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11
Weather Info / [Alert]HEAT WARNING, City of Toronto
« Last post by ThreatWebInternal on Today at 08:09:11 AM »
HEAT WARNING, City of Toronto

Issued: 4:33 AM EDT Saturday 12 July 2025
Source: HEAT WARNING, City of Toronto

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12
2 SE Summerside [Clermont Co, OH] Public reports Tstm Wnd Dmg at 9 Jul, 4:30 PM EDT -- A large tree limb split along the trunk of a tree and fell onto a parked vehicle, causing damage to the vehicle.

169 
NWUS51 KILN 100055
LSRILN

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
855 PM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 SE Summerside         39.10N 84.25W
07/09/2025                   Clermont           OH   Public           

            A large tree limb split along the trunk of a
            tree and fell onto a parked vehicle, causing
            damage to the vehicle.


&&

$$

Source: 2 SE Summerside [Clermont Co, OH] Public reports Tstm Wnd Dmg at 9 Jul, 4:30 PM EDT -- A large tree limb split along the trunk of a tree and fell onto a parked vehicle, causing damage to the vehicle.

---------------
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13
More than 600 individuals, organizations send letter calling on Ontario to reverse needle distribution ban

'A

More than 600 individuals and organizations from across Ontario have signed a letter calling on the province to allow the distribution of syringes at Homelessness and Addiction Recovery Treatment (HART) Hubs, saying that the prohibition will put more people at risk of HIV and Hepatitis C transmission.


Source: More than 600 individuals, organizations send letter calling on Ontario to reverse needle distribution ban

-----------------------
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14
BOX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 9, 3:07 PM EDT

874 
FXUS61 KBOX 091907
AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
307 PM EDT Wed Jul 9 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Temperatures trend cooler Thursday with continued chances for
showers and storms. Warmer and drier conditions return Friday,
continuing through the weekend before summertime heat and
humidity make a return for the start of the week along with
unsettled conditions.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
Key Messages:

* Mild and cloudy with scattered showers and thunder possible

Cloudy skies expected to remain across the region with some
scattered showers and thunderstorms popping up heading into the
evening hours. Cloud cover is expected to build back in over the
interior tonight where some clearing has occurred this afternoon.
Patchy fog across southern New England may also develop overnight.
Lows expected to be in the 60s for most, with some spots approaching
70 in the CT Valley and RI.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Key Messages:

* Showers with the potential for heavy downpours throughout the day

A quasi-stationary front makes its way to southern New England then
settles in overhead. Some clearing over western parts of the
interior is possible tomorrow, which could aid in providing some
daytime heating that would favor convective development in the
early afternoon through the evening hours. Highs in western MA
and CT may reach the low 80s while the rest of the region sits
in the low to mid 70s. This area is still in a Marginal risk for
severe weather per SPC, but aside from that, chances for severe
weather remain low. HREF thunder probs are very low across the
region, though a thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out.
Onshore flow will keep the cooler and cloudier conditions over
eastern MA into RI, which will help limit the convective
potential over this area. Torrential downpours are more likely
as PWATs remain elevated, sitting at around 1.5" to just over
2". It's worth noting WPC has southern New England under a
Marginal risk for excessive rainfall as we remain under this
moist and warm airmass.

For Thursday night, lows once again sit in the mid 60s with cloudy
skies. Rain clears out heading into Friday as a small low to the
south exits northeast.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Key Messages:

* Trending drier Friday through the weekend
* Summertime heat and humidity return early next week, with highs in
  the upper 80s to low 90s possible Monday through Wednesday
* Daily chances for isolated, non-severe showers and thunderstorms


Friday through Sunday

After a wet and unsettled week, well begin transitioning to drier
weather Friday into the weekend as an area of high pressure settles
over the coastal waters to our east. This will support
east/southeast flow through Sunday, resulting in relatively cooler
temperatures (upper 70s to low 80s) east of I-495 along with sunny
and dry conditions.

Across the interior, temperatures will be near normal, with daily
highs in the mid to upper 80s. Elevated dewpoints in the upper 60s
to low 70s will support diurnal instability west of I-495, leading
to a slight chance of a pop-up afternoon shower or thunderstorm
across the interior this weekend.

At this time, there are no signals indicating a risk for severe
thunderstorms, as weak wind fields should suppress the wind shear
needed to support deep moist convection. Any storms that do develop
should collapse relatively quickly. Minimal, if any, thunderstorm
activity is expected across eastern areas, as onshore flow/marine
air should help stabilize the atmosphere.

Monday through Wednesday

Prevailing southwest flow returns on Monday, which will support
rising temperatures across southern New England. Highs will reach
the mid to upper 80s on Monday. A few scattered thunderstorms may
also develop across the interior, as a pulse of shortwave energy
could move through the Northeast Monday afternoon.

There is still no strong signal for the presence of deep-layer wind
shear needed to support severe weather, but some uncertainty remains
this far out.

By Tuesday, ensemble guidance suggests increasing heat, with a
4050% chance of high temperatures exceeding 90 degrees across
southern New England on both Tuesday and Wednesday. While there is
no clear signal for widespread precipitation during the middle of
next week, the typical slight chance for a diurnal thunderstorm
remains possible.

Stay tuned for further details.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

18z TAF Update...

Rest of Today...Moderate to high confidence.

Some areas across the interior have seen some improvement to
MVFR and even VFR conditions. There's a chance some eastern
terminals might see some improvement to MVFR as well before
sunset. An isolated t-storm or scattered shower remains possible
this afternoon. Winds remain light and primarily from the NE
aside from parts of the immediate south coast which will
continue to see light SW winds.

Tonight...Moderate to high confidence.

The cooling boundary layer will result in conditions lowering to
mainly IFR/LIFR levels in most locations...but perhaps some
lower end MVFR conditions much of the night across the distant
interior. A cluster of showers and a few thunderstorms containing
locally heavy rainfall will also be possible tonight, especially
after 08z. Winds becoming calm in some areas.

Thursday...Moderate confidence.

MVFR to IFR conditions. More -SHRA and TSRA possible in the
morning hours, becoming more isolated as the day goes on. E to
ENE wind 5 to 10 knots.

KBOS Terminal...Moderate confidence in timing.

Possible improvement this afternoon to MVFR briefly before
becoming IFR to LIFR tonight after sunset. SHRA timing may start
earlier than 14z, but no earlier than 10z.

KBDL Terminal...Moderate confidence in TAF.

Chance for spot shower this evening. Higher confidence in
improvement to VFR this afternoon based on latest satellite
imagery.

Outlook /Friday through Monday/...

Friday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA, patchy BR.

Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas IFR possible. Patchy FG.

Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA, slight chance TSRA, patchy FG.

Saturday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas IFR possible. Patchy FG.

Sunday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA, slight chance TSRA, patchy FG.

Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight
chance SHRA, patchy FG.

Monday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA, slight chance TSRA, patchy FG.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Tonight: High confidence.

Winds to just under 10 kts out of the SW on the southern waters
and out of the NE on the eastern waters. Seas 2-4 ft.

Thursday to Thursday Night: Moderate confidence.

Winds 10-15 kts out of the SSE on the southern waters and out of
the E to NE on the eastern waters. Winds closer to the shores
along the south coast may be more NE. Seas 2-4 ft.

Outlook /Friday through Monday/...

Friday: Winds less than 25 kt. Patchy fog, slight chance of
rain showers. Visibility 1 to 3 nm.

Friday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching
5 ft. Patchy fog. Visibility 1 to 3 nm.

Saturday through Monday: Winds less than 25 kt. Patchy fog.
Visibility 1 to 3 nm.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Hrencecin/RM
NEAR TERM...Hrencecin
SHORT TERM...Hrencecin
LONG TERM...RM
AVIATION...Frank/Hrencecin/RM
MARINE...Hrencecin/RM

Source: BOX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 9, 3:07 PM EDT

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15
HEAT WARNING, Kingston - Odessa - Frontenac Islands

Issued: 4:33 AM EDT Saturday 12 July 2025
Source: HEAT WARNING, Kingston - Odessa - Frontenac Islands

_________
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16
Weather Info / [Alert]HEAT WARNING, Napanee - Consecon
« Last post by ThreatWebInternal on Today at 08:09:09 AM »
HEAT WARNING, Napanee - Consecon

Issued: 4:33 AM EDT Saturday 12 July 2025
Source: HEAT WARNING, Napanee - Consecon

---------------
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17
LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 6, 6:40 AM CDT ...New AVIATION...

664 
FXUS64 KLIX 061140
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
640 AM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

Warm day as expected across the region and by late this afternoon
we did have convection with the bulk of it focused across near
coastal MS. Most storms dissipated by sunset and the one or two
storms that were still around by 3z were right along the SELA
coast.

Today and tomorrow should see more convection than we have the last
2 days. My lvl setup is transitioning to two ridges once again with
the western ridge centered just south of the 4 corners already
starting to build. The other ridge is east of the Bahamas while both
Chantal and an mid/upper lvl low much like a TUTT low is centered
over the northeastern Gulf. This TUTT will slide west over the next
few days and will increase the rain chances over the area. There are
some interesting details for today. We had been mentioning deeper
moisture moving back in but it appears both from models and GOES19
TPW product that drier continental air will actually recycle back
into the area from the northeast and east. This will have 2 impacts.
First it will likely keep much of the area east of I-55 on the drier
side today. That said the mid lvl dry air infiltrating should lead
to slightly better lapse rates and impressive DCAPE values. In fact
many of the CAMS are suggesting DCAPE values of 1200-1400 j/kg (some
even greater than 1400) before convection begins to fire. Obviously
CAPE is not an issue with SBCAPE expected over 3k. That said the
lack of stronger mid lvl flow or deep layer shear should hinder
things somewhat however given the cooling temps in the mid lvls
thanks to the approaching TUTT, the mid lvl dry air working in from
the east, and sufficient moisture across the western half of the CWA
storms will likely develop and a few will be capable becoming strong
to severe. The main concern will be damaging downbursts but can't
rule out some hail given the cooler mid lvl temps (H5 temps around
-8 maybe even -9C). Area with the greatest risk should be the River
parishes including EBR and just to the east up to possibly I-55.

Convection will quickly start to wane over the land areas around
sunset and we lose the daytime heating but convection will begin to
transition more towards the marine areas. There will likely be a
period of minimal activity between 1/2z and 8/9z but given the TUTT
moving across the region convection likely begin to fire up quickly
over the coastal waters. The question becomes how fast does that
transition back to the land on Monday. Given that there is still not
deep southerly flow in the LL convection likely struggles to work
inland initially but with the low more on top of the area convection
will probably begin to fire over the area a little earlier on Monday
than Tuesday. This will lead to slightly lower instability. There
may be more storms around Monday but the risk for strong to severe
storms should be slightly lower.

As for rainfall, storms today should be a little more efficient than
Monday. PWs looks to be on the lower end Monday with most of the CWA
around 1.5-1.8 which is not anything out of the ordinary and the
more efficient rain looks to be later in the week. /CAB/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

Medium range models continue to advertise a slightly more active
pattern setting and high daily rain chance through the week.
Overall the consistency in the medium range guidance, continuity
between the models, and basically a slight lean towards
persistence given what we have seen this Summer suggest no real
deviations from the NBM.

The driest and probably warmest day of the extended portion of the
forecast this package may be Tuesday. Our upper low will be much
weaker as it continues to slide west into TX but the bigger
influence will likely be the Atlantic ridge nosing west in the Lower
MS Valley. The increase in hghts, suppression, and mid lvl temps
should hurt convective potential some but this will change for the
reminder of the work week.

As fast as the ridge noses in Tuesday it erodes and gets suppressed
just as fast heading into Wednesday. Two things, the western ridge
over the 4 corners amplifies and in response we get a trough to dig
across the mid and lower MS Valley. The trough quickly erodes the
western portions of the Atlantic ridge and we then move under that
trough across through the rest of the week. The other things this
trough is going to do is pull up rich gulf moisture and PWs begin to
climb back over 2" for the 2nd half of the work week. We will also
see deeper southwesterly flow in the LL across the northern Gulf and
into SELA. This should allow seabreeze convection to develop a
little earlier probably by late morning and start to move inland.
The deeper moisture, favorable upper lvl outflow regime, and rather
weak steering current will lead to efficient storms so locally heavy
rain will need to be monitored especially if it falls over flood
prone areas. /CAB/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 633 AM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

VFR conditions across all forecast terminals this morning. Main
concern will be potential for TSRA during the afternoon and early
evening hours. Most of the convection allowing model solutions
keep areal coverage rather low. Will keep PROB30 groups in all
terminals for this package until a definitive focus becomes
apparent. Any storms that do develop will likely dissipate by
about 01z Monday.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025

Still fairly quiet over the coastal waters with generally benign
conditions outside of convection. Winds will remain a little more
chaotic and very light until about Monday night when high pressure
finally become a little more established over the eastern Gulf. High
pressure then just slightly builds to the west a little through the
week leading to onshore flow finally setting back up Tuesday and
through the work week. On the other hand convection will likely
begin to increase in coverage over the next 5 to 6 days, especially
over night and through the early to mid morning hours. Waterspout
potential looks like it may increase late in the week as much deeper
moisture begins to move north through the Gulf. /CAB/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  94  71  92  71 /  40  30  60  10
BTR  94  73  93  74 /  60  40  70  10
ASD  93  72  93  73 /  40  20  60  10
MSY  94  77  93  77 /  40  20  70  10
GPT  92  75  91  75 /  30  10  50  10
PQL  93  72  92  73 /  20  10  40  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CAB
LONG TERM....CAB
AVIATION...RW
MARINE...CAB

Source: LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 6, 6:40 AM CDT ...New AVIATION...

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18
PENSACOLA Jul 5 Climate Report: High: 93 Low: 75 Precip: Trace Snow: Missing

068 
CDUS44 KMOB 060629
CLIPNS

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
129 AM CDT SUN JUL 06 2025

...................................

...THE PENSACOLA CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JULY 5 2025...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1879 TO 2025


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                         
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         93   1:24 PM 101    2019  91      2       90       
  MINIMUM         75   9:56 PM  67    1924  75      0       76       
  AVERAGE         84                        83      1       83     

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  YESTERDAY        T             2.59 1941   0.25  -0.25     0.00     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.06                      1.23  -1.17     3.68     
  SINCE JUN 1      5.16                      8.55  -3.39    12.13     
  SINCE JAN 1     31.54                     33.02  -1.48    36.80     

DEGREE DAYS                                                           
 COOLING                                                             
  YESTERDAY       19                        18      1       18       
  MONTH TO DATE   93                        90      3       94       
  SINCE JUN 1    592                       592      0      596       
  SINCE JAN 1   1255                      1154    101     1175       
...................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    20   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    NW (320)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    28   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     W (290)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     7.4                                       


SKY COVER                                                             
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.1                                                 


WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                   
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                         
  THUNDERSTORM                                                       
  LIGHT RAIN                                                         


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    88           3:00 AM                                     
 LOWEST     51           5:00 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    70                                                       

..........................................................


THE PENSACOLA CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   91       102      2019                     
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   75        64      1882                     


SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
JULY  6 2025..........SUNRISE   5:53 AM CDT   SUNSET   7:55 PM CDT     
JULY  7 2025..........SUNRISE   5:53 AM CDT   SUNSET   7:54 PM CDT     


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$

Source: PENSACOLA Jul 5 Climate Report: High: 93 Low: 75 Precip: Trace Snow: Missing

---------------
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19
PITTSBURGH PA Jul 9 Climate Report: High: 79 Low: 66 Precip: Trace Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"

376 
CDUS41 KPBZ 092126
CLIPIT

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
526 PM EDT WED JUL 09 2025

...................................

...THE PITTSBURGH PA CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR JULY 9 2025...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0500 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1871 TO 2025


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                         
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         79    118 PM 101    1876  83     -4       92       
                                      1936                           
  MINIMUM         66    241 AM  42    1963  63      3       67       
  AVERAGE         73                        73      0       80     

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            T             2.12 1887   0.14  -0.14     0.00     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.75                      1.25  -0.50     0.13     
  SINCE JUN 1      6.32                      5.37   0.95     2.63     
  SINCE JAN 1     22.34                     21.25   1.09    26.46     

SNOWFALL (IN)                                                             
  TODAY            0.0           0.0    MM   0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SINCE JUN 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 

DEGREE DAYS                                                           
 HEATING                                                             
  TODAY            0                         0      0        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE JUN 1     20                        30    -10        9       
  SINCE JUL 1      0                         0      0        0       

 COOLING                                                             
  TODAY            8                         8      0       15       
  MONTH TO DATE   99                        72     27      110       
  SINCE JUN 1    370                       232    138      360       
  SINCE JAN 1    439                       298    141      504       
...................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    10   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     S (160)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    15   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     S (160)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     1.8                                       


SKY COVER                                                             
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM                                                 
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.9                                                 


WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                   
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.                             
  LIGHT RAIN                                                         


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    93           500 AM                                     
 LOWEST     62           100 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    78                                                       

..........................................................


THE PITTSBURGH PA CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   83       103      1881                     
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   63        45      1963                     


SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
JULY  9 2025..........SUNRISE   559 AM EDT   SUNSET   853 PM EDT     
JULY 10 2025..........SUNRISE   600 AM EDT   SUNSET   853 PM EDT     


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$

Source: PITTSBURGH PA Jul 9 Climate Report: High: 79 Low: 66 Precip: Trace Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"

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20
CLE cancels Flood Advisory for Knox, Richland [OH]

292 
WGUS81 KCLE 102203
FLSCLE

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
603 PM EDT Thu Jul 10 2025

OHC083-139-102213-
/O.CAN.KCLE.FA.Y.0051.000000T0000Z-250710T2300Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Knox OH-Richland OH-
603 PM EDT Thu Jul 10 2025

...FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Advisory is cancelled for a portion of north central Ohio,
including the following areas, Knox and Richland.

Flood waters have receded. The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining
road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 4056 8262 4057 8262 4061 8262 4062 8262
      4059 8254 4055 8252 4047 8246 4038 8241
      4032 8234 4028 8236 4026 8245 4027 8247
      4027 8250 4037 8262 4050 8263 4055 8262


$$

Sullivan

Source: CLE cancels Flood Advisory for Knox, Richland [OH]

---------------
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