MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Apr 21, 6:51 AM CDT ...New Aviation...
354
FXUS64 KMOB 211151
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
651 AM CDT Mon Apr 21 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 342 AM CDT Mon Apr 21 2025
Today though Tuesday night...
An upper trough over the plains will lift rapidly out to the
northeast today. A trailing frontal boundary will slowly move into
portions of the southeastern states and stalls out as it becomes
parallel to the upper level flow and the upper support pulls away.
With the boundary stalled to our northwest, there will be a sharp
gradient in rain chances from northwest (highest pops) to
southeast (lowest pops).Upper ridging over the southwest Atlantic
and northeast Gulf will continue to suppress rain chances
southeast of I-65 today. The boundary remains stalled across
northern MS/AL on Tuesday with continued high rain chances north
and west of I-65 with much lower chances southeast of I-65. High
temps will be in the low to mid 80s with lows in the low 60s
inland to mid/upper 60s along the coast. Patchy fog will be
possible each night. A high risk of rip currents continues through
Tuesday. /13
Wednesday through the weekend...
Another round of showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday
as additional shortwave energy passes overhead, with best coverage
remaining well northwest of I-65. Thursday into the weekend, an
upper level ridge builds over the Plains and shifts eastward.
Precipitable h20 levels drop from 1.4"-1.6" on Wednesday to around
1.0"-1.2" by the weekend as onshore flow weakens. Another weak
surface front moves towards the forecast area into the weekend,
stalling near the northern border by Saturday and providing the
focus for a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. A Moderate
Rip Current Risk on Wednesday will become a Low Risk on Thursday,
increasing back to the Moderate Risk on Friday. High temperatures
in the lower to middle 80s on Wednesday will warm into the middle
80s to lower 90s by the weekend. Low temperatures will continue
to trend in the 60s. /22
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 641 AM CDT Mon Apr 21 2025
VFR conditions will resume by late morning as areas of IFR and
MVFR ceilings lift and patchy IFR and MVFR visibilities improve.
Isolated afternoon and evening showers and perhaps a storm or two
may develop across portions of interior southeast Alabama and
southeast Mississippi, resulting in brief reductions to ceiling
and visibility. /22
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 314 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025
A light to moderate southeasterly to southerly flow pattern will
persist through Friday. Seas will tend to be 4-5 feet through
Monday morning then gradually diminish to 2-3 feet by Tuesday
night. /29
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 83 66 82 64 82 65 83 65 / 20 20 60 10 40 0 10 0
Pensacola 79 68 79 66 80 67 81 67 / 0 10 40 10 20 0 0 0
Destin 80 68 79 67 80 69 81 69 / 0 0 20 0 10 0 0 0
Evergreen 85 60 82 61 86 61 86 60 / 10 10 60 10 40 0 10 0
Waynesboro 83 63 82 62 82 62 86 63 / 70 50 90 20 70 10 30 0
Camden 84 62 81 61 82 61 85 60 / 40 30 70 20 50 10 20 10
Crestview 85 60 84 60 86 61 86 61 / 0 0 30 10 20 0 10 0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday afternoon for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
Source: MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Apr 21, 6:51 AM CDT ...New Aviation... (https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202504211151-KMOB-FXUS64-AFDMOB)
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