The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 3 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 18, 7:22z for portions of BOX
572
WUUS03 KWNS 180723
PTSDY3
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0222 AM CDT FRI JUL 18 2025
VALID TIME 201200Z - 211200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3
... ANY SEVERE ...
0.05 35007456 35307791 35648171 35868438 36698704 37729042
38319244 39279722 37930125 38240267 41430264 43610262
45070554 48080470 48790060 46199751 45119614 44479536
43009268 41218954 40758652 40388404 40408147 41237798
41567528 42937091 40856910
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 3
... CATEGORICAL ...
MRGL 35017459 35888434 38339243 39269718 37950131 38270271
43600260 45090557 48090474 48780065 44559546 41258957
40408417 40398162 41207803 41527550 42967095 40866910
TSTM 28989355 31109435 33529253 35439143 37149388 37349791
35380175 33120279 30620243 28430246 99999999 30731120
32121081 34171051 36340894 39470910 40051033 42201103
45391086 46710913 47970705 48860710 48711084 47911472
48061963 49202087 49902146 99999999 49729482 48509493
46089381 44089063 42968704 42168371 42487951 43167447
46426699
&&
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE
HSE 20 WNW TYS 25 SW JEF 30 WNW MHK 30 W GCK 15 N LAA 40 SE RAP 25
SSW 4BQ 35 NW SDY 45 NE MOT 20 W RWF 40 N PIA 35 N DAY 35 NNE ZZV 25
NNW UNV 15 NE AVP 10 SW PSM 55 ESE ACK.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SSE BPT 25 ESE LFK
25 NE ELD 25 SSE BVX 20 N UMN 35 SW ICT 10 N AMA 40 NE HOB 35 SE FST
115 S 6R6 ...CONT... 80 SW FHU 10 E TUS 30 WSW SOW 50 SW FMN 40 NW
GJT 40 NE PUC 55 WSW BPI 30 SW LVM 30 SE LWT 25 SW GGW 50 NNW GGW 50
WNW HVR 35 SW GPI 30 S OMK 80 NW OMK 90 NNE BLI ...CONT... 60 NNE
RRT 35 SSE RRT 25 SE BRD 20 WNW VOK 40 ENE RAC ARB 25 NNW JHW 45 NW
ALB 45 ENE HUL.
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 3 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 18, 7:22z for portions of BOX (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2025/day3otlk_20250718_0730.html)
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