MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 4, 12:15 AM CDT ...New Aviation, Discussion, Marine...
551
FXUS64 KMOB 040515
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1215 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025
...New Aviation, Discussion, Marine...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Upper ridging remains dominant over the south-central CONUS through
the weekend while upper troughing across the far eastern CONUS
persists. Our forecast area remains between these two features
today before a cutoff upper low/trough retrogrades west this
weekend into early next week over the forecast area. A dry, hot
airmass remains in place with only isolated showers and storms
returning to areas southeast of the I-65 corridor this afternoon
into early evening with more typical afternoon scattered showers
and storms becoming established this weekend into next week as
better moisture returns to the area. Hot temperatures can be
expected each day with highs topping out in the lower to middle
90's and overnight lows in the lower to middle 70's. Heat indices
will generally stay below heat advisory criteria in the 95 to 105
range, perhaps sneaking to near advisory criteria by the middle
of next week in the 100 to 107 range. A Low risk of rip currents
remains through the weekend and early next week. MM/25
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025
VFR flight category prevails for all locations today outside of
any isolated showers or storms that develop this afternoon along
and southeast of the I-65 corridor. Winds remain out of the north
around 5 knots. MM/25
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025
No impacts are expected other than locally higher winds and seas
possible near thunderstorms. A light diurnal flow pattern this
weekend becomes a light to occasionally moderate southwesterly to
westerly flow for next week. MM/25
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 72 94 73 94 73 92 72 92 / 0 10 10 50 20 50 20 60
Pensacola 75 94 76 93 75 91 76 91 / 0 20 20 50 30 60 20 60
Destin 78 94 79 94 78 91 78 91 / 0 30 20 50 40 60 30 60
Evergreen 70 95 71 95 70 94 71 94 / 0 20 10 20 10 30 10 50
Waynesboro 70 94 70 95 71 95 70 95 / 0 0 0 20 10 30 10 40
Camden 69 93 71 93 71 93 72 93 / 0 10 0 20 10 20 10 40
Crestview 70 95 72 94 71 93 72 93 / 0 30 10 50 20 60 20 70
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
Source: MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 4, 12:15 AM CDT ...New Aviation, Discussion, Marine... (https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202507040515-KMOB-FXUS64-AFDMOB)
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