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Messages - ThreatWebInternal

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1
NEW ORLEANS/LAKEFRO,LA (NEW) ASOS  reports gust of 50 knots (57.5 mph) from WNW @ 1429Z
KNEW 071442Z 36019G47KT 1/4SM +TSRA FG FEW011 BKN017 OVC055 19/19 A3004 RMK AO2 PK WND 29050/1429 LTG DSNT ALQDS RAB1357 TSB1358E13B17 P0097 T01940189


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Source: NEW ORLEANS/LAKEFRO,LA (NEW) ASOS  reports gust of 50 knots (57.5 mph) from WNW @ 1429Z
KNEW 071442Z 36019G47KT 1/4SM +TSRA FG FEW011 BKN017 OVC055 19/19 A3004 RMK AO2 PK WND 29050/1429 LTG DSNT ALQDS RAB1357 TSB1358E13B17 P0097 T01940189


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2
MOBILE May 5 Climate Report: High: 81 Low: 53 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing

333 
CDUS44 KMOB 060626
CLIMOB

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
126 AM CDT TUE MAY 06 2025

...................................

...THE MOBILE CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR MAY 5 2025...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1842 TO 2025


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                         
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         81   3:16 PM  94    1952  82     -1       88       
  MINIMUM         53   5:26 AM  46    1921  61     -8       65       
                                      1954                           
  AVERAGE         67                        72     -5       77     

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  YESTERDAY        0.00          7.96 1981   0.17  -0.17     0.00     
  MONTH TO DATE    1.56                      0.82   0.74      T       
  SINCE MAR 1     14.92                     11.97   2.95     8.80     
  SINCE JAN 1     21.67                     22.10  -0.43    18.84     

DEGREE DAYS                                                           
 COOLING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        2                         7     -5       12       
  MONTH TO DATE   32                        32      0       59       
  SINCE MAR 1    276                       191     85      259       
  SINCE JAN 1    329                       215    114      288       
...................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    16   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     E (110)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    18   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     E (110)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     3.9                                       


SKY COVER                                                             
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.2                                                 


WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                   
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                         
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                                 


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    93          10:00 PM                                     
 LOWEST     35           3:00 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    64                                                       

..........................................................


THE MOBILE CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   83        94      1952                     
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   61        44      2017                     


SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
MAY  6 2025...........SUNRISE   6:05 AM CDT   SUNSET   7:35 PM CDT     
MAY  7 2025...........SUNRISE   6:04 AM CDT   SUNSET   7:36 PM CDT     


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$

Source: MOBILE May 5 Climate Report: High: 81 Low: 53 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing

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3
PBZ issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at May 5, 9:07 PM EDT

370 
FLUS41 KPBZ 060107
HWOPBZ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
907 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025

OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>022-029-
031-073>078-WVZ001>004-012-021-509>514-070115-
Tuscarawas-Carroll-Columbiana-Coshocton-Harrison-Jefferson OH-
Muskingum-Guernsey-Belmont-Noble-Monroe-Mercer-Venango-Forest-
Lawrence-Butler-Clarion-Jefferson PA-Beaver-Allegheny-Armstrong-
Washington-Greene-Westmoreland-Higher Elevations of Westmoreland-
Fayette-Higher Elevations of Fayette-Indiana-
Higher Elevations of Indiana-Hancock-Brooke-Ohio-Marshall-Wetzel-
Marion-Monongalia-
Ridges of Eastern Monongalia and Northwestern Preston-Preston-
Eastern Preston-Western Tucker-Eastern Tucker-
907 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Ohio, western
Pennsylvania, and northern West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Isolated thunderstorms tonight may create heavy downpours and small
hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hefferan

Source: PBZ issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at May 5, 9:07 PM EDT

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4
CLE issues Areas of fog to impact the morning commute for Erie, Huron, Lorain, Lucas, Ottawa, Sandusky, Seneca, Wood [OH] till 9:00 AM EDT

975 
WWUS81 KCLE 070859
SPSCLE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
459 AM EDT Wed May 7 2025

OHZ003-006>010-018-019-071300-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Seneca-Huron-
Including the cities of Toledo, Bowling Green, Perrysburg,
Port Clinton, Oak Harbor, Genoa, Fremont, Bellevue, Clyde,
Sandusky, Huron, Lorain, Elyria, North Ridgeville, Avon Lake,
Tiffin, Fostoria, Norwalk, and Willard
459 AM EDT Wed May 7 2025

...Areas of fog to impact the morning commute...

Areas of fog, locally dense in spots, will affect the morning
commute across the region. Motorists may encounter visibilities as
low as a quarter mile or less at times. The fog is expected to lift
by mid to late morning.

If driving, slow down, use your low beam headlights, and leave
plenty of distance ahead of you.

$$

Source: CLE issues Areas of fog to impact the morning commute for Erie, Huron, Lorain, Lucas, Ottawa, Sandusky, Seneca, Wood [OH] till 9:00 AM EDT

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5
IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at May 3, 7:04 PM EDT

923 
FXUS63 KIWX 032304
AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
704 PM EDT Sat May 3 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Shower chances increase overnight from southeast to north,
  becoming most widespread after daybreak Sunday.

- Passing showers remain in the forecast through at least
  Tuesday, though there be times of dry weather as well.

- Cool Sunday with highs in the 50s followed by a slow warming
  trend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 231 PM EDT Sat May 3 2025

This week's omega block is underway; towering ridge over the Rockies
with one upper-level low swirling over the mid-Mississippi and a
second off the west coast. An area of showers has been stationary
over east-central IL much of this morning. Surface observations
indicate low-level convergence in this area while the main low
center is displaced closer to Cincinnati. Showers remain most
numerous along the I-75 corridor where a stationary boundary resides.

Primarily dry late this afternoon and early evening but shower
chances increase overnight from southeast to north to become
most widespread after daybreak Sunday. Cyclogenesis is
anticipated west of the Appalachians as a 70 knot 500mb jet
rounds the base of the tough. The low-level jet amplifies as
well and a deformation zone is forecast over our area Sunday. A
narrow area of steady rainfall is anticipated for much of
Sunday. Given the slow forward speed of these cut-off lows,
rainfall of +/- 0.75 inches is anticipated while those outside
of the band see notably less.

The upper-level low lingers through at least Tuesday (if not
longer) resulting in daily chances for scattered showers. This low
moves off midweek, displaced by a low emerging from the Four
Corners. This results in a Rex Block over the central CONUS.
Guidance over the past couple of days has trended south with the
subsequent low, permitting our area to dry out and warm up for late-
week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 700 PM EDT Sat May 3 2025

A upper level low forming over the Ohio River Valley will keep
rain ongoing across the area for much of the day tomorrow. It is
dry this evening, although rain is expected to return late
tonight into tomorrow morning. Rain begins first in the
southeast, spreading northwestward throughout the morning and
afternoon. Rain may be moderate to heavy at times, with MVFR
ceilings and visibilities expected by midday across the area.
With closer proximity to the upper level low, KFWA may see
periods of IFR to even potentially LIFR ceilings tomorrow
evening as low clouds increase. Winds will remain out of the
northeast for the entire duration of the TAF forecast period,
often sustained around 12 kts with gusts up to 25 kts possible
at times.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Sunday for LMZ043-046.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Brown
AVIATION...Johnson

Source: IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at May 3, 7:04 PM EDT

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6
IND issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at May 6, 9:37 PM EDT

613 
FXUS63 KIND 070141
AFDIND

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
937 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Temperatures returning to near normal Tuesday and Wednesday

- Briefly cooler Friday, then warmer temperatures return this
  weekend into early next week with plenty of sun

- Rain chances return Monday into Tuesday

&&

.FORECAST UPDATE...
Issued at 936 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025

The boundary layer is expected to decouple once again overnight with
a strong inversion at the surface. Patchy upper level cirrus should
not be enough to mitigate diurnal cooling, and with a weak boundary
over our south, near to calm winds should allow for surface
saturation to occur once again with patchy low land fog over the
southern third of the region. In addition to this area, there could
be some patchy fog along the Wabash waterway where dew points may
remain slightly elevated.


Otherwise forecast is on track and grid updates are out.

&&

.SHORT TERM (This evening through Wednesday)...
Issued at 204 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025

Tonight.

Quiet weather is expected for tonight with surface gusts relaxing
after sunset as a near surface inversion sets in with the loss of
surface heating. Model soundings show little to no saturation aloft,
so clouds should become mostly clear after the diurnal cu
dissipates. Some cirrus aloft will stream in from the southwest
after midnight but this shouldn't have any impacts to overnight
temperatures with the thin nature of the clouds. Temperatures will
fall into the low 50s with a low-end threat for a return of fog
tomorrow morning. The threat looks much lower than this morning with
a drier surface airmass and weaker subsidence above the inversion.

Wednesday.

Another quiet day is expected for tomorrow with more widespread high
level clouds as the low pressure system to the south advects some
moisture aloft into the area. Afternoon high temperatures will rise
into the mid 70s with much lighter winds as boundary layer winds are
less than 10kts. Can't rule out a sprinkle across southwestern
Indiana, but with dry air below the cloud layer confidence is low
that the lift would be strong enough to precipitate from a cloud
deck at nearly 10kft.

&&

.LONG TERM (Wednesday night through Tuesday)...
Issued at 204 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025

Wednesday Night Through Friday.

The aforementioned low pressure system from the short term will
continue to slowly move eastward Wednesday night into Thursday with
a low-end threat for precipitation Thursday afternoon and evening as
convergence in the low to mid levels may be just high enough for a
narrow band of showers. Higher resolution models are properly
resolving this axis of rain but there is uncertainty as to where the
axis will set up, so will keep POPs somewhat broadbrushed with a
local maximum across the southern counties where confidence is
greatest. Surface flow will broadly remain light and northeasterly
through the rest of the work week with seasonable temperatures in
the upper 60s with comfortable dewpoints of mid 40s to mid 50s.

Saturday Through Tuesday.

Temperatures will continue to trend warmer through the weekend into
early next week with a fairly stagnant upper level pattern with an
upper level low across the Gulf states and light easterly flow near
the surface across central Indiana. The low will begin to drift
northward early next week with rain chances increasing Monday into
Tuesday as the precipitation axis shifts northward. With no
connection to Gulf moisture, QPF will be minimal with no threat for
thunderstorms.

&&

.AVIATION (00Z TAF Issuance)...
Issued at 715 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025

Impacts:

-Patchy fog at KBMG

Discussion:

VFR conditions expected through the TAF period with few to sct
cirrus decks around 25kft. Winds will generally be out of the
W/WSW through the night, but could calm towards daybreak. A frontal
boundary will be positioned over central Indiana tonight through
tomorrow leading to variable light surface winds across the region.
This boundary may allow for some patchy fog at KBMG between 10-13Z.
Winds will shift towards northerly tomorrow night.


&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Updike
SHORT TERM...White
LONG TERM...White
AVIATION...Updike

Source: IND issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at May 6, 9:37 PM EDT

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7
PAH issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at May 7, 2:31 PM CDT

172 
FLUS43 KPAH 071931
HWOPAH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
231 PM CDT Wed May 7 2025

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-100-
107>112-114-081945-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-White-
Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-Hardin-
Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-Warrick-
Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-Livingston-
Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-Union KY-Webster-
Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-
Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-
Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
231 PM CDT Wed May 7 2025 /331 PM EDT Wed May 7 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Illinois, southwest
Indiana, western Kentucky and southeast Missouri.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

An isolated thunderstorm is possible this afternoon and evening.
Brief heavy rainfall and lightning would be the main hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Scattered thunderstorms are possible on Thursday afternoon and
evening. A few storms may become strong with hail or gusty winds.

Additional thunderstorm chances return next Monday and Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

JGG

Source: PAH issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at May 7, 2:31 PM CDT

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8
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at May 8, 19:57z for portions of LMK

885 
WUUS01 KWNS 081959
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0257 PM CDT THU MAY 08 2025

VALID TIME 082000Z - 091200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   29510160 29200046 28569937 27429760 26549644
0.02   33968430 33658570 33648695 33858767 34368835 34848876
       35618929 36278925 37158841 37388733 37528433 37498236
       37508115 37208029 36587989 35978016 35208069 34708177
       33968430
0.02   29268039 29178098 29298137 29438163 29888193 30458263
       31418346 32278353 32898257 32848159 32648113 31888004
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   28077987 27718022 27328073 27118128 27268179 27568215
       28128217 28658227 28978279 28938326 28658374 99999999
       28979283 30159148 30678985 30838894 31338843 31918848
       32528904 33279007 34169061 35779080 36809082 37498993
       38568600 38728311 38578076 38957873 39237806 39187721
       38737669 37987699 37347755 36457764 35717747 34867785
       33597890 32977908 32627887 99999999 30150525 31000430
       31170308 31070172 30399954 29429628 28629495
0.15   33148121 33078305 33198518 33608770 34318880 34898905
       36108906 37098823 37478633 37508440 37478266 37308145
       37157974 36827909 35987861 35257876 34427940 33548020
       33148121
0.15   29170458 29900385 30080344 30360161 30160022 29719923
       28649763 28179681 27689605
0.15   28468011 28338104 28648146 29248171 30008196 30468257
       31448272 32278223 32238110 31798042
SIGN   29890384 30070344 30350170 30230082 29229903 28509862
       26589847 26139865 26309912 27069958 27579985 28080029
       28760064 29260104 29710178 29660250 28900317 29200392
       29890384
SIGN   34808317 34058757 34198808 34528841 35338842 36038814
       36578719 37288407 37318339 37108215 36778114 36418083
       35998090 35618124 35148181 34808317
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   28999281 30149148 30698984 30838895 31318843 31908847
       32518902 33249005 34169059 35799081 36809082 37488992
       38578602 38728311 38558078 38937886 39587727 39337656
       39157638 38147644 36447719 35257745 34687767 34227796
       33777815 33367794 99999999 28077986 27718022 27328074
       27118127 27268179 27568215 28118217 28658227 28978279
       28938327 28658374 99999999 29570497 30170430 30270386
       30330299 30370164 30160026 29049744 28329621 27899553
0.15   37478266 37298134 37167979 36837910 35997860 35257877
       34367943 33538018 33148124 33078306 33188517 33608766
       34298879 34878905 36128905 37128769 37518440 37478266
0.15   28468011 28328103 28648146 29268172 30008195 30458256
       31448271 32278223 32238109 31798042
0.15   29460163 29600140 29470081 29099977 28469841 27329743
       26649666
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   29170458 29910383 30150304 30360160 30150023 29739926
       29119836 28179681 27679605
SLGT   34308879 34888904 36098906 37098823 37478635 37518442
       37478265 37308147 37167977 36827908 35997860 35257876
       34377943 33548018 33158122 33088304 33198518 33598767
       34308879
SLGT   28468011 28328104 28648145 29278172 29998195 30468256
       31448271 32278223 32248110 31808042
MRGL   30150525 30990430 31170308 31070171 30409955 29439628
       28629495
MRGL   28989282 30159147 30698980 30838895 31328843 31928848
       32508902 33269006 34169059 35779081 36809082 37488992
       38578602 38728311 38558078 38937886 39587727 39337656
       39157638 38147644 36447719 35257745 34687766 34227796
       33767815 33367794 99999999 28077987 27718022 27328074
       27118128 27278179 27568215 28098217 28658227 28978279
       28938326 28658374
TSTM   31300730 32890891 33880956 35700953 37820934 40370775
       41400681 41590599 41360528 38430430 36800276 34650157
       32210043 31409861 29999570 29879441 30009370 30059331
       30139287 30829180 31209126 32399112 33329152 33809221
       34489378 35419526 36399677 37189786 38039794 38699761
       39039590 39079429 40079088 40508959 41198842 41508755
       42008436 41938337 41818187 41487993 41247855 41817714
       42397542 43047380 43457198 43447127 42917054 42077074
       41587093 40627128 99999999 27057955 25728024 25478078
       25678135 26928229 28418311 28248364 99999999 49499879
       47510117 46190260 45350372 44660504 44030699 43670868
       43391037 43261315 43491417 44701478 46191375 47711065
       47950846 47690623 48390463 49860308

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 SSW
MRF 35 SSE MRF 50 W 6R6 40 ENE 6R6 40 SW JCT 25 N HDO 30 SSE SAT 45
S VCT 75 S PSX.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM TUP 45
NE UOX 20 ENE DYR 30 E PAH 35 N BWG 35 NNW LOZ 40 E JKL 15 W BLF 15
SE ROA 20 NE DAN 15 NE RDU 20 NNE FAY 20 NE FLO 40 E OGB 30 SW OGB
45 NE MCN 15 NNW LGC 25 N TCL TUP.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE
MLB 25 SE ORL 10 NW ORL 30 ENE OCF 30 NE GNV 50 ESE VLD 25 NW AYS 10
NE VDI 10 NE SAV 50 ESE SAV.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 WSW
MRF 45 NNW MRF 20 NNW FST 65 SSE MAF 15 ESE JCT 50 N PSX 45 SE LBX.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SW
7R4 30 E LFT 25 N ASD 30 NNE GPT 45 NNW MOB 30 SSE MEI 20 NW MEI 15
S GWO 50 NNE GLH 10 WSW JBR 20 W POF 25 NW CGI 30 NNW SDF 40 NW HTS
45 ENE CRW 45 N SHD 25 ESE HGR 10 NNE BWI 15 E BWI 10 S NHK 30 E RZZ
25 WNW EWN 10 SSW OAJ ILM 40 SSW ILM 60 ESE CRE ...CONT... 45 NE VRB
15 ENE VRB 30 SW VRB 35 S AGR 40 SW AGR 25 ENE SRQ 35 ENE PIE 35 S
OCF 35 WSW OCF 50 S CTY 80 SSW CTY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 WSW ELP 40 E SAD
35 SE SOW 45 WNW GUP 20 NNE 4BL 15 SW CAG 35 SE RWL 25 NW LAR 20 E
LAR 15 NE PUB 35 NE CAO 35 NNE PVW 45 WSW ABI 35 SE BWD 35 NW HOU 25
WSW BPT 20 E BPT LCH 20 E LCH 45 NNE LFT 30 S HEZ 55 E MLU 25 SSE
LLQ 30 WNW LLQ 40 W HOT 20 SSE MKO 30 SE PNC 40 E P28 HUT SLN 15 W
TOP 15 E MKC 20 ENE UIN 15 SSE PIA 20 SE MMO 30 W VPZ 20 SSE JXN 20
S DTW 25 N CLE 10 NNW FKL 20 ENE DUJ 25 SSW ELM 30 ENE BGM 20 N ALB
20 SE LEB 10 SE LCI 20 SE PSM 25 SSE BOS EWB 40 SSE BID ...CONT...
40 NE PBI MIA 40 SW MIA 40 SE APF 35 NW FMY 45 NW PIE 60 WNW PIE
...CONT... 95 N DVL 15 SE N60 25 NW Y22 20 SSW 2WX 30 NE GCC 50 E
WRL 40 WSW WRL 25 SE JAC 35 NW PIH SUN 50 WSW SMN 45 SW 3DU 35 ENE
GTF 75 SE HVR 40 SSE GGW 50 WNW ISN 120 NNE ISN.


Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at May 8, 19:57z for portions of LMK

---------------
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9
JKL issues Severe Thunderstorm Warning [wind: 60 MPH (RADAR INDICATED), hail: 1.00 IN (RADAR INDICATED)] for Floyd, Martin, Pike [KY] till 8:00 PM EDT

455 
WUUS53 KJKL 082323
SVRJKL
KYC071-159-195-090000-
/O.NEW.KJKL.SV.W.0156.250508T2323Z-250509T0000Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
723 PM EDT Thu May 8 2025

The National Weather Service in JACKSON KY has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  South central Martin County in northeastern Kentucky...
  Northeastern Floyd County in southeastern Kentucky...
  Northwestern Pike County in southeastern Kentucky...

* Until 800 PM EDT.

* At 723 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over McCombs, or 9
  miles east of Prestonsburg, moving east at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* This severe thunderstorm will be near...
  Jarad around 730 PM EDT.
  Varney around 735 PM EDT.
  Heisey around 740 PM EDT.

Other locations in the path of this severe thunderstorm include
Conder.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3762 8267 3770 8266 3771 8237 3754 8239
TIME...MOT...LOC 2323Z 275DEG 21KT 3765 8259

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

VORST

Source: JKL issues Severe Thunderstorm Warning [wind: 60 MPH (RADAR INDICATED), hail: 1.00 IN (RADAR INDICATED)] for Floyd, Martin, Pike [KY] till 8:00 PM EDT

---------------
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10
DAYTON OH May 5 Climate Report: High: 60 Low: 47 Precip: 0.07" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"

225 
CDUS41 KILN 060535
CLIDAY

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
135 AM EDT TUE MAY 06 2025

...................................

...THE DAYTON OH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR MAY 5 2025...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1869 TO 2025


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                         
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         60   5:14 PM  90    1895  71    -11       79       
                                      1952                           
  MINIMUM         47  12:42 AM  30    1900  50     -3       61       
                                      1907                           
  AVERAGE         54                        61     -7       70     

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  YESTERDAY        0.07          1.16 2003   0.15  -0.08     0.00     
  MONTH TO DATE    1.84                      0.76   1.08     0.03     
  SINCE MAR 1     11.84                      8.72   3.12     7.83     
  SINCE JAN 1     15.69                     14.15   1.54    14.93     

SNOWFALL (IN)                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0.0           0.0    MM   0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SINCE MAR 1      0.5                       4.3   -3.8       T       
  SINCE JUL 1     22.5                      25.0   -2.5     13.6     
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 

DEGREE DAYS                                                           
 HEATING                                                             
  YESTERDAY       11                         6      5        0       
  MONTH TO DATE   32                        31      1        0       
  SINCE MAR 1    896                      1097   -201      810       
  SINCE JUL 1   4696                      5041   -345     4172       

 COOLING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0                         2     -2        5       
  MONTH TO DATE    8                         6      2       25       
  SINCE MAR 1     33                        23     10       60       
  SINCE JAN 1     33                        23     10       60       
...................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  RESULTANT WIND SPEED   2   RESULTANT WIND DIRECTION  SE (140)       
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    10   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    SW (220)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    14   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    SE (150)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     5.6                                       


SKY COVER                                                             
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM                                                 
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.9                                                 


WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                   
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                         
  LIGHT RAIN                                                         
  FOG                                                                 


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    93           2:00 AM                                     
 LOWEST     65          11:00 AM                                     
 AVERAGE    79                                                       

..........................................................


THE DAYTON OH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   72        89      1949                     
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   51        31      1968                     


SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
MAY  6 2025...........SUNRISE   6:31 AM EDT   SUNSET   8:37 PM EDT     
MAY  7 2025...........SUNRISE   6:30 AM EDT   SUNSET   8:38 PM EDT     


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$

Source: DAYTON OH May 5 Climate Report: High: 60 Low: 47 Precip: 0.07" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"

---------------
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11
Ottawa film studios worry Trump's threatened tariffs could mean the end

'Shane

Some Ottawa film studios are concerned that U.S. President Donald Trump's threatened tariffs on foreign films could spell the end for their industry within months. 


Source: Ottawa film studios worry Trump's threatened tariffs could mean the end

-----------------------
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12
BOX issues Summary Local Storm Report, 48 out of 48 reports were previously sent and not repeated here.

654 
NWUS51 KBOX 040117
LSRBOX

Preliminary Local Storm Report...Summary
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
917 PM EDT Sat May 3 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 ESE Montague          42.52N 72.48W
05/03/2025                   Franklin           MA   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Tree and powerline wires downed near
            chestnut hill rd in montague. relayed by
            amateur radio.

0325 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NW Phillipston        42.57N 72.15W
05/03/2025                   Worcester          MA   Trained Spotter 

            2 trees downed on powerline wires on state
            road in Phillipston. Relayed by amateur
            radio.

0325 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Phillipston             42.55N 72.13W
05/03/2025                   Worcester          MA   Trained Spotter 

            2 trees down on wires on state road. Relayed
            via amateur radio.

0330 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Templeton               42.55N 72.07W
05/03/2025                   Worcester          MA   Law Enforcement 

            Law enforcement reports a tree down on wires
            blocking River road.

0335 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Winchendon              42.68N 72.04W
05/03/2025                   Worcester          MA   Law Enforcement 

            Tree down in area of Otter River Road
            blocking southbound lane. Relayed via
            amateur radio.

0350 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Gardner                 42.58N 71.99W
05/03/2025                   Worcester          MA   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Trees down on powerlines in the area of
            Kelton Street. Relayed via amateur radio.

0356 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Bradley AP              41.94N 72.68W
05/03/2025  M59 MPH          Hartford           CT   ASOS             

            Bradley Intl Airport.

0357 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Westfield-Barnes AP     42.17N 72.72W
05/03/2025  M65 MPH          Hampden            MA   ASOS             

            Barnes/Westfield Airport.

0358 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Ashburnham              42.63N 71.90W
05/03/2025                   Worcester          MA   Law Enforcement 

            Tree down on Hastings road. Relayed via
            amateur radio.

0410 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Granby                  41.95N 72.78W
05/03/2025                   Hartford           CT   Trained Spotter 

            Tree down on a car near Hatchet Hill Road.

0410 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Granby                  41.95N 72.78W
05/03/2025                   Hartford           CT   Trained Spotter 

            Multiple trees down on power lines on
            Buttles Road. Relayed via amateur radio.

0410 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Simsbury                41.88N 72.81W
05/03/2025                   Hartford           CT   Trained Spotter 

            Tree down on Holcomb Streeet at Barndoor
            Hill Road. Relayed by amateur radio.

0415 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NW East Longmeadow    42.09N 72.54W
05/03/2025                   Hampden            MA   Public           

            Photos showing a large tree and power lines
            down across Larkspur St in Springfield.
            Relayed via amateur radio.

0415 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 ENE Agawam            42.08N 72.58W
05/03/2025                   Hampden            MA   Public           

            Pictures show a large tree down on two cars
            in Springfield. Relayed via amateur radio.

0415 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Springfield             42.12N 72.54W
05/03/2025                   Hampden            MA   Amateur Radio   

            Tree down on house near Peekskill ave.
            Relayed by amateur radio.

0415 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Springfield             42.12N 72.54W
05/03/2025                   Hampden            MA   Amateur Radio   

            Tree down on house near Providence Street.
            Relayed via amateur radio.

0415 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Springfield             42.12N 72.54W
05/03/2025                   Hampden            MA   Amateur Radio   

            Tree down on house near Allen St. Relayed by
            amateur radio.

0415 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Springfield             42.12N 72.54W
05/03/2025                   Hampden            MA   Amateur Radio   

            Large tree down on 2 houses on Jeffery
            Street. Relayed by amateur radio.

0415 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Springfield             42.12N 72.54W
05/03/2025                   Hampden            MA   Amateur Radio   

            Large tree blocking Delmore Street. Report
            relayed via amateur radio.

0420 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Chicopee                42.18N 72.57W
05/03/2025                   Hampden            MA   Amateur Radio   

            Wires down on Beachwood Terrace. Relayed via
            amateur radio.

0420 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Chicopee                42.18N 72.57W
05/03/2025                   Hampden            MA   Amateur Radio   

            Utility pole down near Fernwood Ave. Relayed
            via amateur radio.

0422 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 NNW Palmer            42.18N 72.33W
05/03/2025                   Hampden            MA   Law Enforcement 

            Tree and multiple power lines reported down
            on Mount Dumplin Rd in Palmer. Time
            estimated by radar. Relayed via amateur
            radio.

0423 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 SE Belchertown        42.25N 72.36W
05/03/2025                   Hampshire          MA   Law Enforcement 

            Tree downed on wires near Michael Sears Rd
            in Belchertown. relayed by amateur radio.

0423 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 SSE Belchertown       42.23N 72.38W
05/03/2025                   Hampshire          MA   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Trees downed on wires on several sections of
            North Liberty St in Belchertown. relayed by
            amateur radio.

0425 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 N Palmer              42.20N 72.32W
05/03/2025                   Hampden            MA   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Trees and wires reported down on a car and
            shed in Palmer. Time estimated by radar.
            Relayed via amateur radio.

0427 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 W Ware                42.26N 72.32W
05/03/2025                   Hampshire          MA   Law Enforcement 

            Power lines reported down on cars in Ware.
            Time estimated by radar. Relayed via amateur
            radio.

0427 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NNW Ware              42.27N 72.26W
05/03/2025                   Hampshire          MA   Law Enforcement 

            Telephone pole reported down in the road.
            Time estimated by radar. Relayed via amateur
            radio.

0430 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 WNW Ware              42.27N 72.30W
05/03/2025                   Hampshire          MA   Law Enforcement 

            Trees reported down. Time estimated by
            radar. Relayed via amateur radio.

0430 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 SSE Palmer            42.15N 72.32W
05/03/2025                   Hampden            MA   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Wires down on South Main St in Palmer. Time
            estimated by radar. Relayed via amateur
            radio.

0430 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NNW Palmer            42.19N 72.34W
05/03/2025                   Hampden            MA   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Large tree, wires, and transformer reported
            down on Throndike St at Elizabeth St. Time
            estimated by radar. Relayed via amateur
            radio.

0433 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 NE Ware               42.26N 72.23W
05/03/2025                   Hampshire          MA   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Roof collapse reported on Cherry St in Ware.
            Time estimated by radar. Relayed via amateur
            radio.

0435 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 NNW West Brookfield   42.27N 72.18W
05/03/2025                   Worcester          MA   Law Enforcement 

            Trees and wires reported down in West
            Brookfield. Time estimated by radar. Relayed
            via amateur radio.

0435 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 NE Ware               42.28N 72.20W
05/03/2025                   Worcester          MA   Law Enforcement 

            Trees and wires reported down on Lyons Rd in
            West Brookfield. Time estimated by radar.
            Relayed via amateur radio.

0437 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 NE Ware               42.29N 72.20W
05/03/2025                   Worcester          MA   Law Enforcement 

            Trees and wires reported down on Kennedy Rd
            in West Brookfield. Time estimated by radar.
            Relayed via amateur radio.

0440 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 W Oakham              42.36N 72.09W
05/03/2025                   Worcester          MA   Law Enforcement 

            2 trees downed on scott rd in oakham.
            relayed by amateur radio.

0440 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Oakham                  42.35N 72.05W
05/03/2025                   Worcester          MA   Trained Spotter 

            2 trees down near Scott Road. Relayed via
            amateur radio.

0443 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 N Charlton            42.17N 71.96W
05/03/2025                   Worcester          MA   Law Enforcement 

            Tree down near Gould Rd. relayed by amateur
            radio.

0445 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NW Paxton             42.33N 71.95W
05/03/2025                   Worcester          MA   Law Enforcement 

            Tree down on Turkey Hill Dr in Paxton.
            Relayed via amateur radio. Time estimated by
            radar.

0447 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Spencer                 42.24N 71.99W
05/03/2025                   Worcester          MA   Law Enforcement 

            Tree down on wirs near Church Street.
            Relayed via amateur radio.

0450 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 ENE Worcester AP      42.28N 71.84W
05/03/2025                   Worcester          MA   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Tree reported down on power lines in
            Worcester. Time estimated by radar. Relayed
            via amateur radio.

0450 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 N Worcester AP        42.28N 71.87W
05/03/2025                   Worcester          MA   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Large tree branch reported down on power
            lines in Worcester. Time estimated by radar.
            Relayed via amateur radio.

0450 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 N Holden              42.38N 71.86W
05/03/2025                   Worcester          MA   Law Enforcement 

            Trees reported down on wires in Holden. Time
            estimated by radar and relayed via amateur
            radio.

0453 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 S Holden              42.33N 71.85W
05/03/2025  E60 MPH          Worcester          MA   Public           

             

0455 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 NNE Worcester         42.29N 71.79W
05/03/2025                   Worcester          MA   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Large tree branch reported down on wires on
            Burncoat St in Worcester. Time estimated by
            radar. Relayed via amateur radio.

0455 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Worcester AP            42.27N 71.87W
05/03/2025  M61 MPH          Worcester          MA   ASOS             

            Worcester Regional Airport.

0500 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 NW Holden             42.36N 71.86W
05/03/2025                   Worcester          MA   Law Enforcement 

            Tree and wires downed on Damon Rd. Relayed
            by amateur radio.

0508 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Bolton                  42.43N 71.60W
05/03/2025                   Worcester          MA   Trained Spotter 

            A trained weather spotter reported 2 trees
            downed on a truck in Bolton. Time estimated
            by radar. No injuries.

0530 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 SSE Tewksbury         42.59N 71.21W
05/03/2025                   Middlesex          MA   Law Enforcement 

            Tree down on a car on corner of shawsheen
            and arlington streets in Tewksbury. Relayed
            by amateur radio.


&&

$$




Source: BOX issues Summary Local Storm Report, 48 out of 48 reports were previously sent and not repeated here.

----------------
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13
WCO issues Area Hydrological Discussion (AHD) at May 7, 6:06 AM CDT

831 
AGUS74 KWCO 071113
AHDNWC

Area Hydrological Discussion #077 - EXPERIMENTAL
NWS National Water Center - Tuscaloosa, AL
606 AM CDT Wed May 07 2025

WHAT: Locally considerable flash, urban, and small stream flooding
WHERE: Southern Louisiana and Mississippi
WHEN: Through the morning

FORECAST RAINFALL AND ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS...
QPF: 2 - 5" (HRRR)
QPE: 2 - 5", locally up to 8" (MRMS)
Rain Rates: 1 - 3"/hr (HRRR)
Soil Moisture: 40 - 90% (NASA SPoRT)
Streamflows: Above normal to much above normal (USGS)

DISCUSSION...
Another round of heavy rainfall is expected over far southern
Louisiana and into southern Mississippi through this morning. Heavy
rainfall over the course of last night has already resulted in
numerous reports of flooding in southern Louisiana, and this
additional rainfall is falling on already saturated soils that are
conducive for the formation of efficient runoff processes. Urban
areas are most at risk, but areal ponding and out-of-bank rises on
streams are also possible.

Recent runs of the HRRR-forced National Water Model (NWM) have been
consistently placing the most robust signals along the I-10 corridor
through Louisiana, with rapid-onset probabilities (ROF) in the 25 -
75% range. The most recent (10z) run is showing annual exceedance
probabilities (AEPs) from the highflow magnitude service in the 50 -
2% range for the area between the Texas/Louisiana border and the
Mississippi/Alabama border, supporting the potential for locally
considerable flooding impacts.

GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION weather.gov/owp/operations-ahd

Additional National Water Center products are available at
weather.gov/owp/operations

//Bliss


 ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...JAN...MOB
ATTN...RFC...ORN...FWR...WPC

Source: WCO issues Area Hydrological Discussion (AHD) at May 7, 6:06 AM CDT

---------------
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14
The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 2 Moderate Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at May 5, 20:03z for portions of MOB

Sorry, product text is unavailable.

Source: The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 2 Moderate Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at May 5, 20:03z for portions of MOB

---------------
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15
Republic [Fayette Co, PA] Public reports Hail of quarter size (E1.00 Inch) at 4:37 PM EDT -- Picture showing a few quarter size hailstones mixed with a bunch of smaller hail.

569 
NWUS51 KPBZ 052252
LSRPBZ

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
652 PM EDT Mon May 5 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0437 PM     Hail             Republic                39.96N 79.88W
05/05/2025  E1.00 Inch       Fayette            PA   Public           

            Picture showing a few quarter size
            hailstones mixed with a bunch of smaller
            hail.


&&

$$

MLB


Source: Republic [Fayette Co, PA] Public reports Hail of quarter size (E1.00 Inch) at 4:37 PM EDT -- Picture showing a few quarter size hailstones mixed with a bunch of smaller hail.

---------------
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