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21
LONDON KY Oct 11 Climate Report: High: 74 Low: 46 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing

214 
CDUS43 KJKL 120612
CLILOZ

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
215 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2025

...................................

...THE LONDON KY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 11 2025...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1954 TO 2025

WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                         
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         74    348 PM  86    2008  71      3       74       
  MINIMUM         46    705 AM  26    1964  47     -1       39       
  AVERAGE         60                        59      1       57     

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  YESTERDAY        0.00          0.68 2020   0.10  -0.10     0.00     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.34                      1.22  -0.88     0.21     
  SINCE SEP 1      5.10                      4.77   0.33     4.22     

DEGREE DAYS                                                           
 HEATING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        5                         6     -1        8       
  MONTH TO DATE   24                        56    -32       30       
  SINCE SEP 1     35                        94    -59       44       
  SINCE JUL 1     41                        95    -54       45       

 COOLING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0                         1     -1        0       
  MONTH TO DATE   23                        16      7       26       
  SINCE SEP 1    172                       168      4      182       
...................................................................

WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    10   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    NE (50)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    15   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    NE (50)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     2.3                                       

SKY COVER                                                             
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM                                                 
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.0                                                 

WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                   
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                         
  FOG                                                                 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST   100           200 AM                                     
 LOWEST     34           300 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    67                                                       
..........................................................

THE LONDON KY CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   71        85      2008                     
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   47        30      1964                     
                                             1988                     

SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
OCTOBER 12 2025.......SUNRISE   742 AM EDT   SUNSET   703 PM EDT     
OCTOBER 13 2025.......SUNRISE   743 AM EDT   SUNSET   702 PM EDT     

-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.

$$

GREIF

Source: LONDON KY Oct 11 Climate Report: High: 74 Low: 46 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing

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22
ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 10, 12:43 AM EDT

044 
FXUS61 KILN 100443
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1243 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will shift slowly east through the weekend. This will
lead to dry conditions and seasonable temperatures.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Weak return flow will develop across the region today as surface
high pressure shifts east into the northeastern US. With a dry
airmass in place, expect mostly sunny skies again today.
Temperatures will be a tad warmer with afternoon highs in the upper
60s to lower 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
A mid level low pressure will drop slowly southeast across the Great
Lakes tonight into Saturday while an associated weak surface low
weakens as it moves into northern Ohio. With a lack of deeper
moisture, the main effect with this system will likely just be an
increase in some clouds later tonight and into the day on Saturday.
Lows tonight will generally be in the 40s with highs on Saturday
again in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
The closed low will be moving off toward northeast Ohio at the start
of the extended and will be in the process of being absorbed by a
broader area of low pressure off of the Atlantic coastline. Closer
to the surface, a weak cold front will be pulled through the region,
though sensible impacts will be minor and any isolated showers will
taper off by the overnight. Overnight lows fall to the mid 40s.

Meanwhile, to our northwest, a robust area of low pressure will be
moving through southern Canada, allowing for continued warm air
advection. Temperatures on Sunday rise to the low/mid 70s but we'll
feel more warmth on Monday/Tuesday, when we reach the upper 70s
while Tds reach the mid 50s again. The cold front associated with
this system will be dragged across the Ohio Valley sometime on
Tuesday into Wednesday, though moisture is quite limited and we
likely won't see any precipitation with its passage. Behind this
feature, strong continental high pressure pushes in from Canada and
temperatures look to moderate back closer to seasonal norms in the
upper 60s. Overall, the warmer and dry pattern looks to continue for
the Extended period.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
High pressure will shift slowly off to the east through tonight as
an upper level disturbance drops southeast across the Great Lakes.
With a dry airmass in place, expect mainly just a gradual increase
in high level moisture through the TAF period. The one exception
could be some river valley fog at KLUK toward daybreak.

OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for OHZ026-034-035-
     042>046-051>056-060>065-070>072.
KY...None.
IN...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for INZ050-058-059-066.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...

Source: ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 10, 12:43 AM EDT

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23
Hockey Québec is launching a campaign to help keep parents in check during hockey games

'People

A three-part video series called “Do you recognize yourself?” is Hockey Québec’s latest move to help parents behave in the crowd during hockey games.


Source: Hockey Québec is launching a campaign to help keep parents in check during hockey games

-----------------------
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24
BOX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 11, 1:09 PM EDT

412 
FXUS61 KBOX 111709
AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
109 PM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure maintains drier and colder conditions today. A
coastal storm brings rain and gusty winds Sunday into Monday
night, along with the minor coastal flooding and erosion.
Unsettled weather will be possible through much of next week
towards the eastern half of southern New England.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Key Messages...

* Dry with near normal temperatures

High pressure continues to move offshore today, resulting in an
increasing E to SE flow. Clouds this morning develop a few
breaks into this afternoon. Overall, a typical quiet Fall day.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY/...
Key Messages...

* Coastal storm arrives Sunday afternoon

Not much change to the expected pattern within the latest
guidance suite. Still some uncertainty with timing and how far
north the main impacts will get. Do have high confidence in a
measurable rainfall across our region, but will need a little
more time to work out the details on how much rainfall we could
actually see. Favored the slower timing for rainfall as we will
have a lot of dry air to overcome.

Have the greatest confidence in widely ranging rainfall totals
through Sunday. By evening, areas towards northwest MA may see
very little rainfall, while areas towards Nantucket could be
approaching 1 inch of rainfall. Winds will also begin increasing
Sunday afternoon with a similar pattern of the highest winds
towards Nantucket.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Key Messages:

* Coastal storm effects linger through Tuesday

* Cooler air may move in towards the end of next week following
  this storm with some lingering showers towards the east coast

A coastal low will continue to make its way up the eastern US
coastline. It still appears like this will be a prolonged
rainfall event, mainly from Sunday night into Tuesday morning.
When all is done some time Tuesday, rainfall could range from
around one inch towards northwest MA, to as much as 3-4 inches
towards southeast MA. It's how sharp the rainfall gradient will
be that remains a question. We really can use this rainfall.
It's duration allays concerns about flash flooding, but we will
need to watch out for poor-drainage flooding, especially where
storm drains may be blocked by leaves or debris.

Winds will pick up Sunday night as this storm approaches and
the pressure gradient between it and a strong Canadian high
pressure tightens. Gusts close to 50 MPH will be possible over
the Islands, with the Cape seeing gusts around 45 MPH; the rest
of southern New England can expect gusts to 30-35 MPH. With
higher confidence in these elevated winds over the Cape and
Islands, continued a High Wind Watch for the islands and a Wind
Advisory for Cape Cod. With the combination of higher seas and
winds, some beach erosion and minor coastal flooding cannot be
ruled out.

Once this storm shifts out to sea, we may start to see even
cooler conditions with rain chances starting to decrease. Some
guidance is indicating it expanding a bit, and as surface high
pressure behind an upper level trough cutting down from Canada
moves in towards Friday, the gradient between these systems may
end up elevating winds slightly once more. NW winds will help
advect in cooler air as well, with 925 mb temperatures sinking
to 5C and lower. This would favor highs in the mid 50s to end
next week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Through Tonight...High confidence.

VFR cigs. Ceilings lower into the lower-end VFR range early Sun
morning. Winds become light and variable during the late
morning/early afternoon, before becoming E-NE around 10 kt by
early Sun morning.

Sunday...High confidence in trends. Moderate confidence in
timing.

MVFR/IFR developing by afternoon, especially towards the south
coast. Rainfall developing from south to north, especially
during the afternoon hours.

KBOS Terminal...High confidence in TAF.

KBDL Terminal...High confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Sunday Night through Thursday/...

Sunday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Strong
winds with gusts up to 45 kt. RA.

Columbus Day: Mainly IFR, with areas MVFR possible. Strong
winds with gusts up to 40 kt. RA.

Monday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Windy with
gusts up to 35 kt. RA, isolated TSRA.

Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Windy with gusts
up to 35 kt. Chance RA.

Tuesday Night: VFR. Breezy. Slight chance RA.

Wednesday: VFR. Breezy. Slight chance SHRA.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Today...High confidence.

Relatively light winds and seas during this time with high
pressure over the waters. Good visibility.

Tonight...High confidence.

E/NE wind gusts increase to 20-30 kts by sunrise over the
southern waters, with seas increasing to 5-8 ft. A Storm Watch
remains posted to address potential for stronger winds over the
waters late Sunday and Monday.

Outlook /Sunday Night through Thursday/...

Sunday Night: Storm force winds possible with gusts up to
45 kt. Rough seas up to 18 ft. Rain.

Columbus Day: Storm force winds possible with gusts up to
45 kt. Rough seas up to 18 ft. Rain. Local visibility 1 to
3 nm.

Monday Night: Strong winds with gusts up to 40 kt. Rough seas
up to 17 ft. Rain, slight chance of thunderstorms.

Tuesday: Strong winds with gusts up to 40 kt. Rough seas up to
13 ft. Rain.

Tuesday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds
with gusts up to 30 kt. Rough seas up to 12 ft. Chance of rain,
slight chance of rain showers.

Wednesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Rough seas up to 10 ft.
Chance of rain showers.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...Coastal Flood Advisory from 2 PM to 6 PM EDT Sunday for MAZ007-
     015-016-019-022>024.
     Wind Advisory from 5 PM Sunday to 8 PM EDT Monday for MAZ022.
     High Wind Watch Sunday afternoon for MAZ023-024.
     High Wind Warning from 5 PM Sunday to 2 PM EDT Monday for
     MAZ023-024.
RI...High Wind Watch Sunday afternoon for RIZ008.
     High Wind Warning from 5 PM Sunday to 2 PM EDT Monday for
     RIZ008.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 11 AM to 3 PM EDT Sunday for
     RIZ006>008.
MARINE...Gale Watch Sunday afternoon for ANZ230-236.
     Gale Warning from 5 PM Sunday to 8 PM EDT Monday for ANZ230-
     231-233-234-250-251-254.
     Storm Watch Sunday afternoon for ANZ231>235-237-250-251-
     254>256.
     Storm Warning from 5 PM Sunday to 8 AM EDT Monday for ANZ232-
     235-237-255-256.
     Gale Warning from 5 PM Sunday to 2 PM EDT Monday for ANZ236.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...KJC/Loconto
NEAR TERM...KJC
SHORT TERM...KJC
LONG TERM...Loconto
AVIATION...McMinn/Nocera
MARINE...KJC/Loconto

Source: BOX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 11, 1:09 PM EDT

----------------
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25
Weather Prediction Center issues Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion #1163 concerning HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE

196 
AWUS01 KWNH 061828
FFGMPD
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-070000-

Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 1163
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
227 PM EDT Mon Oct 06 2025

Areas affected...Southeast Louisiana...Mississippi...Coastal
Alabama...

Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible

Valid 061830Z - 070000Z

SUMMARY...Reinvigoration of convective bands will have similar
potential for back-building and short-term training resulting in
2-4" totals given 2-2.5"/hr rates.  Localized flash flooding
remains possible through the evening.

DISCUSSION...GOES-E GeoColor Visible imagery shows well defined
surface to mid-level circulation along the LA/AR border with broad
warm advective regime along the eastern hemisphere across much of
MS into SE LA.  Surface analysis shows some weak reflection in
pressures further south than the wind circulation along the
border, but a defined frontal zone extend along the MS River into
the Atchafalaya Swamps of south-central LA...east of it higher
theta-E air with increasing temperature spreads into the 80s over
Tds in the mid to upper 70s.  Early morning south to north
convective line exists along the eastern side of the warm sector
before low to mid-level clouds have been keeping temps in near the
Tds north of the warm front from GLH to north of JAN to E of HBG
and south to Mobile Bay.  Surface to boundary layer moisture
pooling along the warm front intersects with SSW LLJ across SE LA
into central MS where Total PWat values are well above average in
the 2.25"+ range.  The confluence of the conveyor belts has
resulted in strong moisture flux convergence generally coincident
or just north of the expanding instability wedge.  MLCAPEs are
increasing from 1000 to 2000 J/kg from the warm front southward to
the Gulf; providing the strength for vertical development.

Recent GOES-E Vis/IR loops along with regional RADAR mosaic
denoted leading edge of old outflow and intersection of the warm
front has seen increased convective vigor and vertical depth in
the last hour or so.  While winds are generally 20-25kts through
depth, it is the strong confluence with height that present the
stronger convergence to tap the unstable air.  Moisture flux of
the high moisture will result in increasing rain-rates of
2-2.5"/hr.  Steering flow will allow for south to north training,
though momentum and some weak cold pool generation should allow
for some eastward propagation to limit overall duration. Spots of
2-4" are probable and may result in localized flash flooding
concerns.

Additionally, GOES-E WV suite denotes a weak inflection along the
cold front near the Gulf coast lifting northeastward within the
larger shortwave lifting north through the MS Valley, this is
indicative of some increased low-level jet streak to support
upstream back-building.  In addition, while not in the core of the
warm conveyor belt, convergence along the cold front toward the
triple-point could see even slower, but shallower thunderstorms
capable of intense rainfall as well.  The potential of upstream
development in proximity to the front could expose areas of
lowered FFG from this morning's thunderstorm activity and
reaggravate flooding concerns there as well.  As such, have
expanded the MPD area of concern to the cold front to encompass
this lower confidence, wider scattered activity and flash flood
potential.

Gallina

...Please see www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...MEG...MOB...

ATTN...RFC...ALR...ORN...NWC...

LAT...LON   34698960 34158873 32378849 31398795 30508763
            30178795 30268891 30088985 30109055 30369132
            31569090 32719080 33569100 34289043

Source: Weather Prediction Center issues Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion #1163 concerning HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE

---------------
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26
National Hurricane Center issues ADVISORY 6A for TROPICAL STORM JERRY INTERMEDIATE

675 
WTNT35 KNHC 082354
TCPAT5
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Jerry Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102025
800 PM AST Wed Oct 08 2025

...AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS JERRY A LITTLE
STRONGER...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ON PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS AS JERRY PASSES NEARBY LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.9N 55.4W
ABOUT 560 MI...900 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...105 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat
* St. Barthelemy and St. Martin
* Sint Maarten
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* Guadeloupe and the adjacent islands
 
Interests elsewhere in the northern Leeward Islands and the
British and U.S. Virgin Islands should monitor the progress of
Jerry.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jerry was
located by Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft near latitude
14.9 North, longitude 55.4 West. Jerry is moving quickly toward the
west-northwest near 21 mph (33 km/h) and and this general motion is
expected to continue through Thursday. A northwestward motion at a
slower forward speed should begin Thursday night, followed by a
northward motion Friday night and Saturday. On the forecast track,
the center of Jerry is expected to pass near or to the northeast of
the northern Leeward Islands late Thursday and Thursday night.
 
Aircraft dropsonde data indicates that maximum sustained winds have
increased to near 65 mph (105 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual
strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and Jerry could
become a hurricane late this week or this weekend.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center.
 
The minimum central pressure estimated by Air Force Reserve
dropsonde data is 999 mb (29.50 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Jerry can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header
WTNT45 KNHC.
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible in portions of the
northern Leeward Islands within the watch area late Thursday into
Friday.
 
RAINFALL: On Thursday into early Friday, 2 to 4 inches of rain with
local storm total maxima to 6 inches are expected across the Leeward
Islands, British Virgin Islands, and U.S. Virgin Islands from
Thursday into Saturday morning due to Jerry. This rainfall brings a
risk of flash flooding, especially in areas of steep terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Jerry, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf
 
SURF: Swells generated by Jerry are expected to reach the Leeward
and Windward Islands on Thursday, then spread westward toward the
Greater Antilles on Friday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
A depiction of rip current risk for the United States, including
Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, can be found at:
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Papin

Source: National Hurricane Center issues ADVISORY 6A for TROPICAL STORM JERRY INTERMEDIATE

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27
PBZ issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 10, 1:48 AM EDT

733 
FXUS61 KPBZ 100548
AFDPBZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
148 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure provides dry and cool conditions into the upcoming
weekend. The next chance of rain arrives this weekend, as
weakening Great Lakes low pressure combines forces with a
developing coastal storm system.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 AM THIS MORNING/...
KEY MESSAGES:

- Clear and quiet
- Frost/freeze conditions
---------------------------------------------------------------

The forecast remains on track from the day-shift. The highest
probabilities of frost/freeze remain within the
advisory/warning area. Given the topographic complexity of the
area, note that insulated valley may pool cooler air more
efficiently than ridgetops. Because of this, micro-scale
pockets of frost/freeze are possible across the whole area, so
take action to bring plants indoors if necessary.

.. Previous Discussion ..

This clear sky trend will continue tonight, although some
localized steam fog may be possible again over the larger
rivers. The main question centers around temperatures and the
frost/freeze potential. The surface high track keeps a very
modest surface pressure gradient over our region, with light
easterly low-level flow tonight. While radiational cooling will
not be ideal due to this, the dry air mass with dewpoints
dropping into the upper 20s to mid 30s will still support
conditions capable of producing frost/freeze conditions. Still,
the Laurel Ridges in particular are tricky - the ridges are a
bit more likely to hold on to wind overnight, and nearby valleys
may experience a bit of a downslope effect from the easterly
flow, if it remains strong enough.

Ended up going with a NBM mean/10th percentile temperature blend
with a few tweaks, similar to previous shifts. This supports
freezing or just below temperatures mainly to the north of
Pittsburgh and in eastern Tucker County, and this is where the
Freeze Warning has been placed. Frost Advisories were hoisted
for other counties, save for portions of northern West Virginia
and eastern Ohio. The aforementioned Laurels have a Frost
Advisory for now, and cannot rule out the need for an upgrade
here. The easterly flow/non-ideal radiational cooling does
provide a hit to confidence.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
KEY MESSAGES:

- Slight warming trend and dry conditions through Saturday.
- Increasing clouds Saturday afternoon.
----------------------------------------------------------------

The high will weaken as it moves eastward off the New England coast
by Friday night with a ridge extending southwestward to eastern
Kentucky. This will help to maintain mostly clear skies tomorrow.
Wind is forecast to shift out of the southeast allowing for air to
warm as result of downsloping along the ridges. Highs are forecast
to reach into the mid to upper 60s, around average temperatures for
this part of autumn. Light southeasterly wind will persist overnight
inhibiting efficient radiative cooling, resulting in warmer
overnight lows into the 40s.

The ridge will weaken as it moves eastward on Saturday. Most of the
region expected to remain dry with highs in the upper 60s/lower 70s.
Increasing clouds expected to the northwest moving into Saturday
afternoon with an upper level trough approaching from the
northwestern Great Lakes region.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
KEY MESSAGES:

- Chance for measurable precipitation Saturday night into Sunday
- Temperatures in the upper 60s and lower 70s
- Drier pattern returns next week.
-------------------------------------------------------------------

By Saturday night, an upper-level trough in the area will bring
a chance for measurable precipitation Saturday night through
Sunday night. There is a higher probability (>75%) for
measurable precipitation for western Pennsylvania and northern
West Virginia while a 55%-75% probability in eastern
Ohio/northern West Virginia panhandle. High temperatures will
slightly cool into the low to mid 60s on Sunday.

Models have been showing good continuity with this trough
phasing with a coastal low off the Carolina coast on Sunday.
There is a higher relative level of uncertainty in these
scenarios mainly with the strength of the low/trough. Guidance
shows relatively good agreement in ridging building back in over
the eastern CONUS, however, there is uncertainty with the
strength of the ridge as the trough moves offshore.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VFR conditions and mostly clear skies are expected through the
TAF period as high pressure centered over the Northeast drifts
east. Steam fog may occur once again on the larger rivers given
expected cold air temperatures, but any terminal impact should
be brief at best. Light wind will become southeasterly this
morning.

.OUTLOOK...
VFR is expected through Saturday under high pressure.
Restriction and shower potential returns Saturday night through
early Monday as an upper level low tracks southeast across the
region.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for PAZ020-021-029-
     031-073>076-078.
     Freeze Warning until 9 AM EDT this morning for PAZ007>009-
     013>016-022-077.
OH...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for OHZ039>041-
     048>050-057-058.
WV...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for WVZ001-002-
     510>513.
     Freeze Warning until 9 AM EDT this morning for WVZ514.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...CL
NEAR TERM...CL/Milcarek
SHORT TERM...Lupo
LONG TERM...Lupo
AVIATION...Rackley

Source: PBZ issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 10, 1:48 AM EDT

---------------
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28
YOUNGSTOWN OH Oct 11 Climate Report: High: 66 Low: 42 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"

154 
CDUS41 KCLE 112117
CLIYNG

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND, OH
517 PM EDT SAT OCT 11 2025

...................................

...THE YOUNGSTOWN OH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 11 2025...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0515 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1897 TO 2025


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                         
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         66    307 PM  84    1939  64      2       68       
  MINIMUM         42   1223 AM  27    1964  44     -2       34       
  AVERAGE         54                        54      0       51     

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            0.00                      0.11  -0.11     0.00     
  MONTH TO DATE    1.68                      1.17   0.51     0.09     
  SINCE SEP 1      4.26                      5.01  -0.75     4.02     
  SINCE JAN 1     32.41                     32.89  -0.48    34.74     

SNOWFALL (IN)                                                             
  TODAY            0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.1   -0.1      0.0     
  SINCE SEP 1      0.0                       0.1   -0.1      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      0.0                       0.1   -0.1      0.0     
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 

DEGREE DAYS                                                           
 HEATING                                                             
  TODAY           11                        12     -1       14       
  MONTH TO DATE   67                       108    -41       98       
  SINCE SEP 1    120                       227   -107      136       
  SINCE JUL 1    167                       253    -86      158       

 COOLING                                                             
  TODAY            0                         0      0        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    1                         7     -6        0       
  SINCE SEP 1     58                        72    -14       91       
  SINCE JAN 1    741                       631    110      777       
...................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    12   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     S (170)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    17   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     S (190)       


SKY COVER                                                             
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM                                                 
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.8                                                 


WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                   
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.                             
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                                 


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    85          1200 AM                                     
 LOWEST     54           200 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    70                                                       

..........................................................


THE YOUNGSTOWN OH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   64        84      1938                     
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   43        27      1964                     


SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
OCTOBER 11 2025.......SUNRISE   730 AM EDT   SUNSET   648 PM EDT     
OCTOBER 12 2025.......SUNRISE   731 AM EDT   SUNSET   646 PM EDT     


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$

Source: YOUNGSTOWN OH Oct 11 Climate Report: High: 66 Low: 42 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"

---------------
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29
IWX expires Frost Advisory for Adams, Allen, Blackford, Cass, De Kalb, Eastern St. Joseph, Elkhart, Fulton, Grant, Huntington, Jay, Lagrange, Marshall, Miami, Noble, Northern Kosciusko, Northern La Porte, Pulaski, Southern Kosciusko, Southern La Porte, Starke, Steuben, Wabash, Wells, Western St. Joseph, White, Whitley [IN] and Branch, Cass, Hillsdale, Northern Berrien, Southern Berrien, St. Joseph [MI] and Allen, Defiance, Fulton, Henry, Paulding, Putnam, Van Wert, Williams [OH]

215 
WWUS73 KIWX 091259
NPWIWX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
859 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

INZ005>009-012>015-017-018-020-022>027-032>034-103-104-116-203-204-
216-MIZ078>081-177-277-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025-091400-
/O.EXP.KIWX.FR.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-251009T1300Z/
Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-Pulaski-Marshall-
Fulton IN-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington-
Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Northern La Porte-Eastern St.
Joseph IN-Northern Kosciusko-Southern La Porte-Western St. Joseph
IN-Southern Kosciusko-Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-
Northern Berrien-Southern Berrien-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-
Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
859 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025 /759 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025/

...FROST ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM EDT /8 AM CDT/ THIS MORNING...

The threat has ended for this morning. Areas of frost will be
possible again tonight.

$$

Hammer

Source: IWX expires Frost Advisory for Adams, Allen, Blackford, Cass, De Kalb, Eastern St. Joseph, Elkhart, Fulton, Grant, Huntington, Jay, Lagrange, Marshall, Miami, Noble, Northern Kosciusko, Northern La Porte, Pulaski, Southern Kosciusko, Southern La Porte, Starke, Steuben, Wabash, Wells, Western St. Joseph, White, Whitley [IN] and Branch, Cass, Hillsdale, Northern Berrien, Southern Berrien, St. Joseph [MI] and Allen, Defiance, Fulton, Henry, Paulding, Putnam, Van Wert, Williams [OH]

---------------
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30
TERRE HAUTE IN Oct 10 Climate Report: High: 70 Low: 36 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing

675 
CDUS43 KIND 110530
CLIHUF

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
130 AM EDT SAT OCT 11 2025

...................................

...THE TERRE HAUTE IN CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 10 2025...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 9999 TO 9999


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST                 
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE  FROM      YEAR                 
                                      NORMAL                       
.......................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                         
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         70    455 PM  70      0       81                   
  MINIMUM         36    708 AM  45     -9       42                   
  AVERAGE         53            57     -4       62                 

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  YESTERDAY        0.00          0.11  -0.11     0.00                 
  MONTH TO DATE    0.09          1.12  -1.03     0.00                 
  SINCE SEP 1      1.04          4.05  -3.01     1.74                 
  SINCE JAN 1     28.75         32.98  -4.23    29.53                 

DEGREE DAYS                                                           
 HEATING                                                             
  YESTERDAY       12             9      3        3                   
  MONTH TO DATE   28            72    -44       35                   
  SINCE SEP 1     60           140    -80       57                   
  SINCE JUL 1     70           144    -74       61                   

 COOLING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0             1     -1        0                   
  MONTH TO DATE   40            13     27       18                   
  SINCE SEP 1    177           129     48      183                   
  SINCE JAN 1   1356          1070    286     1292                   
.......................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    10   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     S (160)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    15   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    SW (240)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     2.7                                       


SKY COVER                                                             
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.1                                                 


WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                   
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                         
  FOG                                                                 


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST   100           100 AM                                     
 LOWEST     40           400 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    70                                                       

..........................................................


THE TERRE HAUTE IN CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   69        MM        MM                     
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   45        MM        MM                     


SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
OCTOBER 11 2025.......SUNRISE   755 AM EDT   SUNSET   716 PM EDT     
OCTOBER 12 2025.......SUNRISE   756 AM EDT   SUNSET   714 PM EDT     


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$

Source: TERRE HAUTE IN Oct 10 Climate Report: High: 70 Low: 36 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing

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