The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 30, 19:50z for portions of IWX
010
WUUS01 KWNS 301951
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0250 PM CDT FRI MAY 30 2025
VALID TIME 302000Z - 311200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 33857794 32977953 31968113 31578280 31858403 32158449
32648467 33058416 33768293 34498196 34958150 36558070
38558037 39627978 40097893 40397707 40677590 41007501
40837461 40527410 40157380 36927578 35477542 34847680
33967785 33857794
0.05 35558052 37098027 40017713 40167659 40377574 40497526
40577490 40497459 40347440 40097423 39837425 37877535
36357742 35827828 35297935 35287999 35558052
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 43338716 42258705 41778697 41408718 41218792 41338875
41858929 42758961 43968963 44608942 45378858 45628756
45308708 44128726 43338716
0.05 29039436 29789441 30359343 31009161 31718903 32158669
32628541 33088407 33838297 34858166 35878114 37568032
39157889 40477661 40627612 40727575 40937519 40987504
40967487 40807457 40597419 40307388 40047340 99999999
29738001 29218204 28788385
0.05 31390702 33000620 35450570 36270511 35980445 33670319
30240553
0.15 34817868 34838080 35198132 36908053 39207753 39137605
38677563 37817571 36677656 36067709 34817868
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 28999436 29809438 30249363 31039151 31898820 32358623
33258407 34258260 35208172 36438107 38608047 39117995
40327747 40497660 40667590 40837545 40967507 40987497
40937487 40817460 40527408 40047355 99999999 27397943
27068353
0.05 31470698 32960622 35450570 36270512 35960443 33680318
30070562
0.05 40348737 40838840 41858930 42768962 43978964 44618942
44968871 44968834 44728801 44118725 42488707 41028664
40728664 40348737
0.15 31178062 30788382 30738526 30958620 31728669 32018654
32408573 32988426 33768305 34848168 36368083 37408033
38237994 39257886 40007713 40297605 40487517 40557490
40547472 40497458 40207426 40007421 39797354
0.30 32488322 32898310 33418274 34288188 35218044 35917961
36307910 36227793 35297736 34247818 33747876 33177947
32508051 32118141 32488322
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
ENH 35297736 34247818 33747876 33177947 32508051 32118141
32488322 32898310 33418274 34288188 35218044 35917961
36307910 36227793 35297736
SLGT 31128051 30788382 30738526 30958620 31728669 32018654
32408573 32988426 33768305 34848168 36368083 37408033
38237994 39247885 39907726 40017713 40167659 40367574
40487526 40577490 40497459 40347440 39817362
MRGL 45308708 44128726 44128726 44118725 43798722 43338716
42488707 41028664 40728664 40348737 40838840 41858930
42768962 43978964 44618942 44618941 45378858 45628756
45308708
MRGL 31360702 32980622 35150576 35450570 36270511 35960443
33670318 32670389 30400553
MRGL 29079437 29809438 30359343 31009161 31718903 31838843
31898820 32358623 33258407 34258260 35208172 36438107
38608047 39627978 40097893 40367725 40447688 40647603
40717581 40897530 40947515 41007501 40977494 40967487
40877470 40837461 40687435 40587418 40527408 40147353
99999999 27377975 27228148 27098299
TSTM 47186710 47026870 46507058 45557201 44717370 44317537
43797684 42707805 42117816 41757795 42137636 42857526
43547346 43617217 43236999 43046913 99999999 49380110
46859960 45169865 43809859 42539906 42020013 41620166
41150230 39570212 38480185 37990100 37939993 37649923
37099893 35959901 34889967 33820063 33330160 32770154
31690113 30919998 31109894 32618652 33468485 34168460
34708483 35528571 36748728 39928931 43829179 44669240
45489252 46769224 47359113 47219008 46728869 46568733
46788663 47498507 99999999 31020971 33050975 35600925
36910945 38590956 39930904 41540855 43030766 43780648
44480618 45090632 45980627 46690648 48130675 49550680
&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW
EWN 15 W ILM 10 ENE CRE 35 ENE CHS 40 SW CHS 10 W SAV 30 ESE MCN 35
ENE MCN 45 W AGS 45 S SPA 30 E CLT 20 SE GSO 25 SE DAN 20 SW RZZ 25
NW EWN.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 E
SSI 20 S MGR 10 SSW MAI 20 ENE CEW 30 NE GZH 20 SSW MGM 25 SW AUO 40
WNW MCN 20 SE AHN 15 ESE SPA 55 WNW GSO 20 WNW ROA 35 NE SSU 50 WSW
MRB 30 ENE HGR 20 SW CXY 15 ESE CXY 25 SW ABE 15 SE ABE 20 NNW TTN
20 NE TTN 20 N NEL 40 ESE NEL.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S
ESC 20 E MTW 20 E MTW 20 E MTW 35 SE MTW 45 NE MKE 40 NW BEH 35 SSE
VPZ 25 NE LAF 15 NE DNV 35 NE BMI 25 SSW RFD 30 SSW MSN 30 E VOK 15
SE CWA 15 SE CWA 40 SW IMT 25 WSW ESC 30 S ESC.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW
ELP 10 NW ALM 35 SSE SAF 25 ESE SAF 45 N LVS 45 ENE LVS 50 S CVS 30
NE CNM 90 W MRF.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE
GLS 25 WSW BPT 20 NW LCH 45 SSW HEZ 25 NE PIB 40 SSE MEI 45 SE MEI
10 ENE MGM 35 SE ATL 20 SSE AND 25 NE SPA 50 NNE HKY 40 WSW EKN 10
ESE MGW 30 ESE LBE 25 WNW CXY 15 N CXY 30 W ABE 20 WNW ABE 20 NNE
ABE 25 NE ABE 30 NE ABE 35 NE ABE 35 NE ABE 30 WNW EWR 25 WNW EWR 10
W EWR 10 S EWR 15 SSE EWR 35 SSE JFK ...CONT... 45 ESE VRB 30 SSW
AGR 35 SW SRQ.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE CAR 35 WNW CAR
125 W CAR 45 NNE EFK 30 WNW BTV 40 ENE ART 45 WSW ART 35 SW ROC 30
NE BFD 35 E BFD 20 WSW BGM 20 SSE UCA 15 NNE GFL LEB 35 SSE PWM 75
SE PWM ...CONT... 75 N MOT 45 W JMS 25 SSW ABR 30 W MHE 20 WNW ONL
40 SSW ANW 40 SW MHN 35 E SNY 25 NNE ITR 55 ENE LAA 15 WNW GCK 10
NNE DDC 40 ESE DDC 25 SW P28 45 NNE CSM 30 NW LTS 45 SSW CDS 25 SSE
LBB 40 N BGS 40 SSE BGS 30 NNW JCT 50 S BWD 25 NNW MGM 25 WSW ATL 35
ESE RMG 30 SE CHA 45 NW CHA 10 NE CKV 20 ENE SPI 25 W LSE 45 ESE MSP
55 NE MSP DLH 15 NE BFW 40 SSE GNA 35 SSW CMX 10 E MQT 50 ENE MQT 80
NNW ANJ ...CONT... 30 SSW DUG 15 NNW SAD 25 WNW GUP 45 S 4BL 15 SE
CNY 45 SE VEL 25 E RKS 40 E RIW 60 N CPR 35 WNW GCC 40 NE SHR 35 SSW
MLS 35 WNW MLS 10 SW GGW 90 N GGW.
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 30, 19:50z for portions of IWX (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2025/day1otlk_20250530_2000.html)
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