LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 26, 9:30 PM CST ...New UPDATE...
691
FXUS64 KLIX 270330
AFDLIX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
930 PM CST Tue Nov 26 2024
...New UPDATE...
.UPDATE...
Issued at 924 PM CST Tue Nov 26 2024
Still some question which will predominate overnight, low clouds
or fog. At this point, the more likely area for fog would be those
currently experiencing clear skies, generally near and west of
Intersstate 55. Temperatures in some of these areas are near or
below the 50 degree mark, and if fog is going to happen there, it
might occur in the next few hours. If low clouds return,
temperatures could actually rise in some areas. Not confident
enough to go with a Fog Advisory at this time. Have adjusted
hourly temperature and dew point trends, but no major adjustments
to overnight lows at this time. Continuing to monitor.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 115 PM CST Tue Nov 26 2024
Tonight through Thursday morning, conditions will be dry overall
and mild, looking at the models. Some patchy dense fog with around
3SM visibility will be possible during the daybreak hours
tomorrow, so use caution if you will be traveling Wednesday
morning. There will likely be a stratus deck, however, the
boundary layer winds will likely be too high to get fog conditions
much lower than 3SM. Regardless, exercise caution if folks will be
driving in the morning. High temperatures will be in the mid to
upper 70s tomorrow and humidity will be more noticeable as well.
MSW
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday night)
Issued at 115 PM CST Tue Nov 26 2024
Thursday, a cold front will move through the area, enhancing rain
chances. Rain chances have been increasing, looking at the latest
model trends, with generally between 30-50% PoPs across the area.
Generally, it looks like a fairly weak frontal system. However,
some strong to maybe severe storms will be possible as we are
under a Marginal Risk for Severe Weather. This has been trending
to be more and more unlikely, but the main concerns, if the risk
holds, will be some gusty winds (30-50mph) and lightning inside
any stronger thunderstorms. Overall rainfall accumulations should
be around or less than 1 inch, so shouldn't have any flooding
concerns. Conditions Thursday through the weekend and even into
early next week should be cold, but dry.
The resulting lows after the front will be close to
freezing or below freezing over the weekend for some areas.
Saturday morning looks to be the coldest morning with lows in the
low to mid 30s for most locations. McComb does get below freezing
along with the rest of southern Mississippi in the current
forecast. Consequently, we may need our first cold products of the
season, but we will continue to monitor. As we are still 5-6 days
out, this could change as the system becomes more defined,
especially the overnight lows for Saturday. Highs over the weekend
and into early next week will be in the mid 60s in the forecast.
MSW
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 523 PM CST Tue Nov 26 2024
Northwestern terminals (KMCB/KHDC/KBTR) reporting VFR conditions,
with MVFR ceilings elsewhere. Expect ceilings to lower to IFR or
lower conditions prior to sunrise Wednesday, with some reductions
in visibilities. In most cases, visibilities will improve to usual
levels but ceilings unlikely to get beyond MVFR.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 115 PM CST Tue Nov 26 2024
Tonight through Thursday, winds will be generally benign and
southerly. A frontal system will be moving through the area
Thursday night, which will elevate winds and seas for mariners.
Northerly winds (15-25kts) are expected Thursday night through
Saturday morning. Winds will calm to <15kts and northerly to
northeasterly Saturday through early next week. MSW
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 47 72 59 69 / 0 10 60 50
BTR 52 78 66 74 / 0 10 50 50
ASD 53 75 64 75 / 0 0 20 50
MSY 57 77 67 77 / 0 0 20 50
GPT 54 74 64 75 / 0 0 20 50
PQL 52 76 64 78 / 0 0 10 50
&&
.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...MSW
LONG TERM....MSW
AVIATION...RW
MARINE...MSW
Source: LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 26, 9:30 PM CST ...New UPDATE... (https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202411270330-KLIX-FXUS64-AFDLIX)
---------------
If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!