The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at Jul 21, 5:59z for portions of IWX
151
WUUS01 KWNS 210600
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1259 AM CDT TUE JUL 21 2026
VALID TIME 211200Z - 221200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 35787449 36097631 36877894 36858112 36128476 36658744
37278834 37918800 40408417 42158222
0.02 45507473 44167348 42467202 40727162
0.05 37517445 37937627 38437706 39177779 39377829 39337955
37888172 37338374 37218484 37528583 38258593 39038517
39988243 40528183 41148146 41618103 41878048 42018001
41987944 41967897 41997855 43147616 43237544 43067477
41857382 41127340 40007335
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 38627422 38037724 37498084 37038320 35808770 35428992
35699078 36329101 37069046 38458818 40598408 41778183
43058027 99999999 44977701 43357406 41667315 39757254
0.15 38218790 40228319 40968132 42347829 42507666 41957548
41297495 40597471 40097458 39627455 39217492 39017546
38647716 38367891 37638245 37058595 36988718 37298790
38218790
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 45647302 44137188 40757092
0.05 34897476 34677763 34388386 34808738 34529019 34889174
35589236 36279228 38978894 41038590 43248195
0.15 36307489 35637743 35728295 35948626 35478998 35689070
36329103 37039050 38738784 40988392 42918091
0.15 44917583 43237378 41267280 39707257
0.30 37107387 37067645 36687956 36448429 36578728 37408756
38488641 38948590 40888262 42977871 42967711 42707571
41747429 40727316 38847271
0.45 38307449 38157888 38008033 37758194 37708338 37788430
37888489 38078517 38498524 38798488 40228242 41328029
41647917 41717771 41467490 40457385 39727336
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
ENH 38307449 38157888 37758194 37708338 37888489 38078517
38498524 38798488 40228242 41328029 41647917 41717771
41467490 40457385 39837344
SLGT 44917583 43237378 41267280 40117263 99999999 36257507
35637743 35728295 35948626 35478998 35689070 36329103
37039050 38738784 40988392 42748117
MRGL 45487290 44137188 40757092 99999999 34877500 34677763
34388386 34808738 34529019 34889174 35589236 36279228
38978894 41038590 43248195
TSTM 31628844 32318771 32718689 33758500 34468526 34428655
33878773 33328902 32008987 31648970 31238942 31148909
31628844 99999999 31321336 33481433 35221543 35861699
36001848 36991946 38882092 40202099 40692174 40452259
40492353 41562409 42932413 44082386 45042355 45302340
45462280 45432187 45062119 44552007 44171900 44471757
46041559 46521385 46261266 45980904 45640658 46070380
45800164 44589941 43749863 41739801 40589783 39749830
39540000 39540178 38990223 38170178 38130148 37870057
37559951 36779947 36520011 36260137 36030293 35560386
35060443 34290468 32680442 31760277 30810238 29000236
99999999 29039307 29089309 29959340 31829364 34019437
36739355 36969325 37839182 38989202 40209226 40569085
40308876 40238816 40458712 41938478 43278454 44378437
45778308 47048216 99999999 47107014 46406923 46236832
46266696
&&
THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
55 E SBY 10 S SHD 45 SSW CRW 10 N JKL 20 WSW LEX 30 ESE SDF 35 NE
SDF 35 SW LUK 30 ENE CMH 20 ENE YNG 35 S JHW 60 N UNV 15 SSW MSV
15 SSW JFK 60 SSE JFK
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65
N ART 10 SW GFL 20 ENE BDR 55 SSE ISP ...CONT... 60 E ECG 30 ESE
RWI 15 SSW HSS 25 ESE BNA 30 N MEM 10 SSW JBR 15 NNW ARG 20 N POF
50 NNW EVV 15 WSW FDY 70 NW ERI
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
50 NW EFK 30 WSW MWN 45 SE BID ...CONT... 45 SE HSE 10 S OAJ 40 NW
AHN 15 ENE MSL 40 SSW MEM 30 ENE LIT 45 S FLP 10 ENE FLP 20 N SLO
40 W FWA 65 NE MTC
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE MEI 45 W SEM
25 NNE SEM 35 WNW ATL 10 NW RMG 20 SE HSV 45 N TCL 40 WSW CBM 25
SSE JAN 25 WNW PIB 15 SSW PIB 25 SSE PIB 50 SSE MEI ...CONT... 120
SSW GBN 25 ESE BLH 60 SSW LAS 40 ENE NID 50 NE BFL 20 NE FAT 40 NE
SAC 65 E RBL 45 NE RBL 25 NW RBL 35 ESE EKA 15 SSE CEC 35 S OTH 35
SSE ONP 30 WNW SLE 35 NW SLE 15 SW PDX 35 WSW DLS 40 S DLS 55 ENE
RDM 40 N BNO 30 SSE BKE 10 S P69 30 SSE MSO 25 NNW BTM 25 WNW BIL
65 NNE SHR 30 SE BHK 25 ESE Y22 55 N 9V9 30 W MHE 35 WSW OFK 30 E
HSI 35 WNW CNK 15 NW HLC 15 NNW GLD 15 S ITR 50 E LAA 45 WNW GCK
10 ESE GCK 30 ESE DDC 35 NNE GAG 25 NW GAG 30 SSE GUY 20 W DHT 30
NNW TCC 50 W TCC 70 N ROW 25 NNW CNM 25 E INK 35 ESE FST 70 S 6R6
...CONT... 75 S LCH 75 S LCH 15 SW LCH 30 W IER 0 - DEQ 20 ESE
UMN 20 SSE SGF 20 S VIH 15 NE COU 15 ENE IRK 20 SE BRL 15 SE BMI
15 NNE CMI 10 WNW LAF 30 SW JXN 35 N LAN 15 E HTL 55 NNE APN 110
ENE ANJ ...CONT... 100 W CAR 65 WSW CAR 25 WNW HUL 40 ENE HUL
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at Jul 21, 5:59z for portions of IWX (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day1otlk_20260721_1200.html)
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