The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 26, 5:45z for portions of PBZ
023
WUUS01 KWNS 260547
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1245 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
VALID TIME 261200Z - 271200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 36998765 36898844 36668968 36299139 36309318 36839373
37699310 38249025 38788855 38918632 38518420 37368435
36898509 36998765
0.02 46861072 48140904 47900708 46760581 46190730 45960979
46861072
0.05 37808974 38338915 38418837 38678660 38298526 37408560
37258610 37268798 37018920 37278979 37808974
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 45237185 44856991 43796956 43237000 42737089 42467157
43097294 44427423 45397350
0.05 45621258 47821167 49030914 49040734 48000646 47180554
46380375 44640162 42650232 40930192 39470187 38450147
36860114 36020038 35569940 36279865 36159693 34569783
32340133 32280284 33410318 34330386 35940400 38650447
39970477 42910484 44260635 44640869 44871103 45621258
0.15 46921056 48150900 47870707 46580550 45410350 44480273
43130299 43060386 44850556 45700739 45810956 46921056
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 37469658 37899454 38169342 38669153 38719025 39038701
39408496 39738277 39358027 39717767 39957513 39037427
38137544 37838032 37908130 37518246 36238554 36088777
35829012 35909247 35889516 34679776 32370133 32330295
33310316 34390390 35790397 36720417 38730444 40010476
42880483 44260633 44640869 44891106 45611256 47791166
49040929 49100740 48000651 47180563 46410375 45390249
44650164 42680235 40890188 39450190 38370142 36870109
36040043 35579941 36259864 37469658
0.05 45257176 44916996 43716952 43217002 42667102 42497157
43117292 44407417 45417344
0.15 36668964 36219147 36169518 36959578 37599474 38329121
38588965 38768850 38908618 38638487 37518487 36918630
37018757 36668964
0.15 46911071 48180905 47940716 46660556 45550361 44370263
43050301 43010399 44850560 45570740 45820970 46911071
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 37599474 38329121 38768850 38908618 38638487 37518487
36918630 37018757 36668964 36219147 36169518 36959578
37599474
SLGT 48180905 47940716 46660556 45550361 44370263 43050301
43010399 44850560 45570740 45820970 46911071 48180905
MRGL 47821167 49040929 49100740 48000646 47180554 46410375
44640162 42650232 40890188 39470187 38370142 36870109
36020038 35579941 36279865 37469658 37899454 38669153
38719025 39038701 39738277 39358027 39717767 39957513
39037427 38137544 37838032 37908130 37518246 36238554
35829012 35909247 35889516 34679776 34569783 32340133
32280284 32330295 33310316 34390390 35920400 39970477
42890484 44260635 44640869 44871103 45621258 47821167
MRGL 45257176 44916996 43716952 43217002 42667102 42467157
43097294 44427423 45397350
TSTM 48639014 48469225 48339337 48109449 47849523 47229655
46069868 44570037 43210099 42080085 40970040 40339982
40109853 40019692 40029531 40579271 41338785 41468357
41218106 40757885 40657716 40737603 41067545 41547520
42057543 42827626 43217678 44227815 99999999 28559162
29739107 30379081 31368987 32008914 32328886 32868864
33668843 33888849 34198873 34418946 34489015 34469146
34369319 34169489 33869589 33169742 32059930 30830093
29460217 28840248 99999999 31091145 31851146 33721157
36181159 37461153 38791130 39581115 40041106 40301127
40491180 40361285 40141367 39731440 39171522 38631579
38231649 37941750 37961794 38221860 39772009 40632087
41512165 42942207 45082251 46992288 48202320 49582378
&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35
NNW JLN 35 ENE VIH 25 ENE SLO 30 SE BMG 40 SW LUK 40 SSW LEX 10
ESE BWG 25 NNW HOP 40 S CGI 35 NNE BVX 35 NNE MKO 20 NE BVO 35 NNW
JLN
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40
SE HVR 30 SW GGW 20 NE MLS 0 - 2WX 30 NE RAP 15 NNE CDR 45 WNW
CDR 35 N GCC 60 NNW SHR 45 S 3HT 50 SE GTF 40 SE HVR
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
25 NNW GTF 40 NNE HVR 70 NNW GGW 15 SSE GGW 35 W GDV 25 E BHK 40 N
PHP 50 NNE AIA 30 NNW IML 10 NW GLD 50 NW GCK 15 SSW LBL 40 WSW
GAG 20 NW CSM 35 S AVK 50 ESE ICT 50 N JLN 40 NNE VIH 0 - STL 20
WSW BMG 20 SSE CMH 30 SW MGW 0 - HGR 10 NE PHL 35 SSE ACY 15 N
WAL 0 - SSU 15 NW BKW 60 S HTS 30 NW CSV 30 E JBR 20 S FLP 20 NE
MKO 30 SSE CHK 40 SSE CHK 15 NE BGS 35 SE HOB 30 SSE HOB 45 N HOB
35 W CVS 55 NNW TCC 15 NNE DEN 30 ENE DGW 45 SE SHR 20 ENE COD 15
NNE WEY 25 S BTM 25 NNW GTF
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
35 NE EFK 40 N AUG 45 SSE AUG 35 SSE PWM 20 N BOS 20 NE ORH 30 S
RUT 0 - SLK 65 NNW BTV
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 N GNA 40 NNW ELO
15 S INL 45 NNE BJI 25 NNW BJI 25 NNE FAR 45 NNW ABR 15 NNW PIR 35
NW VTN 10 E MHN 20 SE LBF 40 ENE MCK 35 S HSI 20 SSW BIE 15 ESE
FNB 35 NNW IRK 45 E MMO 15 SE TOL 20 W YNG 30 S DUJ 35 NNW CXY 30
W ABE 25 SE AVP 25 WSW MSV 30 ESE BGM 20 SSW SYR 35 W SYR 80 NNW
ROC ...CONT... 90 SSE 7R4 25 WNW HUM 25 ESE BTR 35 WSW PIB 30 SW
MEI 0 - MEI 35 N MEI 0 - CBM 15 N CBM 0 - TUP 0 - UOX 40 SSW
MEM 35 NE PBF 10 SW HOT 30 WNW DEQ 30 WNW PRX 25 N FTW 25 NW BWD
45 SW SJT 40 S 6R6 85 S 6R6 ...CONT... 75 SSW TUS 35 WSW TUS 35 NE
PHX 35 ENE GCN 40 N PGA 40 NW 4HV 20 W PUC 35 NNW PUC 50 SE SLC 20
SSE SLC 15 NNE DPG 45 SSE ENV 40 NE ELY 20 WSW ELY 60 S P68 35 ENE
TPH 25 WSW TPH 50 NNE BIH 60 NNW BIH 25 NW RNO 60 SSW AAT 45 S LMT
55 NNW LMT 35 S PDX 0 - OLM 15 ENE CLM 80 NW BLI
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 26, 5:45z for portions of PBZ (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day1otlk_20260626_1200.html)
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