The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 18, 5:50z for portions of PAH
952
WUUS02 KWNS 180552
PTSDY2
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 AM CDT FRI SEP 18 2026
VALID TIME 191200Z - 201200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2
... TORNADO ...
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 40141078 40871102 41331093 41641036 41740940 41480865
40890826 40380816 40000837 39750899 39640952 39721004
40141078
0.05 38220396 39160478 40540537 42670592 43360615 43800621
44240602 44470552 44400471 44030394 43390343 42110292
39570247 39050259 38690287 38290351 38220396
0.05 37269984 37670004 38259972 38869929 40209756 41389507
41649402 41599297 41399152 40878983 40288921 39698935
39239020 39029145 38619349 37979543 37519689 37129906
37269984
0.15 37969928 39529718 40209632 40379602 40569549 40529519
40289478 39999469 39519468 39099481 38629541 38279607
38029657 37889739 37729842 37639877 37969928
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 32850394 33170428 33400444 33780437 38979918 40239764
41289535 41899369 42259102 42098986 41778795 41138575
40518426 39578344 38828337 37918331 36698336 34848349
33268378 32558398 32028422 31808434 31648477 31628525
31578564 31658610 31768642 31908661 32128682 32418695
32908714 33338712 34178701 35058661 36198621 36878619
37848664 38748801 39038983 39049133 38829217 38399365
37729537 36719710 35439919 34200107 33570193 33110266
32850311 32730351 32850394
0.05 39310477 43290618 43980613 44250585 44330512 44150454
43110322 40280226 39420216 38670229 38340265 38260321
38330405 38910448 39310477
0.05 39650945 39981039 40181072 40421087 40851094 41201097
41421073 41651013 41710959 41580892 41190842 40630823
40310822 40000852 39650945
0.15 38019932 40289625 40629575 40589511 40139453 39349457
38849507 38359574 37939654 37769746 37629824 37619866
37719902 38019932
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 40629575 40589511 40139453 39349457 38849507 38359574
37939654 37629824 37619866 37719902 38019932 40629575
MRGL 33780437 38979918 40239764 41289535 41899369 42259102
41778795 41138575 40518426 39578344 37918331 34848349
32558398 31808434 31648477 31578564 31768642 32128682
32908714 34178701 36198621 36878619 37848664 38748801
39038983 39049133 38399365 37729537 35439919 32850311
32730351 32850394 33400444 33780437
MRGL 41331093 41641036 41740940 41480865 40890826 40380816
40000837 39750899 39640952 39721004 40141078 40871102
41331093
MRGL 44240602 44470552 44400471 44030394 43110322 40280226
39420216 38670229 38340265 38220396 39160478 40540537
42250581 43290618 43800621 44240602
TSTM 25579882 27299805 28169761 28769709 29259658 29739589
30089522 30709235 31199054 31558996 31948955 32548920
33378884 34648845 35568855 36698887 37558953 38059028
38269147 38179223 37939287 36149553 33039818 28220098
99999999 30801009 36341039 37911086 39731226 40601320
41231397 41691448 42461469 43611503 44141518 44861499
45311466 45771397 46261297 46681210 47181120 47741025
49460871 99999999 49710403 48060359 46500302 45060213
44000139 43400051 43159921 43099780 43339656 43769378
44009265 44029105 43958957 43658753 43148598 41948314
41058138 40418063 39588025 38837986 37927925 37437885
36877809 36267675 35787467
&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20
WSW SDA 20 SE SDA 30 NE STJ 15 N MKC 20 W OJC 25 E EMP 35 SW EMP
30 NE P28 25 N P28 40 NW P28 40 ENE DDC 20 WSW SDA
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
35 NNE ROW 20 WNW RSL 50 N CNK 35 N SDA 25 N DSM 20 SW DBQ 45 NE
MMO 30 WNW FWA 40 N DAY 40 SW CMH 25 N JKL 50 WNW AND 20 WSW MCN
20 NNW ABY 35 WNW ABY 20 NNW DHN 25 WSW TOI 20 SSE SEM 40 NNW SEM
35 SSW HSV 25 E BNA 15 ESE BWG 30 ENE OWB 50 SSE MTO 15 NE ALN 50
ENE COU 25 SSW SZL 0 - CNU 0 - CSM 15 NNE HOB 15 WNW HOB 40 NNE
CNM 10 NE ROW 35 NNE ROW
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
0 - EVW 45 NE EVW 20 WNW RKS 25 ESE RKS 45 NW CAG 35 WSW CAG 60 N
GJT 50 NNW GJT 55 S VEL 40 ENE PUC 35 N PUC 30 S EVW 0 - EVW
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
25 WSW GCC 10 N GCC 40 E GCC 45 W RAP 20 NNW CDR 40 WSW IML 15 NNE
ITR 40 S ITR 20 N LAA 25 WNW LHX 25 N COS 20 WNW FCL 40 SSW DGW 30
NNE CPR 50 SW GCC 25 WSW GCC
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW MFE 30 S ALI
15 SSE NIR 10 WSW VCT 35 NE VCT 35 W HOU 30 N HOU 40 NNW LFT 0 -
MCB 40 NE MCB 35 NNW PIB 30 WNW MEI 30 SW CBM 30 NE TUP 20 E MKL
25 SSW PAH 25 N CGI 20 NNE FAM 20 ENE VIH 30 N TBN 40 WNW TBN 20
ESE TUL 20 NNW MWL 80 S DRT ...CONT... 55 SSE FHU 70 SE PGA 25 NNW
U17 30 NNE U24 30 NNW DPG 35 N ENV 55 S TWF 10 W TWF 35 WNW SUN 60
NW SUN 55 E MYL 40 WNW SMN 45 N SMN 30 SSE 3DU 0 - HLN 20 SSE GTF
60 SSW HVR 80 NE HVR ...CONT... 105 N ISN 10 SSE ISN 25 SSW DIK 60
S Y22 10 ESE PHP 40 N VTN 45 S 9V9 25 WNW YKN 20 SSE FSD 35 SSE
MKT 10 NW RST 15 NE LSE 35 E VOK 35 SSE MTW 15 E MKG 20 SSE DTW 10
NNE CAK 15 N HLG 20 WSW MGW 0 - EKN 30 SW SHD 20 ENE LYH 15 N AVC
30 W ECG 65 NE HSE
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 18, 5:50z for portions of PAH (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day2otlk_20260918_0600.html)
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