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Emergency Information => Weather Info => Topic started by: ThreatWebInternal on July 14, 2026, 10:18:11 AM

Title: [Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 13, 1:01z for portions of MOB
Post by: ThreatWebInternal on July 14, 2026, 10:18:11 AM
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 13, 1:01z for portions of MOB

348 
WUUS01 KWNS 130102
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0801 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2026

VALID TIME 130100Z - 131200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   45578574 45578597 45588612 45588641 45628691 45708723
       45838748 46058757 46258750 46458728 46568691 46618622
       46638557 46568503 46468471 46238448 45978450 45848466
       45718489 45618535 45578574
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   46468337 46128364 45578420 44988523 44858579 44838652
       44858705 44938757 45078815 45368852 45938893 47148945
       48388980
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   25747967 25828020 25938044 26398094 26638097 27548115
       28228127 29158189 29848238 30408347 30978743 30999443
       31199689 31409876 31679970 31990009 32350021 32800003
       33069967 33219897 33169694 33279175 33329061 33278875
       33618680 34258547 35198323 35628093 35517834 35167722
       34347626
0.05   31821386 32981425 34001435 34601425 35521384 35671343
       35691299 35391254 34451164 33701093 33161069 32631057
       31041029
0.05   49290509 48090632 47510732 47300815 47460906 47850961
       48320958 49520846
0.05   46488334 46038374 45558422 44998524 44858585 44838666
       44868712 44968759 45088814 45418857 45988896 47178946
       48438982
0.15   31641273 32431285 33051303 33481302 33801276 33991207
       33821152 33441114 32871093 32001081 31121066
0.15   31248067 31268111 31598179 31958214 32438215 32958199
       33568160 34198114 34698047 34897925 34507797 33927722
CIG1   33211121 32891093 32121083 31321078 32261399 32371406
       32561410 32701415 32861398 33071368 33251327 33411257
       33411169 33211121
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   31641273 33051303 33481302 33801276 33991207 33821152
       33441114 32871093 31121066
SLGT   31248067 31268111 31598179 31958214 32438215 32958199
       34198114 34698047 34897925 34507797 33927722
MRGL   25747967 25938044 26398094 28228127 29848238 30408347
       30978743 30999443 31409876 31679970 31990009 32350021
       32800003 33069967 33219897 33169694 33329061 33278875
       33618680 35198323 35628093 35517834 35167722 34347626
MRGL   31821386 32981425 34001435 34601425 35521384 35671343
       35691299 35391254 33701093 33161069 31041029
MRGL   46338347 45558422 44988523 44858579 44838666 45078815
       45418857 45988896 47148945 48438982
MRGL   49290509 48090632 47510732 47300815 47460906 47850961
       48320958 49500848
TSTM   49270387 48900434 47250660 46640803 46580884 46680952
       47031013 47691057 48441049 49880939 99999999 43988123
       43418288 43238480 43378634 43578707 44278916 45119019
       46309093 48919123 99999999 32301623 34521621 36601583
       38681449 39121372 39031256 38451156 37941056 37830975
       38240879 38680803 39360705 39810525 39810435 39580338
       39270268 38750147 37689947 36769851 36319792 35619620
       35559466 35739299 36559093 38328758 39498416 39758162
       39378015 38647860 38017769 37427648 36867519 99999999
       25767851 24998074 25038161 25368265

&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90
S GBN 20 WNW GBN 40 NNW GBN 50 WNW PHX 40 N PHX 40 NE PHX 50 E PHX
50 N TUS 35 SSW FHU

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45
E SSI 20 ENE SSI 35 NNW SSI 20 SE VDI 20 NE VDI 30 S AGS 20 N CAE
45 SE CLT 25 SSE SOP 15 NNW ILM 45 ESE ILM

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
40 E MIA 15 NW MIA 55 ENE APF 25 S ORL 15 NNW GNV 30 SSW VLD 40
NNW PNS 25 SE LFK 30 SSE BWD 50 S ABI 40 SW ABI 30 W ABI 35 NW ABI
45 N ABI 60 SSW SPS 20 NNW DAL 25 ESE GLH 30 SW CBM  0 - BHM 40
WSW AVL 30 N CLT 20 WNW GSB 10 WNW EWN 65 SE EWN

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
70 SE YUM 30 NE YUM 35 NE BLH 25 ESE EED 20 NNE IGM 40 NE IGM 50
WSW GCN 45 SSW GCN 65 SW SOW 75 NNE TUS 35 S FHU

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
45 ESE ANJ 30 E PLN 25 NE TVC 15 NW TVC 45 NNW MBL 40 N GRB 35 SW
IMT 35 NE RHI 55 NE IWD 55 NNE GNA

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
85 NNE OLF 15 ESE GGW 60 SSW GGW 65 ENE LWT 35 NE LWT 50 S HVR 20
SSE HVR 90 NE HVR

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 N ISN 60 NNW ISN
65 S GGW 65 NNE BIL 45 SE LWT 25 S LWT 30 W LWT 40 ENE GTF 35 WSW
HVR 95 N HVR ...CONT... 90 E BAX 25 SSE BAX 35 NNW LAN 15 NNW MKG
50 SE MTW 35 WNW OSH 30 WNW AUW 15 S ASX 75 NNE ELO ...CONT... 25
SSE CZZ 40 SE DAG 10 ESE DRA 45 SSE ELY 60 NW MLF 25 S U24 45 W
4HV 30 NNE U17 25 NW 4BL 60 SSW GJT 15 NNW MTJ 15 NW ASE 20 W DEN
30 E DEN 25 NE LIC 20 W ITR 45 SSE GLD 30 ESE DDC 10 E AVK  0 -
END 35 ESE CQB 20 NW FSM 35 N RUE 30 N ARG 20 N EVV 30 S DAY 20 SE
ZZV 25 SSW MGW 30 NNE SHD 40 NNW RIC 40 NNW ORF 55 E ORF
...CONT... 110 E MIA 25 NE MTH 35 NNE EYW 75 SW APF

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 13, 1:01z for portions of MOB (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day1otlk_20260713_0100.html)

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