LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 24, 12:57 AM CDT ...NEW AVIATION...
307
FXUS64 KLIX 240557 AAA
AFDLIX
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
1257 AM CDT Thu Jul 24 2025
...NEW AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 1003 PM CDT Wed Jul 23 2025
Inverted trough began to bring tropical moisture into the area in
the form of convective storms this afternoon, mainly across
coastal MS and portions of LA south of I-10. The tropical impacts
will bring PW in the range of 2.25-2.4 inches and this will result
in daytime PoPs in the 80-90+ range Thursday and Friday with the
highest values south of I-10. Precipitation amounts through
Friday night across the area will be in the neighborhood of 2",
but heavier convective activity could lead to areas of minor flash
flooding especially in urban areas. Cloud cover and rain should
keep the daytime high temperatures in the low 90s and Heat Index
values will remain below the threshold for headlines.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 1003 PM CDT Wed Jul 23 2025
Very high moisture levels will only slowly diminish on Friday and
Saturday as the waves of tropical low pressure move across
coastal areas before ridging builds back into the area from the
east. By Saturday, precipitable water values will be around 2
inches, falling into the 1.5 to 1.7 range Sunday and Monday. Areal
coverage of showers/storms Friday and Saturday should be fairly
extensive before dropping back to isolated/scattered for Sunday
into early next week. While any threat of widespread heavy
rainfall looks relatively low, instantaneous rainfall rates will
likely briefly overwhelm drainage in a few locations each day.
Also looks pretty likely we will be back into heat stress product
issuances by Sunday or Monday with highs in the mid and upper 90s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1256 AM CDT Thu Jul 24 2025
Mostly VFR conditions through the morning hours. Additional
convection will likely develop later this morning or into the
afternoon hours, which will have some VIS/CIG impacts at least
briefly in and around showers and storms. Convection will decrease
around or shortly after sunset. Wind should remain rather light
and variable, but favor an eventual southerly transition later in
the period.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1003 PM CDT Wed Jul 23 2025
Main threat to marine operations will be daily/nightly
thunderstorms, which will be most prevalent through Saturday,
especially during the late night and morning hours. Ambient winds
should remain below 15 knots except in the vicinity of
thunderstorms where they will also vary in direction.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 92 74 89 73 / 90 40 90 20
BTR 93 76 89 76 / 90 50 90 20
ASD 89 74 88 75 / 90 50 90 30
MSY 91 79 89 79 / 90 50 90 30
GPT 89 76 88 78 / 90 60 90 40
PQL 89 75 89 75 / 90 60 90 40
&&
.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...DS
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...RDF
MARINE...DS
Source: LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 24, 12:57 AM CDT ...NEW AVIATION... (https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202507240557-KLIX-FXUS64-AFDLIX-AAA)
---------------
If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!