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Emergency Information => Weather Info => Topic started by: ThreatWebInternal on April 06, 2025, 11:14:29 PM

Title: [Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Mar 31, 12:38z for portions of BOX
Post by: ThreatWebInternal on April 06, 2025, 11:14:29 PM
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Mar 31, 12:38z for portions of BOX

414 
WUUS01 KWNS 311239
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0738 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2025

VALID TIME 311300Z - 011200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   30168074 28508347 99999999 29159296 29979288 30649085
       31478957 33118838 34908549 35628339 38157955 39077847
       39717755 40577671 41647561 41927425 41637375 40687407
       39177402
0.05   31398053 28998372 99999999 28529025 30189079 30669047
       31398941 32718821 33858605 34468343 35738114 36837965
       37187817 37367678 36697528
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   29029256 31468948 32908869 32968864 33718749 34338717
       34988592 35598339 37498068 39437854 41457602 41747458
       41607365 41177339 39457356 99999999 30068083 28928240
       28478345
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   29289315 30079301 30289214 30729093 31548985 32978895
       33898765 34268746 34578705 36118373 39857859 41907612
       42687487 42527316 41657265 40887280 39847314 99999999
       30078083 28938240 28478345
0.15   29089258 30379110 31408953 32918872 34988552 35598342
       38257941 39707762 41737571 41847449 41437334 40787326
       39897352 99999999 31398052 30428186 28988373
0.30   28599018 30219070 31048950 32388818 33878607 34448338
       35638097 36547982 36557851 36087735 33527974 31928176
       30788311 30258350 29298553
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    28619019 30219070 31038951 32398817 33878607 34428343
       35628099 36537980 36557850 36087736 33517975 30788311
       30258350 29288552
SLGT   31398053 28988373 99999999 29099258 30379109 31408953
       32918872 34988554 35598341 38247943 39697763 41737570
       41837449 41437335 40797326 39887352
MRGL   30068083 28928240 28478345 99999999 29279314 30089302
       30289214 30729094 31548985 33008895 33398843 33908766
       34278746 34568707 36118375 39837860 41897613 42677487
       42527315 41657265 40897280 39847314
TSTM   28969381 30269373 31979195 34568870 36938518 40157964
       42467584 43347436 43987243 44236966 44136701 99999999
       24658014 25848141 27988223 28488271 28068370 99999999
       49780954 48380670 46570532 45540373 45240021 44279778
       42959740 42259778 41229972 39700457 38860708 38180940
       38241237 38571521 38131714 37571771 37221770 36691759
       36341806 36291951 38222459 99999999 45262515 45472387
       45312249 44852099 45332018 47941790 49701707

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SW
BVE 30 WNW MSY 30 SSW PIB 35 E MEI GAD 35 N AHN 25 ESE HKY 25 W DAN
25 WSW AVC 30 SE RZZ 45 NNE CHS 10 E VLD 40 SSW VLD 45 SW AAF.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE
SSI 60 SW CTY ...CONT... 55 SSW 7R4 55 ENE LFT 15 WSW PIB 40 N MEI
20 W CHA 35 ESE TYS 30 W SHD HGR 30 N AVP 20 ENE MSV 20 NNW BDR 10 W
ISP 45 ESE NEL.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE
SGJ 20 SSW OCF 60 NW PIE ...CONT... 60 S LCH 15 ESE LCH 10 WNW LFT
40 SW MCB 30 W PIB 45 NNW MEI 15 S CBM 45 N TCL 35 SSE MSL 15 WSW
HSV 25 NE TYS 35 SSW AOO 25 SSW BGM 40 SE UCA 10 NE PSF 20 S BDL 15
ENE ISP 65 SSE JFK.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE GLS 30 NE BPT
40 S MLU 20 NNE TUP 60 W LOZ 15 SW LBE 20 NNE BGM 35 W GFL 15 SSE
MPV 10 SE AUG 55 S EPM ...CONT... 55 E MTH 30 SE APF 30 E PIE 40 N
PIE 65 W PIE ...CONT... 85 N HVR 10 NNW GGW 30 ENE MLS 10 WSW 2WX 20
SSE MBG 25 ESE HON YKN 25 NW OFK 15 SSW BBW 15 ESE DEN 25 NNW GUC 40
N 4BL 35 ESE MLF 55 SSW ELY TPH 40 ENE BIH 40 ESE BIH 65 SE BIH 50
NNW NID 35 SSE FAT 100 SW UKI ...CONT... 70 NW ONP 50 S AST 20 SSE
PDX 40 N RDM 50 ESE DLS 30 NW GEG 140 NE OMK.


Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Mar 31, 12:38z for portions of BOX (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2025/day1otlk_20250331_1300.html)

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