MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 5, 10:12 PM CST ...New DISCUSSION...
049
FXUS64 KMOB 060412
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1012 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
...New DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1010 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
- Patchy fog is expected into Friday morning mainly for areas
east of I-65. Areas of fog may develop but widespread dense fog
is not expected at this time.
- A much cooler and drier airmass moves into the area this
weekend into early next week. Lows in the 40's can be expected
widespread across the area, to even mid to upper 30's for
inland/northern areas where patchy frost will be possible.
- Moderate to occasional strong northerly winds over the Gulf
Friday night into the weekend will create hazardous conditions
for small craft.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1010 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
The stalled front over eastern parts of the area will finally move
east Friday morning as a strong shortwave moves across the Ohio
Valley and strong high pressure builds southward into the area.
Areas of dense fog will be possible across areas east of I-65
tonight until the front clears the area. A much cooler and drier
airmass will move into the area for the weekend into early next
week. This will allow low temperatures to drop mainly into the 40s
area-wide both Saturday and Sunday nights, but mid to upper 30s
are forecast for inland/northern areas where patchy frost will be
possible. Dry weather conditions will persist through the
remainder of the forecast. /13
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 535 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
A nice night of flying is expected as VFR conditions prevail for
most of the period. As tomorrow morning's sunrise approaches the
final subtle push of a northerly cold front will bring tranquil
weather across the area. The uncertainty overnight is whether any
areas of sporadic patchy fog may develop across the Gulf Coast,
particularly areas at or north and east of PNS. If any such low
probability outcome occurs, transient IFR or lower conditions are
possible.
KL/31
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 115 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026
Light southwesterly to westerly winds this evening will shift
northwesterly to northerly late tonight into Friday as a cold
front slips through the area. Small craft over the Gulf should
exercise caution at a minimum late Friday into Saturday as winds
increase to 15-20kts with wave/seas responding to 2-3ft (3-4ft
outer Gulf). A Small Craft Advisory may become necessary for the
Gulf waters beyond 20 NM Friday night into Saturday morning as
northerly winds increase well behind the cold front. Winds remain
elevated going into Sunday and small craft should continue to
exercise caution. /22
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 57 78 51 71 / 0 0 0 0
Pensacola 64 79 57 72 / 0 0 0 0
Destin 66 79 59 73 / 10 0 0 0
Evergreen 55 78 48 70 / 0 0 0 0
Waynesboro 48 78 46 69 / 0 0 0 0
Camden 51 76 47 67 / 0 0 0 0
Crestview 61 79 50 73 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Dense Fog Advisory until 5 AM CST Friday for ALZ056>060.
FL...Dense Fog Advisory until 5 AM CST Friday for FLZ201>206.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
Source: MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 5, 10:12 PM CST ...New DISCUSSION... (https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202611060412-KMOB-FXUS64-AFDMOB)
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