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Messages - ThreatWebInternal
1
« on: Today at 10:43:12 AM »
National Hurricane Center issues ADVISORY 7A for TROPICAL STORM JERRY INTERMEDIATE880
WTNT35 KNHC 090543
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Jerry Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102025
200 AM AST Thu Oct 09 2025
...JERRY REMAINS A SHEARED TROPICAL STORM...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ON PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS AS JERRY PASSES NEARBY LATER TODAY INTO FRIDAY...
SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.5N 57.1W
ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat
* St. Barthelemy and St. Martin
* Sint Maarten
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* Guadeloupe and the adjacent islands
Interests elsewhere in the northern Leeward Islands and the
British and U.S. Virgin Islands should monitor the progress of
Jerry.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jerry was
located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 57.1 West. Jerry is
moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue through today. A turn to the
northwest at a slower forward speed should begin tonight, followed
by a northward motion on Friday and Saturday. On the forecast track,
the center of Jerry is expected to pass near or to the northeast of
the northern Leeward Islands later today and tonight.
Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next few days,
and Jerry could become a hurricane late this week or this weekend.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Jerry can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header
WTNT45 KNHC.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible in portions of the
northern Leeward Islands within the watch area late today into
Friday.
RAINFALL: Through Friday, 2 to 4 inches of rain with local storm
total maxima to 6 inches are expected across the Leeward Islands,
British Virgin Islands, and U.S. Virgin Islands. This rainfall
brings a risk of flash flooding, especially in areas of steep
terrain.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Jerry, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf
SURF: Swells generated by Jerry are expected to reach the Leeward
and Windward Islands today, then spread westward toward the Greater
Antilles on Friday into the weekend. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
A depiction of rip current risk for the United States, including
Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, can be found at:
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Source: National Hurricane Center issues ADVISORY 7A for TROPICAL STORM JERRY INTERMEDIATE--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
2
« on: Today at 10:43:11 AM »
MOB continues Rip Currents Statement for Baldwin Coastal, Mobile Coastal [AL] and Escambia Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal, Santa Rosa Coastal [FL] till Oct 11, 6:00 AM CDT784
WHUS44 KMOB 110051
CFWMOB
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
751 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-111100-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0029.000000T0000Z-251011T1100Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
751 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CDT
SATURDAY...
* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents.
* WHERE...In Alabama, Mobile Coastal and Baldwin Coastal
Counties. In Florida, Escambia Coastal, Santa Rosa Coastal and
Okaloosa Coastal Counties.
* WHEN...Until 6 AM CDT Saturday.
* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away
from shore into deeper water.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and
float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a
direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the
shore and call or wave for help.
&&
$$
Source: MOB continues Rip Currents Statement for Baldwin Coastal, Mobile Coastal [AL] and Escambia Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal, Santa Rosa Coastal [FL] till Oct 11, 6:00 AM CDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
3
« on: Today at 10:43:11 AM »
ZANESVILLE OH Oct 15 Climate Report: High: 66 Low: 43 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing896
CDUS41 KPBZ 152122
CLIZZV
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
522 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2025
...................................
...THE ZANESVILLE OH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 15 2025...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0500 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1895 TO 2025
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MAXIMUM 66 221 PM 88 1897 66 0 54
MINIMUM 43 646 AM 24 1939 43 0 36
AVERAGE 55 55 0 45
PRECIPITATION (IN)
TODAY 0.00 1.38 1954 0.09 -0.09 0.07
MONTH TO DATE 0.96 1.38 -0.42 0.13
SINCE SEP 1 3.85 4.50 -0.65 3.07
SINCE JAN 1 30.89 31.72 -0.83 25.71
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
TODAY 10 11 -1 20
MONTH TO DATE 78 126 -48 103
SINCE SEP 1 111 201 -90 126
SINCE JUL 1 137 207 -70 138
COOLING
TODAY 0 0 0 0
MONTH TO DATE 5 11 -6 11
SINCE SEP 1 99 114 -15 176
SINCE JAN 1 1006 909 97 1201
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 13 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION NW (330)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 20 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION NW (330)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 3.7
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.5
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.
FOG
FOG W/VISIBILITY <= 1/4 MILE
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 100 400 AM
LOWEST 50 100 PM
AVERAGE 75
..........................................................
THE ZANESVILLE OH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 66 87 1897
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 43 21 1939
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
OCTOBER 15 2025.......SUNRISE 738 AM EDT SUNSET 648 PM EDT
OCTOBER 16 2025.......SUNRISE 739 AM EDT SUNSET 646 PM EDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: ZANESVILLE OH Oct 15 Climate Report: High: 66 Low: 43 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
4
« on: Today at 10:43:10 AM »
CLE issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Oct 16, 1:40 PM EDT ...FROST ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EDT FRIDAY...318
FLUS41 KCLE 161740
HWOCLE
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
140 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>009-012-017-018-027-089-PAZ001-
171745-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH-The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lake-Hancock-Seneca-
Wyandot-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-
140 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie, north central
Ohio, northeast Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
OHZ010-011-013-014-019>023-028>033-036>038-047-171745-
Lorain-Cuyahoga-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-
Trumbull-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-
Morrow-Holmes-Knox-
140 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
...FROST ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EDT FRIDAY...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio and
northeast Ohio.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Frost Advisory.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Frost Advisory.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
PAZ002-003-171745-
Southern Erie-Crawford-
140 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EDT FRIDAY...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Freeze Warning.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Freeze Warning.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Source: CLE issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Oct 16, 1:40 PM EDT ...FROST ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EDT FRIDAY...--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
5
« on: Today at 10:43:10 AM »
IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 14, 1:52 AM EDT923
FXUS63 KIWX 140552
AFDIWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
152 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Areas of fog possible again tonight, especially east of I-69.
- Near to above normal temperatures through the weekend with
highs in the 60s and 70s.
- Showers likely, thunderstorms possible Saturday and Sunday.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 755 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
A pronounced low level moisture gradient persists this evening
across the western Great Lakes. Satellite imagery/sfc obs
indicate a 5-8k ft cloud deck along this boundary from far
northwest Indiana into extreme western Lower Michigan. Some
amplification of Mid MS Rvr Valley low/mid level ridging will
allow for some increase in low level north-northwest flow which
should allow this theta-e gradient and associated cloud deck to
make a little eastward progress tonight. Best chance of fog
development once again appears to be for areas east of I-69
corridor which should have less cloud cover for much of tonight.
Near sfc/sfc dew points and cross over values are a bit lower in
comparison to yesterday, but weak northeast flow off Lake Erie
could promote some greater fog potential across NW Ohio and
into far NE Indiana. Greatest potential of dense fog appears to
be across NW Ohio early Tuesday AM, but at least patchy dense
fog potential does appear to be in place across far NE Indiana.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 140 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Showers over northeast IL and WI were weakening and are not
expected to reach the forecast area. Light east flow should
prevail over most areas tonight with a good chance for ground
fog redeveloping east of I-69. Have added patchy fog in this
area for late tonight and early Tuesday. Otherwise, an upper
level ridge should build east help keep high temperatures close
to 15 degrees above normal including the mid to upper 70s into
Friday as as a large positive height anomaly prevails from the
Ohio River to Hudson Bay. Anomalously large diurnal temperature
ranges should accompany this pattern through Friday given the
antecedently dry ground conditions and dry air over the region
with dew points near 50 degrees. Diurnal ranges may exceed 30
degrees until the ridge pattern breaks down late in the week.
Rain is likely over the weekend along with the chance for
thunderstorms. Severe weather is not expected. WPC rainfall for
the forecast area is generally around an inch for the 7 days.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 142 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025
Predominantly VFR conditions expected at the TAF Sites, with
KFWA potentially dropping to MVFR between 9-13z. It's possible
KSBN drops to high end MVFR once clouds clear towards morning,
but initial cloud cover may limit radiational cooling. Dewpoints
are much lower in the west initially as well--it's unclear how
far the moisture off the lower lakes advects in. Left out of TAF
given low confidence.
KFWA may drop to MVFR between 9-13z, though much of the
guidance that brings visibility down have greatly underestimated
the current cloud cover so I'm skeptical. If we see flow off
the lower lakes like last night we may have a chance for fog
below MVFR, especially if it times with clearing cloud cover.
Otherwise, radiational cooling will be limited.
Otherwise, we could get a few showers or sprinkles at KSBN just
beyond the TAF period tomorrow night. Light and variable winds
will strengthen out of the N-NE through the period.
&&
.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...Marsili
DISCUSSION...Skipper
AVIATION...Marsili
Source: IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 14, 1:52 AM EDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
6
« on: Today at 10:43:09 AM »
IND issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 15, 1:46 PM EDT537
FXUS63 KIND 151746
AFDIND
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
146 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Pockets of sprinkles with mostly cloudy skies today
- Warmer, with rain chances Saturday afternoon through Sunday
morning. A few thunderstorms possible.
- Turning cooler following frontal passage Sunday and Monday.
&&
.SHORT TERM (This evening through Thursday)...
Issued at 146 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Broad ridging over the upper Mississippi Valley will still
promote surface pressure increases over the Ohio Valley through the
end of the work week; however, an amplifying subgeostrophic jet
streak beneath a modest shortwave upstream of the ridge will keep
conditions mostly cloudy through today, including intermittent
pockets of light showers and sprinkles. Day time sensible heat
fluxes have led to some mixing out of the low level cloud layer
within central Indiana. This should lead to some fluctuation between
scattered to broken cloud cover this afternoon. The diurnal curve
will dampen a little beneath this cloud cover with highs this
afternoon in the low 70s.
As mentioned, there is a chance for sprinkles and light rain showers
today within the passing upper wave. Dew point depressions, have
increased to between 15-20F this afternoon, limiting overall
coverage, but a few concentrated pockets of lift approaching from
the west may allow for some precipitation to occur. If any does
occur, total QPF will likely remain at 0.01 or less in any given
area.
Low to mid level clouds are expected to linger over western and
northern portions of central Indiana tonight. This should limit
diurnal cooling and keep temperatures warmer compared to areas
further east. There are some hints at a boundary developing south of
the cloud cover tonight, of which could lead to a narrow corridor of
fog development, but confidence in occurrence is low at this point.
For tomorrow, the surface high should become more established over
the general region eventually leading to mostly clear skies by the
late morning. Some patchy diurnal cumulus is likely to develop on
the eastern periphery of the surface high, currently expected over
eastern Indiana, but there is still some variability in surface high
positioning for tomorrow. Highs should remain fairly stagnant
despite less cloud cover due to weak CAA on the backside of today's
shortwave.
&&
.LONG TERM (Thursday night through Wednesday)...
Issued at 146 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Thursday Night through Friday Night...
Dry and warm weather is expected during this period. Models suggest
strong ridging in place aloft with strong surface high pressure in
place over the eastern Great Lakes on Thursday Night. These features
will push east through Friday Night, but continue to control the
weather across Central Indiana through Friday Night. Forecast
soundings show a dry column across through this time. No forcing
appears available within the southwest flow aloft, thus partly
cloudy and warm weather will be expected as backside southerly winds
should be in place.
Saturday and Sunday...
Forecast remains on track to have the best chances for rain during
this period. Models suggests a strong trough axis over the plains to
deepen and push into the Mississippi Valley on Saturday and cross
Indiana on Sunday. Southwest flow ahead of the trough axis along
with an associated approaching cold front will be favorable for
temperature and moisture advection as well as broad lift. At this
time it appears that several dry hours will be in place on Saturday
until the best moisture arrives which looks to occur on Saturday
Night and into Sunday. Thus will focus best pops at that time. A few
thunderstorms may be possible along the front, but confidence is
low. Furthermore, progressive flow should allow for quick moving
storms, limiting flooding potential. Models suggest the upper trough
axis will still be over Indiana on Sunday as it appears to become
somewhat negatively tilted. Models here still keep abundant moisture
available. Thus continued pops for mainly lighter precipitation will
be needed. Given the clouds and rain, expect a cool down in high
temperatures.
Monday and Tuesday...
Dry but seasonable weather is expected to return early next week as
a quick moving ridge aloft is suggested to pass across Indiana
during this time. A strong surface high pressure system is shown to
be present beneath this ridge, centered over the deep south and
stretching to the Great Lakes. Thus partly cloudy skies will be
expected with highs in the 60s.
Wednesday...
Rain chances will once again be needed here as another quick moving
short wave is suggested to pass. Models suggest the arrival of a
strong warm front ahead of an associated, deep low over the central
plains. Thus again, pops will be needed perhaps starting as early as
Tuesday night, continuing into Wednesday.
&&
.AVIATION (18Z TAF Issuance)...
Issued at 109 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
Impacts:
- None
Discussion:
VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. Clouds are
moving through central Indiana with ceilings between 4000-8000ft.
MVFR ceilings are unlikely today, but brief dips below 3000
along with sprinkles cannot be ruled out at any site.
Winds have become steady around 5-7kt out of the east. These should
turn more to the NE overnight before returning to easterly tomorrow.
Occasional gusts are possible tomorrow afternoon, but confidence in
occurrence is too low to include at this time.
Depending on clearing tonight, there is a potential scenario where
fog may develop at KBMG tomorrow morning. Trends will be closely
monitored in upcoming issuances for this potential.
&&
.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Updike
LONG TERM...Puma
AVIATION...Updike
Source: IND issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 15, 1:46 PM EDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
8
« on: Today at 10:43:08 AM »
LMK issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Oct 16, 3:25 PM EDT407
FLUS43 KLMK 161925
HWOLMK
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
325 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-171930-
Orange-Washington IN-Scott IN-Jefferson IN-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-
Harrison IN-Floyd-Clark IN-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-
Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-
Scott KY-Harrison KY-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-
Nicholas-Nelson-Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY-Larue-Marion-
Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-
Lincoln-Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-
Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
325 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025 /225 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Indiana
and central Kentucky.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
A strong cold front is expected to move across the region Saturday
night into Sunday morning. Gusty winds of 20 to 30 mph are expected
Saturday afternoon, and winds of 30 to 40 mph are possible on Sunday.
Additionally, a few strong thunderstorms are possible late Saturday
evening into early Sunday morning.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed Saturday Night.
&&
More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.
$$
MJ
Source: LMK issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Oct 16, 3:25 PM EDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
9
« on: Today at 10:43:07 AM »
JACKSON KY Oct 15 Climate Report: High: 71 Low: 48 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"538
CDUS43 KJKL 160546
CLIJKL
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
146 AM EDT THU OCT 16 2025
...................................
...THE JACKSON KY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 15 2025...
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1981 TO 2025
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
YESTERDAY
MAXIMUM 71 229 PM 83 1989 69 2 50
2008
MINIMUM 48 706 AM 33 1986 49 -1 41
AVERAGE 60 59 1 46
PRECIPITATION (IN)
YESTERDAY 0.00 0.62 2018 0.11 -0.11 0.09
MONTH TO DATE 1.14 1.68 -0.54 0.14
SINCE SEP 1 5.27 5.10 0.17 4.63
SINCE JAN 1 54.43 42.15 12.28 38.48
SNOWFALL (IN)
YESTERDAY 0.0 0.0 0.0 T
MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 T
SINCE SEP 1 T 0.0 0.0 T
SINCE JUL 1 T 0.0 0.0 T
SNOW DEPTH 0
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
YESTERDAY 5 7 -2 19
MONTH TO DATE 39 78 -39 59
SINCE SEP 1 50 117 -67 67
SINCE JUL 1 54 118 -64 68
COOLING
YESTERDAY 0 1 -1 0
MONTH TO DATE 31 25 6 35
SINCE SEP 1 181 186 -5 224
SINCE JAN 1 1259 1220 39 1466
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 6 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION N (350)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 13 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION N (340)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 0.3
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.1
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.
FOG
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 100 600 AM
LOWEST 50 300 PM
AVERAGE 75
..........................................................
THE JACKSON KY CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 69 82 1984
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 48 36 2024
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
OCTOBER 16 2025.......SUNRISE 743 AM EDT SUNSET 654 PM EDT
OCTOBER 17 2025.......SUNRISE 744 AM EDT SUNSET 653 PM EDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: JACKSON KY Oct 15 Climate Report: High: 71 Low: 48 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
10
« on: Today at 10:43:06 AM »
COLUMBUS OH Oct 14 Climate Report: High: 73 Low: 49 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"754
CDUS41 KILN 142051
CLICMH
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
451 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2025
...................................
...THE COLUMBUS OH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 14 2025...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1869 TO 2025
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MAXIMUM 73 3:41 PM 86 1897 66 7 57
2021
MINIMUM 49 6:48 AM 28 1988 45 4 47
AVERAGE 61 56 5 52
PRECIPITATION (IN)
TODAY 0.00 0.89 1954 0.09 -0.09 T
MONTH TO DATE 1.85 1.33 0.52 0.07
SINCE SEP 1 3.81 4.47 -0.66 2.53
SINCE JAN 1 32.68 34.08 -1.40 27.01
SNOWFALL (IN)
TODAY 0.0 MM MM 0.0 0.0 0.0
MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SINCE SEP 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW DEPTH 0
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
TODAY 4 10 -6 13
MONTH TO DATE 43 106 -63 58
SINCE SEP 1 58 167 -109 71
SINCE JUL 1 68 170 -102 74
COOLING
TODAY 0 0 0 0
MONTH TO DATE 26 16 10 14
SINCE SEP 1 191 141 50 234
SINCE JAN 1 1263 1067 196 1433
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 15 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION N (350)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 21 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION N (350)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 6.1
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.3
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.
FOG
FOG W/VISIBILITY <= 1/4 MILE
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 100
LOWEST 49
AVERAGE 75
..........................................................
THE COLUMBUS OH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 66 90 1897
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 45 30 1894
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
OCTOBER 14 2025.......SUNRISE 7:41 AM EDT SUNSET 6:53 PM EDT
OCTOBER 15 2025.......SUNRISE 7:42 AM EDT SUNSET 6:51 PM EDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: COLUMBUS OH Oct 14 Climate Report: High: 73 Low: 49 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
11
« on: Today at 10:43:05 AM »
Ontario to make it easier for health-care workers from other provinces to practice Ontario Labour Minister David Piccini is set to introduce legislation next week intended to make it easier for health-care workers from other provinces to work in Ontario.
Source: Ontario to make it easier for health-care workers from other provinces to practice----------------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
12
« on: Today at 10:43:04 AM »
BOX issues Coastal Flood Advisory valid at Oct 13, 3:00 PM EDT for Dukes, Nantucket [MA] till Oct 13, 7:00 PM EDT442
WHUS41 KBOX 130810
CFWBOX
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
410 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
RIZ006>008-132000-
/O.EXP.KBOX.CF.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-251013T0800Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.CF.Y.0009.251013T1600Z-251013T2000Z/
Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
410 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM EDT
THIS AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Up to one half foot of inundation above ground level
expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal
waterways (5.0 to 5.8 feet Mean Lower Low Water).
* WHERE...Washington, and Newport Counties.
* WHEN...From noon today to 4 PM EDT this afternoon.
* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only
isolated road closures expected.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Westerly RI at Watch Hill
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 8.0 ft, Major 9.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.0 ft, Moderate 5.0 ft, Major 6.5 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
13/02 PM 4.7/ 5.2 1.8/ 2.2 2.0/ 2.5 9-10 Minor
14/03 AM 3.4/ 3.9 0.4/ 0.9 1.2/ 1.7 6-8 None
14/04 PM 3.7/ 4.2 0.7/ 1.1 0.9/ 1.4 5 None
15/04 AM 3.2/ 3.7 0.2/ 0.7 0.8/ 1.3 4 None
15/05 PM 3.4/ 3.9 0.4/ 0.9 0.8/ 1.3 3-4 None
Newport Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.0 ft, Moderate 7.5 ft, Major 9.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.1 ft, Moderate 3.6 ft, Major 5.1 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
13/02 PM 5.6/ 6.1 1.7/ 2.2 1.7/ 2.2 3 None
14/02 AM 4.4/ 4.9 0.5/ 1.0 1.0/ 1.5 3 None
14/03 PM 4.5/ 5.0 0.6/ 1.1 0.8/ 1.3 3 None
15/03 AM 4.2/ 4.7 0.2/ 0.8 0.8/ 1.3 2-3 None
15/04 PM 4.4/ 4.9 0.5/ 1.0 0.8/ 1.3 2 None
Newport South Coast Beaches
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.0 ft, Moderate 7.5 ft, Major 9.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.5 ft, Moderate 4.0 ft, Major 5.5 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
13/02 PM 5.2/ 5.7 1.8/ 2.2 1.7/ 2.2 8 None
14/02 AM 4.0/ 4.5 0.6/ 1.1 1.0/ 1.5 6 None
14/03 PM 4.2/ 4.7 0.7/ 1.1 0.8/ 1.3 4-5 None
15/03 AM 3.7/ 4.2 0.2/ 0.8 0.7/ 1.1 3-4 None
15/04 PM 4.0/ 4.5 0.5/ 1.0 0.7/ 1.1 3 None
Block Island at Old Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 6.0 ft, Moderate 7.5 ft, Major 9.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.8 ft, Moderate 4.3 ft, Major 5.8 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
13/01 PM 5.0/ 5.5 1.8/ 2.2 1.9/ 2.3 14-15 None
14/02 AM 3.9/ 4.4 0.7/ 1.1 1.2/ 1.7 10-11 None
14/03 PM 3.9/ 4.4 0.7/ 1.1 0.9/ 1.4 8 None
15/03 AM 3.6/ 4.1 0.4/ 0.9 0.9/ 1.4 6 None
15/03 PM 3.7/ 4.2 0.5/ 1.0 0.9/ 1.4 5 None
&&
$$
MAZ023-024-132115-
/O.NEW.KBOX.CF.Y.0009.251013T1900Z-251013T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.CF.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-251013T1200Z/
Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-
410 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
* WHAT...For the first Coastal Flood Advisory, up to one half
foot of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways (3.5 to 4.7 feet Mean Lower Low
Water). For the second Coastal Flood Advisory, up to one foot
of inundation above ground level expected in low-lying areas
near shorelines and tidal waterways (3.7 to 5.4 feet Mean
Lower Low Water).
* WHERE...Dukes and Nantucket Counties.
* WHEN...For the first Coastal Flood Advisory, until 8 AM EDT
this morning. For the second Coastal Flood Advisory, from 3 PM
this afternoon to 7 PM EDT this evening.
* IMPACTS...Roads remain passable. Low lying areas and roads
near Nantucket Harbor, including Easy Street, may experience
pockets of shallow flooding less than one foot deep.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Edgartown
MLLW Categories - Minor 4.0 ft, Moderate 5.0 ft, Major 7.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.3 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 4.3 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
13/06 AM 3.9/ 4.4 1.2/ 1.7 1.9/ 2.3 8 Minor
13/06 PM 4.2/ 4.7 1.6/ 2.0 1.4/ 1.9 7 Minor
14/06 AM 3.0/ 3.5 0.2/ 0.8 1.0/ 1.5 5-6 None
14/07 PM 3.7/ 4.2 1.0/ 1.5 0.9/ 1.4 5 None
15/08 AM 3.0/ 3.5 0.2/ 0.8 0.8/ 1.3 3 None
15/08 PM 3.5/ 4.0 0.8/ 1.3 0.8/ 1.3 3-4 None
Vineyard Haven
MLLW Categories - Minor 4.5 ft, Moderate 6.0 ft, Major 7.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.5 ft, Moderate 4.0 ft, Major 5.0 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
13/06 AM 3.2/ 3.7 1.3/ 1.8 1.8/ 2.2 6-7 None
13/06 PM 3.5/ 4.0 1.5/ 2.0 1.5/ 2.0 5-6 None
14/06 AM 2.5/ 3.0 0.5/ 1.0 0.9/ 1.4 4 None
14/07 PM 2.7/ 3.2 0.7/ 1.1 0.8/ 1.3 3-4 None
15/07 AM 2.3/ 2.8 0.4/ 0.9 0.8/ 1.3 2-3 None
15/08 PM 2.6/ 3.1 0.6/ 1.1 0.7/ 1.1 2-3 None
Nantucket Harbor
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 6.5 ft, Major 8.0 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.4 ft, Moderate 2.9 ft, Major 4.4 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
13/06 AM 4.5/ 5.0 0.9/ 1.4 1.5/ 2.0 10-11 None
13/06 PM 5.2/ 5.7 1.6/ 2.0 1.2/ 1.7 10 Minor
14/07 AM 3.7/ 4.2 0.1/ 0.6 0.8/ 1.3 7 None
14/07 PM 4.6/ 5.1 1.0/ 1.5 0.8/ 1.3 6 None
15/08 AM 3.7/ 4.2 0.2/ 0.7 0.8/ 1.3 4-5 None
15/08 PM 4.4/ 4.9 0.8/ 1.3 0.8/ 1.3 5-6 None
&&
$$
Source: BOX issues Coastal Flood Advisory valid at Oct 13, 3:00 PM EDT for Dukes, Nantucket [MA] till Oct 13, 7:00 PM EDT---------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
13
« on: Today at 04:38:55 AM »
BATON ROUGE Oct 8 Climate Report: High: 91 Low: 72 Precip: 0.21" Snow: Missing972
CDUS44 KLIX 082150
CLIBTR
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS
450 PM CDT WED OCT 08 2025
...................................
...THE BATON ROUGE CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 8 2025...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1894 TO 2025
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MAXIMUM 91 1:26 PM 93 1909 84 7 86
1911
MINIMUM 72 2:39 AM 40 1952 62 10 63
AVERAGE 82
PRECIPITATION (IN)
TODAY 0.21 6.33 2020 0.14 0.07 0.00
MONTH TO DATE 1.75 1.18 0.57 0.13
SINCE SEP 1 5.57 5.60 -0.03 7.50
SINCE JAN 1 49.69 49.06 0.63 50.02
SNOWFALL (IN)
TODAY MM
MONTH TO DATE 0.0
SINCE SEP 1 0.0
SINCE JUL 1 0.0
SNOW DEPTH MM
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
TODAY 0 0 0 0
MONTH TO DATE 0 0 0 0
SINCE SEP 1 0 1 -1 0
SINCE JUL 1 0 1 -1 0
COOLING
TODAY 17 8 9 10
MONTH TO DATE 117 73 44 123
SINCE SEP 1 581 488 93 626
SINCE JAN 1 2999 2643 356 3405
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 18 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION W (270)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 23 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION N (360)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 4.9
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.5
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.
HEAVY RAIN
RAIN
LIGHT RAIN
FOG
FOG W/VISIBILITY <= 1/4 MILE
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 100 3:00 AM
LOWEST 59 1:00 PM
AVERAGE 80
..........................................................
THE BATON ROUGE CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 83 93 1914
1916
1963
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 61 43 1895
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
OCTOBER 8 2025.......SUNRISE 7:03 AM CDT SUNSET 6:41 PM CDT
OCTOBER 9 2025.......SUNRISE 7:03 AM CDT SUNSET 6:40 PM CDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: BATON ROUGE Oct 8 Climate Report: High: 91 Low: 72 Precip: 0.21" Snow: Missing--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
14
« on: Today at 04:38:55 AM »
PENSACOLA Oct 10 Climate Report: High: 83 Low: 66 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing386
CDUS44 KMOB 102124
CLIPNS
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
424 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
...................................
...THE PENSACOLA CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 10 2025...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1879 TO 2025
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MAXIMUM 83 2:55 PM 90 1958 83 0 84
1981
MINIMUM 66 5:11 AM 45 1976 64 2 61
AVERAGE 75 74 1 73
PRECIPITATION (IN)
TODAY 0.00 5.16 1911 0.16 -0.16 0.00
MONTH TO DATE 1.10 1.67 -0.57 1.29
SINCE SEP 1 3.10 8.28 -5.18 9.98
SINCE JAN 1 49.51 55.46 -5.95 52.85
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
TODAY 0 0 0 0
MONTH TO DATE 0 0 0 0
SINCE SEP 1 0 0 0 0
SINCE JUL 1 0 0 0 0
COOLING
TODAY 10 9 1 8
MONTH TO DATE 131 103 28 125
SINCE SEP 1 574 553 21 550
SINCE JAN 1 2895 2747 148 2761
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 16 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION N (360)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 26 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION N (360)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 9.2
SKY COVER
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.4
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 78 1:00 AM
LOWEST 33 3:00 PM
AVERAGE 56
..........................................................
THE PENSACOLA CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 83 91 2017
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 64 43 1971
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
OCTOBER 10 2025.......SUNRISE 6:48 AM CDT SUNSET 6:23 PM CDT
OCTOBER 11 2025.......SUNRISE 6:49 AM CDT SUNSET 6:22 PM CDT
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: PENSACOLA Oct 10 Climate Report: High: 83 Low: 66 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
15
« on: Today at 04:38:54 AM »
PBZ issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 15, 4:23 PM EDT934
FXUS61 KPBZ 152023
AFDPBZ
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
423 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
A Frost Advisory tonight and Freeze Watch for Thursday night
highlight the potential for frost and freeze conditions the next
two days that could impact outdoor vegetation. Dry conditions
and temperature moderation will occur into Saturday before
likely widespread rain ahead of a cold front arrives Sunday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Dry conditions continue with near-normal temperatures
- Frost and isolated freeze is possible late tonight and early
Thursday for much of the area
---------------------------------------------------------------
Surface high pressure centered over the Michigan Peninsula will
promote dry weather the rest of this afternoon and into the
overnight period. Mid to upper level clouds are expected to
thin/dissipate through tonight as warm/moist advection with
height rises aloft slow with weak shortwave movement through the
New England region.
Lower area dewpoint, light wind, and clear skies offers the
potential for strong radiational cooling overnight that poses a
risk for frost formation. A Frost Advisory remains in effect
between midnight and 9am Thursday for areas that show at least
50 (and closer to 80-90) percent probabilities for the ideal
frost combo of cold temperature, light wind, and high humidity.
Pockets of freezing/sub-freezing temperature can't be ruled
out, especially within valley locations north/east of Pittsburgh
as well as Canaan Valley (WV), but are too localized or low
confidence for freeze highlights at this time.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Frost conditions are likely areawide Thursday night/Friday
morning, with Freeze Watch in effect for the eastern two
thirds
- Precipitation free weather conditions with temperature
moderation Friday
----------------------------------------------------------------
High pressure will continue to dominate the region Thursday into
Friday as the cooler air mass becomes fully in place Thursday
morning. Daytime highs will run a few degrees below the daily
average Thursday but are likely to feature plenty of sunshine.
Height rises and continued insolation Friday is expected to
moderate temperature near seasonal levels before high clouds
increase late in the day.
The most notable impact weather of the period will be frost and
freeze potential Thursday night into Friday morning. Ensemble
guidance is bullish (60-90% probability) on sub-freezing
temperature for locations north and east of Pittsburgh, which
lent to the issuance of a Freeze Watch. The Freeze Watch was
extended a county or two westward where guidance is a bit more
uncertain (30-60% probability for freezing temperature),
suggesting it may be more localized or just exclude urban areas.
Given there is still potential, the watch included these
counties for awareness but final Freeze Warning headlines may
end up trimming some of these areas out. Even if freeze isn't
achieved, there is fairly high confidence (60-100%) for almost
the entire forecast area to see Frost conditions by Friday
morning. Frost headlines are likely, but will wait on issuance
to ensure easier public messaging tomorrow.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
KEY MESSAGES:
- Above average temperatures return Friday into the weekend
- Breezy conditions and increasing rain chances along a cold front
on Sunday
- Cool and dry weather returns early next week
-------------------------------------------------------------------
The long term begins with a deepening trough over the central CONUS
and a narrow upper ridge over the eastern seaboard pushing eastward
over the Atlantic. A rather potent shortwave ejects eastward from
the central Rockies during the day Saturday, traversing the Plains
and reaching the Mississippi Valley overnight Saturday into early
Sunday morning. Meanwhile, a surface low develops in the IA/WI/IL
vicinity, which rapidly deepens and lifts northeast towards the
Great Lakes, eventually becoming vertically stacked beneath the
parent shortwave. As all of this occurs, it causes deep-layer
southwesterly flow to strengthen downstream over the Ohio Valley and
lower Great Lakes, which in turn brings moisture and unsettled
weather back to the local area Saturday night through Sunday night.
This will also result in a warming trend for temperatures Saturday
and Sunday, with highs climbing into the low 70s each day.
The hazards associated with Sunday's forecast are two-fold. First,
the stacked low moves closer in proximity to the local area as it
crosses the Michigan lower peninsula and southern Ontario, which
will cause the pressure gradient between it and a broad surface high
centered off the southeastern U.S. coast to tighten. This will
result in an uptick in non-convective winds. Latest probabilities
for max wind gusts exceeding 30 mph on Sunday are 70-90% across the
entire area, while probabilities for max gusts exceeding 40 mph are
as high as 50% in the Pittsburgh-Wheeling corridor of southwest PA
and the northern WV panhandle. The second hazard will be showers and
thunderstorms associated with this system. Instability will be weak,
as highlighted by an NBM mean SBCAPE of only 100-200 J/kg and a 95th
percentile of 400-500 J/kg. However, wind shear will be strong (LREF
mean sfc-500mb shear ~50 kts), so if any deep updrafts are able to
form, they will be in an environment that supports at least a
limited damaging wind threat. Flooding is of lower concern at this
time given the preceding drought conditions and only around a 30%
probability of exceeding an inch of rainfall (mainly across eastern
Ohio) per the latest NBM.
Following the passage of the low, cooler and drier conditions set up
under northwest flow and building high pressure.
&&
.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VFR is favored through the TAF period under the influence of
high pressure centered around northern Michigan. Northwest wind
gusts will intermittently hit 15-20kts the remainder of the
afternoon before surface winds decouple between 23Z and 00Z, and
become generally light into Friday.
There is potential for localized river valley steam fog early
Thursday morning given difference between air/water temperature
but only ZZV shows some probability (30-40%) for IFR/LIFR fog.
The likely more limited boundary layer moisture at other valley
terminals may prevent any fog layer to be deep enough to create
impacts (HLG/FKL/AGC/MGW).
.OUTLOOK...
Surface high pressure with height rises aloft favor VFR into
Saturday before a series of shortwaves ahead of the next cold
front bring increased rain and restriction chances.
&&
.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Thursday for
PAZ007>009-013>016-020>022-029-031-073>078.
Freeze Watch from late Thursday night through Friday morning
for PAZ007>009-013>016-020>022-029-031-073>078.
OH...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Thursday for
OHZ039>041-049-050.
Freeze Watch from late Thursday night through Friday morning
for OHZ041.
WV...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Thursday for
WVZ001-002-509>514.
Freeze Watch from late Thursday night through Friday morning
for WVZ001-509>514.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Frazier
NEAR TERM...Frazier
SHORT TERM...Frazier
LONG TERM...Cermak
AVIATION...Frazier/88
Source: PBZ issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 15, 4:23 PM EDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
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