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EVANSVILLE IN Nov 4 Climate Report: High: 73 Low: 62 Precip: 0.32" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"804 CDUS43 KPAH 042228 CLIEVV
CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 428 PM CST WED NOV 04 2026
...................................
...THE EVANSVILLE IN CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR NOVEMBER 4 2026... VALID TODAY AS OF 0425 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1896 TO 2026
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 73 1251 PM 82 1987 61 12 65 MINIMUM 62 345 AM 17 1991 40 22 36 AVERAGE 68 51 17 51
PRECIPITATION (IN) TODAY 0.32 3.48 1988 0.13 0.19 0.00 MONTH TO DATE 0.59 0.53 0.06 T SINCE SEP 1 4.70 7.23 -2.53 9.95 SINCE JAN 1 35.76 40.55 -4.79 51.50
SNOWFALL (IN) TODAY 0.0 0.0 MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.0 SNOW DEPTH 0
...................................................................
WIND (MPH) HIGHEST WIND SPEED 20 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION S (200) HIGHEST GUST SPEED 27 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION S (200)
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT) HIGHEST 97 LOWEST 61
..........................................................
THE EVANSVILLE IN CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW NORMAL RECORD YEAR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 61 80 2024 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 40 16 1991
SUNRISE AND SUNSET NOVEMBER 4 2026......SUNRISE 619 AM CST SUNSET 448 PM CST NOVEMBER 5 2026......SUNRISE 620 AM CST SUNSET 447 PM CST
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS. R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED. MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING. T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: EVANSVILLE IN Nov 4 Climate Report: High: 73 Low: 62 Precip: 0.32" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
32
LMK issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 4, 12:54 PM EST ...Updated Aviation Discussion...356 FXUS63 KLMK 041754 AFDLMK
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Louisville KY 1254 PM EST Wed Nov 4 2026
...Updated Aviation Discussion...
.KEY MESSAGES...
* Widespread rainfall tonight into Wednesday will benefit the ongoing drought. Amounts of 1 to 2 inches will be most common, though a few locations (10% chance) may see totals surpass 3 inches. The risk of flooding is low but nonzero.
* The risk for severe weather is also low, though sporadic and localized gusty winds exceeding 40 mph may (20-30% chance) accompany heavier showers today.
&&
.UPDATE... Issued at 954 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026
The cold front is poised to begin pushing through our area late morning through early evening. Ahead of this feature, periodic showers and a few storms are being driven by an intense low level jet beneath fairly strong mid to upper level jet structures. This setup is providing plenty of shear, especially in the lowest 3km, however the lack of overall instability will be a big limiting factor to most severe concerns. We will have to watch a very modest instability axis travel across our southern tier of counties through late morning into the afternoon ahead of the approaching cold front. Here, 100-250 J/KG of ML CAPE may be just enough to allow for some stronger storms where some of the higher momentum air above the ground may be realized at the surface in isolated pockets. Additionally, there is a very low (non-zero) chance of a brief spin up tornado down along the KY/TN border. This is a very low chance, but something we'll have to monitor in places where the 0-3 km shear vector becomes a bit more perpendicular to the mean winds in that layer. SPC did add a good bit of our southern tier to the Marginal Risk, with 2% tornado contour along the KY/TN border, and the 5% wind contour extending a tier of counties farther north.
Otherwise, rainfall totals will be the other focus. The KY Mesonet shows Allen county as the big winner for the moment with 1.9" of rain, however MRMS radar estimates have been pretty accurate and suggest the SW part of the county has seen over 2". May still have a round or two of moderate to briefly heavy rain to go for these areas so amounts over 2.5" are still possible. Elsewhere, most locations have seen between .5" and 1.5" with our far eastern tiers of counties expected to catch up a bit as we go through the day.
&&
.DISCUSSION... Issued at 253 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026
At 245am EST Wednesday morning, a large upper level trough was spinning over the Midwest, with its associated 1000mb surface low positioned along the IA/MN border. Ahead of this low, deep southerly flow is pulling rich Gulf moisture northward across the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes Regions, with PW values of 1.5-1.8 inches along and west of the I-65 corridor in Kentucky and southern Indiana. As this low lifts north into the Upper Midwest today, its attendant cold front will gradually traverse the local area. Ahead of this front, gusty winds and heavy rainfall are concerns; behind it, winds will ease and rain come to an end, though clouds will linger the remainder of the day.
*** GUSTY WIND POTENTIAL ***
Scattered showers were percolating across the area as a low level jet (LLJ) promotes isentropic upglide. A somewhat stable planetary boundary layer (PBL) should in general limit the transfer of momentum from the 50-55 kt winds clocked on KLVX's vad at 1km (~3200 ft) AGL, though sporadic gusts to 30+ mph (recently observed at SDF) may continue through dawn. Thereafter, various REFS members suggest a heavier band of showers will develop along the eastward-meandering cold front. REFS ensemble mean brings gusts to 30-40 mph with this wave of rain, and even gives 15-30% (highest south) chances for gusts over 40 mph between roughly the I-65 and I-75 corridors in Kentucky during the 8am to noon EST timeframe. It would make meteorological sense that this would be our best opportunity for those stronger wind gusts, as (1) winds aloft will remain strong during this time and (2) these heavier showers will feature the strongest downdrafts. Still, given widespread clouds and rain showers, low levels are forecast to remain somewhat stable, limiting mixing on the whole and keeping the coverage and duration of those stronger gusts low.
*** HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL ***
In addition to gusty winds, widespread rainfall ahead of the front today should benefit the ongoing drought. The near-record PW values approaching 1.8 inches coupled with a 10-12 kft deep warm cloud layer suggests showers ahead of the front will be efficient rain producers with hourly rates approaching an inch at times. In addition, the orientation of mean cloud layer winds nearly parallel to the (slow-moving) cold front suggests training of heavier showers, which could allow some locations to see 3+ inches of rainfall in just a 6 hour period. REFS LPMM suggests this is most likely along and west of roughly the I-65 corridor, especially south of E-town where NBM maintains 10-30% probabilities (for 3+ inches). This would imply a nonzero (but still low) risk for flooding in urban and poor drainage areas, especially if any leaves clog storm drains. However, most locations are expected to see between 1 and 2 inches of rainfall, which is much needed.
The cold front will bring an end to the rain and gusty winds from west to east today, reaching I-65 around 1-2pm and the I-75 corridor around 5-6pm EST. Behind it, however, we'll hang onto clouds and may even see some patchy drizzle this evening into tonight.
*** EXTENDED PERIOD ***
Conditions will turn drier on Thursday and we may even see some breaks of sunshine during the afternoon ahead of the next shortwave trough which will pass through the Lower Great Lakes on Friday. The LREF suggests a 40-70% probability 850mb temps drop to sub 0 degC near and north of an Owensboro to Richmond line Friday into Saturday, which indicates our area will be cool to kick off the weekend. In fact, forecast highs are in the mid 50s for Saturday - much more seasonable for early November. Clouds Friday night should keep lows from falling too far, but Saturday night we may see some frost or even localized freezing conditions (particularly over the Bluegrass) as clear skies and light winds make for efficient radiational cooling. Continued northwest flow will maintain dry and seasonably cool conditions into early Monday, with a gradual warming trend next work week.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 1253 PM EST Wed Nov 4 2026
Cold front is pushing eastward across the region at this time with dry conditions already back in place for HNB, and another hour or so of -shra for BWG/SDF. For LEX/RGA, it looks like -shra will hang in until early evening. Despite the drying conditions from W to E, low ceilings (MVFR) will hang in a bit longer until the early evening for much of the area, and until around Midnight EST across the eastern TAF sites.
Surface winds will take on a steady WSW wind direction behind the front, and then may settle back to a SW wind direction later tomorrow. Skies should trend mostly clear tonight with perhaps a few upper clouds streaming overhead tomorrow.
&&
.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...None. IN...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...BJS DISCUSSION...JRB AVIATION...BJS
Source: LMK issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 4, 12:54 PM EST ...Updated Aviation Discussion...--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
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LONDON KY Nov 3 Climate Report: High: 78 Low: 48 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing864 CDUS43 KJKL 032131 CLILOZ
CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 431 PM EST TUE NOV 03 2026
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...THE LONDON KY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR NOVEMBER 3 2026... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1954 TO 2026
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 78 301 PM 80 1974 63 15 57 MINIMUM 48 717 AM 17 1963 39 9 37 AVERAGE 63 51 12 47
PRECIPITATION (IN) TODAY 0.00 0.79 1982 0.10 -0.10 0.00 MONTH TO DATE 0.18 0.30 -0.12 0.47 SINCE SEP 1 2.92 7.14 -4.22 8.55 SINCE JAN 1 32.34 43.50 -11.16 MM
DEGREE DAYS HEATING TODAY 2 14 -12 18 MONTH TO DATE 9 42 -33 51 SINCE SEP 1 177 337 -160 293 SINCE JUL 1 177 338 -161 299
COOLING TODAY 0 0 0 0 MONTH TO DATE 0 0 0 0 SINCE SEP 1 364 175 189 175 SINCE JAN 1 1559 1215 344 MM ...................................................................
WIND (MPH) HIGHEST WIND SPEED 17 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION S (190) HIGHEST GUST SPEED 25 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION S (170) AVERAGE WIND SPEED 5.1
SKY COVER POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.0
WEATHER CONDITIONS THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT) HIGHEST 100 300 AM LOWEST 40 200 PM AVERAGE 70
..........................................................
THE LONDON KY CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW NORMAL RECORD YEAR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 62 82 1977 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 38 18 1966
SUNRISE AND SUNSET NOVEMBER 3 2026......SUNRISE 703 AM EST SUNSET 537 PM EST NOVEMBER 4 2026......SUNRISE 704 AM EST SUNSET 536 PM EST
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS. R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED. MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING. T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
DISINGER
Source: LONDON KY Nov 3 Climate Report: High: 78 Low: 48 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
34
COLUMBUS OH Nov 1 Climate Report: High: 69 Low: 52 Precip: Trace Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"074 CDUS41 KILN 020537 CLICMH
CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 1237 AM EST MON NOV 02 2026
...................................
...THE COLUMBUS OH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR NOVEMBER 1 2026...
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1869 TO 2026
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) YESTERDAY MAXIMUM 69 2:23 PM 80 1950 59 10 58 2016 MINIMUM 52 6:59 AM 24 1878 39 13 36 1949 AVERAGE 61 49 12 47
PRECIPITATION (IN) YESTERDAY T 1.80 2018 0.10 -0.10 0.00 MONTH TO DATE T 0.10 -0.10 0.00 SINCE SEP 1 8.43 6.14 2.29 5.84 SINCE JAN 1 45.13 35.75 9.38 34.71
SNOWFALL (IN) YESTERDAY 0.0 0.2 1951 0.0 0.0 0.0 1954 MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SINCE SEP 1 0.0 0.2 -0.2 0.0 SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.2 -0.2 0.0 SNOW DEPTH 0
DEGREE DAYS HEATING YESTERDAY 4 16 -12 18 MONTH TO DATE 4 16 -12 18 SINCE SEP 1 229 400 -171 297 SINCE JUL 1 229 403 -174 307
COOLING YESTERDAY 0 0 0 0 MONTH TO DATE 0 0 0 0 SINCE SEP 1 253 143 110 194 SINCE JAN 1 1302 1069 233 1266 ...................................................................
WIND (MPH) RESULTANT WIND SPEED 2 RESULTANT WIND DIRECTION E (110) HIGHEST WIND SPEED 8 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION SE (150) HIGHEST GUST SPEED 11 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION S (160) AVERAGE WIND SPEED 2.7
SKY COVER POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM AVERAGE SKY COVER 1.0
WEATHER CONDITIONS THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY. LIGHT RAIN
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT) HIGHEST 66 8:00 AM LOWEST 39 2:00 PM AVERAGE 53
..........................................................
THE COLUMBUS OH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY NORMAL RECORD YEAR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 58 79 1987 2016 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 39 25 1895 1905 1954
SUNRISE AND SUNSET NOVEMBER 2 2026......SUNRISE 7:02 AM EST SUNSET 5:28 PM EST NOVEMBER 3 2026......SUNRISE 7:03 AM EST SUNSET 5:27 PM EST
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS. R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED. MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING. T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: COLUMBUS OH Nov 1 Climate Report: High: 69 Low: 52 Precip: Trace Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
35
New floating sauna on the Ottawa River to open Nov. 13 The new floating sauna and cold plunge on the Ottawa River will open next week. Source: New floating sauna on the Ottawa River to open Nov. 13----------------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
36
HARTFORD CT Nov 5 Climate Report: High: 70 Low: 56 Precip: 0.02" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"534 CDUS41 KBOX 060530 CLIBDL
CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA 1230 AM EST FRI NOV 06 2026
...................................
...THE HARTFORD CT CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR NOVEMBER 5 2026...
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1904 TO 2026
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) YESTERDAY MAXIMUM 70 340 PM 78 2022 56 14 59 2024 MINIMUM 56 1251 AM 21 1952 36 20 36 AVERAGE 63 46 17 48
PRECIPITATION (IN) YESTERDAY 0.02 1.79 1985 0.11 -0.09 0.02 MONTH TO DATE 0.02 0.56 -0.54 0.14 SINCE SEP 1 7.98 9.47 -1.49 8.16 SINCE JAN 1 38.81 40.02 -1.21 41.47
SNOWFALL (IN) YESTERDAY 0.0 0.2 1908 0.0 0.0 0.0 MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.0 SINCE SEP 1 0.0 0.8 -0.8 0.0 SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.8 -0.8 0.0 SNOW DEPTH 0
DEGREE DAYS HEATING YESTERDAY 2 19 -17 17 MONTH TO DATE 42 92 -50 93 SINCE SEP 1 474 567 -93 484 SINCE JUL 1 476 575 -99 503
COOLING YESTERDAY 0 0 0 0 MONTH TO DATE 0 0 0 0 SINCE SEP 1 78 94 -16 81 SINCE JAN 1 897 819 78 852 ...................................................................
WIND (MPH) RESULTANT WIND SPEED 9 RESULTANT WIND DIRECTION S (180) HIGHEST WIND SPEED 17 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION S (180) HIGHEST GUST SPEED 24 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION S (190) AVERAGE WIND SPEED 8.9
SKY COVER POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.9
WEATHER CONDITIONS THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY. LIGHT RAIN FOG
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT) HIGHEST 100 100 AM LOWEST 78 1200 PM AVERAGE 89
..........................................................
THE HARTFORD CT CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY NORMAL RECORD YEAR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 55 84 2024 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 36 20 2012
SUNRISE AND SUNSET NOVEMBER 6 2026......SUNRISE 629 AM EST SUNSET 439 PM EST NOVEMBER 7 2026......SUNRISE 631 AM EST SUNSET 438 PM EST
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS. R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED. MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING. T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: HARTFORD CT Nov 5 Climate Report: High: 70 Low: 56 Precip: 0.02" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"---------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
37
The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Nov 2, 0:27z for portions of LIXSorry, product text is unavailable. Source: The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Nov 2, 0:27z for portions of LIX--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
38
MOBILE Nov 3 Climate Report: High: 80 Low: 67 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing548 CDUS44 KMOB 032223 CLIMOB
CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 423 PM CST TUE NOV 03 2026
...................................
...THE MOBILE CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR NOVEMBER 3 2026... VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1842 TO 2026
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 80 2:47 PM 87 2016 74 6 67 MINIMUM 67 6:50 AM 26 1966 51 16 43 AVERAGE 74 62 12 55
PRECIPITATION (IN) TODAY 0.00 1.60 2010 0.16 -0.16 0.00 MONTH TO DATE 0.02 0.47 -0.45 0.00 SINCE SEP 1 5.00 9.72 -4.72 5.91 SINCE JAN 1 50.58 57.50 -6.92 56.99
DEGREE DAYS HEATING TODAY 0 5 -5 10 MONTH TO DATE 0 14 -14 25 SINCE SEP 1 14 64 -50 62 SINCE JUL 1 14 64 -50 62
COOLING TODAY 9 2 7 0 MONTH TO DATE 22 6 16 0 SINCE SEP 1 697 573 124 615 SINCE JAN 1 2951 2552 399 2788 ...................................................................
WIND (MPH) HIGHEST WIND SPEED 17 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION E (100) HIGHEST GUST SPEED 23 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION SE (120) AVERAGE WIND SPEED 10.2
SKY COVER AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.6
WEATHER CONDITIONS THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT) HIGHEST 93 4:00 AM LOWEST 71 2:00 PM AVERAGE 82
..........................................................
THE MOBILE CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW NORMAL RECORD YEAR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 74 88 2016 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 51 28 1991
SUNRISE AND SUNSET NOVEMBER 3 2026......SUNRISE 6:09 AM CST SUNSET 5:03 PM CST NOVEMBER 4 2026......SUNRISE 6:10 AM CST SUNSET 5:03 PM CST
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS. R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED. MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING. T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: MOBILE Nov 3 Climate Report: High: 80 Low: 67 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
39
PBZ issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 4, 12:55 AM EST383 FXUS61 KPBZ 040555 AFDPBZ
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 1255 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED... Minor changes to timing of rain were made today and tonight, with minor adjustments to the weekend forecast.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES... 1) Warm today, then rain returns this afternoon and evening into early Thursday.
2) Cooler Friday into the weekend
&&
.DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1... A closed low will continue to drift across the Upper Midwest today. Southerly flow ahead of this trough, and mixing, should result in high temperatures around 15 to 25 degrees above average, with the warmest readings across PA and nrn WV. Some sites could approach record highs before clouds thicken through the day ahead of an approaching shortwave. This shortwave (and associated cold front,) ahead of the main upper low, will approach the region in SW flow aloft this afternoon, crossing the region this evening into early Thursday. Moisture and ascent with the wave, assisted by a jet aloft, should result in rain overspreading the region from W-E this afternoon through this evening. A low level jet and minimal elevated instability could also result in an isolated thunderstorm.
Rainfall amounts are expected to range from 0.25 to 0.5 inches for most areas. Low end QPF (10th percentile) is around 0.10, with high end amounts (90th percentile) around 0.8 inches.
The shortwave and surface front should exit the region Thursday morning, with decreasing rain chances. Temperatures will be cooler than recent days, though still around 10 degrees above average.
KEY MESSAGE 2... Model ensembles indicate the upper low will open into a trough Thursday, as it tracks across the Great Lakes region. Another deepening upper low is then progged to drop SE through the trough, reaching the Great Lakes region again on Friday. This low should continue eastward across the Upper Ohio Valley region through Saturday. This should spread areas of rain across the region again later Friday into Saturday. 850 mb temperatures are also progged to drop to between 0 and -2 deg C during this time according to the latest ensembles. This should bring temperature back down to near seasonable levels over the weekend.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Increasing mid and high clouds are expected through the day ahead of an approaching shortwave trough and surface cold front. The front will cross the region from W-E this evening through early Thursday, with rain and MVFR restrictions overspreading the region from W-E. These conditions should begin at ZZV by mid afternoon, and at PIT by evening. Rain and MVFR/patchy IFR restrictions are likely to continue overnight with the crossing front.
Outlook... Restrictions should continue into early Thursday as the front completes its passage. After some improvement later Thursday into Friday, restriction and rain potential returns later Friday through Saturday with a crossing upper trough. Cold NW flow behind the trough could maintain cig restrictions into Sunday.
&&
.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...None. OH...None. WV...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...WM AVIATION...WM
Source: PBZ issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 4, 12:55 AM EST--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
40
TOLEDO OH Nov 3 Climate Report: High: 76 Low: 58 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"223 CDUS41 KCLE 040730 CLITOL
CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND, OH 230 AM EST WED NOV 04 2026
...................................
...THE TOLEDO OH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR NOVEMBER 3 2026...
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1873 TO 2026
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) YESTERDAY MAXIMUM 76 159 PM 77 1987 57 19 60 MINIMUM 58 650 AM 16 1951 39 19 41 AVERAGE 67 48 19 51
PRECIPITATION (IN) YESTERDAY 0.00 0.08 -0.08 T MONTH TO DATE 0.00 0.25 -0.25 T SINCE SEP 1 5.10 5.77 -0.67 2.26 SINCE JAN 1 31.35 30.17 1.18 24.40
SNOWFALL (IN) YESTERDAY 0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.0 MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.0 SINCE SEP 1 0.0 0.2 -0.2 0.0 SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.2 -0.2 0.0 SNOW DEPTH 0
DEGREE DAYS HEATING YESTERDAY 0 17 -17 14 MONTH TO DATE 14 51 -37 58 SINCE SEP 1 302 462 -160 396 SINCE JUL 1 302 467 -165 418
COOLING YESTERDAY 2 0 2 0 MONTH TO DATE 2 0 2 0 SINCE SEP 1 164 132 32 111 SINCE JAN 1 979 1019 -40 965 ...................................................................
WIND (MPH) HIGHEST WIND SPEED 17 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION SW (220) HIGHEST GUST SPEED 28 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION SW (230) AVERAGE WIND SPEED 6.9
SKY COVER POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.6
WEATHER CONDITIONS THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT) HIGHEST 90 100 AM LOWEST 55 200 PM AVERAGE 73
..........................................................
THE TOLEDO OH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY NORMAL RECORD YEAR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 56 80 2003 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 38 17 1951
SUNRISE AND SUNSET NOVEMBER 4 2026......SUNRISE 711 AM EST SUNSET 526 PM EST NOVEMBER 5 2026......SUNRISE 712 AM EST SUNSET 525 PM EST
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS. R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED. MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING. T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: TOLEDO OH Nov 3 Climate Report: High: 76 Low: 58 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
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