MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 8, 11:19 PM CST ...New AVIATION...
089
FXUS64 KMOB 090519
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1119 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1118 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
- Patchy frost is possible late tonight into early Monday morning for
northern areas.
- A strong cold front pushes through the area on Thursday,
bringing much cooler temperatures. Marine winds will strengthen
behind the front along with building seas.
- A light freeze is possible well inland late Friday night and
Saturday night, roughly along and north of Highway 84.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1033 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
An upper low centered near southwest Texas has been sending
abundant cirriform cloudiness downstream across much of the
forecast area. A Frost Advisory remains in effect from 2 am until
8 am Monday for the northern portion of the forecast area,
although it's possible that this upper level cloudiness may make
it difficult for temperatures to get cold enough for frost to
develop. It's not yet clear from the current temperature trends
how this will play out, so have opted to leave the advisory as is
for now and let the next shift reassess. The upper low shears out
Monday into Tuesday followed by a rather large and deep upper
trof developing over the eastern half of the CONUS which brings a
strong cold front through the forecast area on Thursday.
Temperatures moderate ahead of the approaching front, with highs
trending to the mid to upper 70s for Tuesday and Wednesday, and
overnight lows trending to the 50s by Wednesday night. The cold
front ushers in much cooler air with lows by Friday night and
Saturday night ranging from the lower 30s well inland to the lower
40s at the immediate coast. This could bring a light freeze to
roughly Highway 84 northward both Friday night and Saturday night.
Dry conditions are expected through the period as deep layer
moisture remains too limited to support precipitation. A low risk
of rip currents is expected through Thursday, except for a
moderate risk returning to the western Florida panhandle beaches
on Thursday. /29
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1118 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
VFR conditions will prevail through the period with generally light
northerly winds less than 10 knots, becoming light and variable by
early evening. JGC/98
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 318 PM CST Sun Nov 8 2026
Light northerly to northeasterly winds will continue into Tuesday
becoming light and variable Tuesday afternoon as a high pressure
system moves over the Gulf waters. A light northerly flow will
resume by late Tuesday night shifting to light westerly Wednesday
afternoon. This westerly flow will increase to moderate by late
Wednesday night as a strong cold front approaches from the north,
followed by a moderate to strong offshore flow Thursday and Friday
in the wake of the cold front with gusts up to 30 knots.
Waves/seas respond reaching 2-3ft for protected waters, 3-4ft for
nearshore Gulf zones and 4-7 ft for outer Gulf zones. Winds and
wave/seas taper going into next weekend. /22
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 71 45 74 48 / 0 0 0 0
Pensacola 71 53 74 55 / 0 0 0 0
Destin 73 54 75 56 / 0 0 0 0
Evergreen 70 38 73 41 / 0 0 0 0
Waynesboro 70 38 74 43 / 0 0 0 0
Camden 68 36 71 40 / 0 0 0 0
Crestview 73 40 75 42 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST Monday for ALZ051>058.
FL...None.
MS...Frost Advisory until 8 AM CST Monday for MSZ067.
GM...None.
&&
$$
Source: MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 8, 11:19 PM CST ...New AVIATION... (https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202611090519-KMOB-FXUS64-AFDMOB)
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