Storm Prediction Center issues Mesoscale Discussion #1685 concerning SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY [watch prob: 20%] [Most Prob: Gust: UP TO 60 MPH]
687
ACUS11 KWNS 161741
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161740
OHZ000-WVZ000-KYZ000-161945-
Mesoscale Discussion 1685
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1240 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Areas affected...Central/Southern OH into Far Northern KY
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 161740Z - 161945Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Increasing thunderstorm coverage is expected across
central/southern Ohio and far northern Kentucky this afternoon.
Isolated damaging gusts are possible with a few of these
thunderstorm clusters.
DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm coverage is expected to increase across
central/southern OH and far northern KY over the next few hours as
the well-defined MCV currently over far southeast IN progresses
northeastward into the moist and destabilizing downstream airmass.
Deep-layer flow across the region is modest, resulting in a
predominantly multicellular storm mode. However, some enhanced
low/mid-level southwesterlies will accompany the MCV, which could
contribute to a few loosely organized, northeastward-progressing
clusters capable of isolated damaging gusts. Limited severe coverage
is expected to preclude the need for watch.
..Mosier/Smith.. 07/16/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...LMK...IWX...
LAT...LON 40048474 40848401 41008225 40288168 38668224 38128386
38938467 40048474
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
Source: Storm Prediction Center issues Mesoscale Discussion #1685 concerning SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY [watch prob: 20%] [Most Prob: Gust: UP TO 60 MPH] (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2025/md1685.html)
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