The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 13, 16:36z for portions of PAH
330
WUUS01 KWNS 131637
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1136 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2025
VALID TIME 131630Z - 141200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 33980622 34190593 34520392 34290343 33860328 33070324
32570359 32330558 32690622 33100641 33980622
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 40818914 41868810 41998714 41808670 41178632 40208615
39118700 39528828 40458914 40818914
0.05 31010941 32541003 33100956 33410852 34120815 34800819
35650844 36730928 37581000 38501043 39371082 39911048
40290928 40240675 40830439 42280330 43420342 44440404
45460416 46110440 46640633 47190663 48170544 48290408
48020169 48060033 47619975 45759932 43289983 42000033
40310163 39000222 37480275 35360247 34150240 32760273
32020353 31620430 31080681
0.15 32500834 32820787 34030707 35120673 35730477 35700361
35240314 33510331 32220422 31810637 31840796 32070839
32500834
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 30820843 32000919 32570885 32950778 33430733 34300735
35180783 36490875 37400980 38211031 39121056 39781036
40250910 40290818 39690797 38960818 38020854 37330807
36730687 36940585 37650512 39970451 40690383 41660273
43340215 44380237 45820269 46380206 46500038 46239947
45719935 44749954 43259982 41990033 40140130 38950161
37150185 37020190 35570225 34730216 33850194 33170216
32110340 31620435 30880661
0.05 40398957 41908810 42018704 41068665 40138668 39138698
38378760 38528836 39108910 39798940 40398957
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 32500834 32820787 34030707 35120673 35730477 35700361
35240314 33510331 32220422 31810637 31840796 32070839
32500834
MRGL 31010941 32541003 33100956 33410852 34120815 34800819
35650844 37581000 39371082 39911048 40290928 40240675
40830439 42280330 43420342 44440404 45460416 46110440
46640633 47190663 48170544 48290408 48020169 48060033
47619975 45759932 43259982 41990033 40140130 38950161
37150185 35570225 34730216 33850194 33170216 32020353
31620430 30980631
MRGL 41908810 42018704 41808670 41178632 40208615 38378760
38528836 39108910 40398957 41908810
TSTM 30911117 32141123 32891097 33660996 35941006 37701146
38141201 38861218 40071234 40731274 41271326 41171398
41271523 42031561 42521405 42731310 43231330 43131473
43661586 46721699 48251705 49621702 99999999 49531320
48281186 48141086 49411038 99999999 49659586 43489680
39749704 36269865 34069960 31910044 30700088 29950118
29290166 99999999 27970044 26909674 99999999 28068394
28998267 30188205 31468068 31807975 99999999 43239210
44029163 44259068 44178946 42818521 41648423 39958338
38888334 37448400 36728510 36238571 35868663 36308869
35899031 35759190 35649254 35689383 36219462 37159440
37999363 38659267 39639196 40499149 42199177 43239210
99999999 45402454 44832380 44442246 44882141 45512075
45231975 44641968 43541992 42402013 41272171 41202470
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW
SVC 20 NE SVC 10 W ONM 10 NW ABQ 20 ENE LVS 35 N TCC 25 E TCC 60 N
HOB 10 SSE CNM ELP 30 SSW DMN 40 WSW DMN 15 SW SVC.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE
DUG 30 SW SAD 20 NNE SAD 60 NNW SVC 70 W ONM 30 SSW GNT 20 ENE GUP
30 W 4BL 15 SSW PUC 25 NE PUC 15 SE VEL 40 NNE EGE 30 SE CYS 30 WNW
AIA 45 NNW CDR 55 WNW RAP 30 WSW 2WX 20 SSW BHK 25 NW MLS 65 NW MLS
10 NE OLF 20 WNW ISN 25 SW MOT 45 ESE MOT 50 SW DVL 50 WNW ABR 45 SW
9V9 40 E MHN 30 SSE IML 30 S GLD 10 NNE EHA 35 SSE DHT 40 SW AMA 15
NNW LBB 40 SSW LBB 25 NW INK 35 ESE GDP 55 S ELP.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE
MMO 30 WSW BEH 20 WNW SBN 35 S SBN 35 NNE IND 25 N EVV 30 ENE MVN 30
NNW SLO 20 SSE PIA 45 NE MMO.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SW FHU 15 W TUS 55
N TUS 40 S SOW 75 NNE INW 40 E BCE 30 NNE BCE 40 SSE U24 30 ESE DPG
40 NNE DPG 55 NE ENV 30 N ENV 40 NE EKO 30 E OWY 15 W BYI 30 WSW PIH
40 WNW PIH 35 SW SUN 20 ENE BOI PUW 50 NNE GEG 140 NE OMK ...CONT...
75 NNW CTB 35 SE CTB 50 NNE GTF 65 NNW HVR ...CONT... 55 NNW RRT 10
SSW FSD 35 ENE CNK 35 S AVK 45 SSW LTS 40 N SJT 50 SSW SJT 45 NNW
DRT 45 W DRT ...CONT... 65 WNW LRD 75 SE CRP ...CONT... 75 W PIE 30
WSW OCF 30 SW JAX 50 ENE SSI 80 SSE CHS ...CONT... 50 NNE ALO 20 WNW
LSE 30 NW VOK 45 SSE CWA 15 ESE GRR 20 W TOL 25 W CMH 55 NW HTS 25 N
LOZ 55 N CSV 40 WNW CSV 20 S BNA 45 ENE DYR 20 ENE JBR 15 W BVX 40 S
FLP 30 SE FYV 30 SSE GMJ JLN 50 S SZL 25 WSW COU 45 SE IRK 30 SW BRL
20 N CID 50 NNE ALO ...CONT... 60 NNW ONP 20 NE ONP 45 SE SLE 45 NNW
RDM 20 ESE DLS 55 SW PDT 80 ENE RDM 50 W BNO 20 NE LKV 30 E MHS 35
WNW ACV.
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 13, 16:36z for portions of PAH (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2025/day1otlk_20250913_1630.html)
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