The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 31, 15:59z for portions of LMK
741
WUUS01 KWNS 311600
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1059 AM CDT SAT MAY 31 2025
VALID TIME 311630Z - 011200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 36699939 37279917 37649835 37909733 38049567 37879539
36659535 35319572 34019608 33759693 33799837 34219871
34629904 35979939 36699939
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 33837662 34507765 35567925 36388079 36208288 37088484
37478516 37688510 38158416 38118227 37337996 37497886
38787813 39317731 39487661 39667589 39307254
0.05 37389256 34629491 33539525 33059580 32909653 33749880
32940057 32810149 33150170 35400031 36419999 37459996
38619871 39229769 41449712 41769624 41009509 39799422
38559202 37389256
0.15 33729705 33789844 34619914 35899940 36829940 37309923
37679844 37959731 37999586 37859565 36319549 35189579
34159605 33729705
0.15 36147399 36837599 37367641 39177666 39467592 39177321
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 25337962 25408042 25938172 26408206 26648164 27427924
0.05 33527630 35577927 36358076 36198290 37178490 37448515
37708510 38128417 38108203 38168076 39347993 39607925
40367484 40247323
0.05 33579521 33049579 32889655 33769877 32910060 32810151
33190170 35440023 36470002 37480000 38649868 39209758
39629567 39679426 38819348 37779359 36579413 34869490
34289509 33579521
0.15 33729708 33799842 34569912 35819936 36759939 37319921
37709841 37969732 38029582 37839561 36359549 35239572
34079615 33729708
0.15 36197417 36877601 37347641 39157665 39507591 39197326
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 36829940 37309923 37709841 37969732 38029582 37839561
36319549 34999580 34099611 33729705 33789844 34569912
35899940 36829940
SLGT 36287434 36867603 37337640 39157665 39487593 39257372
MRGL 25337962 25408042 25938172 26418207 26658165 27447915
MRGL 35410025 36460000 37479995 38649868 39239769 41459712
41789626 41039508 39779417 38559203 37449252 34619491
33569525 33039581 32919662 33759882 32920058 32790150
33140169 35410025
MRGL 34067702 35757956 36378079 36238290 37108485 37448516
37698509 38138417 38118215 38168076 39347993 39607925
40367484 40247323
TSTM 31410725 32110730 32330777 32690876 33290937 34090928
35030865 35760817 36390811 37240919 37920905 38710793
39820745 41360708 41810632 41650518 40530410 40050341
39680258 38970168 38320114 38040008 38329923 38829864
39569874 41500021 42870016 43659883 43439716 40699403
39549184 38889034 37868956 37178974 36429098 35839170
34999264 34609424 33099536 32819617 32849693 33109764
33459826 33629885 33289952 32910001 32680080 32630153
32510216 32330271 32110335 31650345 31140279 30560217
30510140 30730089 30960002 30869906 30469840 29819814
29269807 29009783 28859729 29099673 29499589 29339536
28449506 99999999 28428353 28498336 28498299 28498263
28498230 28508187 28538134 28738094 28978071 29188051
29508028 99999999 33727696 35347944 35888023 36118068
36168102 36148185 36028292 36088424 36578509 37308537
37818516 38178437 38318296 38528158 38988085 39558021
39767911 40307777 40737644 40917446 41347363 41997360
42567360 43197336 44297296 45067223 45597212 99999999
35611895 36741979 37952063 38702058 39132006 39221928
38991844 38791791 38881741 39261701 39471636 39541553
39571457 39341367 38941321 38751276 38821184 38801123
38611087 38081056 37571066 37091091 36901114 36601119
36131115 35591098 34951092 34561118 34261167 34321251
34791284 35391309 36451322 37081352 37621428 37721552
37851614 37911680 37641732 36641764 36071759 35451796
35331834 35321874 35611895
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W
AVK 35 W P28 30 NNE P28 20 NNE ICT 30 SE EMP 15 NNW CNU 25 ENE TUL
MLC 20 ENE DUA 20 W GYI 15 SSE SPS 10 SE LTS 40 NNW CSM 40 W AVK.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 NE
HSE 10 ESE ORF 30 NNW ORF BWI 25 SW ILG 50 ESE ACY.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SE
MIA 30 SSW MIA 15 S APF 15 SW FMY 15 ENE FMY 80 NE PBI.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 W
CSM 65 SE LBL 20 S DDC 15 SSE RSL 20 S CNK 10 E OLU TQE 25 NE SDA 30
W CDJ JEF 30 SW TBN 35 SSW RKR 10 ESE PRX 45 SSW PRX 15 ENE DAL 25
SW SPS 65 NW ABI 40 N BGS 35 SSE LBB 60 W CSM.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE
ILM 30 SE GSO 50 WNW GSO 25 NNW HSS 45 W LOZ 50 SW LEX 35 SW LEX 25
ENE LEX 30 SE HTS 35 NE BKW 20 S MGW 35 E MGW TTN 40 S ISP.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WSW ELP 25 ESE DMN
DMN 35 W SVC 35 NNE SAD 45 ESE SOW 35 SSE GUP 40 ENE GUP 25 SSE FMN
30 SE 4BL 35 NE 4BL 15 N MTJ 30 WNW EGE 30 SSE RWL 45 E RWL 35 NE
LAR 50 E FCL 15 SW AKO 35 NNW ITR 25 S GLD 35 NW GCK 20 NNW DDC 45
SSW RSL 10 ESE RSL 50 N RSL 30 W BBW 20 E VTN 25 ESE 9V9 25 WSW FSD
10 NW LWD 45 SW UIN 10 N STL 20 WNW MDH 10 WSW CGI 20 N ARG 10 NNW
BVX 30 NW LIT 35 SE RKR 40 S PRX 40 E DAL DAL 25 NW FTW 40 SSE SPS
30 SW SPS 60 N ABI 40 NNW ABI 50 NE BGS 30 N BGS 40 N MAF 40 SE HOB
25 NNW INK 15 WSW INK 15 NNE FST 35 N 6R6 60 NE 6R6 50 SSW SJT 35
NNW JCT 50 ENE JCT 45 WNW AUS 10 NW BAZ 30 SE SAT 45 NNW NIR 25 W
VCT 20 NE VCT 35 NW LBX 15 NNE LBX 55 SSE LBX ...CONT... 60 NW PIE
55 NW PIE 45 NNW PIE 40 N PIE 45 NNE PIE 35 W ORL ORL 25 ENE ORL 25
SE DAB 30 E DAB 50 ENE DAB ...CONT... 65 SE ILM 10 NNW SOP 20 SW GSO
40 W GSO 35 NNE HKY 40 SE TRI 10 NNW HSS 20 NW TYS 45 N CSV 60 ENE
BWG 35 WSW LEX 15 NE LEX 20 W HTS 10 N CRW 40 SE PKB 15 WSW MGW 40
SSE LBE 30 E AOO 40 NNE CXY 20 NW EWR 25 SSE POU 30 NNE POU 15 SE
ALB 15 SE GFL 15 SE BTV 10 N EFK 50 N EFK ...CONT... 15 NNE BFL FAT
35 E SCK 35 WSW TVL 15 N TVL 35 SE RNO 40 SSE NFL 60 SW U31 45 SSW
U31 20 SE U31 20 W P68 25 E P68 25 NE ELY 60 W U24 35 NNW MLF 25 NNE
MLF 55 SE U24 40 NW 4HV 15 NW 4HV 25 SSE 4HV U17 30 ENE PGA 15 E PGA
25 SSE PGA 55 SSE PGA 40 NNW INW 15 WSW INW 40 SW INW 50 ESE PRC 25
SSW PRC 25 WNW PRC 50 ENE IGM 50 SSE SGU SGU 15 E P38 55 W P38 55
ESE TPH 20 SE TPH 35 SSW TPH 65 SE BIH 25 N NID 20 SW NID 40 NW EDW
20 ESE BFL 15 NNE BFL.
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 31, 15:59z for portions of LMK (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2025/day1otlk_20250531_1630.html)
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