The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 11, 17:29z for portions of PAH
478
WUUS02 KWNS 111730
PTSDY2
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1229 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2025
VALID TIME 121200Z - 131200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2
... TORNADO ...
0.02 44418151 43378290 42958378 43368485 44418462 46648327
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 31200689 33290678 35660666 38220648 39560608 39890519
39610402 38190363 36810306 35930256 34800139 34369997
35239824 36319803 37209723 37699588 38449338 39969096
41068997 41878985 43418983 45449002 47028977 48478946
99999999 42808066 40308151 38318374 36458954 34989337
33539630 32499778 31539923 30260096 29330188
0.15 30030507 32750358 33080268 33070172 32370127 30610191
28940249
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 42808066 40308151 38318374 36518953 34989337 33559632
31749890 30429964 28900163 99999999 31200689 33290678
35660666 38220648 39560608 39890519 39630403 38680372
37670225 37440021 37509816 37839606 38449338 39969096
41068997 41878985 43418983 45449002 47028977 48478946
0.15 42408189 41628238 40398341 40028490 40378573 42278528
43548484 44528454 46658331
0.15 29820528 32750358 33110266 33070172 32350127 28780253
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 42408189 41628238 40398341 40028490 40378573 42278528
44448461 46408349
SLGT 29940518 32750358 33110266 33050165 32320133 29390233
MRGL 42808066 40308151 38318374 34989337 33559632 31859881
30479955 28950163 99999999 31290689 38220648 39560608
39890519 39630403 38680372 37670225 37440021 37509816
37839606 38449338 39969096 41068997 41878985 43418983
45449002 48478946
TSTM 46617055 44407060 42467193 41597294 40547413 39337502
38567596 37757616 36457500 99999999 27629588 27689786
29009936 28580098 99999999 31021059 32440986 33291003
34241128 34831142 35031025 34910943 36440872 38140877
40350796 41420628 41640465 41130286 40260248 39590218
39250129 39049984 39269682 41049421 42599256 45419182
47239211 49119383
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE
MTC 30 WNW CLE 40 NW CMH 30 ESE MIE 20 WNW MIE 15 ENE AZO HTL 40 E
ANJ.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 WSW
MRF 20 WNW HOB 45 NE HOB 45 SSE LBB 10 NE BGS 45 S 6R6.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNW
ERI 30 NE ZZV 50 ENE LEX 25 SW RUE 25 ESE GYI 10 ENE BWD 15 ESE JCT
50 WSW DRT ...CONT... 45 SW ELP 30 SE GUC 45 E EGE 20 WNW DEN 30 NW
LIC 40 S LIC 35 NE SPD 25 SSW DDC 25 ENE P28 35 WNW CNU 20 SSE SZL
15 E UIN 30 NNW PIA 45 NE MLI 20 NE LNR 30 WSW RHI 65 NE GNA.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 120 W CAR 35 ESE BML
15 N ORH 30 SW BDL 10 S EWR 25 WSW ACY 30 WNW SBY 40 SSE NHK 65 E
ECG ...CONT... 80 SSE PSX 10 ESE ALI 25 SSW HDO 55 S DRT ...CONT...
40 SSW FHU 30 SSW SAD 40 NW SAD 65 SSW INW 25 SSE FLG 25 E INW 55 NE
SOW 35 SW FMN 55 WSW MTJ 25 WSW CAG 35 WNW LAR 35 NNE CYS SNY 40 E
AKO 25 NNE ITR 25 ESE GLD 25 S HLC 10 NW MHK 35 NNW LWD 10 WNW ALO
40 NNW EAU 30 N DLH 40 NNW INL.
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 11, 17:29z for portions of PAH (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2025/day2otlk_20250711_1730.html)
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