The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at Oct 18, 16:17z for portions of LMK
276
WUUS01 KWNS 181619
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1117 AM CDT SAT OCT 18 2025
VALID TIME 181630Z - 191200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 34639576 37109501 37769409 39358878 41728615 42398483
42628430 42498339 42338333 40368281 36438493 34428659
32978679 32068630 30188660 29968900 30059149 30259500
30759611 32249621 33369612 34639576
0.05 38259056 37818884 36958826 36348924 35638963 34778987
34338957 34038878 33568835 32928817 32338817 31238837
30958892 30999148 31019409 31419492 32029513 33609470
36559448 37589367 38159189 38259056
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 31119806 31629873 32439872 32959758 34759629 36969574
37719452 38599290 38569030 37898977 36049111 32349199
31049263 30799610 31119806
0.15 34649573 35559547 36469517 37479400 38169188 38179083
37769051 37339054 36049211 34429312 32819392 32049516
32359618 33359611 34649573
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 30099561 31119806 31619874 32449873 32939760 34749631
36969573 37709456 38609288 39809015 41598634 42638437
42528339 41858317 40948291 39988269 36198481 34348613
32018630 30188658 29898862 29969067 30099395 30099561
0.15 36429522 37499403 38179180 38379037 38128788 37368668
35728718 34018810 32338815 31268835 30958892 31009158
31019408 31399486 32369620 33339611 34619573 36429522
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 34629574 35559547 36409523 37489403 38179180 38379037
38128788 37368668 35728718 34018810 32338815 31268835
30958892 30999134 31019408 31399486 32389617 33339613
34629574
MRGL 31119808 31659873 32449872 32939759 34759630 36979573
37699455 38619290 39799016 41598634 42638437 42528339
39988269 36198481 34348613 32018630 30188658 29878859
29979091 30099561 31119808
TSTM 27179654 28979865 29690017 30060051 30710081 31330090
32620059 33459960 34479919 35569910 36089926 36799971
37189960 37579898 38639620 40879276 42809007 44028825
44728724 45688539 46678344
TSTM 43027989 42148010 38738186 35638354 34258387 32138492
30928541 29398601
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S
MLC 10 SW MKO 30 WSW GMJ 35 NE JLN VIH 25 S STL 20 WNW EVV 30 NNW
BWG 40 SW BNA 35 NE CBM 35 E MEI 40 N MOB 40 NNE GPT 45 S HEZ 40 ESE
LFK 15 NNW LFK 30 NNE CRS 40 SE GYI 20 S MLC.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W
TPL 15 SE BWD 35 WNW SEP 15 WNW FTW 30 WSW MLC 20 NE BVO 35 N JLN 35
ESE SZL 25 W SPI 10 S SBN 15 SE LAN 20 N DTW 10 E CMH 20 NE CSV 25 N
GAD 20 WNW TOI 40 ESE PNS 45 SE GPT 30 NNW HUM 35 NNW HOU 40 W TPL.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SE CRP 40 SSW SAT
50 ENE DRT 55 NNE DRT 50 SSW SJT 25 W SJT 55 WNW ABI 70 N ABI 15 SSE
LTS 15 NNE CSM 50 N CSM 60 W AVK 45 SSE DDC 30 NW P28 20 N EMP 25 SW
OTM 30 S LNR 15 E OSH 45 NNE MTW 30 WNW PLN 45 ENE ANJ.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 W BUF ERI 30 NNW
CRW 30 ESE TYS 35 WNW AHN 25 S CSG 15 WNW MAI 60 SSW PFN.
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at Oct 18, 16:17z for portions of LMK (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2025/day1otlk_20251018_1630.html)
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