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Emergency Information => Weather Info => Topic started by: ThreatWebInternal on May 05, 2025, 09:47:18 AM

Title: [Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Enhanced Convective Risk at May 2, 5:39z for portions of LIX
Post by: ThreatWebInternal on May 05, 2025, 09:47:18 AM
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Enhanced Convective Risk at May 2, 5:39z for portions of LIX

400 
WUUS01 KWNS 020541
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1239 AM CDT FRI MAY 02 2025

VALID TIME 021200Z - 031200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   32138961 29609459 28759793 28740009 29550107 30220241
       30710152 31599891 32159651 34269224 38078622 39128485
       38638284 37708220 35578389 33658593 32138961
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   28920267 31050340 32500115 33159975 34129690 35839435
       35899106 40118436 40858318 42097945 43767474 43827331
       43397238 42317239 40857418 39327810 34158404 32528682
       30718812 28489034
0.15   28870210 30090259 30970032 32219785 34009368 34699143
       37388733 39038497 40588262 40407999 38878129 35998567
       33208880 32119162 30589287 29439442 29069665 28409822
       28080066
0.30   29880090 30869913 32119670 32649487 31899386 30909474
       28919823 28650034 29880090
SIGN   30979463 28919828 28670033 29740136 29920183 30340107
       30809920 32119675 32639490 31909384 30979463
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   28860269 30960340 32640092 34109690 35869422 35919096
       38188740 40828326 43067667 43757497 43877326 43387245
       42357244 40807418 39297813 36258004 35078132 32538387
       31868451 31298529 30568622 29488703
0.15   28960210 29650239 30100260 31290034 32879891 33709450
       34739142 37188763 38648559 40588259 40457996 38637982
       35578171 34568343 32488677 30248850 28559027
0.30   30699947 32109668 32579504 34279123 35628807 38818426
       38428342 37908328 36578411 33998544 33518610 32808792
       32208951 30159352 29509471 28759805 28700009 29950093
       30699947
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    30699947 32089672 32599506 33449305 34928974 35638816
       36768678 38828430 38398335 37908325 36508411 34128534
       33568595 32168962 30649257 29499473 29399551 28759803
       28710008 29910100 30699947
SLGT   28920204 30130265 31280031 32869891 33739449 34679152
       37708682 38938512 40618256 40467994 38617980 35588174
       32528677 30488833 28499032
MRGL   28920267 30920345 32660094 34109690 35829434 35909100
       38288721 40828323 42837730 43767479 43877330 43357242
       42327243 40917413 39347807 36278004 34408203 32998343
       31908444 30978572 30548622 29488706
TSTM   29270462 30280456 31090487 31800584 32240765 32920898
       33371039 33601173 33901322 34261428 34831506 35301556
       35481639 35441702 35311728 34591789 34331869 34411962
       34781999 35321990 35891964 36731982 37672036 38702105
       39342162 39422314 39692343 40032357 43412241 45172215
       45722135 46032069 46121981 45781909 45061845 43671784
       41491715 39861693 38251665 37281607 36771545 36781436
       37021313 36871156 37010984 37480896 37980778 38070675
       37840562 37150496 36000420 35060355 34540218 34660136
       34940028 35479933 36489866 37499866 38729911 40539972
       42209999 43129985 43509903 43289760 42879656 42009496
       41109400 40449019 40768771 41168559 42248124 43447751
       44997420 45007107 44037030 42386966 99999999 36797501
       34817732 33108004 32878153 32318341 31498482 30468620
       29308709

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE
JCT 20 W CRS 25 NW GGG 20 NW ELD 15 ESE MEM 40 E MKL 25 SW BWG 20
SSE LUK 45 W HTS 25 NNE JKL 40 S LOZ 20 SSW RMG ANB 50 NNW PIB 45 SE
POE 10 N GLS 20 N LBX 35 NW NIR 55 WNW COT 35 N DRT 20 ENE JCT.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 WSW
DRT 25 WNW 6R6 15 ESE SJT 50 W MWL 25 SSW DEQ 40 E LIT 20 E OWB 40
WSW LUK 15 S MFD 15 E PIT 20 S EKN 20 WSW HKY 15 NE SEM 15 SSW MOB
75 SSE HUM.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SSW
6R6 30 W FST 45 NE BGS 15 SSE ADM 15 SW FYV 15 SSW ARG 25 NE EVV 25
ESE FDY 30 SE ROC 50 NE UCA 30 NW RUT 20 SSW LEB 20 NE BAF 15 N EWR
MRB 15 NNW GSO 35 S SPA 25 NNE MCN 30 NNW ABY 30 SSW DHN 25 SE CEW
70 S PNS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 SSW MRF 35 W MRF
50 S GDP 30 E ELP DMN 40 E SAD 55 NW SAD 20 NE PHX 70 SW PRC 40 SSE
EED 25 W EED 60 SSW LAS 50 NNE DAG 40 ESE NID 35 SE NID 10 ESE PMD
30 ENE OXR 10 E SBA 25 NNW SBA 40 NE SMX 45 NW BFL FAT 30 NNE MER 25
ENE SAC 55 N SAC 20 N UKI 40 NNW UKI 60 SSE EKA 65 SE EUG 35 SE PDX
10 NW DLS 35 NE DLS 45 SE YKM 15 WNW PDT 35 WNW BKE 55 E BNO 55 NE
WMC 30 NNE U31 25 ENE TPH 40 N DRA 30 ENE DRA 45 WSW SGU 25 E SGU
PGA 45 SSW 4BL 20 NW CEZ 35 S MTJ 35 SSE GUC 30 NNE ALS 35 WSW TAD
50 SSE RTN 10 SSE TCC 35 NW PVW 40 NNE PVW 35 N CDS 10 NW CSM 20 S
AVK 15 NNW P28 20 WSW RSL 40 WSW EAR 25 S ANW 40 N ANW 25 SE 9V9 30
NNW YKN 35 NNW SUX 20 E DNS 35 N LWD 30 WSW PIA 40 N DNV 25 WNW FWA
55 WNW ERI 25 NNE ROC 30 E MSS 25 NNE BML 25 N PWM 60 NNE HYA
...CONT... 65 E ORF 15 E OAJ 15 N CHS 40 SE AGS 30 SSE MCN 35 W ABY
30 SE CEW 80 S PNS.


Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Enhanced Convective Risk at May 2, 5:39z for portions of LIX (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2025/day1otlk_20250502_1200.html)

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