The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Oct 14, 5:21z for portions of PBZ
054
WUUS02 KWNS 140524
PTSDY2
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1221 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
VALID TIME 151200Z - 161200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2
... TORNADO ...
0.02 38978951 39438932 39838878 40108797 40348615 40208561
39588536 39168551 38928598 38688733 38488836 38588910
38978951
&&
... HAIL ...
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 38409149 39329156 39989129 40728790 41358258 41468134
41108076 39948120 39078227 38608580 38148799 37819045
38409149
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2
... CATEGORICAL ...
MRGL 39989129 40728790 41468134 41108076 39948120 39078227
38608580 38148799 37819045 38409149 39329156 39989129
TSTM 30880664 31940444 33450214 36829985 37699951 39500021
41199953 42349747 42649525 42779262 43059010 43438631
43468378 43508172 99999999 43417944 43007645 42407608
40707588 39327609 37367892 36737976 36318691 36069116
34719404 33109681 31089885 28120054 99999999 27869631
29879676 30379682 31129592 31299524 31069475 30139383
29299323 99999999 27688336 28238231 28388138 28518073
28598010
&&
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
0 - UIN 40 NNW DNV 25 E CLE 10 SSW YNG 35 WSW HLG 10 SSW UNI 30 N
SDF 25 WNW EVV 0 - FAM 25 NE VIH 50 SSW UIN 0 - UIN
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSW ELP 20 ENE
GDP 25 SW LBB 35 N GAG 25 ESE DDC 20 WNW HLC 15 SSE BBW 25 N OFK
0 - SLB 20 NW ALO 10 SSE LNR 20 NNW MKG 15 ESE MBS 65 ESE BAX
...CONT... 50 NW BUF 20 WSW SYR 15 NNW BGM 25 W ABE 30 ENE BWI 15
E LYH 25 WNW DAN 20 NW BNA 15 WSW ARG 40 ESE RKR 15 N DAL 50 S BWD
75 WNW LRD ...CONT... 60 S PSX 55 SSW CLL 30 WSW CLL 40 NW UTS 30
W LFK 10 S LFK 15 NE BPT 60 S LCH ...CONT... 45 WSW PIE 30 NE PIE
10 SSW ORL 30 NNW MLB 45 NE MLB
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Oct 14, 5:21z for portions of PBZ (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day2otlk_20261014_0600.html)
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