The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Nov 12, 0:40z for portions of JKL
400
WUUS01 KWNS 120042
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0640 PM CST WED NOV 11 2026
VALID TIME 120100Z - 121200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 38888545 39048515 39068486 38528391 38128351 37228331
36398405 36048541 36238742 36608769 37448775 38608576
38888545
0.15 38108572 37988550 37548554 37288582 37048636 36988678
37138722 37488751 37958667 38068602 38108572
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 36158709 36318753 36588765 37028774 37488769 37868706
38368596 38568540 38418467 38188437 37808416 37048463
36268564 36138627 36158709
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 37958667 38108572 37988550 37548554 37288582 37048636
36988678 37138722 37488751 37958667
MRGL 38608576 38888545 39048515 39068486 38528391 38128351
37228331 36398405 36048541 36238742 36608769 37448775
38608576
TSTM 35268878 35658860 37338807 38598752 39898687 40498532
39868330 39058080 38298004 36668083 35228325 34708466
34448701 34588846 35268878 99999999 26017933 25938046
27288111 28108069 28857998 99999999 27058298 27048233
26498182 26268170 25858130 25398142 25098194 24738240
24158339
&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30
ENE OWB 0 - SDF 20 SE SDF 45 SSE SDF 40 ENE BWG 0 - BWG 20 W BWG
35 NNE HOP 25 SW OWB 30 ENE OWB
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
30 N SDF 50 NNE SDF 40 W LUK 25 W LUK 50 SE LUK 40 N JKL 20 S JKL
40 N TYS 20 WNW CSV 25 S CKV 15 WSW HOP 40 SSW EVV 30 N SDF
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE MKL 20 E MKL
40 ENE PAH 40 N EVV 35 S LAF 15 NNE MIE 25 WSW CMH 40 ESE PKB 40
NNE SSU 35 SSW PSK 40 WSW AVL 40 NE RMG 20 SW HSV 30 NE TUP 25 SSE
MKL ...CONT... 60 ENE MIA 15 NW MIA 30 SSE AGR 0 - MLB 65 NE MLB
...CONT... 35 SW SRQ 30 SSE SRQ 0 - FMY 10 NNE APF 35 SE APF 50
NNW MTH 40 NNW EYW 40 WNW EYW 105 WSW EYW
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Nov 12, 0:40z for portions of JKL (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day1otlk_20261112_0100.html)
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