PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 27, 6:14 PM CDT
584
FXUS63 KPAH 272314
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
614 PM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A relative lull in between rains will see more isolated light
showers or drizzle through tonight, before picking up again
by Tuesday night-Wednesday.
- Additional rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches (locally higher
possible) may cause nuisance or prone areal flooding at
times.
- Most rain ends by Thursday night but it will remain seasonally cool
into and through the weekend.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 614 PM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025
Updated Aviation discussion for the 00z TAF issuance.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 110 PM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025
As our present low pressure system spins out with its rains
today, the next low pressure system takes shape and comes in
with its rains by Tuesday night-Wednesday. A relative lull in
between, showers will be light and more widely scattered or
isolated. Soundings suggest drizzle/fog to also linger and/or be
a possibility.
The primary low dives south/east across and south of the area,
producing 1-2 inches (locally higher possible) of rainfall over
another 24-36 hour period, mostly Tuesday night-Wednesday.
These amounts are below revised FFG even with the recent
rainfall, so little more than nuisance or prone areal flooding
is expected.
Due to the clouds/rain, we'll continue to see muted
temperatures hover largely in the 50s. Even after this system
pushes out Thursday, we'll remain in a cool nwly flow aloft that
continues below normal temperatures into/thru the weekend.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 616 PM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025
Low stratus, fog, and occasional drizzle will keep cigs and/or
vsbys restricted to IFR or LIFR levels for the great majority
of the forecast period. Confidence in the fog forecast is low,
while the ceiling forecast is medium to high. There may be some
slight improvement to low MVFR cigs late in the forecast period
(18-24z window) especially west of the Wabash River and KY
Pennyrile. Light/calm winds overnight will become light from the
E at 4-7 kts after 15-18z.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...DH
AVIATION...DWS
Source: PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 27, 6:14 PM CDT (https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202510272314-KPAH-FXUS63-AFDPAH)
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