The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 19, 12:53z for portions of JKL
523
WUUS01 KWNS 191255
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0753 AM CDT TUE AUG 19 2025
VALID TIME 191300Z - 201200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
&&
... HAIL ...
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 38739871 39449641 38869474 38509315 38669017 39168828
40268661 41488342 41488164 41198072 40018107 38698343
37388623 36258798 35259000 34639099 34159352 34229710
34710016 36200083 37509926 38739871
0.05 49470671 48040940 46911226 45761357 46351518 47961436
49671142
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
MRGL 37509926 38739871 39449641 38869474 38509315 38669017
39168828 40268661 41488342 41488164 41198072 40018107
38698343 37388623 36258798 35259000 34639099 34159352
34229710 34710016 36200083 37509926
MRGL 49470671 48040940 46911226 45761357 46351518 47961436
49511169
TSTM 31141235 32681148 33811126 35171096 36131013 36910924
37590827 38550722 39980669 41200609 42030459 42790174
43470118 44390044 45019995 46289574 46199305 45429120
43689189 42239543 41029543 39999307 40008949 41778733
43068615 44738439 45318187 44687726 43437529 42787525
42067585 40567906 39258163 37348443 36448601 36128612
35818578 36188496 36688394 36968217 36378145 35388179
34698198 34398153 34797990 38177718 38347530 37097354
99999999 49719703 48289752 48029816 48120033 47760286
45540250 43820279 43520405 44280506 47020642 47820776
47161096 45071345 44221573 44921662 46871619 49711303
&&
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW
P28 10 SSE RSL 25 NNE MHK OJC 25 SE SZL 10 ESE STL 20 S MTO 20 ESE
LAF 20 ESE TOL 10 ENE CLE YNG 25 WSW HLG 55 WNW HTS 30 NNE BWG 40 SW
CKV 15 N MEM 60 ENE PBF 35 SW HOT ADM 20 NNE CDS 45 NE BGD 40 WNW
P28.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 N
GGW 40 SSE HVR 25 NNW HLN 45 NNE SMN 25 NE P69 25 SSW GPI 70 NNE
CTB.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 SW TUS 50 NW TUS
50 ENE PHX 15 NW INW 85 NNE INW 45 SW CEZ 30 NE CEZ 15 W GUC 25 NNE
EGE 25 WSW LAR 20 W TOR 60 W VTN 45 SSE PHP 10 W PIR 45 SSE MBG 30
NNW AXN 55 ESE BRD 40 NNE EAU 35 ESE RST 20 N DNS 20 N SDA 30 WSW
IRK 15 NE SPI 30 NW VPZ 10 SSE MKG 30 NNE HTL 85 ENE APN 75 NW ART
20 NNE UCA 25 SSE UCA 10 SE BGM 25 NE LBE 15 WSW PKB 25 NW LOZ 45
SSE BWG 30 E BNA 40 WSW CSV 20 NNE CSV 30 SSE LOZ 35 NNE TRI 45 N
HKY 30 SW HKY 15 S SPA 40 NW CAE 40 SW SOP 40 W NHK 10 E SBY 120 ESE
WAL ...CONT... 65 N HCO 30 NW GFK 35 E DVL 45 ESE MOT 45 SE ISN 30
SSW Y22 20 SE RAP 60 SW RAP 25 ESE GCC 50 NNW MLS 60 WSW GGW 30 SE
GTF 20 E SMN 50 SSE MYL 25 W MYL 45 E PUW 80 NNW CTB.
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 19, 12:53z for portions of JKL (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2025/day1otlk_20250819_1300.html)
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