ThreatWeb

593 
NWUS51 KILN 030813
LSRILN

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
413 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1050 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Celina                  40.55N 84.57W
04/02/2025                   Mercer             OH   Emergency Mngr   

            Tree downed near intersection of Mill and 
            Blake Roads. Time estimated. 


&&

$$

815 
FXUS61 KBOX 291802
AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
202 PM EDT Sat Mar 29 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Raw and chilly weather is on tap for the weekend along with a 
few showers at times as well as areas of fog and drizzle. In 
fact...temperatures will be cold enough to support some light 
freezing rain/freezing drizzle in the highest terrain of the 
Berkshires and Worcester Hills later today and especially 
tonight. A warm front will cross the region late Sunday night or
Monday morning...bringing much milder temperatures by Monday 
afternoon. A cold front will bring showers along with the risk 
of downpours and a rumble or two of thunder late Monday/Monday 
night. Dry weather returns Tuesday and Wednesday with 
temperatures trending cooler. Milder temperatures return 
Thursday and Friday with perhaps a round of showers.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Update...

Cloud cover over central CT is continuing to keep temperatures
in the 40s, but appears to be trying to break up a bit. Once
this clearing happens, temperatures can be expected to rise into
the mid 50s. Will continue to monitor as the day goes on.
Fog and drizzle are still expected to persist through the rest
of the day.


Previous discussion...

Key Messages:

* Stationary boundary bisects southern New England leading to a 
  stark contrast in temperatures with mild air south of the boundary 
  and cold air north of the boundary. 

* Showers, areas of fog and drizzle for much of today. A lower 
  chance for pockets of freezing rain in higher terrain (areas AOA 
  1,000 ft) due to near freezing surface temperatures, with a better 
  chance tonight into Sunday morning. 

* Winter Weather Advisory issued for the higher terrain of northern 
  and western Massachusetts for ice accretion. 

Latest WPC surface analysis shows the stationary boundary extending 
from west to east, bisecting Massachusetts. Able to see this when 
looking at area ASOS, with the wind on the north side of the front 
out of the north to northeast, while south of the front the winds 
are out of the south to southwest. A perfect example, KBAF has a 
northerly wind while KBDL has a southerly wind, sites are 15 miles 
apart! Early this morning have a wave of low pressure riding the 
front with areas of light rain, there are little impacts associated 
with this first round of precipitation as temperatures remain above 
freezing. Rain comes to an end by midmorning, while the rest of the 
day isn't a washout, likely an overcast day with showers for areas 
in northern Massachusetts, while rest of southern New England has 
areas of fog and drizzle due to the high moisture content trapped in 
the lowest levels. Now, temperatures in far northern Massachusetts 
(along the border with NH and VT) will be close to freezing, will 
have to be cautious of freezing rain or freezing drizzle, with the 
potential for minor ice accumulation (areas AOA 1,000 ft) tonight 
into Sunday morning and because of that a Winter Weather Advisory 
was issued from 8am this morning through 11am Sunday for northern 
Worcester County, northwest Middlesex County, and western Franklin 
and Hampshire Counties. The risk if for ice accretion up to 0.1" 
with a low risk of up to 0.2".

As advertised, today is the battle between two different air masses 
and much of southern New England will be on the colder side. But a 
few locations will briefly warm into the 50s mainly in Connecticut 
and southern Rhode Island. Not too far off, southwestern Connecticut 
will top out in the middle 70s to perhaps 80F! A stark contrast to 
northcentral and northeastern Massachusetts, where the temperatures 
this afternoon are in the low and middle 30s! This is because of a 
strong high pressure system in eastern Canada, locking in the colder 
air. Looking at 925mb it is easy to see the wide temperatures spread 
across the region, from -5C at BOS to +10C at HFD. Look at 850mb and 
there is a fairly uniform air mass at +6C to +8C! Not much changed 
with the position of the boundary, does look to bisect southern New 
England from the northwest to the southeast, roughly from Pittsfield 
to Springfield to Providence to New Bedford. Leaned heavily on a 
blend of the high-res guidance (CONSAll, HREF, NAM 3KM, and HRRR) 
this give a few hours of daytime heating south of the boundary 
before the front shifts southwest towards the Mid Atlantic. 

In general, this is a fairly sensitive set up, if the boundary were 
to shift either north or south by +/- 25 miles cities like Hartford, 
Springfield, and Providence have potential to have a significant 
bust temperature wise given the close proximity to the boundary.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...
Key Messages:

* Icing threat overnight for higher elevations of northern and 
  western Massachusetts. 

* Cold and raw Sunday a few showers or drizzle at times. Pockets of 
  freezing rain or drizzle possible through the morning over higher 
  elevations north of Route 2.

Tonight: As the front moves south and out of the region temperatures 
will continue to lower into the 30s, areas AOA 1,000 ft are near or 
below freezing, 30F to 32F. It is here where we have confidence in 
minor ice accretion, less than 0.1" with a low risk of up to 0.2", 
anyone traveling should exercise caution. This area is covered in 
the current Winter Weather Advisory, where we have lower confidence 
in minor icing/glaze would be interior Essex County, as there is the 
potential for similar temperatures, but given the lower elevation 
and warmer ground temperatures, feel it would be difficult for ice 
to accumulate. If confidence were to increase, may want to expand 
the advisory. Elsewhere, a cold and raw night, showers, areas of 
drizzle and fog with temperatures in the middle and upper 30s. 

Sunday: Cold and raw conditions continue, occasional showers or 
drizzle at times, especially north of I-90 where better moisture is 
available, while locations near the south coast may remain mostly 
dry Sunday as some drier air moves up from the south. Still could 
see some pockets of freezing rain or drizzle in the morning over 
higher elevations north of Route 2 where temperatures hover around 
freezing. The afternoon temperatures only reach the upper 30s across 
northern Massachusetts, low to mid 40s in eastern Massachusetts, 
eastern Connecticut, and Rhode Island. Areas west of Hartford reach 
the upper 40s to low 50s. That said, should have a non-diurnal night 
with the warmest temperatures possibly around midnight heading into 
Monday.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Key Messages:

* Scattered showers with areas of drizzle and fog persist Sun night

* Turning much milder Mon with a period of widespread showers late 
  Mon/Mon night with a rumble of thunder & downpours possible too

* Dry weather Tue & Wed with temps trending cooler

* Milder temps arrive Thu into Fri along with the risk for a round 
  of showers sometime...but confidence is low

Details...

Sunday night...

Scattered showers along with areas of drizzle and fog will persist 
Sun night. This as a modest southerly LLJ attempts to over run the 
backdoor cold front at the surface...which will be initially 
positioned south of our region. We do expect the showers to be more 
numerous across northern MA...given better forcing/deeper moisture. 
Some of the global guidance allows a warm front to lift northward 
across the region. Tend to lean more towards the high resolution 
models which indicate slow northward progress given it is as night 
and the time of year. So good chance temps hold in the 30s and 40s 
during the evening...perhaps rising toward daybreak Mon.

Monday and Monday night...

Low pressure will be tracking to our north across Quebec with a cold 
front extending southward. This will allow the surface warm front to 
lift north of the region on Mon and afternoon highs will probably 
recover into the 60s with a gusty southerly wind. In addition...a 
southerly LLJ of 50-60 knots will develop ahead of the cold front 
and allow Pwats to rise to between 1.25 and 1.50 inches. 
Lastly...the guidance indicates a few hundred J/KG of elevated Cape. 
Putting all these ingredients together...expect a period of 
widespread showers late Mon/Mon night ahead of the approaching cold 
front. Given the southerly LLJ and Pwat plumes 2-3 standard 
deviations above normal coupled with some elevated 
instability...downpours along with a rumble or two of thunder will 
be possible. We may see a solid 0.50 to 1" of rainfall late Mon/Mon 
might with the front and perhaps some localized higher amounts. 

Tuesday and Wednesday...

Canadian high pressure will nose down into southern New England 
bringing a return to dry weather with temps trending cooler. Highs 
may still break 50 in many locales Tue. However...shallow cool air 
will ooze southward into the region late Tue into Wed. Lows by Tue 
night will be well down into the 20s to the lower 30s with highs on 
Wed mainly in the 40s to perhaps near 50 in the lower CT River 
Valley.

Thursday and Friday...

The high pressure system moves off the coast by late in the work 
week. This combined with an approaching cold front will result in 
milder temps Thu into Fri. We also may see a round of showers 
sometime Thu and/or Fri ahead of the cold front...but confidence is 
low at this time.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

18z TAF Update...

Tonight...High Confidence.

IFR-LIFR ceilings with scattered showers along with areas of 
drizzle and fog. Pockets of light freezing rain/freezing drizzle
likely in the high terrain of the Worcester 
Hills/Berks. ENE winds 5-10 knots.

Sunday...High Confidence.

IFR conditions continue Sunday with localized LIFR conditions 
in any scattered showers, drizzle and fog mainly Sunday 
morning. Some improvement to marginal MVFR conditions are
possible across the CT River Valley. Spotty pockets of FZDZ
possible for the higher elevations, but any residual shower
should transition to liquid by mid-morning. E winds at 6-12 kts,
perhaps a bit stronger over the Cape/Islands. 

BOS TAF...High confidence in TAF. 

BDL TAF...High confidence in TAF. 

Outlook /Sunday Night through Wednesday/... 

Sunday: Mainly IFR, with areas MVFR possible. Patchy BR, chance
FZRA, slight chance RA.

Sunday Night: Mainly IFR, with areas MVFR possible. Breezy.
Chance SHRA, areas BR, patchy DZ.

Monday: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Windy with gusts
up to 30 kt. Chance SHRA, areas BR.

Monday Night: Mainly IFR, with areas MVFR possible. Windy with
areas of gusts up to 30 kt. SHRA.

Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy. 

Tuesday Night: VFR. Breezy. 

Wednesday: VFR. 

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent. 
Medium - 30 to 60 percent. 
High - greater than 60 percent.

Saturday through Sunday: High Confidence. 

A front stalls across the waters through Saturday night. ENE winds 
across the eastern waters, with W to SW winds across the southern 
waters. Gusts are likely to remain below 25 kt, do expected rough 
seas to develop across the outer coastal waters through Sunday. Thus 
a Small Craft Advisories posted for this time frame. Additionally, 
low clouds, periods of rain, drizzle, and fog are likely during this 
time frame along with poor visibility. 

Outlook /Sunday Night through Wednesday/...

Sunday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.
Patchy fog, slight chance of rain. 

Sunday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Chance of
rain showers, areas fog, patchy drizzle. Local visibility 1 to
3 nm.

Monday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts
up to 30 kt. Areas of rough seas. Chance of rain showers, areas
fog. 

Monday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 30 kt. Rough seas up to 10 ft. Rain showers.
Visibility 1 to 3 nm.

Tuesday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Chance of rain showers.

Tuesday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. 

Wednesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. 

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...Winter Weather Advisory until 11 AM EDT Sunday for MAZ002>004-
     008-026.
RI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ235-237.
     Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ250.
     Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Sunday for ANZ254.
     Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Sunday for ANZ255-256.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Frank/Dooley
NEAR TERM...Dooley/Hrencecin
SHORT TERM...Dooley
LONG TERM...Frank
AVIATION...Hrencecin/Mensch
MARINE...Frank/Dooley

811 
WHUS54 KMOB 311406
SMWMOB
GMZ630>633-650-311530-
/O.NEW.KMOB.MA.W.0042.250331T1406Z-250331T1530Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Special Marine Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
906 AM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Special Marine Warning for...
  Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM...
  Mississippi Sound...
  North Mobile Bay...
  Perdido Bay Area...
  South Mobile Bay...

* Until 1030 AM CDT.

* At 905 AM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from 21 nm northwest of Pinto Island to 19 nm northwest
  of Grand Bay to 11 nm northwest of Pascagoula to near Cat Island,
  moving east at 45 knots.

  HAZARD...Wind gusts to 40 knots.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Small craft could be damaged in briefly higher winds and 
           suddenly higher waves.

* Locations impacted include...
  Pinto Island, Big Lagoon, East Fowl River Bridge, Farewell Buoy,
  Mississippi Sound East Of Pascagoula, Heron Bay, Battleship Park,
  Point Clear, Weeks Bay, and Dog River Bridge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

&&

LAT...LON 3043 8834 3037 8816 3066 8809 3093 8798
      3093 8791 3049 8789 3042 8787 3044 8786
      3032 8775 3034 8758 3050 8738 3043 8731
      3036 8739 3041 8729 2993 8754 2989 8790
      2988 8831 3037 8840
TIME...MOT...LOC 1405Z 271DEG 46KT 3097 8828 3074 8857 3052 8867 3020
8903

HAIL...0.00IN
WIND...40KTS

$$

Black

994 
WWUS51 KCLE 030700
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
300 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

OHC103-169-030709-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0024.000000T0000Z-250403T0730Z/
Medina OH-Wayne OH-
300 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN MEDINA AND EASTERN
WAYNE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 AM EDT for northeastern
Ohio.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT for
northeastern Ohio.

LAT...LON 4045 8180 4067 8173 4067 8165 4090 8165
      4135 8149 4135 8100 4090 8098 4090 8109
      4073 8109 4072 8124 4065 8124 4066 8146
      4063 8167 4044 8167
TIME...MOT...LOC 0659Z 260DEG 59KT 4116 8135 4062 8159 

$$

OHC075-099-133-151-153-030730-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0024.000000T0000Z-250403T0730Z/
Mahoning OH-Portage OH-Stark OH-Summit OH-Holmes OH-
300 AM EDT Thu Apr 3 2025

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 AM EDT
FOR WESTERN MAHONING...PORTAGE...STARK...SUMMIT AND EASTERN HOLMES
COUNTIES...

At 259 AM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Kent to near Wilmot, moving east at 70 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...
Akron, Canton, Ravenna, Cuyahoga Falls, Massillon, Kent, Barberton,
Green, Solon, Alliance, Hudson, Twinsburg, Tallmadge, North Canton,
Streetsboro, Macedonia, Louisville, Sebring, Mogadore, and Walnut
Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 AM EDT for northeastern
Ohio.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4045 8180 4067 8173 4067 8165 4090 8165
      4135 8149 4135 8100 4090 8098 4090 8109
      4073 8109 4072 8124 4065 8124 4066 8146
      4063 8167 4044 8167
TIME...MOT...LOC 0659Z 260DEG 59KT 4116 8135 4062 8159 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

77

279 
CDUS43 KIND 030534
CLIBMG

CLIMATE REPORT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
134 AM EDT THU APR 03 2025

...................................

...THE BLOOMINGTON IN CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR APRIL 2 2025...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 9999 TO 9999


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST                  
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE  FROM      YEAR                 
                                      NORMAL                       
.......................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                          
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         82    356 PM  61     21       69                   
  MINIMUM         49    157 AM  39     10       40                   
  AVERAGE         66            50     16       55                 

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                    
  YESTERDAY        1.81          0.15   1.66     1.66                 
  MONTH TO DATE    1.81          0.31   1.50     1.80                 
  SINCE MAR 1      5.98          4.13   1.85     4.50                 
  SINCE JAN 1      8.56         10.18  -1.62    10.42                 

DEGREE DAYS                                                           
 HEATING                                                              
  YESTERDAY        0            16    -16       10                    
  MONTH TO DATE   22            32    -10       10                    
  SINCE MAR 1    539           710   -171      493                    
  SINCE JUL 1   3673          4644   -971     3834                    

 COOLING                                                              
  YESTERDAY        1             0      1        0                    
  MONTH TO DATE    1             0      1        1                    
  SINCE MAR 1     10             3      7        2                    
  SINCE JAN 1     10             3      7        4                    
.......................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                            
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    33   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     S (200)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    52   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     W (260)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED    16.9                                        


SKY COVER                                                             
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.8                                                 


WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                    
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                         
  THUNDERSTORM                                                        
  HEAVY RAIN                                                          
  RAIN                                                                
  LIGHT RAIN                                                          
  FOG                                                                 


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    93           900 PM                                      
 LOWEST     49           300 PM                                      
 AVERAGE    71                                                        

..........................................................


THE BLOOMINGTON IN CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   61        MM        MM                      
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   39        MM        MM                      


SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                    
APRIL  3 2025.........SUNRISE   727 AM EDT   SUNSET   812 PM EDT     
APRIL  4 2025.........SUNRISE   726 AM EDT   SUNSET   813 PM EDT     


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$