IND issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 6, 2:59 AM EST
207
FXUS63 KIND 060759
AFDIND
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
259 AM EST Fri Nov 6 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Isolated light showers or patchy drizzle possible today, mainly
through this morning
- Cooler temperatures are expected through the weekend, with lows
near freezing tonight through Sunday night
- Highs return to the 60s early next week
&&
.DISCUSSION (Today through Thursday)...
Issued at 258 AM EST Fri Nov 6 2026
Today through tonight...
Latest surface and satellite observations depict extensive
clouds across the region as a system moves through region. An
associated cold front currently centered near northern portions of
central Indiana is quickly pushing southward. Low-level convergence
along the boundary has promoted scattered light showers. Patchy
drizzle has also been reported at times ahead of the cold front.
Look for scattered light showers or drizzle to remain possible
through about daybreak drier air begins to filter in.
At least partial clearing is expected during the day due to cold air
advection behind the front. However, mostly cloudy skies should
persist for much of the day aided by lake enhanced low-level
moisture. Isolated lake enhanced showers or patchy drizzle cannot be
ruled out either, mainly across far northern counties. Limited
diurnal heating from mostly cloudy skies on top of continued cold
air advection will keep highs in the low-mid 50s. Clearing skies
late in the day into the evening along with winds becoming light
overnight supports efficient radiational cooling. Look for lows to
drop into the upper 20s to mid 30s tonight.
Saturday through the middle of next week...
Quiet weather conditions are expected this weekend through the
middle of next week as surface high pressure generally remains in
control. Ensemble guidance depicts a few subtle systems pushing weak
cold fronts through the region during this period. Gulf moisture
remaining cutoff will keep these fronts moisture starved though
allowing for dry conditions to persist.
Look for highs to remain in the low to mid 50s Saturday before
return flow helps temperatures moderate into early next week. Highs
on Sunday will generally range from the upper 50s to low 60s with
widespread highs in the 60s to start the work week. A cold front
moving through midweek should cool highs back down into the 50s by
Thursday. Widespread lows in the upper 20s to low 30s are expected
Saturday night into Sunday.
&&
.AVIATION (06Z TAF Issuance)...
Issued at 1250 AM EST Fri Nov 6 2026
Impacts:
- Occasional wind gusts between 17-21kt at all terminals through the
early afternoon
- MVFR conds persist across all terminals through the early afternoon,
with brief IFR vis/ceiling possible at KLAF through 09Z.
- A few light showers or patchy drizzle cannot be ruled out through
15Z, primarily near KLAF
Discussion:
A cold front will be pushing southward across the terminals later
this morning bringing the potential for a few light showers or
drizzle, primarily near LAF. MVFR ceilings are also expected to
continue with brief IFR or worse conditions possible near LAF
through 09Z. Behind the front, winds are expected to gust 15-18kt
with the strongest being at KLAF. Shower activity will continue to
stream southward from Lk. Michigan in the wake of the front, which
may result in VCSH near LAF but confidence is low.
Ceilings are expected to improve to VFR by the early afternoon with
gusty winds likely tapering off eventually during the afternoon as
the cold front departs.
&&
.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
AVIATION...Melo
DISCUSSION...Melo
Source: IND issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 6, 2:59 AM EST (https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202611060759-KIND-FXUS63-AFDIND)
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