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MAXIMUM 68 238 PM 90 1915 72 -4 75
MINIMUM 61 728 AM 34 1911 54 7 58
1943
AVERAGE 65 63 2 67
PRECIPITATION (IN)
TODAY T 1.59 1989 0.15 -0.15 0.01
MONTH TO DATE 2.42 1.88 0.54 2.42
SINCE SEP 1 2.42 1.88 0.54 2.42
SINCE JAN 1 32.43 32.78 -0.35 32.64
SNOWFALL (IN)
TODAY 0.0 0.0 2000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001
2002
MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SINCE SEP 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
TODAY 0 4 -4 0
MONTH TO DATE 10 37 -27 29
SINCE SEP 1 10 37 -27 29
SINCE JUL 1 15 69 -54 69
COOLING
TODAY 0 2 -2 2
MONTH TO DATE 20 34 -14 14
SINCE SEP 1 20 34 -14 14
SINCE JAN 1 597 485 112 576
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 22 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION NW (310)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 30 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION NW (310)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 14.9
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.3
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.
LIGHT RAIN
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 100 1200 AM
LOWEST 37 400 PM
AVERAGE 69
..........................................................
THE WORCESTER MA CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 71 92 1915
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 54 35 1926
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
SEPTEMBER 14 2026.....SUNRISE 626 AM EDT SUNSET 659 PM EDT
SEPTEMBER 15 2026.....SUNRISE 627 AM EDT SUNSET 657 PM EDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: WORCESTER MA Sep 14 Climate Report: High: 68 Low: 61 Precip: Trace Snow: 0.0"---------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
37
LIX issues Marine Warning [waterspout: POSSIBLE, wind: 34 KTS, hail: 0.00 IN] for Coastal Waters from Port Fourchon LA to Lower Atchafalaya River LA out 20 nm, Terrebonne Bay [GM] till Sep 12, 2:15 PM CDT494
WHUS54 KLIX 121744
SMWLIX
GMZ541-551-121915-
/O.NEW.KLIX.MA.W.0337.260912T1744Z-260912T1915Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Special Marine Warning
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
1244 PM CDT Sat Sep 12 2026
The National Weather Service in New Orleans has issued a
* Special Marine Warning for...
Terrebonne Bay...
Coastal Waters from Port Fourchon LA to Lower Atchafalaya River LA
out 20 nm...
* Until 215 PM CDT.
* At 1244 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms capable of producing
waterspouts were located along a line from 9 NM west of Golden
Meadow to 6 NM southeast of Point Au Fer Island, or along a line
from 10 NM north of Timbalier Bay to 6 NM southeast of Point Au Fer
Island, moving southeast at 5 knots.
HAZARD...Waterspouts and wind gusts to 34 knots.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Waterspouts can easily overturn boats and create locally
hazardous seas. Small craft could be damaged in briefly
higher winds and suddenly higher waves.
* Locations impacted include...
Isle Derniers, Terrebonne Bay, Caillou Bay, Timbalier Island and
Timbalier Bay.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Move to safe harbor until hazardous weather passes.
Frequent lightning is occurring with these storms. If caught on the
open water stay below deck if possible, keep away from ungrounded
metal objects.
&&
LAT...LON 2926 9120 2934 9113 2933 9108 2926 9108
2931 9102 2924 9076 2922 9078 2921 9075
2925 9068 2932 9064 2940 9049 2935 9040
2937 9035 2930 9032 2923 9021 2919 9023
2910 9019 2905 9019 2897 9055 2901 9122
TIME...MOT...LOC 1744Z 305DEG 5KT 2935 9044 2913 9073 2924 9113
WATERSPOUT...POSSIBLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...34 KTS
$$
HRL
Source: LIX issues Marine Warning [waterspout: POSSIBLE, wind: 34 KTS, hail: 0.00 IN] for Coastal Waters from Port Fourchon LA to Lower Atchafalaya River LA out 20 nm, Terrebonne Bay [GM] till Sep 12, 2:15 PM CDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
38
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 14, 12:38 AM CDT ...New AVIATION, MARINE...189
FXUS64 KMOB 140538
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1238 AM CDT Mon Sep 14 2026
...New AVIATION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1230 AM CDT Mon Sep 14 2026
- Heat index values of 100-107 are expected for Monday and
Tuesday.
- A High Risk of rip currents is expected for Wednesday and
Thursday.
- Moderate to strong easterly winds may create hazardous
conditions for small craft over the open Gulf from late Tuesday
night through Thursday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1122 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026
An upper ridge builds over the region through Monday and persists
until retreating from the area later in the week in response to
an upper low which advances from the far western Atlantic into the
eastern Gulf. A surface ridge over the interior eastern states
builds into the southeastern states through midweek which results
in an easterly surface flow setting up over the forecast area on
Tuesday. Despite subsidence associated with the upper ridge
building into the area, may see isolated showers and storms
develop Monday afternoon over southeast Mississippi and
southwestern Alabama aided by the sea breeze and a series of weak
upper level shortwaves. With subsidence effects becoming more
pronounced on Tuesday, anticipate dry conditions to prevail
although may see some convective development over extreme
southeast Mississippi. A surge in the easterly winds accompanying
the surface ridge building into the region looks to lead to
isolated to scattered showers and storms developing mainly over
the marine area Tuesday night which then moves off to the west on
Wednesday. While dry conditions otherwise prevail over land areas
Tuesday night and Wednesday, this may bring some isolated
convection mainly to coastal Alabama late Tuesday night into
Wednesday morning.
Dry conditions follow for Thursday, then as the upper low and an
associated inverted surface trof move into the eastern Gulf and
adjacent coastal areas will have slight chance pops near the
coast on Friday with slight chance to chance pops areawide for
Saturday. Highs on Monday will be in the mid to upper 90s with
mostly mid 90s for Tuesday. Heat index values on Monday will be
100-107 with similar values for Tuesday. Highs on Wednesday will
be 90-95, then highs on Thursday through Saturday typically range
from around 90 near the coast to the lower 90s further inland. An
easterly surface flow for Wednesday through Friday ushers in lower
surface dewpoints which keep heat index values limited. While
surface dewpoints begin to trend higher on Saturday, high
temperatures mostly in the lower 90s will keep heat index values
at 95-100. A low risk of rip currents on Monday and Tuesday trends
to a high risk for Wednesday and Thursday, with a moderate risk
following for Friday. /29
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Mon Sep 14 2026
VFR flight category prevails across the region through today.
Isolated storms are possible this afternoon, generally west of
I-65 that may temporarily reduce ceiling and visibility. Winds
remain out of the north less than 5 knots through the morning,
gradually turning southerly at around 5 knots nearer the coast as
the seabreeze moves inland this afternoon. Light and variable
winds return to the area after sunset. MM/25
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Mon Sep 14 2026
A light diurnal flow pattern sets up today, turning becoming light
to moderate easterly flow Tuesday. A moderate to strong easterly
flow Wednesday through Friday, gradually relaxing into the weekend.
1 foot seas persist through Tuesday before increasing quickly
Wednesday to 4 to 7 feet. A Small Craft Advisory will likely be
needed late Tuesday through mid week. MM/25
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 94 74 93 75 / 20 0 10 0
Pensacola 93 77 92 77 / 10 0 10 10
Destin 92 78 92 77 / 10 0 10 0
Evergreen 96 71 96 72 / 10 0 0 0
Waynesboro 98 72 97 72 / 10 0 0 0
Camden 97 72 96 73 / 10 0 0 0
Crestview 94 72 94 73 / 10 0 10 0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
Source: MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 14, 12:38 AM CDT ...New AVIATION, MARINE...--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
39
The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 4 Slight Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Sep 16, 7:42z for portions of PBZSorry, product text is unavailable. Source: The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 4 Slight Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Sep 16, 7:42z for portions of PBZ--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
40
AKRON CANTON OH Sep 16 Climate Report: High: 86 Low: 67 Precip: 0.01" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"578
CDUS41 KCLE 162122
CLICAK
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND, OH
522 PM EDT WED SEP 16 2026
...................................
...THE AKRON CANTON OH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 16 2026...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0515 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1887 TO 2026
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MAXIMUM 86 350 PM 95 1897 76 10 85
1939
MINIMUM 67 558 AM 37 1923 55 12 58
AVERAGE 77 66 11 72
PRECIPITATION (IN)
TODAY 0.01 0.13 -0.12 0.00
MONTH TO DATE 2.76 1.87 0.89 0.10
SINCE SEP 1 2.76 1.87 0.89 0.10
SINCE JAN 1 30.24 30.63 -0.39 24.73
SNOWFALL (IN)
TODAY 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SINCE SEP 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW DEPTH 0
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
TODAY 0 2 -2 0
MONTH TO DATE 3 23 -20 28
SINCE SEP 1 3 23 -20 28
SINCE JUL 1 10 32 -22 66
COOLING
TODAY 12 3 9 7
MONTH TO DATE 119 67 52 22
SINCE SEP 1 119 67 52 22
SINCE JAN 1 811 827 -16 782
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 10 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION NW (320)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 13 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION NW (320)
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.5
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.
LIGHT RAIN
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 93 600 AM
LOWEST 63 300 PM
AVERAGE 78
..........................................................
THE AKRON CANTON OH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 76 90 1955
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 55 35 1959
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
SEPTEMBER 16 2026.....SUNRISE 707 AM EDT SUNSET 733 PM EDT
SEPTEMBER 17 2026.....SUNRISE 708 AM EDT SUNSET 731 PM EDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: AKRON CANTON OH Sep 16 Climate Report: High: 86 Low: 67 Precip: 0.01" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
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