MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 14, 3:43 PM CST ...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
930
FXUS64 KMOB 142144
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
343 PM CST Sat Dec 14 2024
...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Sunday night)
Issued at 343 PM CST Sat Dec 14 2024
A warm and mostly dry weekend will continue through the near term
as a west to southwest upper flow pattern remains in place. An
upper low over the plains will left northeast into the Great Lakes
region through Sunday. An associated sfc front will moves into
the southeast, but likely stall well northwest of the local area.
This will keep the best lift well north of the area, leaving much
of the area dry with only a few light showers possible. Above
normal temps will continue with lows tonight in the low to mid 50s
inland to upper 50s along the coast. Highs on Sunday will be in
the upper 60s and low 70s. /13
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 343 PM CST Sat Dec 14 2024
An upper trough over the central and northern Plains moves off
across the northeastern states through Tuesday. An associated
surface cold front approaches the region from the northwest, but
stalls before reaching the forecast area due to stubborn surface
ridging over the southeast states. Dry conditions prevail Monday
through Tuesday night. Another upper trough digs southward over
the Great Plains late Tuesday and progresses across the eastern
states midweek into Thursday. We anticipate this system to bring
a stronger cold front through the forecast area Wednesday
afternoon and evening. Have continued with chance pops for
Wednesday and Wednesday night, then dry conditions develop
Thursday morning as a dome of cold and dry high pressure builds
into the region in the wake of the front. At this point,
sufficient instability looks to develop on Wednesday to support
thunderstorm development before the frontal passage, but the
potential for severe storm development appears to be low. Highs
ahead of the front will be in the 70s and lows will be in the 50s,
then temperatures trend much cooler in the wake of the front with
lows Thursday night mostly in the 30s and highs on Thursday and
Friday in the mid 50s to mid 60s. /22
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 343 PM CST Sat Dec 14 2024
A moderate to occasionally strong easterly flow will slowly
decrease tonight. A light to moderate easterly to southeasterly
flow will persists through early this week. A stronger cold front
moves across the marine area late in the week with a strong
northwest flow expected. /13
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 56 72 55 72 53 75 56 75 / 10 10 0 0 0 0 10 30
Pensacola 59 70 58 71 56 74 60 74 / 10 10 0 0 0 0 10 30
Destin 59 72 58 72 59 75 62 74 / 10 0 0 0 0 0 10 30
Evergreen 51 70 50 73 51 77 54 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30
Waynesboro 52 72 53 74 53 75 54 74 / 10 10 0 0 10 10 10 40
Camden 52 69 50 72 50 74 54 73 / 10 10 0 0 10 10 10 40
Crestview 53 73 51 75 51 79 55 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CST this evening for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CST this evening for FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
Source: MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 14, 3:43 PM CST ...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE... (https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202412142143-KMOB-FXUS64-AFDMOB)
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