The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at Aug 15, 19:56z for portions of IWX
794
WUUS01 KWNS 151957
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0256 PM CDT THU AUG 15 2024
VALID TIME 152000Z - 161200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 40499547 40979512 41749256 43479015 43708937 43608870
42858781 42028732 40328735 38558761 37798795 37058887
37029048 37189255 38279386 40499547
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 34519971 34730032 35910037 36449974 37129837 37799752
38449708 39389700 40299749 41779854 42659855 43519598
44339266 44679093 44658903 42638555 41188535 39158596
37358722 36388913 36019079 35629376 34629781 34519971
0.05 41507295 42917418 44757341 45117232 45187087 43357040
42627077 41817072 41517143 41507295
0.15 42248793 41768748 40128771 38718825 37318983 36749169
36609319 36279549 37039609 37929527 39269496 40559571
41149574 41589550 41879510 42309176 42479054 42568989
42678888 42248793
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 41537295 42887419 44757339 45117234 45187085 43407041
42697075 41777071 41507140 41537295
0.05 42381283 42751372 45341510 47671476 48321435 48221373
46271196 45490991 44680864 43860870 43211016 42601167
42381283
0.05 34279943 34780032 35930034 36469971 37089843 37779757
38469709 39359698 40249749 41759856 42659855 43449611
44339262 44689090 44688910 43608717 41948450 41208436
40078481 39108543 37918623 36668730 36178896 35919098
35409397 34239779 34279943
0.15 38558716 37388804 36788910 36539083 36529264 36279460
35649613 35009788 35159908 35789909 37019609 37929529
39259495 40489571 41149574 41559552 41859512 42449080
42598973 42678889 42438825 41758725 40428688 38558716
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 39269495 40489572 41139576 41569552 41859513 42139301
42568993 42688892 42368818 41758725 40428688 38558716
37388804 36788910 36539083 36539262 36279455 35669604
35009792 35179909 35739910 36449747 37019613 37869529
39269495
MRGL 47721322 46261198 45460984 44730867 43890868 43161024
42571180 42381281 42741371 45341510 47671476 48321435
48241371 47721322
MRGL 45197083 43347042 42567080 41807069 41517141 41517292
42877416 44737339 45117234 45197083
MRGL 36479968 37129836 37799753 38489705 39369698 40299751
41759858 42659856 43479607 44689090 44688910 43608717
41948450 41208436 40058481 39108544 37958620 36668730
36178896 35409397 34239782 34259940 34780032 35930037
36479968
TSTM 49941038 47500959 46720838 44730556 44530458 44670357
44810256 45020223 45310218 49620368 99999999 42268230
41068276 40258283 39888203 38968174 37858213 36978303
36258360 34718459 33458515 32388561 31238522 30648477
30218410 30368347 30598255 30548150 30388083 99999999
39957283 40057370 40557518 40647558 41717684 44837806
99999999 25549769 27009745 28559694 29409670 30029606
30849439 31419309 33839194 34659202 35139301 34759427
34169556 32889745 32569887 32490068 31800181 29360242
99999999 31151279 31791168 31930998 32320744 32910579
33740424 34750376 35330381 35880485 37090531 38800662
39530840 40541103 41371238 41221388 42031586 41471823
41462022 42392180 43992203 49492148
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM FLV 25
SW SDA 15 SSE OMA 25 NE OMA 15 SE DNS 45 SW ALO 40 ENE DBQ JVL 35 SW
RAC 25 NNW VPZ LAF 40 NNE EVV 45 ENE PAH 25 SW PAH 25 SW POF 25 NNW
FLP 25 SSE GMJ 40 W MKO CHK 15 SSE CSM 30 N CSM 25 ENE END 15 NNW
BVO 15 NE CNU FLV.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SE
GPI 25 S HLN 35 ESE LVM 25 NE COD 35 W WRL 40 SE JAC 35 NE MLD 30
WNW MLD 15 NNE BYI 60 ENE MYL 30 E 3TH GPI 25 ESE GPI 65 SE GPI.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE
BML 20 SSW PWM 15 NE BOS 15 ENE EWB 15 S PVD 25 NNE BDR 20 WNW ALB
20 NNW BTV 15 NNW EFK 40 NNE BML.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WSW
AVK 15 SE P28 10 NNW ICT 40 SE SLN 25 NW MHK 40 W BIE 30 E BUB 15
NNE ONL 25 WSW OTG 30 ESE EAU 30 ESE CWA 45 SE MTW 25 S JXN 40 WNW
FDY 35 WNW DAY 55 W LUK 30 WSW SDF CKV 25 ENE DYR 25 ENE FSM 45 ENE
SPS 30 SSW LTS 25 N CDS 60 ENE BGD 60 WSW AVK.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 NNW HVR 30 N LWT
55 ESE LWT 25 N GCC 50 ENE GCC 50 NNW RAP 60 NNE RAP 65 S Y22 45 S
Y22 100 N ISN ...CONT... 35 SE MTC 20 NW MFD 15 N CMH 10 SW ZZV 30
SSW PKB 40 SSE HTS 45 SSE JKL 35 NE TYS 40 ESE CHA 30 N LGC 20 SSW
AUO 15 ESE DHN 30 ESE MAI 20 SE TLH 30 SSW VLD 45 ESE VLD 10 ENE JAX
40 NE SGJ ...CONT... 60 SSE ISP 35 E NEL 15 ESE ABE 10 W ABE 30 S
ELM 115 WNW ART ...CONT... 30 SSW BRO 55 S CRP 20 S VCT 40 NNE VCT
45 SSE CLL 35 SE LFK 25 S IER 15 NW LLQ 15 ESE LIT 10 SSE RUE 25 SE
RKR 35 N PRX FTW 45 WNW SEP 50 ENE BGS 25 ESE MAF 50 SSW 6R6
...CONT... 125 S GBN 50 WSW TUS 30 NE FHU 15 ENE DMN 20 ENE ALM 35
NNE ROW 30 SSW TCC 15 NW TCC 25 NE LVS 40 SE ALS 25 NE GUC 30 NNE
GJT 50 S EVW 20 WNW OGD 35 NNE ENV 15 ENE OWY 45 NNW WMC 20 E AAT 15
NNW LMT 45 WSW RDM 65 NE BLI.
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at Aug 15, 19:56z for portions of IWX (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2024/day1otlk_20240815_2000.html)
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