MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 1, 6:56 AM CDT ...New UPDATE, AVIATION...
691
FXUS64 KMOB 011156
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
656 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026
...New UPDATE, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 655 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026
- A Heat Advisory is in effect Wednesday for southeast
Mississippi, with heat indices rising to near 110. Hot and
humid conditions continue through the remainder of the week.
- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected
this afternoon along the coast.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 655 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026
Patchy fog has developed across interior portions of south
central Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle this morning.
Updated the current forecast to add mention of this patchy fog. Fog
should dissipate within the next hour or two. Otherwise, no other
changes were needed to the latest forecast package. A Heat Advisory
remains in effect for our southeast Mississippi counties from 10 AM
through 7 PM for heat indices up to around 108-110. Outside of this
advisory, heat indices should generally range from 100 to 107.
Isolated to widely scattered storms are also possible this
afternoon, mainly over the western half of the local area. Due to
the highly unstable environment in place, cannot rule out a few
stronger storms capable of producing gusty winds to around 40-60
mph. /96
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1236 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026
Hot and humid conditions continue across the region today. An upper
level ridge is currently centered over the OH/TN River Valleys,
putting us on the southern periphery of the ridge and dominated with
easterly flow. We have widespread heat index values of 102-110
today with the highest values in the western half of our area. We
have issued a Heat Advisory for our Mississippi counties today
from 10 AM to 7 PM. For the rest of the week, heat index values
look to be below advisory criteria, but still very hot in the
100-107 range each afternoon. Heat index values approach Heat
Advisory criteria for the holiday weekend and will be monitored
over the coming days. There will be little overnight relief with
lows only reaching the low to mid 70s each night and even higher
along the coast they may approach 80. Anybody outdoors should
drink plenty of water, take breaks in A/C when possible, and
monitor for signs of heat illness.
Rain chances decrease over the coming days with drier air starting
to funnel in with PWATs dropping to 1.8" today and 1.5" for Thursday
and Friday. As the ridge moves off the coast into the Atlantic, we
will have increasing pops into the weekend. This will be more of a
normal summertime pattern with daily chances for showers and
thunderstorms along the sea breeze and resultant outflow boundaries.
SS/97
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 655 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026
Patchy fog over portions of south central AL and northwest FL is
quickly dissipating at issuance time. Prevailing VFR conditions are
expected through the period outside of a few isolated to scattered
showers and storms this afternoon. The greatest chances for storms
(around 30%) exists along the I-10 corridor and southeast MS, a few
of which may cause brief reductions in flight categories. A light
easterly to southeasterly flow is expected today, becoming light and
variable after sunset. /98
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 240 AM CDT Wed Jul 1 2026
A light to occasionally moderate easterly to southeasterly flow
will continue through Thursday. A light diurnal pattern returns for
Friday and Saturday, with onshore flow expected during the afternoon
hours, and offshore flow expected at night. Light southwesterly flow
becomes prevalent for Sunday and into early next week. /96
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 94 75 95 74 / 30 0 20 0
Pensacola 93 79 95 78 / 10 0 0 0
Destin 92 79 93 79 / 10 0 0 0
Evergreen 95 73 95 73 / 20 0 0 0
Waynesboro 95 75 96 74 / 20 20 0 10
Camden 93 75 92 74 / 20 10 0 0
Crestview 96 74 96 73 / 10 0 0 0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...Heat Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening
for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.
GM...None.
&&
$$
Source: MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 1, 6:56 AM CDT ...New UPDATE, AVIATION... (https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202607011156-KMOB-FXUS64-AFDMOB)
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