The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 3 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 15, 19:24z for portions of MOB
311
WUUS03 KWNS 151925
PTSDY3
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0224 PM CDT THU AUG 15 2024
VALID TIME 171200Z - 181200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3
... ANY SEVERE ...
0.05 44997582 43107558 41197587 39057638 37837679 36437764
34358005 33348169 31958625 31678862 31809086 32799115
33269136 33869220 34579275 35439260 36379198 36739126
37038990 37658716 38898506 40018376 40848314 41558251
42338207
0.05 43972118 43172158 42072223 41872265 41902307 42492341
43372319 45262262 46422234 46852174 46622082 45832036
43972118
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3
... CATEGORICAL ...
MRGL 44997582 43107558 41197587 39057638 37837679 36437764
34358005 33348169 31958625 31678862 31809086 33269136
33869220 34579275 35439260 36379198 36739126 37658716
38898506 40018376 41558251 42338207
MRGL 46422234 46852174 46622082 45832036 43972118 42072223
41872265 41902307 42492341 46422234
TSTM 49581912 47441886 45671921 43522044 41472185 40912283
40872345 41322388 42232423 43172409 44402386 45642366
46542368 47452437 49032473 99999999 49630180 45520077
43249969 40549930 38559588 38519318 38728942 39608828
40428812 41338925 43079079 44309121 45569065 46948878
46878669 46818550 47588488 99999999 47716752 45986972
44567222 43057345 40907307 40007325 99999999 37567484
35117743 33497932 31968230 31248314 30438418 29268574
99999999 26818276 26298113 26067956 99999999 28289517
28509666 28859676 29179646 30829420 31819371 32679391
33579479 34389651 35959781 37000018 36630214 35770441
34380503 32770538 32560579 32520684 32020712 31340730
99999999 31791385 33171382 33781332 34641374 35691410
36931494 38451531 39771565 41261490 41871425 42501215
42251064 41510973 40780896 40630810 40700530 39610479
39940393 42340396 44750455 46780648 49801013
&&
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 W
MSS 10 WSW UCA 10 SW AVP 20 ESE BWI 35 NE RIC RZZ 20 WNW FLO 15 E
AGS 15 WNW TOI 45 ENE PIB 30 ENE HEZ 25 WSW GLH 25 SW PBF 20 ENE HOT
30 ENE RUE 25 SSW UNO 35 E UNO OWB 35 WSW LUK 25 ENE DAY 35 WNW CLE
45 ESE MTC.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE
OLM 50 SSE SEA 15 WNW YKM 40 ENE DLS 20 S RDM 25 WSW LMT 35 SSE MFR
35 SSW MFR 30 WNW MFR 45 SE OLM.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 NNE OMK 30 ENE EPH
20 W PDT 60 SE RDM 25 ENE MHS 40 SW MHS 35 ESE ACV 25 NNE ACV 10 NNE
4BK 20 SSE OTH 15 SE ONP 40 SSE AST 25 NNE AST 35 SSE UIL 75 N UIL
...CONT... 95 NNW MOT 15 W MBG 40 SSW 9V9 20 SW EAR 20 NE EMP 25 SE
SZL 25 WNW SLO 10 N MTO 30 NNE CMI 30 W MMO 35 WSW LNR 30 N LSE 55 W
RHI 20 SW CMX 50 ENE MQT 60 WNW ANJ 80 NNW ANJ ...CONT... 60 NNE CAR
95 W HUL 25 S EFK 20 SSE GFL 10 N ISP 50 SSE JFK ...CONT... 45 SE
WAL 20 W EWN 25 WSW CRE 15 SSE VDI 35 NNE VLD 10 ENE TLH 55 SW AAF
...CONT... 45 SSW SRQ 40 ENE APF 50 ENE MIA ...CONT... 60 SSE LBX 30
SSE VCT 10 E VCT 35 NNW PSX 45 SE LFK 35 W IER 15 NNW SHV 40 E PRX
30 ENE ADM 30 SSE END 45 E LBL 30 SSW EHA 40 ENE LVS 40 ENE 4CR 40 E
ALM 25 SE ALM 50 WSW ALM 40 ESE DMN 60 WSW ELP ...CONT... 75 SE YUM
60 NE YUM 70 NNW GBN 45 SSE IGM 30 NNW IGM 55 SSW P38 65 SSW ELY 25
NE P68 55 NE EKO 45 SSE TWF 25 NNE MLD 35 SW BPI 35 W RKS 40 NE VEL
30 WNW CAG 25 NW FCL 10 SSE DEN 40 WSW AKO 20 NNE TOR 55 ENE GCC 40
NW MLS 90 N HVR.
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 3 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 15, 19:24z for portions of MOB (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2024/day3otlk_20240815_0730.html)
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