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Emergency Information => Weather Info => Topic started by: ThreatWebInternal on June 03, 2025, 08:23:01 AM

Title: [Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 29, 5:59z for portions of LIX
Post by: ThreatWebInternal on June 03, 2025, 08:23:01 AM
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 29, 5:59z for portions of LIX

267 
WUUS01 KWNS 290601
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1259 AM CDT THU MAY 29 2025

VALID TIME 291200Z - 301200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   33539093 34889303 36929345 37689001 37778867 37278766
       36568739 35048753 34318871 34088934 33539093
0.02   33890164 33119854 32169709 31559706 30999767 30939933
       31180082 31580214 32020290 32600342 33320338 33740319
       33890164
0.02   28749230 29969070 30958884 31148731 30978587 29188440
0.02   30898161 31388244 32518232 33208194 33468125 33788057
       33627971 33217946 32757986 32378023 32088060 31338118
       30768130 30898161
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   27829585 28349799 28050091 99999999 30810638 32500584
       34710606 36610534 37190504 37430453 37110383 36140314
       35000252 34830140 35159938 35899591 36269494 36899401
       37439136 37698958 37718865 37188758 36558753 34988768
       33998830 33668997 33449114 33029196 31529411 30919421
       30839360 31299105 32058712 33078426 34368149 34667945
       33477614 99999999 27227922 27608112 28298220 28308358
0.15   31660291 32560343 33750332 33990177 33189859 32209717
       31639704 30939759 30539910 30650134 31660291
SIGN   33970171 33159860 32149722 31639719 30919764 30549911
       30650135 31620287 32560342 33310338 33760328 33970171
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   27227949 27568105 28298211 28278355 99999999 27829587
       28369799 28120066 99999999 30540645 32470581 33530587
       34810595 36610534 37200505 37430452 37110380 36110312
       35490278 34980251 34900191 34840138 35060000 35139933
       35479785 35869596 36349476 36929400 37759018 37868873
       37298755 36758735 34938755 34148714 33598520 34578282
       36487996 36307355
0.15   31680291 32540345 33310339 33750335 33960177 33199861
       32189716 31629704 30919760 30549910 30660135 31680291
0.15   30048078 30188149 30578259 30848349 31468383 31888352
       33438233 34168064 33777890 33317758
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   30048078 30188149 30848349 31468383 33438233 34168064
       33777890 33327761
SLGT   33750335 33990177 33189859 32209717 31629704 30919760
       30539910 30650134 31660291 32540345 33750335
MRGL   27227950 27568105 28298220 28278347 99999999 27939628
       28349799 28080064 99999999 30990632 32500584 34710606
       37200505 37430453 37110380 36110312 35000252 34840138
       35159938 35899591 36289491 36929400 37759018 37868873
       37298755 36758735 34938755 34148714 33598520 34578282
       36487996 36347511
TSTM   49370844 47810894 45820895 44150834 43190780 42450717
       42170663 42140589 41860527 41230472 40070411 38930365
       38170299 37470197 37270053 37369876 37739796 39129758
       40779856 41919919 43789826 45479585 46209326 45969116
       45549075 44289036 42558987 41168843 40608743 40238561
       40038425 39598278 39178174 38318014 38287883 39757671
       40207544 40347399 40267219 99999999 31370734 32960775
       33960791 35110764 35840729 36880767 37460856 37870918
       37931015 37631210 37821257 38421285 38951272 39591283
       40381303 40651339 40731393 40811496 41211630 41641692
       42561726 43781745 45501749 47651858 49552023

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E
SGJ 15 NNW SGJ 15 WNW VLD 20 ESE ABY 20 WNW AGS 30 ENE CAE CRE 70
SSE ILM.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S
CVS 15 SSW PVW 40 NW MWL 40 N ACT 10 E ACT 20 SSW TPL 40 E JCT 65 NE
6R6 20 ESE INK 15 SW HOB 45 S CVS.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NE
PBI 20 ESE AGR 40 NE PIE 55 WNW PIE ...CONT... 55 S PSX 20 W NIR 80
WNW LRD ...CONT... 55 S ELP 30 SSE ALM 40 SE ABQ 40 W TAD 15 NW TAD
30 ESE TAD 25 S CAO 50 WSW AMA 35 SE AMA 15 SW CSM 20 S TUL 25 SSW
GMJ UMN 15 E FAM 30 E MDH 35 SW OWB 10 NE HOP 15 NNE MSL 40 SSW HSV
35 E ANB AND 25 N GSO 60 E ECG.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 NE HVR 60 NNE LWT
20 W BIL 20 NW WRL 35 ENE RIW 45 N RWL 40 NE RWL 50 SSW DGW 45 NNE
LAR CYS 45 ENE DEN 25 S LIC 20 WNW LAA 35 N EHA 30 ENE LBL 10 WNW
P28 25 SSW HUT 25 N SLN 15 NNW HSI 10 NNW BUB 10 W MHE 30 ENE VVV 45
ESE BRD 40 SSW ASX 60 NE EAU 25 N VOK 45 W JVL 20 SE MMO 30 WNW LAF
10 W MIE 10 N DAY 30 S CMH 20 SW PKB 40 NNE SSU SHD 35 SSE CXY 25
NNW PHL 25 SSW JFK 60 SE ISP ...CONT... 65 WSW ELP 35 NE SVC 60 W
ONM 15 ESE GNT 25 WSW 4SL 20 SSE DRO 10 NNE CEZ 25 NE 4BL 40 NE U17
BCE 25 WNW BCE 10 E MLF 30 SSW U24 20 NW U24 15 NNW DPG 35 E ENV ENV
45 E EKO 40 NW EKO 45 WSW OWY 30 E REO 65 WNW BOI 50 NNE BKE 50 W
GEG 80 NNW OMK.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 29, 5:59z for portions of LIX (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2025/day1otlk_20250529_1200.html)

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