The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 26, 5:58z for portions of IWX
643
WUUS01 KWNS 260600
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 AM CDT SAT JUL 26 2025
VALID TIME 261200Z - 271200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 49559489 48829474 47909436 46639490 45669653 45399772
44970036 46060140 47630059 48959927 49499874
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 49699492 48819477 48409457 47919438 47389426 45879666
45269848 44650091 46160215 48150064 48889955 49379841
0.05 40789292 41489248 42209079 42468962 42658587 42528400
42228323 41258325 40448356 39958482 39438878 39419065
40169245 40789292
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 49649493 48659479 47789339 47119252 46269258 45769512
45429684 45189814 44109983 43500028 42350043 40960051
39950076 39680117 39370164 39350258 39410321 40110379
40890399 42420384 43360444 44870574 45311023 44481298
44451486 46151457 47711108 48410819 48910608 48490394
49579893
0.05 36777487 37087587 37217701 38367941 39308083 39918196
40058291 39888524 39688726 39458879 39149110 39269245
39749284 40499285 41469217 42019093 42338958 42658627
42428237 42058030 41998017 41487859 41047726 40267592
39417499 39037469 38507429
0.15 46280351 47120054 47519879 47349664 46899621 46119648
45819756 45509874 44969993 44750059 44370217 44270274
44820374 45610396 46280351
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 44900380 45460398 46300356 47150063 47519883 47469762
47289651 46869616 46149635 45669811 45069961 44590091
44340266 44900380
MRGL 36747475 37087588 37217698 37857830 38337938 39348088
39908199 40068293 40008406 39438880 39149147 39299248
39929290 40619291 41359230 41959090 42238972 42658627
42418230 42078037 41047729 40297596 39607519 39427498
38477425
MRGL 49579492 48509484 47989369 47109244 46209254 45889395
45409687 45289772 44879880 44059979 43260026 42180029
40920050 39930080 39370163 39330259 39430323 40070377
40860397 42440384 43360444 44870574 45311023 44481298
44451486 46151457 47711108 48940604 48480408 49489925
TSTM 45837431 45097324 44517264 43657219 43057217 42577216
42107258 41667328 41337360 40897381 40607380 40147373
39507340 99999999 29478060 27838117 26648341 99999999
45069006 44349439 43209675 41739774 40279888 39379925
38709889 38489841 38559772 39039674 40529601 41869536
43609243 43969045 44008958 44028883 44538805 44938884
45069006 99999999 30870657 33500527 34690474 36710407
37720419 38450453 38960506 39470590 40190617 41380623
42040566 42700503 42960508 43100571 43170818 43430921
44231009 44341102 43441314 38931678 37441820 37251901
37281925 37581985 37671990 38042013 39682113 39792197
39402219 39492306 40432358 41542295 43402006 46851469
48221339 49521256
TSTM 32957865 32977891 33017927 33247962 33588028 34228128
34398180 34348260 34118322 33748376 33148410 32418420
31858373 31568285 31388204 31118113 30948064
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSW
2WX 25 WSW 2WX 35 E BHK 25 NNE BIS 40 N JMS 40 SSW GFK 30 NNE FAR 15
W DTL 50 WNW AXN 20 NE ABR 50 SE MBG 35 WNW PIR 25 NE RAP 50 SSW
2WX.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 E
ORF 20 NE ORF 25 SE RIC 20 SSE CHO 25 W SHD 30 E PKB ZZV CMH 10 NE
DAY 30 S DEC 45 ENE COU 35 NNW COU 20 SW IRK 40 NNW IRK 20 NNE OTM
30 SSW DBQ 30 W RFD 35 S MKG 30 ESE MTC 10 W ERI 25 SW IPT 35 SW ABE
20 S PHL 20 W ACY 70 E SBY.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE
RRT 40 SE RRT 45 SSW INL 20 NNW DLH 45 SSW DLH 25 NNE STC 25 WNW VVV
35 ESE ABR 45 SSW ABR 30 NW 9V9 30 NNE VTN 30 SSW ANW 15 SSE LBF 20
SSW MCK GLD 20 WNW ITR 25 ENE LIC 30 WSW AKO 50 ESE CYS 30 NNE TOR
65 NE DGW 35 NNW GCC 30 SSE LVM 35 W MQM 65 SW SMN 50 E P69 20 NE
GTF 55 NNE GGW 30 NW ISN 95 N DVL.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NNE MSS 45 N BTV
20 N MPV LEB 10 NNE EEN 25 SSE EEN 10 ESE BAF 30 E POU 25 SE POU 20
N JFK JFK 30 ENE NEL 60 SE NEL ...CONT... 35 NE DAB 15 NE AGR 75 SW
SRQ ...CONT... 25 WNW AUW 25 WNW MKT 25 S FSD 25 SW OFK 30 SSE EAR
30 E HLC 10 SSW RSL 35 SE RSL 15 SSW SLN 10 SSW MHK 35 WSW SDA 10 S
DNS 25 S RST 10 WNW VOK 35 E VOK 15 W OSH GRB 40 E AUW 25 WNW AUW
...CONT... 65 S ELP 15 E SRR 65 NE 4CR 25 E RTN 30 NNE TAD 10 N PUB
20 WNW COS 55 ENE ASE 55 NE EGE 30 W LAR 50 N LAR 20 ESE DGW 20 NE
DGW 30 NW DGW 15 ENE RIW 45 WNW RIW 55 NE JAC 25 SSE WEY 45 NW PIH
45 SSE U31 10 ENE BIH 35 WSW BIH 45 NE FAT 40 ENE MER 45 NE MER 55
NNE MER 70 ESE RBL 30 SSE RBL 50 S RBL 25 NNE UKI 35 SE EKA 35 WNW
MHS 55 WSW BNO 30 W MSO 40 E GPI 60 N CTB.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE CRE 50 S CRE
45 E CHS 35 NE CHS 35 ENE OGB 20 NNW CAE 40 SSE SPA 15 SSE AND 10
NNE AHN 30 WSW AHN 40 SSE ATL 40 WSW MCN 35 NE ABY 35 NW AYS 25 ENE
AYS 20 E SSI 50 ESE SSI.
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 26, 5:58z for portions of IWX (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2025/day1otlk_20250726_1200.html)
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