PBZ issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 26, 1:16 AM EDT
871
FXUS61 KPBZ 260516
AFDPBZ
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
116 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Updated Aviation Discussion for 06z TAF package.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Dry conditions continue under high pressure
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
We will see an increase in moisture Sunday especially with mid
and high clouds from a Nor'easter. Areas closest to the
Appalachian ridge- line could see a chance for light rain.
Eastern Ohio will remain far enough west to remain mostly sunny
sky. With the increased cloud cover, daytimes highs drop back
into the upper 60s on Sunday.
Precipitation is possible on Wednesday into Thursday when the
ridge breaks down allowing a shortwave trough passage. As of
now, the probability of measured precipitation remains between
30%-40% based on the weak forcing with this feature and a
relatively dry atmosphere. Probability of 24 hour QPF >=0.10"
reside between 20%-30%.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Confidence remains high that VFR conditions will prevail through
this evening under high pressure. A Nor'easter off the coast of
North Carolina and Virginia will continue to lift north towards
New Jersey over the next 24 hours, maintaining northerly to
northeasterly flow across our region through Monday. Diurnal
mixing this afternoon may produce gusts of 15-25kts, primarily
at terminals east of PIT where stronger vertical wind profiles
are expected in closer proximity to the low.
Because of stronger flow just off the surface drifting west on
the periphery of east coast storm, flow aloft will be stronger
late tonight and LLWS is expected at KDUJ and is possible at
KLBE.
Outlook...
Sunday - Potential for early morning fog for ZZV/MGW. Light
rain possible mainly in the afternoon eastern airports with
20-50% chance of MVFR ceilings and 40% chance of IFR ceilings
Sunday night especially FKL DUJ LBE.
Monday- VFR.
Tuesday- VFR.
Wednesday- VFR.
&&
.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
OH...None.
WV...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Lupo
AVIATION...Craven
Source: PBZ issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 26, 1:16 AM EDT (https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202609260516-KPBZ-FXUS61-AFDPBZ)
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