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JACKSON KY Sep 13 Climate Report: High: 85 Low: 67 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"198 CDUS43 KJKL 140604 CLIJKL
CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 205 AM EDT MON SEP 14 2026
...................................
...THE JACKSON KY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 13 2026...
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1981 TO 2026
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) YESTERDAY MAXIMUM 85 458 PM 97 2019 80 5 81 MINIMUM 67 649 AM 45 1985 60 7 57 AVERAGE 76 70 6 69
PRECIPITATION (IN) YESTERDAY 0.00 1.13 2020 0.13 -0.13 0.00 MONTH TO DATE 1.56 1.45 0.11 2.95 SINCE SEP 1 1.56 1.45 0.11 2.95 SINCE JAN 1 35.34 38.50 -3.16 52.11
SNOWFALL (IN) YESTERDAY 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 T SINCE SEP 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 T SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 T SNOW DEPTH 0
DEGREE DAYS HEATING YESTERDAY 0 1 -1 0 MONTH TO DATE 0 4 -4 11 SINCE SEP 1 0 4 -4 11 SINCE JUL 1 0 5 -5 15
COOLING YESTERDAY 11 6 5 4 MONTH TO DATE 163 92 71 33 SINCE SEP 1 163 92 71 33 SINCE JAN 1 1323 1126 197 1111 ...................................................................
WIND (MPH) HIGHEST WIND SPEED 7 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION NW (320) HIGHEST GUST SPEED 11 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION NW (300) AVERAGE WIND SPEED 0.9
SKY COVER POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.7
WEATHER CONDITIONS THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY. FOG FOG W/VISIBILITY <= 1/4 MILE
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT) HIGHEST 100 1200 AM LOWEST 61 300 PM AVERAGE 81 ..........................................................
THE JACKSON KY CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY NORMAL RECORD YEAR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 80 95 1998 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 60 45 1985
SUNRISE AND SUNSET SEPTEMBER 14 2026.....SUNRISE 714 AM EDT SUNSET 742 PM EDT SEPTEMBER 15 2026.....SUNRISE 715 AM EDT SUNSET 741 PM EDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS. R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED. MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING. T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
GREIF
Source: JACKSON KY Sep 13 Climate Report: High: 85 Low: 67 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
22
ILN issues A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHERN WAYNE COUNTY THROUGH 515 PM EDT [wind: 45 MPH, hail: 0.25 IN]626 WWUS81 KILN 162042 SPSILN
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Wilmington OH 442 PM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026 INZ050-162115- Wayne IN- 442 PM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHERN WAYNE COUNTY THROUGH 515 PM EDT...
At 442 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Hagerstown, moving east at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 45 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects. Hail may cause minor damage to vegetation.
Locations impacted include... Richmond, Centerville, Hagerstown, Fountain City, Greens Fork, Spring Grove, Bethel, Economy, Whitewater, Interstate 70 at Exit 145, Middleboro, and Williamsburg.
This includes I-70 in Indiana between mile markers 144 and 155. If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a sturdy building.
To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can do so safely.
&&
LAT...LON 4000 8513 4000 8481 3991 8481 3980 8482 3989 8515 TIME...MOT...LOC 2042Z 276DEG 16KT 3994 8507
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN MAX WIND GUST...45 MPH
$$
McGinnis
Source: ILN issues A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHERN WAYNE COUNTY THROUGH 515 PM EDT [wind: 45 MPH, hail: 0.25 IN]--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
23
Ottawa Senators lock up Drake Batherson for 8 years in deal worth $86 million Ottawa Senators forward Drake Batherson is ready to stay in the nation’s capital for eight more years after signing an $86 million extension. Source: Ottawa Senators lock up Drake Batherson for 8 years in deal worth $86 million----------------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
24
HARTFORD CT Sep 13 Climate Report: High: 71 Low: 63 Precip: 1.07" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"592 CDUS41 KBOX 140534 CLIBDL
CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA 134 AM EDT MON SEP 14 2026
...................................
...THE HARTFORD CT CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 13 2026...
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1904 TO 2026
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) YESTERDAY MAXIMUM 71 530 PM 91 1957 77 -6 78 1974 2005 MINIMUM 63 948 AM 40 1943 55 8 51 1958 1985 AVERAGE 67 66 1 65
PRECIPITATION (IN) YESTERDAY 1.07 3.19 1987 0.14 0.93 0.00 MONTH TO DATE 2.69 1.69 1.00 1.60 SINCE SEP 1 2.69 1.69 1.00 1.60 SINCE JAN 1 33.52 32.24 1.28 34.91
SNOWFALL (IN) YESTERDAY 0.0 0.0 2000 0.0 0.0 0.0 2001 2002 MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SINCE SEP 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SNOW DEPTH 0
DEGREE DAYS HEATING YESTERDAY 0 2 -2 0 MONTH TO DATE 5 18 -13 19 SINCE SEP 1 5 18 -13 19 SINCE JUL 1 7 26 -19 38
COOLING YESTERDAY 2 3 -1 0 MONTH TO DATE 48 53 -5 21 SINCE SEP 1 48 53 -5 21 SINCE JAN 1 867 778 89 792 ...................................................................
WIND (MPH) RESULTANT WIND SPEED 1 RESULTANT WIND DIRECTION NE (50) HIGHEST WIND SPEED 8 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION N (350) HIGHEST GUST SPEED 11 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION N (360) AVERAGE WIND SPEED 3.7
SKY COVER POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.9
WEATHER CONDITIONS THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY. RAIN LIGHT RAIN FOG FOG W/VISIBILITY <= 1/4 MILE
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT) HIGHEST 100 900 AM LOWEST 78 1200 AM AVERAGE 89
..........................................................
THE HARTFORD CT CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY NORMAL RECORD YEAR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 77 92 1931 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 55 37 1911 1963
SUNRISE AND SUNSET SEPTEMBER 14 2026.....SUNRISE 630 AM EDT SUNSET 702 PM EDT SEPTEMBER 15 2026.....SUNRISE 631 AM EDT SUNSET 700 PM EDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS. R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED. MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING. T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: HARTFORD CT Sep 13 Climate Report: High: 71 Low: 63 Precip: 1.07" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"---------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
25
LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 12, 5:44 AM CDT ...New AVIATION...561 FXUS64 KLIX 121044 AFDLIX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New Orleans LA 544 AM CDT Sat Sep 12 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 542 AM CDT Sat Sep 12 2026
- An elevated risk for localized heavy rainfall leading to street flooding and overflowing of poor drainage will continue today.
- Lower rain chances and warmer temps return next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM... (Now through Tuesday) Issued at 1238 AM CDT Sat Sep 12 2026
A shortwave trough axis moving trough the region will continue to bring increased rain chances to the area today. This trough will interact with a very moist environment as noted by PWATS of 2 to 2.2 inches which are in excess of the 75th percentile for this time of year. As temperatures warm into the 80s, updraft development will begin in the mid- morning hours and scattered to numerous showers and storms will start to fire up by the late morning hours. These showers and storms will continue to fire up through the mid to late afternoon hours before beginning dissipate in the evening hours with the loss of daytime heating. Storm motion will remain around 10 mph and rainfall rates of 2 to 3 inches per hour can be expected with the strongest storms. As a result, another day of localized flooding concerns, especially for low lying and poorly drained urban areas, will be in play. The region remains in a level 1 out of 5, marginal, risk of flooding for today.
The trough axis will begin to pull east of the area tomorrow and a broad upper level ridge over Texas will start to expand eastward. As the influence of the ridge increases, the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere will begin to both warm and dry in response to increasing subsidence on Sunday and Monday. This will allow PWATS to fall to between 1.8 and 2 inches. These values are still elevated for this of year at between the median and 75th percentile, but the increasing ridging aloft will help to somewhat limit updraft development. Convective activity will struggle to maintain itself until temperatures warm into the lower 90s and the weak mid- level capping inversion is overcome. Overall, shower and storm coverage will be lower and will be more confined to the sea breeze and lake breeze boundaries where low level forcing is maximized. PoP will be closer to average in the 30 to 50 percent range. Another concern will the threat of stronger wind gusts with the most intense storms that form. Drier air will easily entrain in the tallest updrafts and this could lead to winds of 40 to 50 mph with these more intense storms. An isolated severe wind gust of 60 mph cannot be ruled out for Sunday and Monday. This is supported by DCAPE values of around 1100 J/KG and favorable model sounding profiles exhibiting very steep lapse rates below 3km in excess of 8.0C/km.
By Tuesday, continued drying and warming aloft as the ridge becomes centered over the Tennessee Valley will push PWATS down to around the median values for this time of year. Convection will fire up later in the day, more toward the mid to late afternoon, when the convective temperatures in the low to mid 90s are reached. The end result will be more isolated to widely scattered showers and storms and PoP of 20 to 40 percent. Once again, storms will fire up first along the sea breeze and lake breeze boundaries and then fire up along outflow from the previous convection as those first storms collapse shortly after forming. Although the severe threat will be lower on Tuesday, one or two storms could turn strong enough to pull in some drier air aloft and produce damaging wind gusts.
&&
.LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through Friday) Issued at 1238 AM CDT Sat Sep 12 2026
By Tuesday night, upper level ridging is expected to be centered (598dm) near Chattanooga, Tennessee. Meanwhile, an upper trough that moves off the Mid-Atlantic coast Monday night and Tuesday is expected to close off a low off the coast of the Carolinas Wednesday and head southwestward around the upper ridge, crossing Florida and entering the eastern Gulf Thursday night into Friday. There's actually pretty decent agreement on the mid level feature between the GFS and ECMWF operational runs from the daytime hours Friday, at least through the end of the workweek next week.
At this time, neither of the medium range models develops a surface low over the Gulf with this mid level feature. The drying of the airmass that is anticipated from the ridging on Sunday and Monday actually continues through most of the workweek, with precipitable water values even on Friday forecast to remain between the 50th and 75th percentiles in most of the area (1.5 to 1.8 inches).
If the moisture depicted in the forecast soundings is in the ballpark, we may not see a lot of thunderstorms during the workweek. That would also mean the hot weather continues for most of next week with temperatures in the mid 90s looking reasonable. May not be enough humidity to justify heat advisories though.
Beyond next Friday, the global operational models fall out of agreement with each other. The ECMWF continues to take the mid level system westward to the Texas coast without a lot of impact. The 18z GFS brings it to about 90W before starting to drift it east next weekend. We'll worry about those differences when next weekend falls within the range of the forecast.
&&
.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 542 AM CDT Sat Sep 12 2026
A weak inversion has formed over southwest Mississippi this morning in relation to light boundary layer winds and continued high relative humidity. This has resulted in LIFR low stratus and fog development at MCB. These conditions will persist through around 13z before quickly mixing out as temperatures begin to warm and inversion lifts. Prevailing VFR conditions will then be found at all of the terminals from 13-14z onward. After 16-17z, scattered showers and storms will begin to develop and could impact any of the terminals. PROB30 wording is in place from 17z to 23z at the majority of the terminals for thunderstorm impacts with gusty winds of 20 to 25 knots, lightning, and brief reductions in visibility. Toward the end of the forecast period, another round of fog and stratus has a decent probability of impacting MCB once again, and IFR stratus and fog is in the forecast from 10z to 12z.
&&
.MARINE... Issued at 1238 AM CDT Sat Sep 12 2026
Winds will turn more south-southwesterly but with the Bermuda ridge centered well east of the area, wind speeds should be light at 10 knots or less today. The high will become more centered over the north-central Gulf Sunday into next week. This will cause winds to turn more south-southeasterly and even light/variable at times. Seas will generally remain in the 2 feet or less range. Additionally, thunderstorm activity will develop each day, peaking in the early to mid-morning hours, and these storms will produce higher wind gusts, waterspouts, and lightning concerns.
&&
.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. GM...None. MS...None. GM...None. &&
$$
SHORT TERM...PG LONG TERM....RW AVIATION...PG MARINE...PG
Source: LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 12, 5:44 AM CDT ...New AVIATION...--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
26
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 13, 1:33 PM CDT ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...543 FXUS64 KMOB 131833 AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 133 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026
...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 121 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026
- Isolated to scattered showers and storms will be possible Sunday. A few strong storms will be capable of producing strong wind gusts, heavy rainfall, and frequent lightning.
- High temperatures trend to the mid to upper 90s going into early next week with heat indices ranging from 100-107 degrees, locally higher.
- A High Risk of rip currents is expected for Wednesday and Thursday.
&&
.DISCUSSION... Issued at 121 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026
Through Wednesday...A mean upper trough over the Southeast and Tennessee River Valley moves off as upper level high pressure moves over the regions early in the coming week. A drier airmass moves over the Southeast behind the shifting upper trough, with the axis of higher moisture levels shifting south and east of the forecast area in response. A surface ridge developing along the Appalachians beginning Tuesday brings dry northeasterly flow to the eastern half of the Southeast, with significantly drier airmass moving over the forecast area mid week. Mid week, an upper level low begins to move south along the eastern edge of the upper high, beginning to weaken the influence of the upper high over the Southeast. Rain chances become more coastally based Monday. Any convection has a possibility of strong to marginally severe storms this weekend, with MLCapes in the 2000-2500J/kg and DCapes in the 700-1000J/kg ranges.
With the advancing upper subsidence, temperatures rise to well above seasonal norms into the coming week. Mid to upper 90s return for Monday and Tuesday, but a bit of a downtick for Wednesday as the northeasterly flow is also a bit cooler. The shifting moisture levels will help to temper Heat Indices going to the coming week, though. Even so, 100-107F, locally higher, values are expected Sunday through Tuesday. Low temperatures in the low to mid 70s, upper 70s along the coast are expected through the short term.
Wednesday night on, a surface ridge that develops along the eastern side of the Appalachians continues to move drier and somewhat cooler air over the Southeast into the end of the week. Guidance continues to advertise the closed upper low moving west over the northern Gulf. Rain chances the rest of the week over land areas are limited with the drier air. PoPs remain over the Gulf, with moisture levels remaining high over the Gulf, though as the upper low moves southwest of the forecast area in the coming weekend, onshore flow returns with moisture levels, and PoPs by the end of the forecast. This upper low does bring increased cloud cover, dropping temperatures closer to, but a still a bit above, seasonal norms.
Taking a look at the Rip Current risk on area beaches, a general Low Risk is expected through the weekend into the coming week. A more organized, moderate to strong easterly flow will bring an increased swell to area beaches beginning mid week, along with a Moderate to High Rip Risk to area beaches. /16
&&
.AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1240 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026
VFR flight categories and light surface winds will prevail through Monday morning. /22
&&
.MARINE... Issued at 121 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026
An upper high moving over the Tennessee River Valley/Southeast will shift a surface high over the northern Gulf, bringing a more variable flow to area waters early in the coming week. A surface ridge develops on the east side of the Appalachians through the coming week, bringing a tighter gradient over area waters and a moderate easterly flow to protected waters, with moderate to strong flow over open Gulf waters. A Small Craft Advisory is expected mid week. /16
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 74 94 74 93 / 10 20 0 10 Pensacola 77 93 77 92 / 10 10 0 10 Destin 77 92 78 92 / 10 10 0 10 Evergreen 71 96 71 96 / 10 10 0 0 Waynesboro 72 98 72 97 / 10 10 0 0 Camden 72 97 72 96 / 10 10 0 0 Crestview 72 94 72 94 / 10 10 0 10
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. &&
$$
Source: MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 13, 1:33 PM CDT ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
27
NEW PHILADELPHIA OH Sep 14 Climate Report: High: 72 Low: 54 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing663 CDUS41 KPBZ 142123 CLIPHD
CLIMATE REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 523 PM EDT MON SEP 14 2026
...................................
...THE NEW PHILADELPHIA OH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 14 2026... VALID TODAY AS OF 0500 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020 CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1948 TO 2026
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL ................................................................... TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 72 323 PM 90 1961 77 -5 87 MINIMUM 54 610 AM 35 1964 54 0 52 AVERAGE 63 65 -2 70
PRECIPITATION (IN) TODAY 0.00 2.50 1979 0.09 -0.09 0.00 MONTH TO DATE 2.03 1.43 0.60 0.21 SINCE SEP 1 2.03 1.43 0.60 0.21 SINCE JAN 1 31.69 28.54 3.15 17.34
DEGREE DAYS HEATING TODAY 2 2 0 0 MONTH TO DATE 2 21 -19 34 SINCE SEP 1 2 21 -19 34 SINCE JUL 1 9 32 -23 64
COOLING TODAY 0 3 -3 5 MONTH TO DATE 104 52 52 8 SINCE SEP 1 104 52 52 8 SINCE JAN 1 854 738 116 850 ...................................................................
WIND (MPH) HIGHEST WIND SPEED 13 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION N (360) HIGHEST GUST SPEED 20 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION NE (60) AVERAGE WIND SPEED 5.3
SKY COVER POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.2
WEATHER CONDITIONS THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT) HIGHEST 93 700 AM LOWEST 44 400 PM AVERAGE 69
..........................................................
THE NEW PHILADELPHIA OH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW NORMAL RECORD YEAR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 77 88 1994 2024 2025 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 54 36 1985
SUNRISE AND SUNSET SEPTEMBER 14 2026.....SUNRISE 706 AM EDT SUNSET 736 PM EDT SEPTEMBER 15 2026.....SUNRISE 706 AM EDT SUNSET 734 PM EDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS. R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED. MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING. T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: NEW PHILADELPHIA OH Sep 14 Climate Report: High: 72 Low: 54 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
28
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 15, 12:28z for portions of CLE703 WUUS01 KWNS 151230 PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0728 AM CDT TUE SEP 15 2026
VALID TIME 151300Z - 161200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 38849674 39859582 40439461 40579357 40589220 40359169 39469169 39039201 38639270 38369417 38229557 38269613 38419664 38849674 &&
... WIND ...
0.05 42328169 40958311 39648466 38688824 38069189 37919552 35729964 33380159 33320235 33660298 34380298 35410223 38829856 39759717 40439564 40849298 41738895 42368614 42708358 42668204 &&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
MRGL 42328169 40958311 39648466 38688824 38069189 37919552 35729964 33380159 33320235 33660298 34380298 35410223 38829856 39759717 40439564 40849298 42368614 42708358 42668204 TSTM 43777937 42617825 40398013 37788662 37448806 37048849 35938886 34159000 33379034 32809022 31658892 31238732 31008495 31618390 32568357 33298346 33738303 33838259 32948157 32278067 31947990 99999999 31501319 34001408 35761483 38501488 39761412 41381234 42061146 42451034 42420944 42110775 41840558 41190461 40490448 39530395 39070307 39170209 40270102 41200014 41789781 42999367 43539179 44308990 44808727 45048558 45318399 46188173 99999999 26989686 28009764 30169748 31799659 32359592 32559531 32849443 33259386 33709367 35179299 36459200 36999225 37409491 36459703 35769867 34390024 32550162 31880196 30800209 28880163
&& THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N CLE 30 E FDY 30 SW DAY 40 NE MVN 10 SW VIH 15 N CNU 40 S GAG 25 SSE LBB 40 SW LBB 55 SSE CVS 20 E CVS 30 WNW AMA 15 E RSL 30 ENE CNK 25 N FNB 35 SSE OXV 20 NE BEH 20 SSE FNT 40 E MTC
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NNW BUF 35 SE BUF 10 SE PIT 30 E OWB 50 SW EVV 15 E PAH 25 N MKL 30 WSW UOX 15 WSW GWO 35 NNW JAN 25 ENE PIB 20 SW GZH 15 NE MAI 20 ENE ABY 10 SSE MCN 40 NNE MCN 25 SE AHN 45 S AND 35 SE AGS 30 ENE SAV 65 S CHS ...CONT... 105 SSW GBN 45 NE BLH 30 SE LAS 55 S ELY 50 NE ELY 20 NW OGD 45 E MLD 15 SW BPI 35 ESE BPI 35 NW RWL 35 N LAR 10 ENE CYS 30 E FCL 25 NW LIC 35 ESE LIC 10 ESE ITR 25 WNW MCK 30 E LBF 25 SW OFK 20 WSW MCW 35 SW LSE 30 NE VOK 50 NNE MTW 20 N TVC 25 NW APN 115 NE APN ...CONT... 65 SE CRP 20 NNW CRP 15 SE AUS 20 SW CRS 30 W TYR 15 NNE TYR 35 NNE GGG 15 SSE TXK 25 NE TXK 10 SE RUE 20 SSW UNO 25 NW UNO 30 NW JLN 20 SSE PNC 40 NE CSM 0 - CDS 25 NNW BGS 15 ESE MAF 55 N 6R6 55 SW DRT
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 15, 12:28z for portions of CLE--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
29
IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 16, 2:07 AM EDT375 FXUS63 KIWX 160607 AFDIWX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 207 AM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Humid with rounds of showers and thunderstorms through Thursday, best chances this morning, and then again later tonight into Thursday morning (50-80%).
- Locally heavy rainfall and flooding possible today into Thursday.
- Dry and less humid conditions on Friday followed by renewed opportunties for rain and storms this weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION... Issued at 207 AM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026
A frontal boundary and ~2 inch PWAT axis will hover in west to east fashion over the area through at least Thursday with periodic shower/storm chances. Locally heavy rainfall/flash flooding will be the primary concern given the high moisture content and potential for several rounds of slow moving convection.
Favorable right entrance region upper support, in conjunction with an incoming convectively augmented mid level impulse (potential MCV), should keep at least scattered convection in the vicinity of the theta-e ridge this morning, especially across northern IN and northwest OH. Rainfall rates have been impressive (over an inch in 10-15 minutes), so will continue to monitor flooding going forward.
Weak height rises on the northern fringes of a stout upper level ridge suggest some overall subsidence this afternoon into this evening. Held with lower PoPs as a result during this time, but still cannot rule out widely scattered convection within any pockets of greater heating, mainly near the US 24 corridor. Later tonight into Thursday morning then features increasing chances for another round of storms and potential hydro issues as renewed warm advection ensues within another low level jet.
The bulk of available model guidance does push the effective frontal zone off to south-southwest by Thursday night into Friday with brief dry and less humid conditions. Rain/storm chances then return this weekend as piecemeal shortwave energy ejects east out of the Intermountain West, forcing the boundary and instability axis back north into the lower Great Lakes.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 1225 AM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026
Continued moisture transport into a frontal zone will likely allow for an additional round of showers and storms (and brief vis restrictions) this morning, best chances later tonight through the late morning hours as an upstream MCV tracks in. Low VFR to MVFR conditions expected to build in just north of the sfc portion of the front otherwise today with confidence on any additional thunderstorm activity low (20-30%) by this afternoon- evening.
&&
.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...None. OH...None. MI...None. MARINE...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Steinwedel AVIATION...Steinwedel
Source: IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 16, 2:07 AM EDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
30
The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 3 Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Sep 15, 7:56z for portions of INDSorry, product text is unavailable. Source: The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 3 Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Sep 15, 7:56z for portions of IND--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
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