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21
JACKSON KY Sep 13 Climate Report: High: 85 Low: 67 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"

198 
CDUS43 KJKL 140604
CLIJKL

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
205 AM EDT MON SEP 14 2026

...................................

...THE JACKSON KY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 13 2026...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1981 TO 2026

WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                         
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         85    458 PM  97    2019  80      5       81       
  MINIMUM         67    649 AM  45    1985  60      7       57       
  AVERAGE         76                        70      6       69     

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  YESTERDAY        0.00          1.13 2020   0.13  -0.13     0.00     
  MONTH TO DATE    1.56                      1.45   0.11     2.95     
  SINCE SEP 1      1.56                      1.45   0.11     2.95     
  SINCE JAN 1     35.34                     38.50  -3.16    52.11     

SNOWFALL (IN)                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.0    0.0       T       
  SINCE SEP 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0       T       
  SINCE JUL 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0       T       
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 

DEGREE DAYS                                                           
 HEATING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0                         1     -1        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         4     -4       11       
  SINCE SEP 1      0                         4     -4       11       
  SINCE JUL 1      0                         5     -5       15       

 COOLING                                                             
  YESTERDAY       11                         6      5        4       
  MONTH TO DATE  163                        92     71       33       
  SINCE SEP 1    163                        92     71       33       
  SINCE JAN 1   1323                      1126    197     1111       
...................................................................

WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED     7   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    NW (320)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    11   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    NW (300)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     0.9                                       

SKY COVER                                                             
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM                                                 
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.7                                                 

WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                   
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                         
  FOG                                                                 
  FOG W/VISIBILITY <= 1/4 MILE                                       

RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST   100          1200 AM                                     
 LOWEST     61           300 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    81                                                       
..........................................................

THE JACKSON KY CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   80        95      1998                     
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   60        45      1985                     

SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
SEPTEMBER 14 2026.....SUNRISE   714 AM EDT   SUNSET   742 PM EDT     
SEPTEMBER 15 2026.....SUNRISE   715 AM EDT   SUNSET   741 PM EDT     

-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.

$$

GREIF

Source: JACKSON KY Sep 13 Climate Report: High: 85 Low: 67 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"

---------------
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22
ILN issues A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHERN WAYNE COUNTY THROUGH 515 PM EDT [wind: 45 MPH, hail: 0.25 IN]

626 
WWUS81 KILN 162042
SPSILN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
442 PM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026
 
INZ050-162115-
Wayne IN-
442 PM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHERN WAYNE
COUNTY THROUGH 515 PM EDT...

At 442 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Hagerstown,
moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 45 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Hail may cause minor damage to
         vegetation.

Locations impacted include...
Richmond, Centerville, Hagerstown, Fountain City, Greens Fork, Spring
Grove, Bethel, Economy, Whitewater, Interstate 70 at Exit 145,
Middleboro, and Williamsburg.

This includes I-70 in Indiana between mile markers 144 and 155.
 
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a sturdy building.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 4000 8513 4000 8481 3991 8481 3980 8482
      3989 8515
TIME...MOT...LOC 2042Z 276DEG 16KT 3994 8507

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...45 MPH

$$

McGinnis

Source: ILN issues A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHERN WAYNE COUNTY THROUGH 515 PM EDT [wind: 45 MPH, hail: 0.25 IN]

---------------
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23
Ottawa Senators lock up Drake Batherson for 8 years in deal worth $86 million

'Drake

Ottawa Senators forward Drake Batherson is ready to stay in the nation’s capital for eight more years after signing an $86 million extension.


Source: Ottawa Senators lock up Drake Batherson for 8 years in deal worth $86 million

-----------------------
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24
HARTFORD CT Sep 13 Climate Report: High: 71 Low: 63 Precip: 1.07" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"

592 
CDUS41 KBOX 140534
CLIBDL

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA
134 AM EDT MON SEP 14 2026

...................................

...THE HARTFORD CT CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 13 2026...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1904 TO 2026


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                         
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         71    530 PM  91    1957  77     -6       78       
                                      1974                           
                                      2005                           
  MINIMUM         63    948 AM  40    1943  55      8       51       
                                      1958                           
                                      1985                           
  AVERAGE         67                        66      1       65     

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  YESTERDAY        1.07          3.19 1987   0.14   0.93     0.00     
  MONTH TO DATE    2.69                      1.69   1.00     1.60     
  SINCE SEP 1      2.69                      1.69   1.00     1.60     
  SINCE JAN 1     33.52                     32.24   1.28    34.91     

SNOWFALL (IN)                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0.0           0.0  2000   0.0    0.0      0.0     
                                      2001                           
                                      2002                           
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SINCE SEP 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 

DEGREE DAYS                                                           
 HEATING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0                         2     -2        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    5                        18    -13       19       
  SINCE SEP 1      5                        18    -13       19       
  SINCE JUL 1      7                        26    -19       38       

 COOLING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        2                         3     -1        0       
  MONTH TO DATE   48                        53     -5       21       
  SINCE SEP 1     48                        53     -5       21       
  SINCE JAN 1    867                       778     89      792       
...................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  RESULTANT WIND SPEED   1   RESULTANT WIND DIRECTION  NE (50)       
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED     8   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     N (350)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    11   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     N (360)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     3.7                                       


SKY COVER                                                             
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM                                                 
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.9                                                 


WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                   
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                         
  RAIN                                                               
  LIGHT RAIN                                                         
  FOG                                                                 
  FOG W/VISIBILITY <= 1/4 MILE                                       


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST   100           900 AM                                     
 LOWEST     78          1200 AM                                     
 AVERAGE    89                                                       

..........................................................


THE HARTFORD CT CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   77        92      1931                     
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   55        37      1911                     
                                             1963                     


SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
SEPTEMBER 14 2026.....SUNRISE   630 AM EDT   SUNSET   702 PM EDT     
SEPTEMBER 15 2026.....SUNRISE   631 AM EDT   SUNSET   700 PM EDT     


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$

Source: HARTFORD CT Sep 13 Climate Report: High: 71 Low: 63 Precip: 1.07" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"

----------------
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25
LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 12, 5:44 AM CDT ...New AVIATION...

561 
FXUS64 KLIX 121044
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
544 AM CDT Sat Sep 12 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 542 AM CDT Sat Sep 12 2026

- An elevated risk for localized heavy rainfall leading to street
  flooding and overflowing of poor drainage will continue today.

- Lower rain chances and warmer temps return next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Now through Tuesday)
Issued at 1238 AM CDT Sat Sep 12 2026

A shortwave trough axis moving trough the region will continue to
bring increased rain chances to the area today. This trough will
interact with a very moist environment as noted by PWATS of 2 to
2.2 inches which are in excess of the 75th percentile for this
time of year. As temperatures warm into the 80s, updraft
development will begin in the mid- morning hours and scattered to
numerous showers and storms will start to fire up by the late
morning hours. These showers and storms will continue to fire up
through the mid to late afternoon hours before beginning dissipate
in the evening hours with the loss of daytime heating. Storm
motion will remain around 10 mph and rainfall rates of 2 to 3
inches per hour can be expected with the strongest storms. As a
result, another day of localized flooding concerns, especially for
low lying and poorly drained urban areas, will be in play. The
region remains in a level 1 out of 5, marginal, risk of flooding
for today.

The trough axis will begin to pull east of the area tomorrow and a
broad upper level ridge over Texas will start to expand eastward.
As the influence of the ridge increases, the mid and upper levels
of the atmosphere will begin to both warm and dry in response to
increasing subsidence on Sunday and Monday. This will allow PWATS
to fall to between 1.8 and 2 inches. These values are still
elevated for this of year at between the median and 75th
percentile, but the increasing ridging aloft will help to somewhat
limit updraft development. Convective activity will struggle to
maintain itself until temperatures warm into the lower 90s and the
weak mid- level capping inversion is overcome. Overall, shower
and storm coverage will be lower and will be more confined to the
sea breeze and lake breeze boundaries where low level forcing is
maximized. PoP will be closer to average in the 30 to 50 percent
range. Another concern will the threat of stronger wind gusts with
the most intense storms that form. Drier air will easily entrain
in the tallest updrafts and this could lead to winds of 40 to 50
mph with these more intense storms. An isolated severe wind gust
of 60 mph cannot be ruled out for Sunday and Monday. This is
supported by DCAPE values of around 1100 J/KG and favorable model
sounding profiles exhibiting very steep lapse rates below 3km in
excess of 8.0C/km.

By Tuesday, continued drying and warming aloft as the ridge
becomes centered over the Tennessee Valley will push PWATS down to
around the median values for this time of year. Convection will
fire up later in the day, more toward the mid to late afternoon,
when the convective temperatures in the low to mid 90s are
reached. The end result will be more isolated to widely scattered
showers and storms and PoP of 20 to 40 percent. Once again, storms
will fire up first along the sea breeze and lake breeze
boundaries and then fire up along outflow from the previous
convection as those first storms collapse shortly after forming.
Although the severe threat will be lower on Tuesday, one or two
storms could turn strong enough to pull in some drier air aloft
and produce damaging wind gusts.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Friday)
Issued at 1238 AM CDT Sat Sep 12 2026

By Tuesday night, upper level ridging is expected to be centered
(598dm) near Chattanooga, Tennessee. Meanwhile, an upper trough that
moves off the Mid-Atlantic coast Monday night and Tuesday is
expected to close off a low off the coast of the Carolinas Wednesday
and head southwestward around the upper ridge, crossing Florida and
entering the eastern Gulf Thursday night into Friday. There's
actually pretty decent agreement on the mid level feature between
the GFS and ECMWF operational runs from the daytime hours Friday,
at least through the end of the workweek next week. 

At this time, neither of the medium range models develops a surface
low over the Gulf with this mid level feature. The drying of the
airmass that is anticipated from the ridging on Sunday and Monday
actually continues through most of the workweek, with precipitable
water values even on Friday forecast to remain between the 50th and
75th percentiles in most of the area (1.5 to 1.8 inches).

If the moisture depicted in the forecast soundings is in the
ballpark, we may not see a lot of thunderstorms during the workweek.
That would also mean the hot weather continues for most of next week
with temperatures in the mid 90s looking reasonable. May not be
enough humidity to justify heat advisories though.

Beyond next Friday, the global operational models fall out of
agreement with each other. The ECMWF continues to take the mid level
system westward to the Texas coast without a lot of impact. The 18z
GFS brings it to about 90W before starting to drift it east next
weekend. We'll worry about those differences when next weekend falls
within the range of the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 542 AM CDT Sat Sep 12 2026

A weak inversion has formed over southwest Mississippi this
morning in relation to light boundary layer winds and continued
high relative humidity. This has resulted in LIFR low stratus and
fog development at MCB. These conditions will persist through
around 13z before quickly mixing out as temperatures begin to warm
and inversion lifts. Prevailing VFR conditions will then be found
at all of the terminals from 13-14z onward. After 16-17z,
scattered showers and storms will begin to develop and could
impact any of the terminals. PROB30 wording is in place from 17z
to 23z at the majority of the terminals for thunderstorm impacts
with gusty winds of 20 to 25 knots, lightning, and brief
reductions in visibility. Toward the end of the forecast period,
another round of fog and stratus has a decent probability of
impacting MCB once again, and IFR stratus and fog is in the
forecast from 10z to 12z.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1238 AM CDT Sat Sep 12 2026

Winds will turn more south-southwesterly but with the Bermuda ridge
centered well east of the area, wind speeds should be light at 10
knots or less today.  The high will become more centered over the
north-central Gulf Sunday into next week. This will cause winds to
turn more south-southeasterly and even light/variable at times. Seas
will generally remain in the 2 feet or less range. Additionally,
thunderstorm activity will develop each day, peaking in the early to
mid-morning hours, and these storms will produce higher wind gusts,
waterspouts, and lightning concerns.

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...PG
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...PG
MARINE...PG

Source: LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 12, 5:44 AM CDT ...New AVIATION...

---------------
If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
26
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 13, 1:33 PM CDT ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...

543 
FXUS64 KMOB 131833
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
133 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 121 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026

 - Isolated to scattered showers and storms will be possible
   Sunday. A few strong storms will be capable of producing
   strong wind gusts, heavy rainfall, and frequent lightning.

 - High temperatures trend to the mid to upper 90s going into
   early next week with heat indices ranging from 100-107
   degrees, locally higher.

 - A High Risk of rip currents is expected for Wednesday and
   Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 121 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026

Through Wednesday...A mean upper trough over the Southeast and
Tennessee River Valley moves off as upper level high pressure moves
over the regions early in the coming week. A drier airmass moves
over the Southeast behind the shifting upper trough, with the axis
of higher moisture levels shifting south and east of the forecast
area in response. A surface ridge developing along the Appalachians
beginning Tuesday brings dry northeasterly flow to the eastern half
of the Southeast, with significantly drier airmass moving over the
forecast area mid week. Mid week, an upper level low begins to move
south along the eastern edge of the upper high, beginning to weaken
the influence of the upper high over the Southeast. Rain chances
become more coastally based Monday. Any convection has a possibility
of strong to marginally severe storms this weekend, with MLCapes
in the 2000-2500J/kg and DCapes in the 700-1000J/kg ranges.

With the advancing upper subsidence, temperatures rise to well above
seasonal norms into the coming week. Mid to upper 90s return for
Monday and Tuesday, but a bit of a downtick for Wednesday as the
northeasterly flow is also a bit cooler. The shifting moisture
levels will help to temper Heat Indices going to the coming week,
though. Even so, 100-107F, locally higher, values are expected
Sunday through Tuesday. Low temperatures in the low to mid 70s,
upper 70s along the coast are expected through the short term.

Wednesday night on, a surface ridge that develops along the eastern
side of the Appalachians continues to move drier and somewhat cooler
air over the Southeast into the end of the week. Guidance continues
to advertise the closed upper low moving west over the northern
Gulf. Rain chances the rest of the week over land areas are limited
with the drier air. PoPs remain over the Gulf, with moisture levels
remaining high over the Gulf, though as the upper low moves
southwest of the forecast area in the coming weekend, onshore flow
returns with moisture levels, and PoPs by the end of the forecast.
This upper low does bring increased cloud cover, dropping
temperatures closer to, but a still a bit above, seasonal norms.

Taking a look at the Rip Current risk on area beaches, a general Low
Risk is expected through the weekend into the coming week. A more
organized, moderate to strong easterly flow will bring an increased
swell to area beaches beginning mid week, along with a Moderate to
High Rip Risk to area beaches.
/16

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026

VFR flight categories and light surface winds will prevail through
Monday morning. /22

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 121 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026

An upper high moving over the Tennessee River Valley/Southeast
will shift a surface high over the northern Gulf, bringing a
more variable flow to area waters early in the coming week.
A surface ridge develops on the east side of the Appalachians
through the coming week, bringing a tighter gradient over area
waters and a moderate easterly flow to protected waters, with
moderate to strong flow over open Gulf waters. A Small Craft
Advisory is expected mid week.
/16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      74  94  74  93 /  10  20   0  10
Pensacola   77  93  77  92 /  10  10   0  10
Destin      77  92  78  92 /  10  10   0  10
Evergreen   71  96  71  96 /  10  10   0   0
Waynesboro  72  98  72  97 /  10  10   0   0
Camden      72  97  72  96 /  10  10   0   0
Crestview   72  94  72  94 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Source: MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 13, 1:33 PM CDT ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...

---------------
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27
NEW PHILADELPHIA OH Sep 14 Climate Report: High: 72 Low: 54 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing

663 
CDUS41 KPBZ 142123
CLIPHD

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
523 PM EDT MON SEP 14 2026

...................................

...THE NEW PHILADELPHIA OH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 14 2026...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0500 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1948 TO 2026


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                         
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         72    323 PM  90    1961  77     -5       87       
  MINIMUM         54    610 AM  35    1964  54      0       52       
  AVERAGE         63                        65     -2       70     

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            0.00          2.50 1979   0.09  -0.09     0.00     
  MONTH TO DATE    2.03                      1.43   0.60     0.21     
  SINCE SEP 1      2.03                      1.43   0.60     0.21     
  SINCE JAN 1     31.69                     28.54   3.15    17.34     

DEGREE DAYS                                                           
 HEATING                                                             
  TODAY            2                         2      0        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    2                        21    -19       34       
  SINCE SEP 1      2                        21    -19       34       
  SINCE JUL 1      9                        32    -23       64       

 COOLING                                                             
  TODAY            0                         3     -3        5       
  MONTH TO DATE  104                        52     52        8       
  SINCE SEP 1    104                        52     52        8       
  SINCE JAN 1    854                       738    116      850       
...................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    13   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     N (360)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    20   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    NE (60)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     5.3                                       


SKY COVER                                                             
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM                                                 
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.2                                                 


WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                   
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.                             
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                                 


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    93           700 AM                                     
 LOWEST     44           400 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    69                                                       

..........................................................


THE NEW PHILADELPHIA OH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   77        88      1994                     
                                             2024                     
                                             2025                     
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   54        36      1985                     


SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
SEPTEMBER 14 2026.....SUNRISE   706 AM EDT   SUNSET   736 PM EDT     
SEPTEMBER 15 2026.....SUNRISE   706 AM EDT   SUNSET   734 PM EDT     


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$

Source: NEW PHILADELPHIA OH Sep 14 Climate Report: High: 72 Low: 54 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing

---------------
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28
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 15, 12:28z for portions of CLE

703 
WUUS01 KWNS 151230
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0728 AM CDT TUE SEP 15 2026

VALID TIME 151300Z - 161200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   38849674 39859582 40439461 40579357 40589220 40359169
       39469169 39039201 38639270 38369417 38229557 38269613
       38419664 38849674
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   42328169 40958311 39648466 38688824 38069189 37919552
       35729964 33380159 33320235 33660298 34380298 35410223
       38829856 39759717 40439564 40849298 41738895 42368614
       42708358 42668204
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

MRGL   42328169 40958311 39648466 38688824 38069189 37919552
       35729964 33380159 33320235 33660298 34380298 35410223
       38829856 39759717 40439564 40849298 42368614 42708358
       42668204
TSTM   43777937 42617825 40398013 37788662 37448806 37048849
       35938886 34159000 33379034 32809022 31658892 31238732
       31008495 31618390 32568357 33298346 33738303 33838259
       32948157 32278067 31947990 99999999 31501319 34001408
       35761483 38501488 39761412 41381234 42061146 42451034
       42420944 42110775 41840558 41190461 40490448 39530395
       39070307 39170209 40270102 41200014 41789781 42999367
       43539179 44308990 44808727 45048558 45318399 46188173
       99999999 26989686 28009764 30169748 31799659 32359592
       32559531 32849443 33259386 33709367 35179299 36459200
       36999225 37409491 36459703 35769867 34390024 32550162
       31880196 30800209 28880163

&&
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
65 N CLE 30 E FDY 30 SW DAY 40 NE MVN 10 SW VIH 15 N CNU 40 S GAG
25 SSE LBB 40 SW LBB 55 SSE CVS 20 E CVS 30 WNW AMA 15 E RSL 30
ENE CNK 25 N FNB 35 SSE OXV 20 NE BEH 20 SSE FNT 40 E MTC

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NNW BUF 35 SE
BUF 10 SE PIT 30 E OWB 50 SW EVV 15 E PAH 25 N MKL 30 WSW UOX 15
WSW GWO 35 NNW JAN 25 ENE PIB 20 SW GZH 15 NE MAI 20 ENE ABY 10
SSE MCN 40 NNE MCN 25 SE AHN 45 S AND 35 SE AGS 30 ENE SAV 65 S
CHS ...CONT... 105 SSW GBN 45 NE BLH 30 SE LAS 55 S ELY 50 NE ELY
20 NW OGD 45 E MLD 15 SW BPI 35 ESE BPI 35 NW RWL 35 N LAR 10 ENE
CYS 30 E FCL 25 NW LIC 35 ESE LIC 10 ESE ITR 25 WNW MCK 30 E LBF
25 SW OFK 20 WSW MCW 35 SW LSE 30 NE VOK 50 NNE MTW 20 N TVC 25 NW
APN 115 NE APN ...CONT... 65 SE CRP 20 NNW CRP 15 SE AUS 20 SW CRS
30 W TYR 15 NNE TYR 35 NNE GGG 15 SSE TXK 25 NE TXK 10 SE RUE 20
SSW UNO 25 NW UNO 30 NW JLN 20 SSE PNC 40 NE CSM  0 - CDS 25 NNW
BGS 15 ESE MAF 55 N 6R6 55 SW DRT

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 15, 12:28z for portions of CLE

---------------
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29
IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 16, 2:07 AM EDT

375 
FXUS63 KIWX 160607
AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
207 AM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Humid with rounds of showers and thunderstorms through
  Thursday, best chances this morning, and then again later
  tonight into Thursday morning (50-80%).

- Locally heavy rainfall and flooding possible today into Thursday.

- Dry and less humid conditions on Friday followed by renewed
  opportunties for rain and storms this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 207 AM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026

A frontal boundary and ~2 inch PWAT axis will hover in west to
east fashion over the area through at least Thursday with
periodic shower/storm chances. Locally heavy rainfall/flash
flooding will be the primary concern given the high moisture
content and potential for several rounds of slow moving
convection.

Favorable right entrance region upper support, in conjunction
with an incoming convectively augmented mid level impulse
(potential MCV), should keep at least scattered convection in
the vicinity of the theta-e ridge this morning, especially
across northern IN and northwest OH. Rainfall rates have been
impressive (over an inch in 10-15 minutes), so will continue to
monitor flooding going forward.

Weak height rises on the northern fringes of a stout upper level
ridge suggest some overall subsidence this afternoon into this
evening. Held with lower PoPs as a result during this time, but
still cannot rule out widely scattered convection within any pockets
of greater heating, mainly near the US 24 corridor. Later tonight
into Thursday morning then features increasing chances for
another round of storms and potential hydro issues as renewed
warm advection ensues within another low level jet.

The bulk of available model guidance does push the effective frontal
zone off to south-southwest by Thursday night into Friday with brief
dry and less humid conditions. Rain/storm chances then return
this weekend as piecemeal shortwave energy ejects east out of
the Intermountain West, forcing the boundary and instability
axis back north into the lower Great Lakes.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1225 AM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026

Continued moisture transport into a frontal zone will likely
allow for an additional round of showers and storms (and brief
vis restrictions) this morning, best chances later tonight
through the late morning hours as an upstream MCV tracks in. Low
VFR to MVFR conditions expected to build in just north of the
sfc portion of the front otherwise today with confidence on any
additional thunderstorm activity low (20-30%) by this afternoon-
evening.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Steinwedel
AVIATION...Steinwedel

Source: IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 16, 2:07 AM EDT

---------------
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30
The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 3 Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Sep 15, 7:56z for portions of IND

Sorry, product text is unavailable.

Source: The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 3 Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Sep 15, 7:56z for portions of IND

---------------
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