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1
LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Apr 6, 11:22 AM CDT ...New UPDATE...

692 
FXUS64 KLIX 061622
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
1122 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1121 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

Refreshed grids with current conditions to account for location of
front. /DSS/

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 335 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

Upper pattern this morning has a trough extending from Ontario
Canada across the southern Plains States into northern Mexico. At
the surface the cold front at 3 AM CDT extended from near McComb
to just west of Baton Rouge to Morgan City. Showers and
thunderstorms were occurring across much of southern Mississippi
and southern Louisiana. Tornado Watch 129 remains in effect for
Amite, Pike and Walthall Counties in southwest Mississippi and
East Feliciana and St. Helena Parishes in southeast Louisiana as
of 3 AM. Temperatures were between 75 and 80 ahead of the front,
but dropping into the 60s behind the front.

The upper trough and surface cold front are going to progress very
slowly eastward today, with the front taking the entire day to
move through our CWA. The upper ridge off the Atlantic Coast will
prevent the upper trough axis from exiting the area through
Monday. A couple of shortwaves moving through the trough will
continue the threat of showers and storms for much of the day
today, and overnight across the east half of the area. While the
threat for severe weather should diminish this morning, the threat
for heavy rain will continue today. Precipitable water values
early this morning continued to range from 1.6 to 1.9 inches
across the area. While areas west of Interstate 55 should see
those moisture levels lower later this morning, drying east of
there is going to take until late this afternoon or this evening,
especially along the Mississippi coast. Rain amounts of 1 to 2
inches are likely to be common across most of the area, with
locally higher amounts in a few locations. Fortunately, it has
been warm and dry over the last 5 days, so unless those rain
amounts fall in a very short time, most of the area should be able
to tolerate those amounts. With the slow movement of the front,
we will need to monitor for the potential of cell training,
however.

Little in the way of sunshine is anticipated until perhaps Monday
afternoon, when the trough axis pushes the moisture east of the
area.

Temperatures will drop off about 10-15 degrees behind the front,
with not much in the way of recovery expected during the day.
Overnight lows tonight will be as much as 20 degrees cooler than
the last couple of days. Highs Monday will be in the 60s, with
considerably lower humidity levels.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 335 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

As ridging builds into the Rockies, that will produce
northwesterly flow aloft across our area. Surface high pressure
will move across the Great Lakes to the Atlantic Coast during the
second half of the workweek. A strong shortwave moving through the
upper trough to our east will bring a cold front into the area
Thursday night or Friday. There will be no significant moisture
return ahead of the front. A few showers cannot be entirely ruled
out as the front moves through, but right now, rain chances are
too low to carry in the forecast.

Compared to the last few days, it's going to feel significantly
cooler, especially in the mornings. Tuesday and Wednesday mornings
will see lows in the 40s across most of the area, and wouldn't be
totally surprised to see a few normally cooler spots briefly drop
into the upper 30s. Those readings would be 10-15 degrees below
normal. With dry air in place, temperatures will rebound pretty
well during the day with highs in the 70s for much of the
workweek. Slightly cooler air will get reinforced behind the
frontal passage on Friday before moderating again going into the
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 624 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

Frontal boundary near a KBXA to KHUM line at forecast issuance
time, but will only be making slow eastward progress over the next
few hours. While most ceilings are at MVFR, KHDC and KMCB are
reporting IFR or lower conditions. Areal coverage of SHRA/TSRA has
diminished somewhat over the last couple hours as best lifting
mechanism is pulling to the northeast. However, there are
scattered SHRA/TSRA well behind the front into east Texas, so
there will be a continued threat for them through much of the
daytime hours. While the threat of severe storms has diminished,
IFR or lower conditions, at least for short periods, could occur
at just about any time during the daylight hours. Drier air moving
into the area overnight should bring at least improvement to MVFR
ceilings prior to 06z Monday for most terminals, but ceilings
improving above FL030 may not occur much before 18z Monday.

The passage of the frontal boundary will shift surface winds to
west and then northwest, at lower wind speeds than what we've seen
for the last couple days. The exception to that will be at KNEW
overnight, where drier air moving across Lake Pontchartrain could
still produce sustained winds near 20 knots at the shoreline.
Those wind speeds should diminish around sunrise Monday. 

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 335 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

Wind speeds should drop off behind the frontal passage later
today, but it will take a bit longer for wave conditions to relax.
Will leave the Small Craft Advisories in place as currently
configured. Likely to need a period of Small Craft Exercise
Caution headlines, especially over the open coastal waters, in the
wake of the front through at least Monday and perhaps into
Tuesday. Quieter marine conditions are expected for the second
half of the workweek.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  48  61  41  70 /  20  10   0   0
BTR  51  63  42  72 /  20  10   0   0
ASD  53  65  43  73 /  60  30   0   0
MSY  56  64  51  71 /  50  30   0   0
GPT  53  64  45  72 /  80  50   0   0
PQL  54  66  43  72 /  90  60   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for GMZ532-534-
     536-538-550-552-555-557.

     Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Monday for GMZ570-572-575-
     577.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for GMZ534-536-
     538-550-552-555-557.

     Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Monday for GMZ572-575-577.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...RW
MARINE...RW

Source: LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Apr 6, 11:22 AM CDT ...New UPDATE...

---------------
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2
MOBILE Apr 7 Climate Report: High: 60 Low: 51 Precip: 0.39" Snow: Missing

449 
CDUS44 KMOB 072126
CLIMOB

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
426 PM CDT MON APR 07 2025

...................................

...THE MOBILE CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR APRIL 7 2025...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1842 TO 2025


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                         
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         60  12:23 AM  88    1967  76    -16       79       
                                      1986                           
  MINIMUM         51  12:46 PM  36    1950  54     -3       53       
  AVERAGE         56                        65     -9       66     

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            0.39          4.17 1983   0.19   0.20     0.00     
  MONTH TO DATE    6.90                      1.34   5.56     0.09     
  SINCE MAR 1     13.34                      6.78   6.56     5.58     
  SINCE JAN 1     20.09                     16.91   3.18    15.62     

DEGREE DAYS                                                           
 HEATING                                                             
  TODAY            9                         3      6        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    9                        22    -13       13       
  SINCE MAR 1    145                       197    -52      108       
  SINCE JUL 1   1393                      1580   -187     1290       

 COOLING                                                             
  TODAY            0                         3     -3        1       
  MONTH TO DATE   62                        16     46       20       
  SINCE MAR 1    119                        63     56       61       
  SINCE JAN 1    172                        87     85       90       
...................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    16   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    NW (330)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    24   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    NW (320)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     8.4                                       


SKY COVER                                                             
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 1.0                                                 


WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                   
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.                             
  THUNDERSTORM                                                       
  RAIN                                                               
  LIGHT RAIN                                                         
  FOG                                                                 


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    97           1:00 AM                                     
 LOWEST     83           2:00 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    90                                                       

..........................................................


THE MOBILE CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   76        90      1967                     
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   54        36      2009                     


SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
APRIL  7 2025.........SUNRISE   6:34 AM CDT   SUNSET   7:16 PM CDT     
APRIL  8 2025.........SUNRISE   6:33 AM CDT   SUNSET   7:17 PM CDT     


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$

Source: MOBILE Apr 7 Climate Report: High: 60 Low: 51 Precip: 0.39" Snow: Missing

---------------
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3
PBZ issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Apr 7, 9:45 PM EDT

701 
FXUS61 KPBZ 080145
AFDPBZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
945 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Changeover to snow behind a strong cold front continues tonight,
with isolated lake enhanced snow showers continuing into
Tuesday morning. Impacts are expected to be limited as
accumulations mainly occur on grassy or elevated surfaces.
Another period of seasonably cool and wet weather is expected
Thursday into next weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
KEY MESSAGES:

- Mainly snow showers behind the frontal boundary, with some
  overnight lake enhancement expected.
- Though accumulations of 1 to 2 inches are possible, impacts
  will be low due to warm surfaces and roadways.
- Dry but cool weather expected Tuesday.
-------------------------------------------------------------------

The front is approaching the Laurels, and remains about an hour
or so away from MGW. Main impact has been wind gusts, which have
come in a bit higher than NBM/HREF probabilities suggested. Have
seen a number of sites with peak values in the 35 to 45 MPH
range, with PIT having the highest recorded gust at 46 MPH.
Expect these gusts to slowly subside through the night as mixing
eases.

The HRRR has done a decent job of modeling the temperature drop
with the front, and have made only minor adjustments through the
night. Snow rates are light overall, not surprising given the
lagging of colder air and marginal moisture in the DGZ. Road
accumulation has been hard to find, but some grassy accumulation
is noted on area webcams.

Behind the front, dry advection will temper shower activity
until NW flow aloft better taps Lake Erie moisture to develop a
few lake-enhanced snow bands during the overnight hours. HREF
modeling suggests a quick 1-2" of accumulation can't be ruled
out if band duration/intensity is maximized (especially north of
I-80), but continued warm surfaces should ensure minimal
impacts (accumulations mainly occurring on grassy or elevated
surfaces). The ridges, once they change over to snow, could
accumulate an inch or so thanks to upsloping overnight.

High pressure to the west and slowly rising heights aloft will
erode showers Tuesday and attempt to dissipate lingering
stratocu. The cold airmass in place should lead to areal
temperature that is around 20 degrees below the daily average.
As the growing season hasn't official started, no freeze
products will be issued; that said, expect each overnight period
to feature below freezing temperature that may necessitate
protection of outdoor vegetation that is vulnerable to cold
temperature.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
KEY MESSAGES:

- Well below normal lows again Wednesday morning.
- Precipitation returns later Wednesday through Thursday.
-------------------------------------------------------------------

Increasing subsidence and a shallower boundary layer will end
any precipitation on Tuesday. Broad surface high pressure
building in from the west will then maintain dry conditions
through Wednesday should keep the area dry for much of Wednesday
before rain returns ahead of an approaching low later in the
day. The mentioned low center is progged to then pass north of
the region on Thursday. Warm advection in southerly flow will
then moderate temperatures.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
KEY MESSAGES:

- Below-average temperatures expected through Saturday
- Precipitation ends later on Saturday

-------------------------------------------------------------------

Long-range ensemble models remain consistent, showing a cool
pattern through Saturday. A large-scale trough over our region
will likely keep afternoon highs below 60 degrees, with less
than a 25% chance of exceeding that, during this time period.

The highest chance of precipitation will be Thursday afternoon
into Thursday night as a low-pressure system moves through the
Midwest and Ohio River Valley. While rainfall amounts of over a
half inch are currently unlikely (less than 20%) higher
elevations could see closer to that amount due to upslope flow.
There's a possibility of continued precipitation Friday into
Saturday if this noted trough stalls as indicated by a few long-
range ensemble models.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The advancing SFC cold front is easily identifiable on radar,
satellite and in SFC OBs. Dry, clear and VFR conditions will
continue until the front reaches each port.

Rain begins quickly along the leading edge of the strongly
forced front as CIGs settle in near 5kft. Rain is expected to
switch quickly to snow (likely within an hour or less). Pockets
of heavier snow are embedded in this line and have already been
noted upstream at HZY and CLE. Any heavier bursts of snow can
drop to MVFR CIGs and IFR or LIFR VIS. All told the hit of
organized snow will be rather brief, perhaps an hour or so (CLE
saw snow for 75 minutes). Winds pick up sharply along the front
and shift to the W and then NW as it passes with increasing
gusts towards 25kts for most ports.

Behind the front, snow showers become more sporadic in northwest
flow most focused in the usual spots (FKL/DUJ). CIGs become a
hodgepodge of borderline MVFR/VFR with probabilities of CIGS
<3kft peaking near 60% for much of the area except for FKL/DUJ
which remain north of 80%.

SFC high pressure begins to slowly filter in by midnight but the
lingering upper trough is expected to make snow showers tough to
suppress through the day Tuesday.

Outlook...
High pressure to the west and gradually rising heights aloft
will end precipitation chances and erode VFR/MVFR stratocu by
Tuesday evening.

The next low pressure system arrive late Wednesday into Thursday
and is likely to initiate another prolonged period of
restrictions and occasional precipitation chances as deep Great
Lake troughing develops.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
OH...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Frazier
NEAR TERM...Frazier/CL
SHORT TERM...Hefferan/22/88
LONG TERM...Hefferan/88
AVIATION...AK

Source: PBZ issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Apr 7, 9:45 PM EDT

---------------
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4
CLE issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Apr 8, 4:11 PM EDT

504 
FXUS61 KCLE 082011
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
411 PM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will build over the area through early Wednesday
before a low pressure system crosses the region Wednesday night
through Thursday. The low will exit to the east Friday with high
pressure moving east into the region for the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Any lingering lake effect snow showers will taper off by early
evening as a ridge begins to build in from the west. However,
moisture may increase a bit as a surface trough traverses east
across the area this evening, which may result in some scattered
light snow showers from roughly Cuyahoga to Ashtabula counties
between about 8 PM and 2 AM EDT. If snow showers do occur, any
accumulation will be light. Tonight's lows will fall into the low to
mid 20s, although temps along the immediate lakeshore may hover in
the upper 20s to around 30 degrees.

Dry weather is expected Wednesday morning into the afternoon before
isentropic lift occurs ahead of a northeastward-advancing warm front
Wednesday evening. PoPs begin to increase near and west of the I-71
corridor after 21Z/5 PM with precip spreading east through the
remainder of the near term period as low pressure moves east into
the region. Ptype should generally start off as rain unless the
lower levels struggle to saturate at the onset; there's some
potential for snow or a rain/snow mix due to evaporational cooling
since dew points will be in the upper 20s to lower 30s ahead of
precipitation. Rain will likely mix with snow in higher terrain as
diurnal temps decrease Wednesday night with a transition to snow
possible across far NE OH into NW PA. Snow accumulation will depend
on the duration of any snow, but the highest likelihood of up to an
inch of accumulation appears to  be over far NE OH into NW PA.

Temperatures will moderate a bit on Wednesday with highs reaching
the mid to upper 40s in most locations. Overnight lows will fall
into the 30s; interior NW PA will see the coldest lows in the lower
30s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Low pressure will pass south of Lake Erie during the day on Thursday
as an upper level trough moves into the Great Lakes Region.
Precipitation is likely to be ongoing across all but NW Ohio on
Thursday and could potentially mix with snow in NW Pennsylvania
during the morning. This is unlikely to accumulate with southerly
flow ahead of the low resulting in dewpoints warming into the
upper 30s on Thursday morning. With that said, lowered highs on
Thursday given the combination of precipitation and flow
eventually shifting to the north off Lake Erie later in the day.
The exact track of the low will end up influencing highs for
the day and for now prefer a track near or just south of Lake
Erie. The mid-level dry slot wraps in from the southwest during
the afternoon but given the upper level low closing off over
Lake Erie late Thursday, continued with scattered showers into
Thursday night.

On Friday a secondary area of low pressure develop somewhere near
the Mid-Atlantic. The GFS shows this feature wrapping back to the
northwest across Pennsylvania while the majority of models keep the
low closer to the East Coast. It is worth keeping some low pops in
NE Ohio and NW Pennsylvania on Friday with the upper trough overhead
and uncertainty in this storm track. Temperatures will be about
10 degrees below normal again with northerly flow on the back
side of this system.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
While Saturday remains cool, the upper trough will move off the East
Coast on Sunday with a ridge expanding eastward through Monday.
Confidence is high in above normal temperatures by Monday but
long range models do have some variability in the amplitude and
progression of the ridge early next week. Temperatures will be
near 60 degrees in the west on Sunday, with most of the area
solidly in the 60s by Monday and locally near 70 degrees in the
west. Sunday is forecast to be a dry day with high pressure
overhead. Slight chance pops return by late Monday given
uncertainty in the pattern.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Tuesday THROUGH Sunday/...
VFR has developed at all terminals and expect VFR conditions to
persist through the majority of the TAF period. A surface
trough may produce some light snow showers at KCLE this evening
into tonight, but conditions shouldn't drop below MVFR (at the
very worst). Added PROB30 to the TAF for KCLE since overall
precip chances at the terminal remain low at this time. High
clouds will begin to move in from the west Wednesday afternoon,
but VFR conditions will prevail until several hours after the
end of the TAF period.

Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots with periodic gusts to 20 to 25
knots will persist through early evening before diminishing
below 10 knots after 00Z and becoming light and variable by 06Z.
South/southwest winds to 5 to 10 knots will develop by late
morning Wednesday.

Outlook...Non-VFR likely in rain Wednesday night into Thursday.
Non-VFR possible in periodic rain showers across Northeast Ohio
and Northwest Pennsylvania Friday and Saturday.

&&

.MARINE...
The remaining Small Craft Advisory in effect from Lake County
eastward will expire at 10 PM tonight as the ridge continues to
build overhead. Winds will remain elevated in the 10-15 knot
range even west of the Lake Erie Islands through the evening
before falling to 10 knots or less overnight.

A low pressure system is forecast to track south of the Great
Lakes Wednesday night into Thursday. Southeast winds of 15-20
knots late Wednesday night back to easterly on Thursday morning
and eventually northerly by Thursday evening. A Small Craft
Advisory may be needed Thursday afternoon into Friday morning
depending on the exact track of this low pressure system and
strength of north winds on the back side of the low. Choppy
conditions are likely to continue into Saturday with northerly
flow of around 15 knots. High pressure will build in on Sunday
with flow shifting around to the southwest.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for
         LEZ147-149.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...15
NEAR TERM...15
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM...10
AVIATION...15
MARINE...10

Source: CLE issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Apr 8, 4:11 PM EDT

---------------
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5
IWX continues Flood Warning for North Branch Elkhart River at Cosperville [IN] until further notice

760 
WGUS83 KIWX 071519
FLSIWX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1119 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Indiana...

  North Branch Elkhart River at Cosperville affecting Noble County.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Indiana...Michigan...

  Saint Joseph River Michigan at Three Rivers affecting St. Joseph
  MI, Branch and Elkhart Counties.

For the Elkhart River...including Goshen, Cosperville...Minor
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Detailed river forecasts and additional information can be found at
www.weather.gov/iwx under Rivers and Lakes.

The next statement will be issued this afternoon at 1230 PM EDT.

&&

INC039-MIC023-149-071630-
/O.CAN.KIWX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-250407T1519Z/
/TRVM4.1.ER.250404T2145Z.250406T1430Z.250407T1020Z.NO/
1119 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Saint Joseph River Michigan at Three Rivers.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:45 AM EDT Monday the stage was 6.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 5.6 feet Monday,
    April 14.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4186 8568 4197 8564 4197 8554 4196 8554
      4193 8561 4184 8566


$$

INC113-080930-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CPEI3.1.ER.250403T0300Z.250406T1900Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1119 AM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...North Branch Elkhart River at Cosperville.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 6.5 feet, Water is starting to approach foundations
  on Waldron Lake Dr, Woodland Drive, and the south end of
  Steinbarger Lake Rd.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:30 AM EDT Monday the stage was 6.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:30 AM EDT Monday was 6.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 6.1 feet Monday,
    April 14.
  - Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4150 8570 4152 8568 4149 8559 4150 8544
      4149 8543 4144 8555


$$

Brown

Source: IWX continues Flood Warning for North Branch Elkhart River at Cosperville [IN] until further notice

---------------
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6
BLOOMINGTON IN Apr 8 Climate Report: High: 44 Low: 27 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing

391 
CDUS43 KIND 082032
CLIBMG

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
432 PM EDT TUE APR 08 2025

...................................

...THE BLOOMINGTON IN CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR APRIL 8 2025...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 9999 TO 9999


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST                 
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE  FROM      YEAR                 
                                      NORMAL                       
.......................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                         
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         44    259 PM  63    -19       77                   
  MINIMUM         27    650 AM  41    -14       42                   
  AVERAGE         36            52    -16       60                 

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            0.00          0.16  -0.16     0.03                 
  MONTH TO DATE    5.83          1.25   4.58     2.26                 
  SINCE MAR 1     10.00          5.07   4.93     4.96                 
  SINCE JAN 1     12.58         11.12   1.46    10.88                 

.......................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    18   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     N (10)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    26   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     N (20)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED    10.7                                       


SKY COVER                                                             
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.0                                                 


WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                   
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.                             
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                                 


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    66           600 AM                                     
 LOWEST     35           300 PM                                     

..........................................................


THE BLOOMINGTON IN CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   64        MM        MM                     
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   41        MM        MM                     


SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
APRIL  8 2025.........SUNRISE   720 AM EDT   SUNSET   817 PM EDT     
APRIL  9 2025.........SUNRISE   718 AM EDT   SUNSET   818 PM EDT     


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$

Source: BLOOMINGTON IN Apr 8 Climate Report: High: 44 Low: 27 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing

---------------
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7
PAH issues Severe Thunderstorm Warning [wind: 60 MPH (RADAR INDICATED), hail: 1.00 IN (RADAR INDICATED)] for Edwards, Wabash, Wayne, White [IL] and Posey [IN] till 3:00 PM CDT

240 
WUUS53 KPAH 101912
SVRPAH
ILC047-185-191-193-INC129-102000-
/O.NEW.KPAH.SV.W.0171.250410T1912Z-250410T2000Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Paducah KY
212 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025

The National Weather Service in Paducah has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northern White County in southeastern Illinois...
  Eastern Wayne County in south central Illinois...
  Southwestern Wabash County in southeastern Illinois...
  Edwards County in southeastern Illinois...
  Northwestern Posey County in southwestern Indiana...

* Until 300 PM CDT.

* At 212 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from near Clay City to 6 miles northeast of Fairfield to
  near Carmi, moving southeast at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Mount Erie, Jeffersonville, Burnt Prairie, Cisne, Browns,
  Springerton, Grayville, Golden Gate, Phillipstown, Mill Shoals,
  Carmi, Albion, Maunie, Fairfield, New Harmony, Crossville, Bone
  Gap, and West Salem.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 64 in Indiana between Mile Markers 1 and 3.
 Interstate 64 in Illinois between Mile Markers 105 and 130.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3860 8815 3857 8815 3857 8803 3826 8795
      3824 8797 3826 8799 3823 8799 3823 8794
      3797 8787 3814 8837 3825 8837 3826 8845
      3860 8847
TIME...MOT...LOC 1912Z 305DEG 24KT 3873 8833 3842 8826 3816 8819

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

DW

Source: PAH issues Severe Thunderstorm Warning [wind: 60 MPH (RADAR INDICATED), hail: 1.00 IN (RADAR INDICATED)] for Edwards, Wabash, Wayne, White [IL] and Posey [IN] till 3:00 PM CDT

---------------
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8
LMK extends time of Flood Warning for Salt River at Shepherdsville [KY] till Apr 10, 10:24 PM EDT

670 
WGUS83 KLMK 101500
FLSLMK

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1100 AM EDT Thu Apr 10 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Kentucky...

  Salt River at Shepherdsville affecting Bullitt County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Flooding is occurring or is imminent. Most flood related deaths
occur in automobiles. Do not attempt to cross water covered bridges,
dips, or low water crossings. Never try to cross a flowing stream,
even a small one, on foot. To escape rising water find another route
over higher ground.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/lmk.

The next statement will be issued by this evening at 1030 PM EDT.

&&

KYC029-110230-
/O.EXT.KLMK.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-250411T0224Z/
/SHPK2.2.ER.250405T1626Z.250407T0645Z.250410T2024Z.NO/
1100 AM EDT Thu Apr 10 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Salt River at Shepherdsville.

* WHEN...Until late this evening.

* IMPACTS...At 32.0 feet, Water covers low spot of KY 61 at north
  end of bridge.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:30 AM EDT Thursday the stage was 32.5 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 29.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late this afternoon and continue falling to 16.4 feet Tuesday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3797 8531 3796 8571 3790 8589 3800 8597
      3806 8574 3807 8531


$$

RAS

Source: LMK extends time of Flood Warning for Salt River at Shepherdsville [KY] till Apr 10, 10:24 PM EDT

---------------
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9
JKL continues Freeze Warning valid at Apr 8, 10:00 PM EDT for Bath, Bell, Breathitt, Clay, Elliott, Estill, Fleming, Floyd, Harlan, Jackson, Johnson, Knott, Knox, Laurel, Lee, Leslie, Letcher, Magoffin, Martin, McCreary, Menifee, Montgomery, Morgan, Owsley, Perry, Pike, Powell, Pulaski, Rockcastle, Rowan, Wayne, Whitley, Wolfe [KY] till Apr 9, 10:00 AM EDT

499 
WWUS73 KJKL 081949
NPWJKL

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Jackson KY
349 PM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-090400-
/O.CON.KJKL.FZ.W.0002.250409T0200Z-250409T1400Z/
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
Including the cities of Cumberland, Williamsburg, South
Williamson, London, Beattyville, Hyden, Sandy Hook, Pikeville,
Prestonsburg, Mount Vernon, Elkhorn City, Burnside,
Jeffersonville, Clay City, Jackson, Corbin, Hazard, Ravenna,
Booneville, Monticello, Middlesboro, Inez, Mount Sterling,
Stearns, Stanton, Jenkins, McKee, Harlan, Wheelwright, Irvine,
Somerset, Brodhead, Whitesburg, Frenchburg, Coal Run, Morehead,
Flemingsburg, Manchester, Whitley City, West Liberty, Campton,
Pineville, Annville, Paintsville, Barbourville, Salyersville,
Camargo, Hindman, Pippa Passes, and Owingsville
349 PM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures ranging between 22 and 30 degrees
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of east central, northeast, south central, and
  southeast Kentucky.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&

$$

JMW

Source: JKL continues Freeze Warning valid at Apr 8, 10:00 PM EDT for Bath, Bell, Breathitt, Clay, Elliott, Estill, Fleming, Floyd, Harlan, Jackson, Johnson, Knott, Knox, Laurel, Lee, Leslie, Letcher, Magoffin, Martin, McCreary, Menifee, Montgomery, Morgan, Owsley, Perry, Pike, Powell, Pulaski, Rockcastle, Rowan, Wayne, Whitley, Wolfe [KY] till Apr 9, 10:00 AM EDT

---------------
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10
ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Apr 9, 1:32 AM EDT

068 
FXUS61 KILN 090532
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
132 AM EDT Wed Apr 9 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Cool and dry conditions will continue tonight as high pressure
builds into the region. A disturbance will provide an increased
chance of precipitation late Wednesday through Thursday. Dry weather
will accompany another ridge of high pressure this weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
With sfc high pressure traversing the region, clear skies and calm
winds will allow for good radiational cooling conditions and
widespread frost. Went a bit below guidance with low temps, which
should dip into the mid to upper 20s once again. Some lower 20s are
expected in rural/sheltered locales in central and south-central OH
and NE KY. The Freeze Warning remains in effect through the near term
period.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
The high will shift off to the east on Wednesday with southerly flow
developing for the Ohio Valley. Temperatures will be warmer, but
remain below seasonal normal values. A shortwave sliding from the
Plains into the middle Mississippi Valley will cause mid and high
clouds to increase heading into the afternoon and evening, with rain
developing into Wednesday night. QPF remains light (on the order of
a quarter inch) so flood impacts are not expected.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Strong meridional flow will be in place near the end of the work
week. Initial wave of rain showers pushes eastward Thursday morning,
but continued cyclonic flow with weak forcing in place may help
initiate scattered showers Thursday afternoon/evening. Thunderstorms
are possible as well on Thursday given the development of
instability.

Coverage in rain expected to decrease Friday as the mean H5 trough
aligns itself over the Ohio Valley. Cloudy and seasonably cool
conditions will continue, with highs hovering around the low to mid
50s. Some frost development possible Friday night as clouds begin to
clear out of the area, resulting in lows dropping into the 30s.

Over the weekend, H5 ridging will begin to build across the Midwest
region. This will result in a warming trend through the weekend,
which will continue into the beginning of the next work week. Dry
conditions are currently forecast throughout the weekend, but PoPs
will likely begin to increase the beginning of next week. Highs will
return to the 70s by Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Surface high pressure sits over the Ohio Valley at the start of the
TAF period and surface winds are light and variable to calm. SKC at
all sites.

High cloud blowoff from our west creeps in Wednesday around sunrise
and we'll have a VFR BKN deck ahead of the next weather maker. Winds
also increase, becoming southerly around 10 knots on Wednesday.

Rain overspreads the region from west to east after 21Z with episodic
showers moving through as we head into the overnight. Not much
instability to speak of, so no thunder in the TAFs. MVFR and some IFR CIGs
arrive near the end of the TAF period and work in from west to east.
Winds continue out of the south/southeast, at 10 knots or less.

OUTLOOK...MVFR/IFR conditions possible early Thursday. MVFR CIGs are
possible Friday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Freeze Warning until 10 AM EDT this morning for OHZ026-034-035-
     042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
KY...Freeze Warning until 10 AM EDT this morning for KYZ089>100.
IN...Freeze Warning until 10 AM EDT this morning for INZ050-058-059-066-
     073>075-080.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...KC
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...Clark
AVIATION...CA/KC

Source: ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Apr 9, 1:32 AM EDT

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