PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 24, 8:41 PM CDT
511
FXUS63 KPAH 250141
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
841 PM CDT Thu Jul 24 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Hot and humid conditions continue with heat headlines
remaining in effect through Friday.
- The only relief from the heat will be daily thunderstorm
chances, which will be small and temporary.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 840 PM CDT Thu Jul 24 2025
Updated Aviation discussion for the 06z TAF issuance.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 211 PM CDT Thu Jul 24 2025
Heat messaging continues to be the main story. Ridging aloft
continues to influence the weather across the region with a hot
and humid airmass remaining in place. Satellite trends the past
few hours show mostly flat CU but some vertical growth has been
noted across southwest Indiana and far eastern southern Illinois
past few hours. This area would likely have the best chances of
an isolated shower or storm today based on sat trends and near
term guidance. This may bring only temporary relief to the heat
today with highs still expected to top out into the mid to upper
90s. The extreme heat warning will expire at 00z tonight but
have extended a heat advisory for the entire region through
Friday afternoon. It likely heat headlines will be needed past
Friday, especially next week.
The upper ridge expands westward over the weekend. Slightly
lower temperatures are expected on Saturday with highs in the
lower 90s. Additional chances of showers and storms are possible
Saturday afternoon. Upper heights builds across the region
Sunday into Monday before retrograding westward through next
week. Even hotter temperatures are advertised with a humid
airmass remaining in place. PoPs are mostly silent next week,
although slight chances return by Wednesday into Thursday as a
front works its way in from the north. A cooler and drier
airmass is likely to make its way into the region toward the
very end of the 7 day period.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 840 PM CDT Thu Jul 24 2025
FEW-SCT CU will continue diminishing overnight, with generally
light winds from the south. Some TEMPO MVFR fog remains
possible at MVN during the 8-12z window. SCT diurnal CU will
bubble up after 15z with bases around 4kft. Winds will be light
from the S-SW around 4-8 kts. A PROB30 group for TSRA was also
added to MVN for the 18-24z period where a few storms may
intrude this afternoon. Skies will clear out Friday evening
with light south winds.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Friday for ILZ075>078-080>094.
MO...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Friday for MOZ076-086-087-100-
107>112-114.
IN...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT /8 PM EDT/ Friday for INZ081-082-
085>088.
KY...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Friday for KYZ001>022.
&&
$$
UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...AD
AVIATION...DWS
Source: PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 24, 8:41 PM CDT (https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202507250141-KPAH-FXUS63-AFDPAH)
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