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1
LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 16, 1:40 AM CDT ...NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

733 
FXUS64 KLIX 160640
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
140 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2026

...NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 140 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2026

- Drier air from a back door front brings breezy conditions along
  coastal areas, unsettled marine waters, and a few scattered
  showers/storms today.

- More comfortable humidity and dry conditions will follow on
  Thursday and Friday, but moisture and rain chances will begin to
  return by the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Now through Saturday)
Issued at 140 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2026

A weak/subtle backdoor front is moving into the region from the
east. High pressure is wedging down the lower appalachians, which
will be responsible for decreasing surface moisture beyond today.
Pressure gradient will also begin to increase with some coastal
gusts approaching 20 to 25 mph during the afternoon. Additionally,
convection, although somewhat limited in coverage will be
possible, especially over the MS Gulf Coast as well as southeast
Louisiana mainly south of the I10 corridor. CAMs show some rather
decent parameters. First, instability will be there generally at
or above 3K-JKg. DCAPE values of 1200 JKg is also expected during
the afternoon, so wider and more robust updrafts will have the
potential for a strong wind gust or two. PWAT values of 2.2" will
allow for efficient rainfall rates, but with the mean level flow
allowing for storm movement (generally east to west), outside of
the typical urbanized areas, localized flash flooding will be
limited.

Going into Thursday and beyond, the primary story will be lower RH
values, which despite the lower to middle 90s expected for high
temps (nearing record territory), heat index values will not be
much higher as dew point values drop into the lower to mid 60s
during the afternoon hours. Otherwise, moderate easterly flow will
continue as moderate pressure gradient remains in place between
the high wedging down the Appalachians and the lower pressure in
the southern Bay of Campeche. (Frye)

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 140 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2026

While the daytime Tuesday medium range modeling agrees on the upper
ridge being near Texarkana Saturday evening, and remaining over
Arkansas for most of the long term period, they definitely do not
agree on the upper low moving across Florida into the Gulf. The
ECMWF side doesn't bring the upper circulation much further west
than the west coast of Florida near Tampa by Saturday evening, the
GFS operational has it off of Southwest Pass. The ECMWF solution
sits it near Tampa for a couple days before weakening it and taking
it northward near Tallahassee on Tuesday. In the 15/18z GFS
operational solution, the low eventually makes it the entire way
across the Gulf to Texas by the middle of next week. In a spread
like this (west vs north), there's really no happy compromise
solution regarding the upper feature, and WPC also notes the
uncertainty. There's not much in the way of a surface reflection in
the pressure fields in either family.

On the brighter side locally, neither family of solutions track real
deep moisture across the area until perhaps midweek next week, if
even then. Until then, precipitable water values look to remain
generally in the 50th to 75th percentile climatologically (in the
1.6 to 1.8 range). The upper high appears to remain close enough to
our area to keep precipitation development on the scattered side and
primarily during the afternoons.

Even with different scenarios, in this case, the deterministic
forecast ends up being fairly similar. Temperatures a bit above
normal (90-95F) and scattered PoPs each day, primarily in the
afternoon. (RW)

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1221 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2026

Mostly VFR conditions expected through the overnight and into the
morning hours on Wednesday. There will be some limited convective
development during the day on Wednesday, but low confidence is
keeping most sites dry. Closer to the coast the surface winds are
forecast to increase during the day with some gusts for HUM, GPT,
NEW, and MSY approaching 25 to 30 knots at times. Winds should
decrease just a bit shortly after sunset and become far less
gusty. (Frye)

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 140 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2026

Surface high pressure will wedge down the southern Appalachians
through mid to late week. This feature will increase low level
pressure gradient and allow surface winds to increase to SCA
thresholds today and Thursday. Seas will respond to these higher
winds and increase to 6 to 9 feet in the open Gulf waters. These
unsettled marine conditions will gradually abate late Friday and
into Saturday. A few showers or storms may develop during the
morning hours with some locally higher winds and waves possible,
especially this morning. (Frye)

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 4 PM CDT Thursday
     for GMZ529-531>536-541-543-551-553-554-557-570-572-575-577.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 4 PM CDT Thursday
     for GMZ531>536-541-543-551-553-554-557-570-572-575-577.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RDF
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...RDF
MARINE...RDF

Source: LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 16, 1:40 AM CDT ...NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

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2
NHC issues Tropical Cyclone Discussion (TCD) at Sep 20, 3:00 PM GMT

898 
WTNT41 KNHC 201456
TCDAT1
 
Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062026
300 PM GMT Sun Sep 20 2026
 
Deep convection continues to build near the center of Fay over the
last several hours. The current objective intensity estimates from
UW-CIMSS are in the range of 39-52 kt, and the most recent TAFB
Dvorak fix was a T3.0/45 kt. In addition, there was an ASCAT pass
that showed a peak wind vector of 43 kt. Given the uncertainties
due to undersampling, the initial intensity for the storm has been
raised to 50 kt. The cyclone continues to remain very compact with
its tropical-storm-force winds estimated to extend out to about 40
n mi.

Both a relatively moist environment and positive interactions
with an approaching mid- to upper-level trough should allow Fay to
further intensify for the next 12 to 24 hours. After the trough
lifts on Monday, the increase in wind shear and dry air should lead
to a gradual weakening of the cyclone. The current NHC forecast
calls for Fay to become a post-tropical remnant low by Tuesday and
then dissipate by the end of the week. The official intensity
forecast is a little higher than the model guidance in the short
term to account for the storm's structure being more improved and
the expected baroclinic support from the trough.  This small system
could approach hurricane strength later today or tonight.

Fay is slowly moving off to the northeast, with the initial motion
estimated around 010/5 kt. This general motion should continue for
the rest of the day. However, a low- to mid-level ridge is expected
to build to the north of the storm by Monday, which will cause Fay
to turn southwestward and gradually accelerate in that direction
over the course of the forecast period. The current NHC track
forecast is similiar to the previous track forecast with a few
minor adjustments and remains in good agreement with HCCA and
GDMI.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  20/1500Z 34.1N  33.0W   50 KT  60 MPH
 12H  21/0000Z 34.3N  32.6W   60 KT  70 MPH
 24H  21/1200Z 33.9N  32.4W   50 KT  60 MPH
 36H  22/0000Z 32.9N  32.9W   45 KT  50 MPH
 48H  22/1200Z 31.7N  34.2W   35 KT  40 MPH
 60H  23/0000Z 30.6N  35.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  23/1200Z 29.8N  37.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  24/1200Z 28.8N  41.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  25/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Katz/Pasch

Source: NHC issues Tropical Cyclone Discussion (TCD) at Sep 20, 3:00 PM GMT

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3
PBZ issues Flash Flood Warning [flash flood: observed] for Washington [PA] till Sep 20, 1:30 PM EDT

557 
WGUS51 KPBZ 201437
FFWPBZ
PAC125-201730-
/O.NEW.KPBZ.FF.W.0152.260920T1437Z-260920T1730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
1037 AM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026

The National Weather Service in Pittsburgh has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Central Washington County in southwestern Pennsylvania...

* Until 130 PM EDT.

* At 1037 AM EDT, emergency management reported thunderstorms
  producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches
  of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 1 inch are
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Emergency management reported.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
           highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
           drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Washington, Canonsburg, Avella, Wolfdale, McGovern, Bentleyville,
  East Washington, New Eagle, Baidland, Houston, Ellsworth,
  Claysville, Deemston, Eighty Four, Cokeburg, Hickory, Beallsville
  and West Alexander.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 4034 8051 4024 7996 4024 7997 4023 7997
      4022 7996 4004 7999 4008 8052

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

CL

Source: PBZ issues Flash Flood Warning [flash flood: observed] for Washington [PA] till Sep 20, 1:30 PM EDT

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4
MANSFIELD OH Sep 19 Climate Report: High: 71 Low: 58 Precip: 0.27" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"

431 
CDUS41 KCLE 192124
CLIMFD

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND, OH
524 PM EDT SAT SEP 19 2026

...................................

...THE MANSFIELD OH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 19 2026...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0515 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1916 TO 2026


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                         
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         71   1152 AM  91    1955  74     -3       85       
                                      1978                           
  MINIMUM         58    502 AM  34    1929  53      5       57       
  AVERAGE         65                        63      2       71     

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            0.27                      0.11   0.16     0.00     
  MONTH TO DATE    2.77                      2.14   0.63     0.03     
  SINCE SEP 1      2.77                      2.14   0.63     0.03     
  SINCE JAN 1     32.21                     31.94   0.27    31.44     

SNOWFALL (IN)                                                             
  TODAY            0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SINCE SEP 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 

DEGREE DAYS                                                           
 HEATING                                                             
  TODAY            0                         4     -4        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    6                        40    -34       38       
  SINCE SEP 1      6                        40    -34       38       
  SINCE JUL 1     13                        56    -43       80       

 COOLING                                                             
  TODAY            0                         2     -2        6       
  MONTH TO DATE  138                        64     74       25       
  SINCE SEP 1    138                        64     74       25       
  SINCE JAN 1    820                       721     99      764       
...................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    15   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    SE (140)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    18   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    SE (140)       


SKY COVER                                                             
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM                                                 
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.6                                                 


WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                   
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.                             
  THUNDERSTORM                                                       
  HEAVY RAIN                                                         
  RAIN                                                               
  LIGHT RAIN                                                         
  FOG                                                                 


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    96           200 PM                                     
 LOWEST     68          1200 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    82                                                       

..........................................................


THE MANSFIELD OH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   74        91      1978                     
                                             2018                     
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   52        33      1937                     
                                             1956                     


SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
SEPTEMBER 19 2026.....SUNRISE   715 AM EDT   SUNSET   732 PM EDT     
SEPTEMBER 20 2026.....SUNRISE   716 AM EDT   SUNSET   730 PM EDT     


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$

Source: MANSFIELD OH Sep 19 Climate Report: High: 71 Low: 58 Precip: 0.27" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"

---------------
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5
IWX has sent an updated FLS product (continued products were not reported here).  Consult this website for more details.

353 
WGUS83 KIWX 200204
FLSIWX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1004 PM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Indiana...Ohio...

  Wabash River near Bluffton IN affecting Wells County.

  Saint Marys River near Decatur affecting Allen IN, Van Wert and
  Adams Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Indiana...

  Wabash River near Linn Grove affecting Wells and Adams Counties.

  Saint Marys River at St. Mary's River near Fort Wayne affecting
  Allen IN County.

For the Wabash River...including Linn Grove, Bluffton IN...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
For the Saint Marys River...including Decatur, St. Mary's River near
Fort Wayne...Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive cars
through flooded areas.

Detailed river forecasts and additional information can be found at
www.weather.gov/iwx under Rivers and Lakes.

This statement will be updated within the next 12 to 24 hours.

&&

INC003-202015-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-260924T2248Z/
/SASI3.1.ER.260919T0246Z.260921T0000Z.260923T2248Z.NO/
1004 PM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Saint Marys River at St. Mary's River near Fort Wayne.

* WHEN...Until Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, Some residents in the Winchester Road area
  may need to be evacuated. Property damage begins in some areas at
  this level.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 15.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
    at 9:30 PM EDT Saturday was 15.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.5 feet
    tomorrow evening. It will then fall below flood stage Wednesday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4104 8518 4109 8516 4109 8512 4104 8514
      4094 8504 4093 8506


$$

INC001-003-OHC161-202015-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-260925T2000Z/
/DCRI3.2.ER.000000T0000Z.260919T0805Z.260924T2000Z.NO/
1004 PM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
  forecast.

* WHERE...Saint Marys River near Decatur.

* WHEN...Until Friday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 23.5 feet, Many east side city streets and county
  roads are flooded. Evacuation of east side residents near Bellmont
  High School becomes necessary.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:25 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 23.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
    at 9:25 PM EDT Saturday was 23.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Thursday afternoon and continue falling to 16.8 feet Thursday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4093 8506 4094 8504 4084 8491 4082 8494


$$

INC179-202015-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-260925T1000Z/
/BLFI3.2.ER.260917T0618Z.260917T2345Z.260924T1000Z.NO/
1004 PM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Wabash River near Bluffton IN.

* WHEN...Until Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 13.3 feet, River Road in Bluffton is flooded and
  closed along the River Green Way.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 13.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
    at 8:45 PM EDT Saturday was 14.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Thursday morning and continue falling to 9.3 feet Thursday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4080 8533 4083 8533 4078 8512 4072 8508
      4069 8511


$$

INC001-179-202015-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-260925T2230Z/
/LYNI3.2.ER.260917T0658Z.260918T2000Z.260924T2230Z.NR/
1004 PM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
  forecast.

* WHERE...Wabash River near Linn Grove.

* WHEN...Until Friday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Secondary roads are blocked. Roads near the
  east side of Geneva begin to flood. Some evacuations may be
  required and property needs to be transferred to higher ground.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 PM EDT Saturday the stage was 14.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
    at 8:45 PM EDT Saturday was 14.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Thursday evening and continue falling to 10.9 feet Thursday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4069 8510 4072 8508 4064 8499 4061 8502


$$

AD

Source: IWX has sent an updated FLS product (continued products were not reported here).  Consult this website for more details.

---------------
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6
The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 5 Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Sep 19, 8:30z for portions of IND

Sorry, product text is unavailable.

Source: The Weather Prediction Center issues Day 5 Marginal Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook at Sep 19, 8:30z for portions of IND

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7
PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 19, 1:30 AM CDT

449 
FXUS63 KPAH 190630
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
130 AM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A Heat Advisory remains in effect through early Sunday
  evening, with high temperatures 15 to 20 degrees above normal
  in the middle 90s to around 100 degrees both today and Sunday.

- The passage of a cold front will begin a cooling trend Monday,
  with temperatures by Tuesday finally back down to near to even
  a little below seasonal normals. Near normal temperatures
  will then persist through the end of the week.

- The cold front will bring 40-70% chances of showers and storms
  to our region late Sunday night through Tuesday, with the
  highest chances Monday into Monday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 130 AM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

A gradually weakening upper level ridge will continue the heat wave
through the weekend.  Temperatures will remain 15 to 20 degrees
above normal today and Sunday with highs in the middle 90s to around
100 degrees.  It will feel a little less stifling with dew points
dipping down into the 60s and southwest to west winds increasing to
5 to 10 mph.

With the upper ridge breaking down, models show a cold front pushing
into the PAH forecast area (fa) late Sunday into Sunday night.
Behind the front, winds will shift to the north and 30-50% chances
of showers and thunderstorms will spread into most of southern
Illinois, southeast Missouri and southwest Indiana late Sunday night
into Monday morning. Chances will increase and spread southeast
Monday afternoon across the entire PAH fa, with 60-70% chances north
and west to 30-40% chances southeast. 30-40% chances will linger
across the entire area Monday night, tapering off west to east
Tuesday. Rainfall totals are not too impressive, generally from two
tenths to a half inch. Dry conditions can then be expected the
remainder of the work week.

More significant will be the return of cooler temperatures.  Highs
Monday will range from the lower to middle 80s north to the lower
90s south.  By Tuesday, highs will be near to actually a little
below normal, ranging from the lower to middle 70s northwest to the
lower 80s southeast. These highs will persist through the end
of the week, with seasonable overnight lows in the middle 50s to
around 60 degrees.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1054 PM CDT Fri Sep 18 2026

There is a small (less than 10% chance) of patchy ground fog
in the pre-dawn hours, mainly at CGI. Otherwise VFR conditions
are forecast through the TAF period.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Sunday for ILZ075>078-080>094.
MO...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Sunday for MOZ076-086-087-100-
     107>112-114.
IN...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT /8 PM EDT/ Sunday for INZ081-082-
     085>088.
KY...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Sunday for KYZ001>022.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...RST
AVIATION...JGG

Source: PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 19, 1:30 AM CDT

---------------
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8
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 19, 16:58z for portions of LMK

154 
WUUS02 KWNS 191700
PTSDY2

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1158 AM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026

VALID TIME 201200Z - 211200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2

... TORNADO ...

0.02   38520369 39090425 39760432 40200417 40590374 40750323
       40590268 40250222 39660204 38990192 38650215 38430295
       38520369
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   38628625 38108817 37599002 37169133 36409253 35179458
       34569535 33539755 32589922 32320032 32470144 32590185
       33120218 34550220 35440201 36940338 38040440 38820483
       40070487 41090428 41400340 41430267 41080193 40110119
       38210069 36810051 36020028 35899948 36489786 37609574
       38349420 39129235 39759055 40458552 40118308 39688136
       39488115 39098136 38798161 38568248 38798397 38628625
0.15   38890430 39620430 39960402 40270339 40350283 40140217
       39570177 38620141 38000182 37700214 37630305 37970377
       38370408 38890430
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   37529007 37029144 35349394 34219526 33029709 32659843
       32350029 32410121 32620189 33130221 34610217 35410197
       36210263 37070359 38660487 39940489 41010445 41500336
       41440251 40740155 39850104 37370048 36820024 36569963
       36509899 36769778 37279621 37869478 39459110 40438640
       40568271 40238156 40048116 38637859 38187803 37727784
       37437791 37217809 36727873 36647926 36747980 37548071
       37838117 38108211 38238329 38218508 38028794 37529007
0.15   34449565 34299683 34489753 34729796 34919810 35129820
       35459824 35929786 36329740 36549620 36619555 36599489
       36059450 35369451 34889487 34449565
0.15   38370214 38250286 38600346 39270394 40060403 40290373
       40240326 39920236 39490158 38800155 38480181 38370214
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   35929786 36329740 36549620 36599489 36059450 35369451
       34889487 34449565 34299683 34489753 34729796 34919810
       35459824 35929786
SLGT   39620430 39960402 40060403 40290373 40260342 40350283
       40140217 39610180 39490158 39010156 38620141 38000182
       37700214 37630305 37970377 38370408 38890430 39620430
MRGL   41010445 41500336 41440251 41080193 40740155 39850104
       37370048 36820024 36569963 36509899 36769778 37149661
       38349420 39129235 39759055 40128788 40438640 40568271
       40238156 38637859 38187803 37727784 37437791 37217809
       36727873 36647926 36747980 37548071 37838117 38108211
       38238329 38218508 38028794 37529007 37029144 35349394
       34219526 33029709 32659843 32320032 32410121 32590185
       33130221 34550220 35440201 37070359 38660487 39940489
       41010445
TSTM   31290710 32180674 32560634 33880424 34810301 35260284
       35780287 36080324 36790431 37570497 40180599 41260691
       42370886 43171022 43711080 44341059 44850952 45050857
       45130493 44730217 44129930 43009724 41759672 41269657
       41069642 40899601 40939534 40929492 41539197 42009047
       42328505 42178287 42108244 41448002 41187823 40877493
       40567402 40297371 39807391 39007524 37927668 35807909
       35267948 35027943 34617883 34667810 35097459 99999999
       28489094 29999160 31479097 34578977 36028774 36798628
       37298634 37518708 36888957 35479312 32979447 30079790
       28579966 27390046

&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30
S END 30 SSW PNC 20 SSW BVO 10 W GMJ 20 W FYV 10 WNW FSM 15 SW RKR
30 SSE MLC 10 E ADM 30 WNW ADM 25 S CHK 15 SSW CHK 30 NNW CHK 30 S
END

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35
ESE DEN 50 NNW LIC 45 W AKO 30 WNW AKO 10 WNW AKO 25 ENE AKO 40 SW
IML 20 NNW GLD 10 NE GLD 25 SSE GLD 55 SSE GLD 45 E LAA 40 NE SPD
35 NW SPD 15 WSW LHX 25 ENE PUB 25 ENE COS 35 ESE DEN

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
20 ESE CYS 30 SSE BFF 35 NE SNY 40 NNW IML 15 NNE IML 35 SW MCK 35
NE LBL 45 NW GAG 20 NNE GAG 25 SW AVK 30 NNE END 40 NE PNC 45 SE
OJC 20 NNW COU 35 ESE UIN 15 WSW DNV 30 E LAF 20 SSW MFD 25 NE ZZV
30 NE SHD 25 E CHO 35 WNW RIC 35 W RIC 35 N AVC 35 ENE DAN  0 -
DAN 30 WNW DAN 30 N PSK  0 - BKW 30 SE HTS 50 N JKL 30 WNW LEX 20
W EVV 25 SE FAM 30 NE UNO 25 E FSM 40 NNE PRX 20 NW DAL 25 WSW MWL
40 W ABI 20 NE BGS 35 NW BGS 45 SSW LBB 40 NW PVW 20 NW AMA 50 NNW
CAO 15 SW COS 10 N DEN 20 ESE CYS

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW ELP 35 NW ELP
25 SW ALM 45 NNE ROW 35 NNE CVS 45 E TCC 25 SW DHT 25 S CAO 10 ENE
RTN 40 WNW TAD 55 WSW FCL 40 SSE RWL 30 SSW LND 40 N BPI 10 NNW
JAC 35 SE WEY 35 NW COD 45 NNE COD 30 SE 4BQ 55 NNW PHP 25 N 9V9
10 NE YKN 30 W TQE 30 NNE LNK 25 NE LNK 30 SSW OMA 15 NNE SDA 30
ENE SDA 25 SSW CID 30 SSE DBQ 25 ENE AZO 30 S MTC 40 SSE MTC 10
WNW FKL 30 NW UNV 30 ENE ABE 10 SE EWR 25 S JFK 30 SE NEL 15 SE
DOV 30 SSW NHK 20 WSW RDU  0 - SOP 15 SSW SOP 25 S FAY 30 NNW ILM
60 E HSE ...CONT... 75 SSW HUM 25 ESE LFT 20 ESE HEZ 20 NW UOX 45
SSW CKV 15 SSE BWG 25 N BWG 15 SSE OWB 25 S CGI 15 N RUE 45 NNE
GGG 20 SW AUS 30 WNW COT 60 W LRD

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 19, 16:58z for portions of LMK

---------------
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9
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 19, 12:25z for portions of JKL

159 
WUUS01 KWNS 191226
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0725 AM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026

VALID TIME 191300Z - 201200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   34810086 34850124 35130156 35500162 35850146 36400106
       37310017 39199803 39959698 40959481 41129387 41059368
       40859336 40479312 40119316 39599342 39159378 38699441
       38419482 37449659 36169855 35140010 34810086
0.05   42210292 40890226 39790193 38370183 37890190 37270218
       37060265 37020339 37090369 37270400 37520435 38000455
       39210491 40480528 42700599 43310617 43730616 44000610
       44270582 44350516 44140453 43070342 42210292
0.15   36519904 36539933 36669963 36929967 37209956 37709907
       38429827 39829627 39929578 39829545 39519516 39229512
       38979520 38769538 38559567 38299615 37859689 37319769
       36519904
0.15   38230319 38110372 38280413 38580443 39270462 39900473
       40230456 40380424 40420352 40260326 39920304 39410291
       38970279 38600279 38400289 38230319
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   36919672 34919962 33830066 32600151 31590207 30150279
       30080307 30240352 30560385 31040394 32140375 33210344
       34660266 36450116 36810079 36940082 37000098 37000325
       37060365 37530434 37950453 43310620 43970614 44260580
       44320511 44130452 42930328 42130288 41040184 40150041
       39269978 39009915 38979832 39949697 40999479 41999081
       41939015 41438993 40809027 39329221 38699350 37399582
       36919672
0.05   40618695 40658587 40358453 39608319 39038249 38318214
       37408194 35008277 32858379 32418433 32518523 32828568
       33298595 33998597 36578542 37598569 38848685 39358831
       39738862 40118843 40428793 40618695
0.15   35799961 35670029 35840059 35980063 36230059 36550033
       37129972 38389837 39139729 39839629 40109540 39999481
       39679455 39369459 39059473 38599524 37909629 35799961
0.15   38040210 38110371 38470403 39880409 40310386 40430348
       39810223 38860137 38210147 38040210
CIG1   38289630 38229629 36139790 34919963 33940057 33810126
       34020178 34750206 35510194 36540106 36780078 39009827
       39179723 39129660 38839632 38289630
CIG1   40400344 39820223 39610205 38050207 38130371 38460403
       39890409 40300388 40400344
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   36230059 36550033 38389837 39839629 40109540 39999481
       39679455 39059473 38599524 35799961 35670029 35840059
       35980063 36230059
SLGT   40230456 40380424 40430348 39810223 38860137 38210147
       38040210 38110372 38280413 38580443 39900473 40230456
MRGL   40118843 40428793 40618695 40658587 40358453 39608319
       39038249 38318214 37408194 35008277 32858379 32418433
       32518523 32828568 33298595 33998597 36578542 37598569
       38848685 39358831 39738862 40118843
MRGL   43970614 44270582 44350516 44140453 42930328 42130288
       41040184 40150041 39269978 39009915 38979832 39959698
       40989479 41829124 41759016 41408979 40739006 39629129
       39329219 38699350 36919672 34919962 33830066 32600151
       30150279 30080307 30240352 30560385 31040394 32140375
       33210344 34660266 36810079 36940082 37000098 37000325
       37060365 37520435 43310620 43970614
TSTM   30851023 32180982 33991046 35291022 36801049 37911086
       39721218 40871279 41961423 43941560 45101558 47231622
       48941425 48911326 47511248 47171179 47111049 47830637
       47450497 46600357 45410226 43820092 42280007 41709917
       41809700 41969645 44019495 44589188 44598933 43598573
       43088155 99999999 42598147 42328069 41457929 40677855
       39647853 38707896 37777949 36837973 35817857 35607494
       99999999 25579882 28169761 29259658 29689499 29479133
       29069007 29278917 30068898 30978949 32489005 32999021
       33469033 34079011 34518985 34858946 35418879 35928811
       36718753 37208754 37808802 38378903 38588998 38749072
       38329197 37569283 35269576 33759860 31600039 29110117

&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45
W GAG 35 WNW GAG 35 NW HUT 40 SE BIE 10 E FNB 15 NNE STJ 20 ESE
STJ 10 WSW MKC 35 WSW OJC 35 SSE GAG 50 SW GAG 45 ENE BGD 45 ENE
BGD 45 W GAG

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30
ESE FCL 40 E FCL 20 NW AKO 40 N ITR 40 SSE GLD 45 WNW GCK 30 E LAA
10 WNW LHX 20 E PUB 20 N PUB 10 NE DEN 30 ESE FCL

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
10 NW CMI 25 NW DNV 15 N LAF 35 NW MIE 35 NNW DAY 30 SSW CMH 20 SW
UNI 20 E HTS 40 W BLF 30 SSW AVL 15 NW MCN 35 ESE CSG 15 ESE AUO
20 NW AUO 20 SSW ANB  0 - GAD 45 NNW CSV 40 S SDF 25 SSW BMG 10 S
MTO 15 ESE DEC 10 NW CMI

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
40 SW GCC 15 WSW GCC 20 E GCC 50 ESE GCC 10 NW CDR  0 - AIA 40 NNW
IML 10 ESE MCK 10 SSE HLC 20 WNW RSL 30 ENE RSL 25 SSW BIE 35 ENE
SDA 25 E CID 25 NE MLI 35 E MLI 20 WNW PIA 25 SSW UIN 35 N COU  0
- SZL 25 ENE PNC 25 NW LTS 45 SSW CDS 25 N BGS 35 WNW 6R6 60 S FST
30 ESE MRF 15 NE MRF 45 N MRF 35 ESE CNM 40 NNW HOB 40 ENE CVS 20
SSE LBL 10 SE LBL  0 - LBL 40 N CAO 40 ESE TAD 15 N TAD 30 NNE CPR
40 SW GCC

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S FHU 50 SSW SAD
35 SW SOW 35 ENE INW 50 SSE U17 25 NNW U17 30 NE U24 50 N DPG 40
SSE TWF 40 NE BOI 30 ENE MYL 45 WSW 3TH 45 N GPI 45 WNW CTB 65 NNW
HLN 30 SW GTF 55 NNW 3HT 30 SSE GGW 25 NNW GDV 35 ENE BHK 35 S Y22
35 ESE PHP 20 SSW ANW  0 - BUB 25 ESE OFK 20 NW TQE 40 S RWF 30 SW
EAU 20 SE CWA 40 NE MKG 75 ENE MTC ...CONT... 85 NNE CLE 30 WNW
ERI 30 NW DUJ 30 NNW AOO 35 WNW MRB 30 N SHD 35 NNW LYH 30 NW DAN
10 ESE RDU 45 NE HSE ...CONT... 55 SW MFE 15 SSE NIR 35 NE VCT 20
E HOU 40 W HUM 45 WSW BVE 15 ESE BVE 25 SSE GPT 35 SSW PIB 10 N
JAN 35 SSW GWO 15 W GWO 40 N GWO 20 WNW UOX 35 N UOX 15 SSE MKL 50
ENE MKL  0 - HOP 35 N HOP 30 WSW EVV 10 WNW MVN 10 WNW BLV 20 W
STL 15 NW VIH 40 NE SGF 25 N MLC 15 SSW SPS 15 NNE SJT 25 SW DRT

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 19, 12:25z for portions of JKL

---------------
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10
Liberty [Union Co, IN] Broadcast Media reports Hail of egg size (E2.00 Inch) at 7:10 PM EDT -- Photo verified. Time estimated from radar.

489 
NWUS51 KILN 202335
LSRILN

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
735 PM EDT Sun Sep 20 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 PM     Hail             Liberty                 39.64N 84.94W
09/20/2026  E2.00 Inch       Union              IN   Broadcast Media 

            Photo verified. Time estimated from radar.


&&

$$

Source: Liberty [Union Co, IN] Broadcast Media reports Hail of egg size (E2.00 Inch) at 7:10 PM EDT -- Photo verified. Time estimated from radar.

---------------
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11
The Royal cuts the ribbon on its new urgent care clinic

'a

The Royal, Ottawa’s mental health centre, will officially reopen the doors to its urgent care clinic on Monday, roughly a quarter century after the clinic was controversially shuttered.


Source: The Royal cuts the ribbon on its new urgent care clinic

-----------------------
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12
BOX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 18, 4:24 AM EDT

372 
FXUS61 KBOX 180824
AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
424 AM EDT Fri Sep 18 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Rip Statement issued for east facing beaches of MA for Saturday
due to increased risk for rip currents.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Any lingering showers exit the Cape and Islands by late
  morning, giving way to a dry afternoon and evening. Fall-like
  temperatures expected Saturday with dry conditions.

- Next chance for rain Sunday into Monday. There remains
  uncertainty in the details such as coverage, timing, and
  amounts. Showers may linger through early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

KEY MESSAGE 1...Any lingering showers exit the Cape and Islands by late
morning, giving way to a dry afternoon and evening. Fall-like
temperatures expected Saturday with dry conditions.

The remaining batch of showers continues to push east early this
morning. Any remaining showers will likely exit the Cape and Islands
by late morning. Behind the showers, a cold front moves across the
region early this morning shifting winds to the NW. High pressure
will settle across the region for today with subsident flow
supporting dry conditions and clearing skies. NW winds with some
gusts to 20 and up to 25 mph for the Cape/Islands. Cooler air begins
to advect in from the north in the mid-levels later today, but
likely won't have much impact on the high temperatures. Temperatures
are likely to be in seasonable ranges in the 70s for most areas.
Only exceptions may be upper 60s for the outer Cape and Nantucket
where there is northerly onshore flow.

A cooler airmass pushes into the region later Friday into Saturday.
Clear skies will optimize radiational cooling as well to make for a
cool night. Temperatures likely fall into the upper 40s to low 50s
for much of the region. Higher elevations, especially the northern
Worcester Hills will lean cooler in the low 40s. Cooler airmass
stays in place for Saturday with 850mb temperatures 6-9C. This will
support Fall-like temperatures in the mid 60s for most.
East/northeast flow along the eastern coastline may keep those
immediate coastal areas cooler in the low 60s. Surface high pressure
continues to dominate bringing dry conditions.

Not exactly ideal beach weather with the cooler temperatures;
however, there is an increased risk for rip currents for the east-
facing beaches. There will be an extended period of enhanced NNE
winds tonight into Saturday which will help establish a swell with
slightly longer wave periods.


KEY MESSAGE 2...Next chance for rain Sunday into Monday. There
remains uncertainty in the details such as coverage, timing, and
amounts. Showers may linger through early next week.

The main surface high exits offshore Saturday night into early
Sunday as the next system approaches from the west with our next
chance of precipitation Sunday into Monday. The ingredients are
generally in place for at at least a soaking rainfall across
southern New England. A shortwave approaches from the northwest
coupled with an 850mb jet positioning over southern New England.
This provide ample moisture advecting and synoptic scale lift for
precipitation. PWATS increase to 1.0-1.8" (150-180 percent of
normal), which is anomalous compared to climo. A low pressure system
tracks east from the Great Lakes region Sunday putting southern New
England in the warm sector as its warm front shifts northward. With
the ample moisture and additional forcing this raises some flags for
heavy rain potential or at least embedded heavy showers.

There is still variance across guidance in the exact track of
the system/low pressure which has resulted in lower confidence
in the details such as timing, amounts, and the potential for
heavy rain. There has also been lacking consistency run to run
within individual guidance as well. There is at least a general
consensus across guidance that the higher moisture and better
forcing(warm front) will more likely be south. This would favor
our more south, southwest areas for higher rain totals. GFS and
Canadian solutions (deterministic & ensemble) seem to reflect
that pattern with higher amounts south while the ECMWF has a
wider footprint with generally higher totals. When it comes to
amounts solutions vary from 0.30" to 1.0" across ensembles based
on the 25-50th percentiles. Deterministic guidance had
displayed more "aggressive" solutions with swaths of higher
amounts >1.0". However, these solutions have had the most
variance from run to run which further adds to the uncertainty.
The most likely case at this point will be anywhere from a few
tenths to an inch. This seems reasonable given the mean track.
There isn't much indication of instability which should limit
the heavier rain rates. If the warm frontal forcing shifts north
enough, we could get embedded heavy rain supporting by the
added lift and efficient rain processes. So overall, there is
confidence that we will get at least a soaking rain with rain
arriving through the day Sunday continuing into Monday. We'll
need to continue monitoring for the isolated heavy rain
potential as models come into better agreement with the track
over the next day or so.

It is also possible showers may linger across the south coast and
Cape and Islands Monday into Tuesday. This will depend on if the low
or a boundary stalls across the waters. Wednesday leans mainly dry
with potential for another system to arrive late-week with rain
possible.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

06Z TAF Update:

Through 12Z...Moderate confidence.

MVFR with patchy areas of IFR and spotty VFR ceilings. Showers
push across Cape and Islands, exiting by 13Z. SW winds 6-12 kts
with a few occasional gusts to 18 kts in spots. Winds shift to
NW 06-12z with gradually improving ceilings. Moderate confidence
is with respect to the ceilings. It is possible ceilings scatter
more quickly behind the frontal passage. Current TAF keeps
lingering MVFR through 13-14Z before scattering out.

Friday and Friday Night...High confidence.

Areas of MVFR linger across Cape Cod and the Islands through
15z, otherwise VFR. NNW winds 8-12 kt with an occasional gust
up to 20 kts. There may be an additional period of gusts around
20 kts in the evening (after 00Z).

KBOS Terminal...Moderate confidence in TAF.

Cold front moves through between 07-10Z shifting winds to the
NW. Ceilings this morning bounce between low end VFR and MVFR
with improvements to solid VFR once the front pushes through.
Lower confidence on exact timing, but should be likely be VFR by
13Z. Winds increase after 15Z to 8-12 kts with a few gusts
around 18 kts today. Very low probability for a sea breeze to
sneak in before 15Z before the winds increase. The current pattern
should make this unlikely.

KBDL Terminal...Moderate confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Saturday through Tuesday/...

Saturday through Saturday Night: VFR.

Sunday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA,
patchy BR.

Sunday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Breezy. SHRA
likely, isolated TSRA, patchy BR.

Monday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy. Slight
chance SHRA.

Monday Night: VFR. Windy with local gusts up to 30 kt. Chance
SHRA.

Tuesday: VFR. Windy with areas of gusts up to 30 kt. Chance
SHRA.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Through Saturday...High confidence.

Showers exit the coastal waters by the afternoon. Seas remain
2-3 ft increasing to 3-4 ft early Saturday morning up to 5 ft
across the outermost waters. Winds shift to the NW this morning
with speeds 8-15 kts and gusts to 20 kts this afternoon.
Briefly Friday night into early Saturday, gusts may approach
Small Craft Advisory criteria briefly. Gusts 20-25 kts are
possible generally between 03Z and 09Z. Due to it being very
borderline and in brief duration, no SCA has been issued.


Outlook /Saturday through Tuesday/...

Saturday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft.

Saturday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching
5 ft.

Sunday: Winds less than 25 kt. Chance of rain showers.

Sunday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching
5 ft. Rain showers likely, isolated thunderstorms, patchy fog.

Monday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up
to 30 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Chance of rain showers, slight
chance of thunderstorms.

Monday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 30 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Chance of rain showers.

Tuesday: Strong winds with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas up to 5 ft.
Chance of rain showers.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...High Risk for Rip Currents from Saturday morning through Saturday
     evening for MAZ007-015-016-019-022.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Mensch
AVIATION...Mensch
MARINE...Mensch

Source: BOX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 18, 4:24 AM EDT

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13
Stittsville's 9 candidates make their pitches to voters during debate

'Councillor

The suburb is one of only two wards in Ottawa without an incumbent in the running, and competition is fierce to take over the council seat.


Source: Stittsville's 9 candidates make their pitches to voters during debate

-----------------------
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14
BATON ROUGE Sep 14 Climate Report: High: 95 Low: 74 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0"

442 
CDUS44 KLIX 150750
CLIBTR

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS
250 AM CDT TUE SEP 15 2026

...................................

...THE BATON ROUGE   CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 14 2026...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1894 TO 2026


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                         
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         95   3:59 PM 100    1921  89      6       93       
  MINIMUM         74   5:10 AM  47    1902  70      4       69       
  AVERAGE         85                        79      6       81     

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  YESTERDAY        0.00          3.00 1926   0.14  -0.14      T       
  MONTH TO DATE    0.00                      2.29  -2.29     2.24     
  SINCE SEP 1      0.00                      2.29  -2.29     2.24     
  SINCE JAN 1     44.47                     45.75  -1.28    46.36     

SNOWFALL (IN)                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0.0                                               
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                                               
  SINCE SEP 1      0.0                                               
  SINCE JUL 1      0.0                                               
  SNOW DEPTH      MM                                                 

DEGREE DAYS                                                           
 HEATING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0                         0      0        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE SEP 1      0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE JUL 1      0                         0      0        0       

 COOLING                                                             
  YESTERDAY       20                        14      6       16       
  MONTH TO DATE  264                       217     47      220       
  SINCE SEP 1    264                       217     47      220       
  SINCE JAN 1   2837                      2372    465     2638       
...................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    21   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    NE (60)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    29   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     E (70)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     3.4                                       


SKY COVER                                                             
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM                                                 
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.2                                                 


WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                   
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                         
  THUNDERSTORM                                                       


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    94          11:00 PM                                     
 LOWEST     49           4:00 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    72                                                       

..........................................................


THE BATON ROUGE   CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   89        97      1906                     
                                             1921                     
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   69        49      1902                     


SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
SEPTEMBER 15 2026.....SUNRISE   6:49 AM CDT   SUNSET   7:10 PM CDT     
SEPTEMBER 16 2026.....SUNRISE   6:50 AM CDT   SUNSET   7:09 PM CDT     


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$

Source: BATON ROUGE Sep 14 Climate Report: High: 95 Low: 74 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0"

---------------
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15
MOB issues A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN WILCOX COUNTY THROUGH 630 PM CDT [wind: 50 MPH, hail: 0.25 IN]

635 
WWUS84 KMOB 192252
SPSMOB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
552 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026
 
ALZ054-192330-
Wilcox AL-
552 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN WILCOX COUNTY
THROUGH 630 PM CDT...

At 551 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 5
miles northwest of Camden, moving southwest at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Camden and Yellow Bluff.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3211 8741 3206 8722 3183 8731 3183 8756
TIME...MOT...LOC 2251Z 029DEG 10KT 3202 8737

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

$$

Source: MOB issues A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN WILCOX COUNTY THROUGH 630 PM CDT [wind: 50 MPH, hail: 0.25 IN]

---------------
If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!

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