The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 3 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 16, 19:27z for portions of JKL
613
WUUS03 KWNS 161929
PTSDY3
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0227 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2026
VALID TIME 181200Z - 191200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3
... ANY SEVERE ...
0.05 33687708 33417904 33768169 34698402 36378722 38549009
39439117 40649128 42608961 43818667 45148209 45557958
45497719 44797482 42637252 40327157
0.15 36567505 35927690 35627883 36558036 37558002 38408104
38658368 39108623 40328665 41808387 42818173 43767946
44157825 43897708 43467643 42547626 41427571 40907508
40247417 39587312
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 43897708 43467643 42547626 41427571 40247417 39797345
99999999 36527517 35927690 35627883 36558036 37558002
38408104 38658368 39108623 40328665 41808387 42718193
MRGL 45097582 44797482 42637252 40457162 99999999 33647735
33417904 33768169 34698402 36378722 39439117 40649128
42608961 43818667 45148209
TSTM 49479667 45289894 44269964 43219921 42539593 42709239
44718825 47548363 99999999 37940224 37409679 38019572
38769522 39449508 40319797 40520108 41410329 42100410
42260567 41880591 41200546 39270461 37990375 37940224
99999999 31101172 32321286 33191386 33851479 34001570
33961645 34251713 34941666 35591612 36901603 38131650
39121703 40061617 42171551 44981619 46391516 47981347
49871271 99999999 27829108 28699050 31668997 33719019
34669215 35169650 33969906 32409985 30900065 28110156
&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60
NNE ROC 30 NNW SYR 10 ENE ITH 0 - AVP 15 NNE NEL 60 SSE JFK
...CONT... 60 ENE ECG 45 WSW ECG 15 S RDU 40 NW GSO 15 N ROA 30 E
CRW 50 SE LUK 20 E BMG 15 ESE LAF 15 NNW TOL 45 E MTC
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
50 WNW MSS 10 S MSS 25 SW EEN 50 S BID ...CONT... 55 SE ILM 20 SSW
CRE 30 NNE AGS 65 NW AHN 20 SE CKV 35 S UIN 10 SW BRL 30 W JVL 40
SSW MBL 80 NE OSC
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE HCO 30 WSW
ABR 35 NNW 9V9 40 S 9V9 25 ENE SUX 10 N ALO 15 NNW GRB 80 NNE ANJ
...CONT... 25 ESE LAA 40 ESE ICT 25 NNW CNU 25 WSW OJC 10 WNW FLV
30 SE HSI 30 E IML 25 NW SNY 0 - TOR 35 SSW DGW 40 NNW LAR 15 SE
LAR 30 N COS 15 WSW LHX 25 ESE LAA ...CONT... 85 SSW TUS 45 SSW
GBN 55 NE YUM 15 NNW BLH 35 NE TRM 30 NW TRM 30 NE RAL 10 NE DAG
65 NE DAG 15 N DRA 30 E TPH 25 SSE U31 40 NNW P68 40 ENE OWY 10
NNW MYL 25 NE P69 45 ESE GPI 90 N CTB ...CONT... 125 SSW HUM 60 S
HUM 40 WNW PIB 15 NNW GWO 0 - LIT 45 SSE CQB 30 W SPS 10 W ABI 35
SSW SJT 95 SSW DRT
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 3 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 16, 19:27z for portions of JKL (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day3otlk_20260716_1930.html)
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