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Emergency Information => Weather Info => Topic started by: ThreatWebInternal on August 26, 2024, 06:33:49 AM

Title: [Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 24, 17:14z for portions of CLE
Post by: ThreatWebInternal on August 26, 2024, 06:33:49 AM
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 24, 17:14z for portions of CLE

268 
WUUS02 KWNS 241716
PTSDY2

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1214 PM CDT SAT AUG 24 2024

VALID TIME 251200Z - 261200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2

... TORNADO ...

0.02   48839185 48009287 45019666 45099818 46169864 48069827
       49569780
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   42538438 42598349 42228221 41658101 40637938 39907905
       39457933 39608070 39998162 40978375 41348418 42218458
       42538438
0.05   48618969 48059036 45729284 44039540 42429815 42400047
       43160099 43980099 46199980 48159897 49509854
0.05   41130918 39410762 36200754 35310871 35490979 37221087
       40091076 40811049 41130918
0.15   48659212 47489352 45659543 43589767 42869887 42739990
       43040043 43390060 43940042 46299911 49319819
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   48618969 47709071 45759285 44089531 42429813 42400047
       43150101 44000098 46209980 48139897 49519854
0.05   44040828 44100620 43630471 42370423 40370310 38870153
       38409942 38379769 38069729 37639728 36959828 35970079
       34540501 33890775 34180904 35100988 35821049 37181108
       40581078 43010985 44040828
0.05   42578376 42608348 42218219 41728113 40647936 39917905
       39467931 39608072 39868132 40978375 41338416 42218458
       42528441 42578376
0.15   48659212 48019288 45779530 43559768 42869889 42739996
       43030043 43410060 43880043 46369909 49369816
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   48669211 47229376 45649540 43569768 42869889 42729991
       42970038 43420058 43890044 46319911 49319819
MRGL   48628971 45689290 44029540 42409815 42400045 43180100
       44000098 46199980 48169895 49639852
MRGL   44040828 44110620 43610469 42440423 40370311 38850153
       38429949 38379770 38049727 37619731 36969828 36040057
       34540501 33890775 34200906 34980979 35841049 37161108
       40591078 43020982 44040828
MRGL   42538439 42598349 42228221 41708110 40637936 39897904
       39457934 39608071 40018164 40978374 41348416 42228458
       42538439
TSTM   25799947 27629921 28989809 30159621 31129318 31248972
       30418671 30228512 30598412 31068308 33317921 33427815
       99999999 43337986 42987984 41927856 40747788 39417824
       38877939 38928074 39638258 40368407 40998544 41078698
       40558821 37869105 37309148 37089322 37899376 39249355
       41449287 43049183 43879144 44469190 44429323 44309399
       42309767 41329919 40129902 39129665 38659643 37459646
       36919677 35379812 33570053 33250162 33290333 32270609
       31890674 31230702 99999999 31291162 34521042 36361224
       38551230 39541273 39661377 39391525 39501611 40661641
       42881600 43281577 45551445 47381109 47900897 47850433
       47520264 48270115 49660093 99999999 46066704 44406897
       42437195 41617310 41637384 42427445 43747431 44747489
       45467503
TSTM   47908614 45878869 44988765 44088484 43498307 43428159
       43518143

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNW
ELO 45 WSW HIB 15 S AXN 25 SE MHE 30 NNW ONL 10 NNE ANW 10 NE VTN 40
N VTN 35 SSW PIR 45 SSW JMS 70 NW HCO.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NNE
GNA 55 E STC 25 NNE OTG 25 E ONL 25 WSW ANW 30 NW VTN 30 E PHP 55
NNE MBG DVL 95 NW HCO.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW
WRL 35 WSW GCC 65 SE GCC 25 N TOR 15 NNE AKO 35 SSE GLD 45 SW RSL 25
NNE HUT 30 NNE ICT ICT 25 ENE AVK 50 ENE BGD 50 NE 4CR 50 W ONM 55 E
SOW 50 NNE SOW 60 NNE INW 25 NE PGA 50 SSE EVW 35 NNE BPI 15 WNW
WRL.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE
JXN 25 NNW DTW 40 SE MTC 40 NW YNG 25 N LBE 35 SE LBE 35 ESE MGW 40
S HLG 15 ENE ZZV FDY 25 SW TOL JXN 20 NNE JXN.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 WSW MFE 15 ENE LRD
45 SSE SAT 30 SSE CLL POE 30 SW PIB 30 SSW CEW 35 E PFN 20 NE TLH 25
NNE VLD 30 SSW CRE 50 ESE CRE ...CONT... 65 WNW BUF 55 W BUF 10 NNE
BFD 10 S UNV 15 W MRB 25 E EKN 50 SE PKB 30 SSE CMH 30 NNE DAY 15 W
FWA 25 S VPZ 35 N CMI 35 W FAM 45 NNE UNO 15 SE SGF 50 NNW SGF 35 N
SZL 15 NE OXV 45 NE ALO 10 W LSE 35 SW EAU 30 S MSP MKT 25 NNW OFK
25 ESE BBW 40 S EAR MHK 25 NNW EMP 55 NNW BVO 20 NE PNC 20 NNW CHK
60 SSW CDS 30 SSE LBB 45 N HOB 35 NNE ELP 20 WNW ELP 55 SW ELP
...CONT... 70 SW TUS 30 NW SOW 30 N GCN 40 ENE MLF 15 NW U24 55 SW
DPG 25 WNW ELY 10 WSW P68 25 E BAM 50 SSE BOI 30 SE BOI 40 NW SMN 15
ESE GTF 60 SE HVR 10 NNW SDY 50 N DIK MOT 95 N MOT ...CONT... 35 E
HUL 30 SSW BGR 10 NNW ORH 30 N BDR POU 40 SW ALB 45 S SLK 15 SSW MSS
35 NNW MSS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 NE MQT 30 W IMT
40 NE GRB 20 SSW HTL 20 S BAX 75 ESE BAX 80 ESE BAX.


Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 24, 17:14z for portions of CLE (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2024/day2otlk_20240824_1730.html)

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