The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 24, 5:31z for portions of LMK
600
WUUS01 KWNS 240533
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1231 AM CDT WED SEP 24 2025
VALID TIME 241200Z - 251200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
&&
... HAIL ...
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 29430189 30039944 30959744 31679621 32689400 34879127
36259002 37108876 37798727 37908536 37068412 35668437
34428547 32578695 30838866 29449073 28679168 27479241
99999999 26699643 26289974
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
MRGL 26649658 26319974 99999999 29430189 30039944 30949746
31689619 32689401 34889125 36338994 37108876 37798727
37908536 37068411 35768434 34298564 32578695 30838865
29499067 28689161
TSTM 31291225 32151210 33541027 33870953 34020823 33740753
32750721 32090743 31430675 31340547 31750475 32570386
33320208 33659964 34199687 34599554 35349490 35699604
35789652 35759747 35769880 35789979 35819990 35910014
36370042 36840052 37180037 38029975 39199942 39799871
39899606 39789353 39499111 39338886 39388807 39338786
39078769 38778753 38818723 38878699 39698476 40258360
40868372 41178413 41228510 41638570 42948587 43588574
45488489 46898363 99999999 45547568 44987395 43347332
42657290 42077130 41927035 41636968 41166914 99999999
39477382 39377417 37267703 36097933 35148072 34588215
33698346 32898456 31618562 30718621 29698655 99999999
29408405 30278344 31128282 31338193 30388083 99999999
36832228 38062171 38632070 38791928 38511871 38051825
37301852 36421884 35491940 34881971 34762023 34652205
&&
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NE
BRO 85 S LRD ...CONT... 45 SSE 6R6 40 SSE JCT 15 S TPL 25 SSE CRS 20
NNW SHV 55 ENE LIT 40 NW DYR PAH OWB 30 SE SDF LOZ 20 WSW TYS 25 W
RMG 15 N SEM 25 WNW MOB HUM 80 SSE 7R4.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 SW TUS 65 SSE GBN
55 SSW SOW 40 SE SOW 75 W ONM 40 NNW TCS 35 S TCS 20 ESE DMN 35 SW
ELP 50 SW GDP GDP 30 NE CNM 30 SSW LBB 65 SE CDS 10 SE ADM 25 SE MLC
25 NW RKR 35 SSW TUL 15 ENE CQB 25 NNE OKC 35 NE CSM 45 NW CSM 50 NW
CSM 65 NW CSM 55 SSE LBL 30 ESE LBL 35 ENE LBL 20 NE DDC 25 ESE HLC
60 SSW HSI 30 WSW FNB CDJ 30 S UIN 35 WSW MTO 15 ESE MTO 25 ESE MTO
35 SW HUF 50 SSW HUF 40 SW BMG 30 SW BMG 30 WSW DAY 40 NE DAY 10 SSW
FDY 25 WNW FDY 15 NNE FWA 30 E SBN 20 WNW GRR 35 NE MKG PLN 45 NE
ANJ ...CONT... 60 NW MSS 45 NNE SLK 15 E GFL 25 NE PSF 25 NNE PVD 20
NNW HYA 30 E HYA 50 E ACK ...CONT... 40 E ACY 25 ESE ACY 20 SE RIC
35 S DAN 15 ESE CLT 20 S GSP 20 SSW AHN 30 ESE LGC 20 NNW DHN 20 ESE
CEW 65 SW PFN ...CONT... 60 WSW CTY 35 SSW VLD 25 WSW AYS 30 E AYS
40 NE SGJ ...CONT... 30 NW MRY 30 WNW SCK 40 WSW TVL 40 E TVL 70 S
NFL 50 N BIH 10 WSW BIH 55 ESE FAT 20 WNW BFL 30 NNE SBA 15 SE SMX
85 W VBG.
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 24, 5:31z for portions of LMK (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2025/day1otlk_20250924_1200.html)
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