The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 17, 12:31z for portions of IND
195
WUUS01 KWNS 171232
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0731 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026
VALID TIME 171300Z - 181200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 48779005 47778950 47088776 46938677 46758561 46188525
45588534 45108646 45409046 45629278 46379357 47449396
49249396
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 46458217 44278504 44568795 44868974 44539224 44799344
45289384 46939408 47289408 49369399
0.05 49861049 46641015 45211115 43661402 43841564 44971614
47621724 49491821
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 44118094 43398319 44458747 44578799 44868970 44519222
44759345 45259387 46939409 47409411 49519401
0.05 49630741 48400777 46480791 45420874 44711071 42561361
42191519 42631614 44961605 48101687 49871803
0.05 34238266 28798106 28248129 28178179 28418234 30948375
33198379 33768459 35278554 36768533 38328584 39328633
40578655 41058620 41168536 40418290 39298189 38338178
37028175 36168190 35488261 34238266
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
MRGL 41058620 41168536 40418290 39298189 38338178 37028175
36168190 35488261 34238266 28798106 28248129 28178179
28418234 30948375 33198379 33768459 35278554 36768533
38328584 39328633 40578655 41058620
MRGL 49490745 48400777 46480791 45420874 44711071 42561361
42191519 42631614 44781606 47621724 49491821
MRGL 43898163 43398319 44568794 44868972 44519222 44759345
45259387 46939409 49209402
TSTM 49900638 47540391 44920043 44799943 45089750 45509703
46599700 47749760 48490044 49470218 99999999 42639604
43039756 42700346 43270728 43090796 42490825 41960786
41680605 40710540 38740457 37490347 36950195 37110022
37519802 39089583 42639604 99999999 45317520 43557629
42017624 38927566 37677475 99999999 32201620 32971667
34171734 35181741 36051709 36661670 37371647 38001654
38601675 39401712 40201719 42371735 44671790 47271809
48171901 49572143 99999999 32799406 31619145 31499062
31899035 32239027 32749052 33539155 34269318 34139382
33589408 32799406 99999999 28049586 29359655 29699754
29419846 27870038 99999999 36677530 33947690
&&
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
45 S SBN 15 NW FWA 30 N CMH 20 ENE UNI 10 WSW CRW 35 WSW BLF 35 SE
TRI 0 - AVL 20 S AND 25 NE ORL 20 S ORL 40 SW ORL 40 NNE PIE 10
SSE MGR 35 NNW MCN 15 NW ATL 25 NW CHA 60 NNW CSV 10 NNW SDF 20 NE
BMG 20 ENE LAF 45 S SBN
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
95 NNW GGW 55 WNW GGW 55 NNE BIL 30 SSW BIL 20 E WEY 10 E BYI 40
WSW TWF 45 N OWY 0 - MYL 15 E GEG 95 NE OMK
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
70 E BAX 30 SSW BAX 10 ENE GRB 0 - CWA 45 NNE RST 15 SW MSP 20
SSE STC 35 N BRD 50 NNW INL
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 N GGW 15 SE SDY
40 N PIR 50 NE PIR 20 WNW ATY 40 N ATY 25 SSW FAR 25 SW GFK 40 ENE
MOT 90 NNW MOT ...CONT... 25 NE SUX 10 NW YKN 20 WSW CDR 50 WNW
CPR 25 E RIW 35 SE LND 35 WNW RWL 30 NW LAR 25 NW FCL 10 SE COS 40
S LHX 0 - EHA 50 SSW DDC 40 SSW HUT 10 W TOP 25 NE SUX ...CONT...
30 NNW MSS 30 NNW SYR 20 SW BGM 20 SW DOV 45 ESE WAL ...CONT... 30
SSE CZZ 25 NNW CZZ 15 NNE RAL 35 NE EDW 40 NE NID 40 W DRA 55 NNW
DRA 30 E TPH 40 NNE TPH 0 - U31 30 SSW BAM 30 ESE REO 10 SSW BKE
35 SW GEG 30 SE OMK 75 NE BLI ...CONT... 25 NNW SHV 10 W HEZ 25
NNW MCB 35 SSW JAN 15 WSW JAN 40 NW JAN 15 ESE LLQ 15 SSW HOT 35 E
DEQ 10 NNW TXK 25 NNW SHV ...CONT... 55 SSE PSX 40 NNE VCT 30 E
BAZ 10 S SAT 60 WNW LRD ...CONT... 50 ESE ORF 60 ESE ILM
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 17, 12:31z for portions of IND (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day1otlk_20260717_1300.html)
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