The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 23, 5:51z for portions of MOB
027
WUUS02 KWNS 230553
PTSDY2
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1251 AM CDT SUN AUG 23 2026
VALID TIME 241200Z - 251200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2
... TORNADO ...
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 49719430 48199449 45869545 44749629 44339671 43839765
43109892 42409984 41040051 40570074 39950151 40220300
41420383 43860342 47420133 49140097 49910086
CIG1 49839605 46209661 43909880 43790206 44980276 47390119
50010077 49839605
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 49839424 47989464 45989536 44519646 43319865 42439980
40450088 38360142 37410179 36630223 36530274 36570298
36670335 37490389 38480448 39650554 40550671 40910776
40961081 40961207 40821396 40671613 40811741 41331787
42041786 42821682 43881224 44191003 44850590 45230517
46040313 47380137 48890103 49970096
0.05 28408863 29799138 30179228 30619251 31719232 32189183
32379121 32329007 31968816 31708656 31438510 32098242
33317996 34047928 34727831 35847596 35977490 99999999
30288057 30278130 30268228 29978342 29038429
0.05 43626733 43986840 44436965 45257141 45697186
CIG1 49839419 48709451 47209496 45899537 44519646 43499845
42529969 41550079 41470287 41560362 42220551 43700573
44850586 46040304 47390133 49970091 49839419
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2
... CATEGORICAL ...
MRGL 30288071 30268228 29978342 29328402 99999999 28468875
29799138 30179228 30619251 31719232 32189183 32379121
32329007 31438510 32098242 33317996 34047928 34727831
35847596 35977493
MRGL 49349435 48199449 45989536 44519646 43109892 42439980
40570074 40450088 38360142 37410179 36630223 36530274
36670335 38480448 39650554 40550671 40910776 40961207
40671613 40811741 41331787 42041786 42821682 43881224
44850590 45230517 46040313 47380137 48890103 49500099
MRGL 43716760 44436965 45257141 45647181
TSTM 40007272 40807294 41307358 41657430 42177582 42567688
43187747 43647768 44157786 99999999 27339400 28999452
30559505 31709588 32409671 32989809 33199931 33190067
32880250 32390426 31880579 30970678 99999999 49499271
42179154 41059091 39779016 38788914 37228771 35718636
34478462 34018367 33768257 33688185 33778125 35067881
36627476 99999999 32261769 33181769 33931758 34791727
35651632 36611514 37211487 37771499 38211532 38561593
38681648 38661708 38401757 38311834 38571898 39071951
39421978 40272041 41342116 42102124 42762090 43222044
43861949 44461832 45121666 45661450 45811319 45961054
45800794 45560675 45460604 45680479 46430345 47500255
49670197
&&
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
45 ENE SGJ 40 N GNV 30 NW CTY 60 WSW CTY ...CONT... 70 SSE BVE 45
SE LFT 20 W LFT 40 NW LFT 20 N ESF 25 SSE MLU 50 N HEZ 0 - JAN 20
ENE DHN 0 - VDI 30 N CHS 25 ESE FLO 40 NW ILM 30 SSE ECG 65 NE
HSE
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
55 ENE RRT 50 NNE BJI 10 NNE AXN 25 NE BKX 45 NNW ONL 15 SE ANW 25
NNW MCK 25 NW MCK 50 NW GCK 30 NNE EHA 30 SW EHA 25 ENE CAO 20 NW
CAO 15 N PUB 35 WSW DEN 45 E CAG 30 NNW CAG 15 NNW SLC 20 WSW EKO
20 ESE WMC 30 N WMC 40 S REO 60 SSW BOI 25 NNW IDA 40 NNW GCC 20
SE 4BQ 35 NNE 2WX 20 S N60 45 NNE MOT 85 N MOT
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
65 SE BHB 10 NE AUG 45 NNW BML 55 NNE EFK
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE ISP 10 E ISP
30 SE POU 20 W POU 10 ESE BGM 25 N ELM 10 ENE ROC 35 N ROC 70 N
ROC ...CONT... 145 SSE GLS 25 SSE GLS 30 ESE UTS 40 SE CRS 30 SSE
DAL 15 N MWL 55 NNE ABI 75 ESE LBB 45 ENE HOB 0 - CNM 35 E ELP 60
SSW ELP ...CONT... 70 NNE INL 20 NNE CID 20 NNE BRL 25 WSW SPI 15
NW SLO 40 NNW HOP 35 SSE BNA 30 ENE RMG 20 WNW AHN 45 NW AGS 25
NNE AGS 15 SW CAE 0 - FAY 80 ENE ECG ...CONT... 45 SW SAN 45 NW
SAN 10 W RAL 30 W DAG 60 NNE DAG 35 N LAS 35 SW P38 30 WNW P38 60
NW P38 65 S P68 55 NE TPH 40 N TPH 35 NW TPH 65 N BIH 65 S NFL 35
SSE RNO 0 - RNO 65 NNW RNO 30 WSW AAT 25 E LMT 50 NNW LKV 75 N
LKV 30 NW BNO 35 SW BKE 30 WNW MYL 50 NW SMN 35 WSW BTM 20 NNW LVM
30 E BIL 55 NNE SHR 30 W 4BQ 35 ENE 4BQ 40 SW DIK 50 NNE DIK 100
NNW MOT
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 23, 5:51z for portions of MOB (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day2otlk_20260823_0600.html)
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