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Emergency Information => Weather Info => Topic started by: ThreatWebInternal on July 21, 2025, 02:46:05 AM

Title: [Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at Jul 20, 5:59z for portions of LMK
Post by: ThreatWebInternal on July 21, 2025, 02:46:05 AM
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at Jul 20, 5:59z for portions of LMK

555 
WUUS01 KWNS 200601
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1259 AM CDT SUN JUL 20 2025

VALID TIME 201200Z - 211200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   43880100 45320170 46490162 47260069 47359923 46659809
       45229759 44419778 43539927 43880100
0.02   38858825 39449032 39669118 39939215 40799210 40999131
       40688829 40148506 39658356 39378301 38588329 37838476
       38218586 38858825
0.02   42777456 44697151 44917034 44626946 43847021 42777107
       41537230 41117339 41457445 42237537 42777456
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   42186904 41297153 40477469 40897720 41747728 42187674
       43527347 44617147 44957026 44606939 42186904
0.05   43200199 44770432 44740706 45190842 46050880 46880834
       47390590 47890424 49020339 49010030 48089715 46919597
       45379492 41669717 41329746 38229969 37790194 37980282
       38750389 41430240 43200199
0.05   39679125 40079206 40779187 40949131 40568832 40138552
       39538356 38968347 38588441 38558585 38988837 39328990
       39679125
0.15   44359787 43509922 43790099 45350179 46580172 47310092
       47469941 46839796 45319755 44359787
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   35937479 35817837 35868163 36688662 38189191 38989722
       37949970 37620195 38130341 38800384 41360245 43150182
       44150318 44750415 44830708 45310841 46260864 46890829
       47250610 47830414 49030329 49040044 48049727 45699452
       44639413 43849512 43159592 42629581 42409522 42089230
       41538945 41248814 40898687 40458362 40998013 41787850
       42417725 43077574 44357290 45217037 45556868 45876664
0.15   42176914 41097201 40507471 41067584 42047624 43527307
       44177128 43967045 42966967 42176914
0.15   46719792 45349755 44419778 44019909 44500086 45450154
       46580168 47310092 47499937 46719792
0.15   37228270 37458407 38668781 38998896 39338997 39878992
       40588873 40168555 38968212 38468132 37898111 37488148
       37228270
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   39878992 40588873 40168555 38968212 38468132 37898111
       37488148 37228270 37458407 39338997 39878992
SLGT   42146922 41097201 40507471 41067584 42047624 43527307
       44177128 43967045 42976968
SLGT   46580172 47310092 47499937 46839796 45319755 44419778
       43509922 43790099 45350179 46580172
MRGL   35937492 35817837 35868163 36688662 38189191 38989722
       37949970 37620195 38130341 38640374 38750389 41360245
       43200199 44750430 44740706 45190842 46050880 46880834
       47390590 47890424 49020339 49010030 48089715 47059611
       45699452 44639413 43159592 42629581 42409522 42089230
       41538945 40898687 40458362 40998013 42417725 44357290
       45217037 45816700
TSTM   29029400 30569467 31229402 31539244 31739060 30968896
       29758840 29368815 99999999 28458357 29708252 31188274
       31748357 32428578 33088818 33979049 34179090 34839228
       35189262 35699247 35969158 35888950 36308800 36798812
       37228942 37639263 37649593 37269752 34710140 32280159
       29210125 99999999 31051263 32951291 34161278 35491353
       38381343 39241549 40091603 40921474 41391360 41911138
       41930945 41250831 40800622 40660431 40770337 41670272
       42980250 43660328 43970757 44170969 44221183 44071262
       44181327 45221317 46131189 47430927 48470910 48711083
       48651484 48051874 48232088 49552152 99999999 49729700
       48599484 46089381 43719268 42378969 41448473 41488142
       43217818 44647455 45617262

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W
SPI 15 NE BMI 10 SW MIE 20 SSE UNI 15 ENE CRW 10 N BKW 20 NW BLF 45
ESE JKL 25 N LOZ 30 N ALN 15 W SPI.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 ENE
HYA 15 S GON 15 NNE TTN 20 SSW AVP 15 SW BGM RUT MWN 25 NNW PWM 55
SE PWM.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW
BIS 35 SE N60 50 SSW DVL 35 E JMS 35 NW ATY 20 E HON 20 SSE 9V9 35
ESE PHP 45 SSE Y22 50 WSW BIS.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NE
HSE 25 E RDU 15 NW HKY 25 SSW BWG 10 WNW VIH 25 ENE SLN 20 NE DDC 45
N EHA 10 NE LHX 45 NNW LHX 40 SSW LIC 35 ENE SNY 60 ENE CDR 65 ENE
GCC SHR 40 S BIL 20 NW BIL 55 ESE LWT 50 SSW OLF 15 N SDY 60 N ISN
70 NE MOT 10 N GFK 20 NW DTL 25 WNW STC 30 NNW MKT 40 SSW OTG 30 W
SLB 15 S SLB 35 WNW CID 40 WNW MMO 35 N LAF 40 S FDY 30 SSW FKL 25
NW ELM 15 SE BTV 55 NE BML 45 ESE HUL.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE GLS 45 S LFK
45 E LFK 10 NW ESF 40 NNW MCB 40 N GPT 60 SE GPT 75 E BVE ...CONT...
65 NW PIE 15 W GNV 20 WSW AYS 40 ENE ABY 25 WSW AUO 35 WSW TCL 40 NW
GWO 50 N GLH 10 NNW LIT 25 E RUE 35 S FLP 15 NNE BVX 10 SW DYR 40 SW
HOP 35 WNW HOP 10 E CGI 30 WSW TBN 25 W CNU 30 S ICT 40 SSE AMA BGS
25 WSW DRT ...CONT... 125 SW TUS 10 W GBN 40 SSW PRC 30 NE IGM 25 W
MLF 30 SE P68 40 N P68 40 WNW ENV 50 NNE ENV 45 NNW EVW 30 NW RKS 45
ESE RKS 45 SW LAR 40 ENE FCL 30 SW SNY 25 S AIA 30 ENE CDR 30 SSW
RAP 20 E WRL 40 SW COD 35 SE MQM 40 SSW MQM 55 WSW MQM 30 W DLN 30
ENE BTM 30 NNE LWT 30 E HVR 50 WNW HVR 35 NW GPI 45 SE OMK 65 WSW
OMK 70 NE BLI ...CONT... 65 N HCO 35 SE RRT 25 SE BRD 15 SSW RST 30
WNW RFD 40 NE FWA 20 E CLE 25 WNW ROC 25 SE MSS 55 NNW EFK.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at Jul 20, 5:59z for portions of LMK (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2025/day1otlk_20250720_1200.html)

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