The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 28, 1:09z for portions of JKL
679
WUUS01 KWNS 280110
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0809 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2026
VALID TIME 280100Z - 281200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 39977777 41097674 41367581 41487550 42057425 42277367
41917332 41707343 41017481 40287556 39467581 38997578
39387767 39977777
0.02 41480174 41790107 41880050 41850022 41659994 41239964
40719967 40620108 40800152 41180165 41480174
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 39717406 37847729 38387864 40807813 41817675 42237507
41657332 40627334 39717406
0.05 44750314 44180071 42699878 40749810 38229856 37729997
38130113 40120198 42900367 44160424 44420429 44750314
0.15 39740114 41030209 41560241 42280140 42280015 41809974
41099959 40529956 39849955 39510044 39740114
CIG1 40190187 41320258 41550265 42350139 42320018 41779948
40819913 40099902 39709990 39550051 39690111 40190187
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 39107399 37887663 36717812 35238071 34698210 34738322
35888403 36698331 37948194 39468029 40488024 41437796
42947478 42677296 41897274 40997311 39187339
0.05 49620871 48660822 47030770 45400757 45020794 44850870
45010987 44921109 44501248 44661318 45381382 47491373
49511247
0.05 37980121 39150201 40540290 42920380 44160433 44210422
44640299 44170066 43690013 42679885 40759814 38229849
37379888 37179997 37520088 37980121
0.05 28760099 29469863 29479709 29259634 28889644 28399660
28439723 28409961 28200073
0.15 46721221 47271242 48081272 48551243 48701187 48601100
48281029 48081007 47700986 47440984 47040984 46600993
46241032 46111094 46231183 46721221
0.15 41670237 41990185 42160127 42200013 41919964 41059925
39759896 39209965 39060079 39770125 40610174 41060213
41490248 41670237
0.15 38577766 39917778 41137684 41427571 41347516 39807563
38807649 38527663 38577766
CIG1 47860880 47110865 46420865 45780888 45340939 45211024
45371105 45471168 45851204 46501235 46951246 47971284
48691307 49171270 49231239 49361046 49080964 48730923
47860880
CIG1 39530132 40290207 41480276 41580257 42260137 42250009
41919955 41269915 40549901 39679873 38969959 38870079
39530132
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 41137684 41427571 41347516 39807563 38807649 38527663
38577766 39917778 41137684
SLGT 41670237 42280140 42280015 41919964 41059925 39759896
39209965 39060079 40340158 41490248 41670237
SLGT 48551243 48701187 48601100 48281029 48081007 47700986
47040984 46600993 46241032 46111094 46231183 46721221
48081272 48551243
MRGL 44200425 44420429 44750314 44170066 42699878 40749810
38229849 37379888 37179997 37520088 40540290 44160433
44200425
MRGL 49500865 48660822 47030770 45400757 45020794 44850870
45010987 44921109 44501248 44661318 45381382 47491373
49511247
MRGL 28760099 29469863 29479709 29259634 28399660 28409961
28200072
MRGL 39107399 37887663 36717812 35238071 34698210 34738322
35888403 36698331 39468029 40488024 41437796 42947478
42677296 41897274 40997311 39997326
TSTM 49710343 48530346 46790309 45820229 45340057 45219916
44709783 43179671 40959585 39349590 38139739 36619845
36059970 35530024 34269894 32439649 31659413 30899200
30749057 31019007 31758908 32208881 32758908 33588962
33879028 34169204 34979380 35749307 35819120 36668643
38678303 40788136 43497628 46187287 99999999 31711336
33051393 34581461 35441537 36421596 37561646 38511670
39831684 41551648 44051563 46161493 47591449 48311483
48881550 49411617 49751681 99999999 32131679 33231713
34321755 34761754 35041720 34931676 33301531 31901457
99999999 27659671 27700020
&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10
SSE IPT 0 - AVP 30 SW MSV 10 NNW ILG 30 SSE BWI 20 NW NHK 40 WSW
DCA 15 NNW HGR 10 SSE IPT
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35
SE AIA 25 NW MHN 20 SSW ANW 35 N BBW 25 NNW EAR 60 N RSL 15 SE HLC
55 ESE GLD 15 S IML 35 NE SNY 35 SE AIA
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 0
- CTB 25 ENE CTB 80 NNE GTF 30 SW HVR 35 SSW HVR 50 NNW LWT 15 W
LWT 15 NNW 3HT 25 WSW 3HT 25 NNE BZN 25 SSE HLN 15 NW HLN 40 SSW
CTB 0 - CTB
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
60 W RAP 60 E GCC 50 N RAP 25 SW PIR 15 NNW ONL 20 SE GRI 35 WNW
HUT 15 WNW P28 40 S DDC 30 SSW GCK 30 NE AKO 60 ESE GCC 60 W RAP
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
85 NE HVR 70 E HVR 95 NNE BIL 50 NNW SHR 60 SSE BIL 30 NE COD 55
SSE LVM 15 N WEY 10 WSW MQM 45 SE SMN 20 N SMN 45 NNE MSO 60 N CTB
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
40 S DRT 10 WSW SAT 45 NNW VCT 35 N PSX 30 SW PSX 25 W COT 80 S
DRT
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
40 SE ACY 30 SSW NHK 0 - AVC 15 E CLT 15 SSE GSP 35 WNW AND 0 -
TYS 60 S JKL 25 WSW MGW 0 - PIT 40 N UNV 35 ESE UCA 25 NE PSF 0
- BDL 10 S BDR 55 S ISP
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 N ISN 25 NNE
ISN 15 W DIK 10 SW Y22 15 SSW MBG 40 WSW ABR 30 NE HON 30 S FSD 25
S OMA 25 NW TOP 35 N ICT 15 SE AVK 15 SSE GAG 60 SSW GAG 35 SE LTS
30 N CRS 45 NE LFK 40 SSE ESF 30 S MCB 25 ESE MCB 25 NE PIB 10 SSW
MEI 35 NNW MEI 25 ENE GWO 30 NNW GWO 0 - PBF 40 SE FSM 35 N RUE
25 SW ARG 20 S BWG 35 NW HTS 10 SSE CAK 25 NNW SYR 95 NNW EFK
...CONT... 95 SSW GBN 50 NE YUM 15 S EED 45 SSW LAS 15 S DRA 50 SE
TPH 35 NE TPH 30 NE U31 30 SSW OWY 45 NE BOI 30 E P69 50 SSW GPI
25 W GPI 90 N 3TH 130 NNW 3TH 150 NNE GEG ...CONT... 40 SSW CZZ 35
N SAN 25 NNW RAL 25 ESE EDW 25 WNW DAG 0 - DAG 35 NNE IPL 50 S
YUM ...CONT... 50 E CRP 45 WNW LRD
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 28, 1:09z for portions of JKL (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day1otlk_20260828_0100.html)
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