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Emergency Information => Weather Info => Topic started by: ThreatWebInternal on May 03, 2025, 02:06:57 PM

Title: [Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at May 1, 5:58z for portions of MOB
Post by: ThreatWebInternal on May 03, 2025, 02:06:57 PM
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at May 1, 5:58z for portions of MOB

961 
WUUS01 KWNS 010559
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 AM CDT THU MAY 01 2025

VALID TIME 011200Z - 021200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   42248006 41987882 40987909 39478003 38098164 36508345
       35798599 36538680 38868525 41438331 41998127 42248006
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   28910259 29530210 31059989 32239947 33450169 36150326
       36990286 37290191 36899930 36429859 36319623 36239363
       35649118 36428875 41368534 42108357 42568193 99999999
       44017876 43817700 43207626 39897842 37928019 34348342
       32268664 31228823 30199064 30739393 29809715 29369806
       27939862 26639977
0.15   33609958 34690158 35440208 36420125 36500048 36039931
       34889460 34229374 33889089 34008966 33268834 31278850
       30889039 31129278 31939491 32809665 33369825 33609958
0.15   42967940 42157795 41317823 39567974 38158117 36478350
       35428708 36118804 37348743 40848451 41938205 42568093
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   28910262 29450213 30220112 31009987 32189943 33510176
       36200326 37040286 37340193 36879930 36409855 36309648
       36269361 35649116 36408880 41238542 42108360 42478203
       99999999 44017874 43827695 43137629 41027766 39967832
       38477970 37168088 35398247 34428328 32868568 31238821
       30149054 30759391 29859709 29409803 27769872 26599975
0.15   43007942 42127796 41287827 40237913 38718063 38228112
       36478350 35448709 36118807 37338745 40808453 42548109
0.15   33639960 34660161 35400210 36450120 36520048 35839876
       34869457 34199376 33889086 34008963 33238831 31398846
       30869034 31159288 31769452 32699633 33409820 33639960
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   43017941 42157792 41287823 39967936 38248110 36418355
       35468710 36128807 37308744 38588643 40828455 41778240
       42558105
SLGT   33629956 34680161 35420209 36410131 36530056 35859884
       35469713 34909467 34219375 33889086 34018965 33278830
       31358846 30859037 31139281 31809462 32789652 33369822
       33629956
MRGL   28860264 29480215 31019989 32209942 33470176 36180326
       37010287 37350192 36899930 36419858 36329669 36279363
       35639117 36378882 41258537 42098365 42478202 99999999
       44047872 43867696 43167624 40087825 34328341 31248820
       30189055 30749391 29829715 29379804 27849867 26669971
TSTM   28790360 29400290 30830129 31980067 32700082 33270237
       34540339 35140679 36071045 34881533 34041735 34481975
       35992114 37972122 39282175 39812174 40112061 40051884
       39911713 39541380 39811259 40240748 40960696 42260691
       43760748 45380769 46980706 48360600 49480594 99999999
       49569605 46059631 43879415 43269075 43018792 44158612
       44528360 44798174 99999999 45447398 44427269 43246872
       99999999 36777495 35517662 33958017 32378233 31748375
       30988565 29638809

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W
BUF 45 NE BFD 35 ENE DUJ 20 S LBE 30 ESE CRW 50 NNE TYS 50 SSW BNA
50 SW CKV 35 SSW OWB 40 SSE BMG 35 ESE FWA 40 NW CLE 55 NW ERI.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 WSW
SPS 35 N PVW 25 WNW AMA 20 SSE GUY 40 SSE LBL 40 NNE CSM 25 SW CQB
10 SSW RKR 40 ENE DEQ 30 NNE GLH 25 SSW UOX 25 SSE CBM 50 NNW MOB 25
SSE MCB 25 ENE POE 40 N LFK 20 ESE DAL 40 NNW MWL 65 WSW SPS.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 SSW
6R6 40 S 6R6 35 NNW JCT 20 SE ABI 15 SSE LBB 20 SSW CAO 25 SW SPD 25
N EHA 35 WNW AVK 25 S AVK 35 SE PNC 25 W HRO 30 ESE BVX 40 NE DYR 20
NNW FWA 10 SSE ARB 40 ESE MTC ...CONT... 75 N BUF 50 WSW ART SYR 15
SSE AOO 25 N AHN 40 N MOB 20 NW MSY 50 WSW POE 45 SE AUS 25 S BAZ 40
W ALI 65 SSW LRD.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110 SSE MRF 60 SW 6R6
60 SW SJT 45 NNW SJT 50 NE BGS 40 SW LBB 10 NNW CVS 15 WNW ABQ 75
NNE INW 40 W EED 10 NE RAL SBA 35 NW PRB SCK 55 NNW SAC 35 SE RBL 60
NW RNO 15 W LOL 30 N U31 55 ENE ELY 30 N U24 20 S CAG 45 NE CAG 35
NNE RWL 30 ESE WRL 50 SE BIL 70 NW MLS 25 NW OLF 90 NNE GGW
...CONT... 50 NNW ROX 45 WNW AXN 20 NE FRM 30 W LNR MKE 10 SE MBL 10
WNW OSC 85 ENE OSC ...CONT... 55 NE MSS 15 NNW MPV 85 ESE PWM
...CONT... 70 E ORF 40 NE EWN 30 WSW FLO 15 N VDI 30 ENE ABY 25 SSW
DHN 75 S MOB.


Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at May 1, 5:58z for portions of MOB (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2025/day1otlk_20250501_1200.html)

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