ThreatWeb

SNOWFALL WARNING, Napanee - Consecon

Issued: 11:32 AM EST Sunday 9 November 2025
Source: SNOWFALL WARNING, Napanee - Consecon

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MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 31, 12:20 PM CDT ...New AVIATION...

002 
FXUS64 KMOB 311720
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1220 PM CDT Fri Oct 31 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1219 PM CDT Fri Oct 31 2025

 - A few localized areas well inland may experience some patchy
   frost early Friday morning and late Friday night into early
   Saturday morning. 

 - No additional impacts are anticipated through the period. 

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1137 PM CDT Thu Oct 30 2025

A large and broad upper trof pattern will be present over the
central and eastern CONUS on Friday which then amplifies through
Sunday and becomes oriented over the eastern states. An inverted
surface trof develops over the north central Gulf Saturday night
then weakens and moves off to the east Sunday into Sunday night.
Deep layer moisture remains limited over the area and have
continued with a dry forecast through Saturday night. Deep layer
moisture continues to look limited Sunday into Sunday night as the
inverted surface trof passes by, and other than some small pops
near the coast of the western Florida panhandle, dry conditions
are expected to prevail. A large surface ridge builds into the 
region early next week, after which it's possible that a weak cold
front may approach the area from the north and move through on 
Thursday. Dry conditions are nevertheless anticipated to continue
through Thursday as deep layer moisture continues to remain
limited.

It's possible that a few patches of frost may develop well inland
overnight into early Friday morning, but noted that surface wet
bulb values will be in the upper 30s thus favoring dew over 
frost. Similar conditions exist well inland late Friday night into
early Saturday morning where can't rule out a few patches of 
frost, but otherwise wet bulb values favor dew development. Highs
on Friday and Monday will be in the mid to upper 60s with just a 
tad warmer values meanwhile expected for Saturday and Sunday. A 
modest warming trend ensues Tuesday, with highs on Thursday 
reaching the mid to upper 70s. Lows Friday night range from the 
upper 30s well inland to near 50 at the immediate coast then lows 
Saturday night range from the lower 40s well inland to around 50 
at the coast. Lows Sunday night will be cooler and range from the 
upper 30s well inland to the mid 40s at the coast then gradually 
moderate through Wednesday night to range from the mid 40s well 
inland to the mid 50s at the coast. A low risk of rip currents is
anticipated for Friday through Tuesday. /29

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1219 PM CDT Fri Oct 31 2025

VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours, along with
light winds. /96

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1137 PM CDT Thu Oct 30 2025

Light northerly winds prevail on Friday then become easterly on 
Saturday. A light to moderate northerly flow develops Saturday night 
and continues through Tuesday, meanwhile increasing a bit Sunday 
night. Small craft may need to exercise caution Sunday night well
offshore. /29

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      44  70  48  69 /   0   0  10  10 
Pensacola   50  69  52  70 /   0   0  10  10 
Destin      51  70  54  71 /   0   0  10  20 
Evergreen   39  71  43  69 /   0   0   0  10 
Waynesboro  40  68  43  65 /   0   0   0   0 
Camden      38  69  43  66 /   0   0   0  10 
Crestview   39  71  42  70 /   0   0   0  10 

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Source: MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 31, 12:20 PM CDT ...New AVIATION...

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CLEVELAND OH Nov 6 Climate Report: High: 52 Low: 33 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"

980 
CDUS41 KCLE 070534
CLICLE

CLIMATE REPORT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND, OH
1234 AM EST FRI NOV 07 2025

...................................

...THE CLEVELAND OH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR NOVEMBER 6 2025...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1871 TO 2025


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST      
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                          
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         52    332 PM  76    1977  55     -3       73       
  MINIMUM         33    647 AM  17    1951  40     -7       56       
  AVERAGE         43                        47     -4       65     

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                    
  YESTERDAY        0.00                      0.12  -0.12     0.28     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.03                      0.72  -0.69     0.28     
  SINCE SEP 1      4.65                      8.25  -3.60     5.50     
  SINCE JAN 1     34.62                     35.39  -0.77    26.71     

SNOWFALL (IN)                                                              
  YESTERDAY        0.0                       0.1   -0.1      0.0      
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.5   -0.5      0.0      
  SINCE SEP 1      0.0                       0.6   -0.6      0.0      
  SINCE JUL 1      0.0                       0.6   -0.6      0.0      
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 

DEGREE DAYS                                                           
 HEATING                                                              
  YESTERDAY       22                        18      4        0        
  MONTH TO DATE  105                       101      4       42        
  SINCE SEP 1    455                       496    -41      323        
  SINCE JUL 1    488                       502    -14      329        

 COOLING                                                              
  YESTERDAY        0                         0      0        0        
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         0      0        8        
  SINCE SEP 1     84                       128    -44      179        
  SINCE JAN 1    898                       946    -48     1119        
...................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                            
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    14   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     W (290)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    23   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    NW (300)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     7.1                                        


SKY COVER                                                             
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM                                                 
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.5                                                 


WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                    
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                         
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                                  


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    88           700 AM                                      
 LOWEST     29           400 PM                                      
 AVERAGE    59                                                        

..........................................................


THE CLEVELAND OH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   55        79      1938                      
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   39        23      1971                      


SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                    
NOVEMBER  7 2025......SUNRISE   707 AM EST   SUNSET   515 PM EST     
NOVEMBER  8 2025......SUNRISE   708 AM EST   SUNSET   514 PM EST     


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$

Source: CLEVELAND OH Nov 6 Climate Report: High: 52 Low: 33 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"

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INDIANAPOLIS EAGLE CREEK IN Nov 5 Climate Report: High: 68 Low: 40 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing

063 
CDUS43 KIND 060633
CLIEYE

CLIMATE REPORT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
133 AM EST THU NOV 06 2025

...................................

...THE INDIANAPOLIS EAGLE CREEK IN CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR NOVEMBER 5 2025...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 9999 TO 9999


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST                  
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE  FROM      YEAR                 
                                      NORMAL                       
.......................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                          
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         68    316 PM  57     11       74                   
  MINIMUM         40   1151 PM  38      2       64                   
  AVERAGE         54            47      7       69                 

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                    
  YESTERDAY        0.00          0.10  -0.10     0.94                 
  MONTH TO DATE    0.00          0.55  -0.55     1.30                 
  SINCE SEP 1      2.77          6.37  -3.60     3.80                 
  SINCE JAN 1     29.07         35.30  -6.23    35.48                 

DEGREE DAYS                                                           
 HEATING                                                              
  YESTERDAY       11            18     -7        0                    
  MONTH TO DATE   82            84     -2       40                    
  SINCE SEP 1    338           454   -116      234                    
  SINCE JUL 1    345           457   -112      234                    

 COOLING                                                              
  YESTERDAY        0             0      0        4                    
  MONTH TO DATE    0             0      0        6                    
  SINCE SEP 1    184           153     31      226                    
  SINCE JAN 1   1277          1128    149     1386                    
.......................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                            
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    23   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     W (280)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    34   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    NW (300)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     7.9                                        


SKY COVER                                                             
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.4                                                 


WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                    
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                         
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                                  


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    89          1100 PM                                      
 LOWEST     45           400 PM                                      
 AVERAGE    67                                                        

..........................................................


THE INDIANAPOLIS EAGLE CREEK IN CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   56        MM        MM                      
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   38        MM        MM                      


SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                    
NOVEMBER  6 2025......SUNRISE   720 AM EST   SUNSET   537 PM EST     
NOVEMBER  7 2025......SUNRISE   721 AM EST   SUNSET   536 PM EST     


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$

Source: INDIANAPOLIS EAGLE CREEK IN Nov 5 Climate Report: High: 68 Low: 40 Precip: 0.0" Snow: Missing

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LMK issues A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CLINTONSOUTH CENTRAL RUSSELL AND SOUTHEASTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTIES THROUGH 630 PM CST [wind: 40 MPH, hail: 0.25 IN]

298 
WWUS83 KLMK 072359
SPSLMK

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
559 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025
 
KYZ078-081-082-080030-
Russell KY-Cumberland KY-Clinton KY-
559 PM CST Fri Nov 7 2025

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CLINTON...SOUTH CENTRAL RUSSELL
AND SOUTHEASTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTIES THROUGH 630 PM CST...

At 559 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Burkesville, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around 
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is 
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Albany, Burkesville, Littrell, Desda, Cartwright, Snow, Savage, Ida,
Modoc, and Seventy Six.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building. 

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CST for south central
Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3682 8542 3688 8504 3686 8506 3683 8506
      3681 8503 3675 8500 3670 8502 3669 8502
      3668 8501 3667 8501 3666 8500 3665 8500
      3664 8539
TIME...MOT...LOC 2359Z 263DEG 47KT 3673 8531 

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

$$

CSG

Source: LMK issues A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CLINTONSOUTH CENTRAL RUSSELL AND SOUTHEASTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTIES THROUGH 630 PM CST [wind: 40 MPH, hail: 0.25 IN]

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT, Niagara Falls - Welland - Southern Niagara Region

Issued: 5:22 AM EST Sunday 9 November 2025
Source: SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT, Niagara Falls - Welland - Southern Niagara Region

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ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 5, 12:03 PM EST

644 
FXUS61 KILN 051703
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1203 PM EST Wed Nov 5 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Dry conditions persist until Friday when an active weather pattern 
develops. On Friday, rain with some embedded thunderstorms are 
possible ahead of a cold front. A second cold front will bring 
another chance for rain on Sunday before potentially allowing for 
some snow flakes behind the front Sunday night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A low pressure moving across the eastern Great Lakes this 
afternoon/evening will push a cold front through the Ohio Valley 
later today. Ahead of the front, windy and warm conditions continue. 
Wind gusts upwards of 30 mph are possible during peak diurnal mixing 
this afternoon. After FROPA this evening, winds shift to the north 
before relaxing overnight as high pressure builds in from the west. 
Forecast lows drop to the middle 30s. 

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
A surface high quickly moves across the Ohio Valley on Thursday 
bringing dry, sunny, and cool conditions. The surface high exits to 
the east on Thursday night when the next low pressure system starts 
moving into the Great Lakes. A strengthening pressure gradient over 
the area will allow southerly flow in increase overnight which 
limits lows and gradually increases moisture. Any rain chances are 
likely to hold off until the daytime of Friday. 

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
On Friday, a low pressure system moves east through the Great Lakes 
and a cold front associated with the mid latitude system will 
progress through the Ohio Valley. While the exact timing of FROPA is 
uncertain (anywhere from late morning to late afternoon), a healthy 
chance for rain with some embedded thunder exists ahead of the front. 
The overall risk for severe storms is low since instability is 
likely to be very limited, but some stronger winds mixing down are 
possible in the strongest showers/storms. A late frontal passage 
would be more favorable for instability to form rather than an early 
FROPA. Rain chances quickly subside behind the front Friday night 
into Saturday before the next system approaches from the west 
Saturday night. 

On Saturday night/Sunday morning, a deepening low is expected to 
move through the Ohio Valley ahead of an upper level vorticity max. 
Rain is possible in front of the low and associated cold front on 
Saturday night. Much colder air arrives Sunday morning behind the 
low on breezy northerly flow. Temperatures will likely drop through 
the 40s during the day with on and off rain showers persisting. 
Precipitation chances may then linger into Sunday night as 
temperatures continue to drop which may support the first snowflakes 
of the season across the area. Minor, brief dusting are possible, 
but there is little ensemble support for any impactful accumulating 
snow and the ground is warm.  

Cold conditions persist Sunday night through Monday night. The first 
hard freezes of the fall season are expected both nights with 
forecast lows well into the 20s. Temperatures start to moderate 
toward the middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR conditions persist for the TAF period with only some VFR 
ceilings occurring. 

Breezy southwesterly winds veer to the west and eventually the north 
this evening after a dry cold front passes through the area later 
today. Gusts upwards of 30 knots are possible before 0000z. For 
tonight, winds gradually relax before becoming light and variable 
after 0600z. Light and variable winds continue into Thursday with 
surface high pressure moving overhead.

OUTLOOK...Gusty winds along with MVFR conditions in rain is expected
on Friday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...

Source: ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 5, 12:03 PM EST

---------------
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BOX continues High Wind Watch valid at Nov 5, 10:00 PM EST for Western Franklin, Western Hampden, Western Hampshire [MA] till Nov 6, 8:00 AM EST

414 
WWUS71 KBOX 042359
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
659 PM EST Tue Nov 4 2025

CTZ002>004-MAZ003>007-010>024-026-RIZ001>008-051300-
/O.EXP.KBOX.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-251105T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.HW.A.0003.251106T0300Z-251106T1300Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Eastern Franklin MA-Northern
Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex
MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-
Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern
Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern
Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable
MA-Dukes MA-Nantucket MA-Northern Middlesex MA-Northwest
Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern
Kent RI-Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
Including the cities of Gloucester, Plymouth, Norwood, Cambridge,
Greenfield, Framingham, Westerly, Taunton, New Bedford, Foster,
West Greenwich, Fitchburg, Hartford, Milford, Ayer, Falmouth,
Bristol, Smithfield, Fall River, East Greenwich, Worcester,
Provincetown, Boston, Newport, Willimantic, Orange, Brockton,
Barre, Northampton, New Shoreham, Foxborough, Windsor Locks,
Narragansett, Coventry, Union, Springfield, Lowell, Amherst,
Putnam, Mattapoisett, Warwick, Providence, Quincy, Chatham,
Nantucket, Lawrence, West Warwick, Vineyard Haven, and Vernon
659 PM EST Tue Nov 4 2025

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH 
THURSDAY MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 65 mph possible.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Connecticut, central, eastern, 
  northeastern, southeastern, and western Massachusetts, and 
  northern and southern Rhode Island.

* WHEN...From Wednesday evening through Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines. 
  Power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates.

&&

$$

MAZ002-008-009-051300-
/O.CON.KBOX.HW.A.0003.251106T0300Z-251106T1300Z/
Western Franklin MA-Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-
Including the cities of Charlemont, Blandford, and Chesterfield
659 PM EST Tue Nov 4 2025

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH 
THURSDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph possible.

* WHERE...Western Franklin MA, Western Hampden MA, and Western 
  Hampshire MA Counties.

* WHEN...From Wednesday evening through Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines. 
  Power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates.

&&

$$

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/box

Source: BOX continues High Wind Watch valid at Nov 5, 10:00 PM EST for Western Franklin, Western Hampden, Western Hampshire [MA] till Nov 6, 8:00 AM EST

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