MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Apr 23, 1:08 PM CDT ...New Aviation...
789
FXUS64 KMOB 231808
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
108 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 336 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025
Now through Thursday Night...
Patchy to areas of fog remain possible through daybreak this
morning. Any lingering fog or low stratus lifts after daybreak
allowing for ample daytime heating across the area bringing highs
into the lower to middle 80's once again. Expect a similar setup
to yesterday with afternoon heating allowing for slow moving pulse
type showers and thunderstorms. Best coverage will be west of the
I-65 corridor where CAM guidance is most enthused about the
development of storms. As we head into the evening hours, showers
and storms wane and once again fog becomes a potential problem for
much of the area. It appears the better setup for fog will be
tonight in comparison to the previous night. Better decoupling of
the boundary layer appears probable along with less cloud cover
aloft and very light winds throughout the low levels. All this
should favor fog development for most of the forecast area and
perhaps even some locally dense fog in spots that see the most
rain the next 24 to 36 hours.
As we head into Thursday temperatures warm even more into the
middle 80's for nearly all locations, perhaps even some upper 80's
east of the I-65 corridor. Rain chances diminish Thursday with
drier low level air in place, weaker instability and very weak
shortwave ridging nosing in. Can't rule out an isolated shower or
storm over the interior but coverage should stay pretty low.
Thursday night will see similar lows to tonight with temperatures
in the lower to middle 60's for most locations. A Moderate risk of
rip currents continues through Thursday night. MM/25
Friday through Tuesday...
We are expecting a diurnal pattern through the weekend with
isolated to scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms, mainly
over northern portions of the forecast area near the remnants of
an old weakening frontal boundary. By the early part of next week,
deep layer ridging becomes more entrenched across our area, with
little to no rain chances expected Monday and Tuesday. It will be
rather warm, with highs Friday in the mid to upper 80s interior
areas, and ranging from 77 to 82 degrees along the coast due to
the cool Gulf waters. Highs will then be in the mid 80s and lower
90s Saturday through Tuesday (hottest day appears to be on Sunday,
with most of the interior in the likely in the lower 90s).
Nighttime lows will range from lower 60s over most interior
locations to upper 60s and perhaps even a few lower 70s closer to
and along the coast Thursday night through Monday night. A
Moderate Rip Current Risk should persist Friday and Saturday,
decreasing Low on Sunday. /22
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 104 PM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025
VFR conditions are currently in place across the area at issuance
time. Expect these conditions to continue through the evening
hours for most of the area. Scattered to locally numerous showers
and thunderstorms are expected to continue developing this
afternoon, especially over interior areas west of I-65. This
activity could bring brief reductions in visibilities and ceilings
for these areas through the early evening hours. Convective coverage
should decrease this evening. Patchy to areas of fog, and low
stratus, may once again develop overnight tonight, especially over
portions of south central Alabama and the western Florida
Panhandle. Any fog/low stratus that does develop will dissipate
after sunrise. /96
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 343 PM CDT Mon Apr 21 2025
A light to moderate southeasterly to southerly flow pattern will
persist throughout the week and over the weekend. /96
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 65 84 65 84 64 88 64 89 / 0 20 10 10 0 10 0 10
Pensacola 66 81 67 81 66 84 67 86 / 0 10 10 0 0 10 0 10
Destin 68 80 68 80 67 83 70 85 / 0 10 10 0 0 10 0 10
Evergreen 61 87 62 87 60 89 62 90 / 20 30 10 20 10 20 10 20
Waynesboro 62 84 62 88 62 89 63 91 / 20 30 20 30 10 20 10 20
Camden 61 85 62 85 62 87 63 87 / 30 30 20 30 10 20 10 20
Crestview 60 86 61 87 60 90 62 91 / 0 20 10 10 0 10 10 20
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
Source: MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Apr 23, 1:08 PM CDT ...New Aviation... (https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202504231808-KMOB-FXUS64-AFDMOB)
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